Passengers Recount Harrowing Ordeal as Militants Seize Train in Pakistan

Passengers freed from the Jaffar Express after it was seized by armed militants in Pakistan’s Balochistan province have described the horrifying ordeal as “doomsday scenes.”

“We held our breath throughout the firing, not knowing what would happen next,” said Ishaq Noor, one of the passengers, in an interview with the BBC.

Noor was among more than 400 passengers on board the train traveling from Quetta to Peshawar on Tuesday when militants from the Balochistan Liberation Army (BLA) launched an attack, taking a number of people hostage. Several individuals, including the train’s driver, were reportedly injured in the assault.

According to military sources, 155 passengers have been rescued and 27 militants killed. However, these figures have not been independently verified, and rescue efforts remain ongoing.

Security forces have mobilized hundreds of troops to free the remaining captives, while authorities have also deployed helicopters and special forces personnel.

The BLA has issued a warning of “severe consequences” should an attempt be made to rescue the hostages.

Officials have revealed that at least 100 of the passengers on the train were members of the security forces. The exact number of individuals still being held hostage remains unclear. More than a dozen of those who have been released required hospital treatment.

Citing security officials, reports suggest that some militants may have left the train, taking an undetermined number of passengers with them into the surrounding mountainous terrain.

On Wednesday, the BBC witnessed dozens of wooden coffins being loaded at Quetta railway station. A railway official explained that these empty coffins were being transported in case they were needed to collect casualties.

Muhammad Ashraf, a passenger traveling from Quetta to Lahore to visit family, managed to escape from the train with a group late Tuesday.

“There was a lot of fear among the passengers. It was a scene of doomsday,” Ashraf recalled.

The group endured a nearly four-hour walk to the nearest railway station, with several men carrying weaker passengers on their shoulders.

“We reached the station with great difficulty because we were tired, and there were children and women with us,” he explained.

Noor, who was on the train with his wife and two children, described the intensity of the initial explosion.

“It was so intense that one of my children fell from the seat,” he said.

Amidst the gunfire, he and his wife each tried to shield one of their children.

“If a bullet comes our way, it will hit us and not the children,” Noor said.

Mushtaq Muhammad, another passenger in the train’s third carriage, described the terror among those on board.

“The attackers were talking to each other in Balochi, and their leader repeatedly told them to ‘keep an eye’ particularly on the security personnel to make sure that [the attackers] do not lose them,” he recounted.

As the night progressed, the militants began releasing some passengers, including Balochistan residents, women, children, and elderly individuals. Noor, who was among those freed, explained that he was released after telling the attackers he was from Turbat city in Balochistan and showing them that he had children and women with him.

Meanwhile, the family of train driver Amjad Yasin anxiously awaits updates after hearing of his injuries.

Yasin has worked as a train driver for 24 years and had previously survived an attack when explosives targeted another train he was driving eight years ago.

“For the past couple of weeks, we were under severe stress that something is about to happen as there was an air of fear,” his brother Amir told the BBC from Quetta.

The BLA has been waging an insurgency for decades, seeking independence for Balochistan. The group has carried out numerous deadly attacks, often targeting police stations, railway lines, and highways.

‘Gravely Concerned’

Pakistan’s counter-insurgency operations in Balochistan have been widely criticized, with allegations of enforced disappearances dating back to the early 2000s. Human rights organizations have accused security forces of carrying out torture and extra-judicial killings—claims the authorities have denied.

Both Pakistani authorities and Western countries, including the UK and the US, have designated the BLA as a terrorist organization.

The Human Rights Commission of Pakistan has expressed deep concern over the train hijacking.

“We strongly urge all relevant stakeholders to forge an urgent rights-based, pro-people consensus on the issues faced by citizens in Balochistan and to find a peaceful, political solution,” the commission stated on X.

Meanwhile, United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres has strongly condemned the attack and has called for the immediate release of the remaining passengers.

US Secretary of State Sees Promise in Ukraine’s Partial Ceasefire Proposal Ahead of Saudi Talks

The United States’ top diplomat has expressed optimism about Ukraine’s proposal for a partial ceasefire with Russia, viewing it as a potential step toward ending the ongoing war. This statement comes just before scheduled discussions in Saudi Arabia on Tuesday between US and Ukrainian officials.

“I’m not saying that alone is enough, but it’s the kind of concession you would need to see in order to end the conflict,” said US Secretary of State Marco Rubio on Monday.

During the upcoming negotiations in Jeddah, Kyiv is expected to put forward a proposal for an aerial and naval ceasefire with Russia. However, Moscow has previously dismissed such ideas, arguing that any temporary truce would merely serve as a stalling tactic to prevent Ukraine’s military from collapsing.

In a separate event, at least three individuals lost their lives in what was described as a “massive” overnight drone assault on Moscow and its surrounding areas, according to Governor Andrei Vorobyev. The attack damaged seven apartments in a residential complex.

Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin reported that 74 drones aimed at the city were intercepted and shot down. He further stated that debris from a downed drone damaged the roof of one building.

The drone strike led to temporary disruptions in one of Moscow’s district train networks and imposed flight restrictions at the city’s airports.

Meanwhile, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky arrived in Saudi Arabia on Monday to meet Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. However, he is not expected to take a formal role in the negotiations between US and Ukrainian representatives.

In a video message late on Monday, Zelensky expressed his hopes for “a practical result” from the discussions, stating that Ukraine’s stance would be “absolutely constructive.”

The Ukrainian delegation at the talks will include Andriy Yermak, Zelensky’s chief of staff, along with the country’s national security adviser and several foreign and defense ministers.

On the US side, Rubio will lead the delegation alongside National Security Adviser Mike Waltz and US Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff.

Speaking before his arrival in Jeddah, Rubio emphasized the importance of clarifying Ukraine’s stance on a potential peace agreement. He noted that both sides must prepare for tough compromises if the conflict is to be resolved.

“I’m not going to set any conditions on what they have to or need to do,” he said. “We want to listen to see how far they’re willing to go, and compare that to what the Russians want, and then see how far apart we truly are.”

Rubio stressed that both Ukraine and Russia must acknowledge that “there’s no military solution” to the war and that diplomacy is the only viable path forward.

Meanwhile, reports from Bloomberg and Axios suggest that Witkoff is scheduled to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow later this week, though the Kremlin has not officially commented on the matter.

The discussions in Jeddah coincide with increased pressure from US President Donald Trump on Zelensky to agree to a ceasefire with Russia. Notably, this push comes without any firm commitments from the US regarding security guarantees for Ukraine.

This meeting marks the first official encounter between US and Ukrainian officials since Zelensky’s contentious visit to the White House last month. That meeting reportedly ended in frustration, leading the US to suspend military aid and intelligence sharing with Ukraine—a move seen as an attempt to push Kyiv toward negotiations.

Rubio suggested that the suspension of aid could be reversed depending on the outcomes of Tuesday’s discussions.

“The pause came about because we felt that they [Ukraine] were not committed to any sort of peace process,” he explained. “If that changes, obviously our posture can change.”

He added, “The president is going to use whatever tools he has at his disposal to try to get both sides to that table so this war will end.”

Earlier on Monday, Trump’s special envoy, Steve Witkoff, expressed optimism about the upcoming negotiations, saying he expected “substantial progress.”

When asked if he believed Zelensky would return to the US later in the week to sign a minerals agreement, Witkoff told Fox News, “I am really hopeful. All the signs are very, very positive.”

Zelensky has previously signaled willingness to sign a minerals deal with the US, which would create a joint fund derived from the sale of Ukrainian minerals.

According to Witkoff, the Saudi Arabia talks will cover multiple topics, including security protocols for Ukraine and territorial issues.

He emphasized that, despite the suspension of military aid, the US had not cut off intelligence sharing for any defensive needs that Ukraine might have. Trump also told Fox News on Sunday that he had “just about” lifted the intelligence-sharing freeze on Ukraine.

UK Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer also spoke with Trump ahead of the Jeddah talks. According to a statement from Downing Street, Starmer conveyed that “he hoped there would be a positive outcome to the talks that would enable US aid and intelligence-sharing to be restarted.”

Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 and currently controls roughly one-fifth of Ukraine’s territory, including Crimea, which it annexed in 2014.

China Calls for Stronger Ties with India Amid US Trade Tensions

As tensions escalate between China and the United States due to US President Donald Trump’s broad tariffs on Chinese goods, Beijing is now advocating for stronger cooperation with India to “oppose hegemonism and power politics” while upholding global norms.

During a press conference on the sidelines of China’s annual parliamentary session in Beijing, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi emphasized the need for India and China to work together. “China and India should be partners that contribute to each other’s success. A cooperative pas de deux (dance involving two people) of the dragon and the elephant is the only right choice for both sides,” he stated.

“To support each other rather than undercut each other, work with each other rather than guard against each other — this is the path that truly serves the fundamental interests of both China and India and their peoples. When China and India join hands, the prospects for greater democracy in international relations and a stronger Global South will improve greatly,” he added.

Wang stressed that the only way forward for both nations is a cooperative partnership, which aligns with their fundamental interests and helps protect global norms. “China stands ready to work with India to sum up past experience and forge a fast forward and advance China-India relations on the track of sound and stable development,” he affirmed.

Wang Highlights ‘Positive Strides’ in India-China Relations

Wang also noted that India-China relations have made “positive strides” and achieved significant progress following a successful meeting between Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Chinese President Xi Jinping last year. The discussions aimed at resolving the four-year-long military standoff in eastern Ladakh.

According to Wang, the leaders of both nations provided strategic direction to enhance bilateral ties during their meeting in Kazan in October 2023. He pointed out that both sides acted upon their leaders’ shared vision by “strengthening exchanges and practical cooperation at all levels.”

Following extensive negotiations, India and China completed the disengagement process by finalizing a withdrawal agreement for troops stationed at Depsang and Demchok, the last two contentious areas in eastern Ladakh. Two days after this agreement was reached, Prime Minister Modi and President Xi held discussions in Kazan on October 23. During this meeting, both leaders agreed to revive multiple dialogue mechanisms to strengthen diplomatic and strategic communication.

Boundary Issues Should Not Define India-China Ties

Additionally, Wang emphasized that as each other’s largest neighbors, India and China share a common goal of advancing their development and revitalization. He insisted that their bilateral relationship should not be overshadowed by border disputes.

“As two ancient civilizations, we have enough wisdom and capability to maintain peace and tranquility in the border areas pending a fair and reasonable solution. We should never allow bilateral relations to be defined by the boundary question, or let specific differences affect the overall picture of our bilateral ties,” he remarked.

This year marks the 75th anniversary of diplomatic relations between India and China. Earlier, Beijing had conveyed its willingness to collaborate with New Delhi to commemorate this milestone and inject fresh momentum into bilateral ties.

Last month, Wang met Indian External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar at the G20 Foreign Ministers’ Meeting in Johannesburg, South Africa. During their discussion, he underscored that restoring mutual trust and achieving win-win cooperation align with the aspirations of both nations.

Jaishankar, in turn, acknowledged the progress made in improving bilateral relations and expressed India’s willingness to strengthen ties. “India values the hard-won progress in improving bilateral relations and is willing to work with China to accelerate the restoration of cooperative mechanisms, enhance cultural exchanges, facilitate people-to-people ties, and jointly maintain peace and stability in the border regions,” he stated.

Jaishankar’s remarks followed Trump’s offer to mediate the longstanding border issue between India and China during Prime Minister Modi’s visit to the White House earlier that month. However, India reiterated that such matters should be “resolved bilaterally.”

Mark Carney Takes Charge Amid Canada-U.S. Trade War, Vows Retaliation Against Trump’s Tariffs

Mark Carney has secured a landslide victory to become Canada’s next prime minister, replacing Justin Trudeau. In his first major statement, he has committed to winning the ongoing trade war with U.S. President Donald Trump, vowing to impose retaliatory tariffs on American goods until, in his words, “Americans show us respect.”

Meanwhile, Ontario Premier Doug Ford has announced plans to impose retaliatory electricity tariffs on the U.S. He is set to discuss these measures in a live address, emphasizing that Canada will take firm action in response to U.S. economic pressures.

Canada to Launch Advertising Campaign in U.S.

Ford addressed questions regarding a marketing and advertising campaign in the U.S., stating, “We need to inform the American people.” He emphasized the importance of delivering a strong message to Americans, calling them Canada’s “greatest allies in the fight against these tariffs.”

Tariff Impact Will ‘Reverberate’ Across U.S., Says Energy Minister

Stephen Lecce, Minister of Energy and Electrification, highlighted Canada’s role as a major power exporter to the U.S., stating, “They need our power.” He explained that the objective is to “maximize pressure on America and minimize the impacts on Ontario.” Lecce warned that the repercussions of these tariffs will “reverberate” across the U.S., affecting states that rely on and profit from reselling Canadian power.

Ford: Tariffs Could Add $100 to U.S. Utility Bills

Ford outlined the potential consequences of Ontario’s countermeasures, estimating that 1.5 million homes and businesses in Minnesota, Michigan, and New York would be affected. According to Ford, these states could face a surcharge of up to $400,000 per day, potentially increasing bills for American consumers by approximately $100.

While acknowledging the difficulties this would create, Ford stated he “will not hesitate” to raise the charge further or even halt electricity exports entirely. However, he also expressed regret for the impact on American citizens, stating, “I feel terrible for the American people who did not start this trade war.”

‘We Will Apply Maximum Pressure,’ Says Ford

Ford described the situation as an escalating conflict, noting that President Trump is now targeting steel and aluminum with additional tariffs. He asserted that these trade policies are detrimental to families on both sides of the border and affirmed Ontario’s determination to resist. “We will apply maximum pressure to maximize leverage,” he stated, confirming that Ontario will proceed with a 25% surcharge on electricity exports.

Ford Congratulates Carney, Praises His Leadership

Doug Ford, in his public remarks, congratulated Mark Carney on his victory, expressing optimism about the country’s new leadership. He emphasized the need for decisive action, stating, “It’s never been more important to build big things.” Ford also took a moment to thank Justin Trudeau for his service to the country.

‘Every Tool in the Toolbox’ Will Be Used in Response to U.S. Tariffs

Stephen Lecce, addressing the media, stated that Ontario has been a critical energy supplier to the U.S. for years, helping to “keep the lights on” in American homes, factories, and farms. However, he made it clear that Canada would not stand by idly. “When under attack, we will use every tool in the toolbox,” he declared.

Ontario’s Retaliatory Tariffs to Be Unveiled Soon

Ford is scheduled to present a detailed plan for retaliatory tariffs against the U.S., reinforcing his stance from last week, when he warned that Canada could cut off electricity supplies if President Trump’s tariff policies persisted. Around 1.5 million Americans in Michigan, New York, and Minnesota rely on electricity imported from Canada.

Ford’s statements align with his recent post on X, in which he congratulated Carney and declared, “Together, let’s unleash the Canadian economy and make our country more secure by building big, bold projects—starting with the Ring of Fire.”

U.S. Stock Markets React to Trump’s Tariff Strategy

As U.S. markets opened for trading, investor concerns over Trump’s economic policies intensified. Fears of increased costs, business uncertainty, and economic disruption have contributed to a market downturn.

The S&P 500 dropped by approximately 1.7%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined by 0.7%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq took the biggest hit, falling by 2.8%. The market turbulence comes as optimism about artificial intelligence-driven growth fades and fears of a recession rise, particularly after Trump declined to rule out an economic downturn.

The Meaning Behind Canada’s ‘Elbows Up’ Slogan

In his farewell address, Justin Trudeau drew loud applause when he declared, “Elbows up!” The phrase has gained traction as a rallying cry against Trump’s tariff threats and his recent suggestion that Canada could become the 51st U.S. state.

Canadian actor Mike Myers recently echoed the phrase on Saturday Night Live, mouthing the words while pointing to his elbow. The slogan originates from ice hockey, symbolizing readiness to fight back—a sentiment many Canadians now embrace in response to Trump’s trade policies.

Ford Calls Carney’s Leadership Critical Amid Tariff Conflict

Shortly after Carney’s landslide victory in the Liberal leadership race, Doug Ford extended his congratulations, describing the moment as pivotal. “Your election comes at a critical time as our country continues to stare down the ongoing threat of President Trump’s tariffs,” Ford stated.

The Ontario Premier is expected to further elaborate on his plan to impose a 25% surcharge on electricity exports to Michigan, New York, and Minnesota. He has also indicated that, if necessary, he may completely cut off power exports to these states.

What’s Next?

As Canada undergoes a significant political transition, here’s a summary of recent developments and upcoming steps:

  • Mark Carney’s Victory: The former Bank of England governor won 85.9% of the vote in the Liberal leadership race and will be sworn in as prime minister in the coming days.
  • Justin Trudeau’s Departure: Trudeau must formally resign before Carney can take office. He will remain in position until he meets with Governor General Mary Simon.
  • Upcoming Election: A general election must take place by October 20, but it is widely expected to be called sooner.
  • Carney’s First Address: In his victory speech, Carney declared, “Americans should make no mistake… in trade, as in hockey, Canada will win.”
  • International Reactions: UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer and French President Emmanuel Macron have extended their congratulations to Carney, signaling strong international support for Canada’s new leadership.

Carney’s Background: A Banker Turned Prime Minister

Mark Carney, Canada’s 24th prime minister, has an extensive background in economics and finance.

  • Early Life: Born in Fort Smith, Northwest Territories, Carney grew up in a politically engaged family, with his father once running as a Liberal candidate in Edmonton-South.
  • Education: He studied at Harvard University on a scholarship and later earned a PhD in economics from Oxford University.
  • Career in Banking: Carney served as governor of both the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England.
  • Political Entry: Despite previous dismissals of a political career—once joking, “Why don’t I become a circus clown?”—Carney’s expertise in financial crises has now positioned him as Canada’s leader during a tense economic standoff with the U.S.
  • International Influence: He has participated in G20 meetings alongside Trump and chaired the Financial Stability Board. Recalling a past encounter, he remarked, “Trump only respects power… Good luck with that” when discussing efforts to appease the former U.S. president.

Liberal Party Gathers Momentum for Snap Election

Following months of poor polling, Liberals now sense an opportunity for a political resurgence. Carney’s resounding victory—securing more votes than Trudeau did in 2013—has energized the party.

“There’s no sense that we should delay,” said David McGuinty, the federal public safety minister. “I’m really, really excited for what’s coming. And frankly, it’s time for an election.”

Although no official date has been set for the transfer of power from Trudeau to Carney, political insiders anticipate a swift transition, with an election announcement likely to follow shortly after.

As Canada braces for a new chapter under Carney’s leadership, the nation prepares for an intensified trade battle with the U.S., setting the stage for one of the most consequential political and economic showdowns in recent history.

Race to Replace Trudeau: Who Will Lead Canada’s Liberals?

The competition to succeed Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is in full swing. Leading candidates for the leadership of Trudeau’s ruling Liberal Party, including the globally recognized Chrystia Freeland and Mark Carney, are vying to steer Canada through pressing domestic and international challenges, such as escalating trade disputes with the United States.

After a tumultuous year marked by political crises, Trudeau announced in January that he would resign as Liberal leader once his successor was chosen, eventually stepping down as prime minister.

This Sunday, the Liberals will finally count the votes and declare their new leader, a decision that comes as Canada gears up for a general election later this year.

Why is Trudeau stepping down?

Trudeau has led the Liberal Party for more than a decade. He first brought the Liberals to power in 2015, promising “sunny ways” for Canada. Since then, he has been re-elected twice, most recently in 2021, though that victory cost him his governing majority.

During his tenure, he championed progressive causes, including tackling climate change and addressing historic injustices against Indigenous communities. However, economic dissatisfaction has increasingly overshadowed his leadership in recent years. His administration was further shaken when Freeland, who was serving as deputy prime minister and finance minister, unexpectedly resigned just hours before delivering her annual fiscal update.

Trudeau is stepping down as the Liberal Party faces a significant challenge in the upcoming general elections, expected by October. The party has been trailing in polls against the Conservatives, led by right-wing politician Pierre Poilievre. However, recent weeks have seen the gap narrow as Trudeau’s potential successors, such as Carney, take assertive stances on trade tensions with the United States.

Though Trudeau will relinquish his role as Liberal leader after Sunday’s vote, he has not specified a timeline for stepping down as prime minister. His successor will have the authority to request new federal elections at any time—whether within days, weeks, or months.

What role does the US play?

Relations between Canada and the United States have deteriorated under President Donald Trump. Over the past three months, Trump has blamed Canada for illegal immigration into the U.S., threatened to annex Canada as the U.S.’s 51st state, and imposed steep tariffs on Canadian imports. The White House justifies these tariffs as necessary to curb fentanyl smuggling into the U.S.

The heated rhetoric between Trump and Trudeau has stirred nationalist sentiments in Canada. At NHL and NBA games in the country, some Canadian fans have even taken to booing the U.S. national anthem.

These cross-border tensions may have provided an unexpected boost to the Liberal Party, as Conservative leader Poilievre—often compared to Trump—has sought to distance himself from the U.S. president. At a press conference on Tuesday, Poilievre emphasized, “I am not MAGA.”

“Canadian politics is being convulsed by the Trump government’s assertions about Canada’s future as he saw it, and secondly by the tariffs that were very puzzling to a lot of people given the depth of interdependence between the Canadian and American economies,” said Allan Tupper, a political science professor at the University of British Columbia.

Tupper added that Trudeau’s successor would need to be a skilled negotiator, particularly regarding tariffs. “It just may be a different kind of Canada to deal with. It’s going to be more assertive, more nationalistic, and more in charge of its destiny.”

Who are the leading candidates?

Mark Carney

One of the frontrunners in the race, Carney is a former governor of both the Bank of England and the Bank of Canada. His campaign has focused on clean energy, climate policies, and fostering economic growth.

Carney has emphasized his role in helping Canada manage its debt during the 2008 financial crisis and in navigating the British economy through Brexit. He has also advocated leveraging Canada’s natural resources to drive prosperity while positioning the country as a leader in clean energy.

Experts suggest Carney enjoys significant support from Liberal lawmakers and members of Trudeau’s cabinet. His financial expertise makes him a compelling candidate at a time when economic concerns are at the forefront.

“He’s very competent in economics, so with these tariffs, this economic war, a lot of people are supporting him,” said Charles-Etienne Beaudy, a political science professor at the University of Ottawa and author of Radio Trump: How he won the first time.

Carney has not shied away from addressing tensions with the Trump administration. Speaking to CNN in February, he stated, “Despite being insulted on multiple occasions by senior members of the administration, we are not going to reciprocate in those insults.”

Following the announcement of U.S. tariffs last month, Carney has strongly advocated for dollar-for-dollar retaliatory tariffs that would hurt the U.S. while minimizing the impact on Canada.

Chrystia Freeland

Freeland, a former journalist and another leading contender in the race, was one of Trudeau’s most high-profile cabinet ministers before her resignation.

Born to a Ukrainian mother in Alberta, Freeland studied at Harvard University and later worked as a journalist covering Russia and Ukraine. Entering politics in 2013, she quickly rose through the ranks of the Liberal Party, securing key cabinet positions under Trudeau.

She has prior experience negotiating with Trump on trade. As Canada’s foreign minister in 2018, she played a crucial role in renegotiating the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) with the U.S. and Mexico—a deal that Trump has expressed interest in revisiting. She also clashed with the U.S. administration when it imposed tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum imports.

Trump has personally targeted Freeland, calling her “totally toxic and not at all conducive to making deals.”

Her resignation in December signaled the beginning of Trudeau’s political decline.

On the campaign trail, Freeland has indicated support for a stricter immigration stance and has backed targeted retaliatory tariffs against the U.S.

Karina Gould

Gould, the youngest woman to ever serve as a Canadian minister, has branded herself as a candidate representing a generational shift in leadership. Launching her campaign in January, she stated that the Liberal Party “needs to embrace this shift too.”

Gould has proposed increasing corporate taxes on large businesses earning over $500 million annually. She argues that this policy would incentivize corporations to reinvest in productivity and business development, or else face higher taxes.

Her top priority, if elected, is resolving Canada’s trade dispute with the U.S. before calling for a general election. Like her competitors, she has taken a tough stance against Trump.

Frank Baylis

A businessman from Montreal, Baylis previously served as a lawmaker from 2015 to 2019. In February, he proposed constructing two pipelines to transport natural gas to Europe and Asia, reducing Canada’s economic reliance on the United States.

Baylis has warned against Canada’s heavy dependence on a single trading partner. He has also criticized Trudeau’s handling of Trump, arguing that Canadian leaders made missteps, including traveling to Mar-a-Lago to meet the U.S. president.

“Anybody that’s ever dealt with a bully successfully knows that you don’t give an inch,” Baylis told The Canadian Press last month.

As Canada prepares for new leadership, the next Liberal prime minister will face significant challenges—both at home and abroad. With the U.S. relationship in flux and economic uncertainty looming, the outcome of Sunday’s vote could shape the country’s trajectory for years to come.

Trump Temporarily Eases Tariffs on Canada and Mexico Amid Market Turmoil

U.S. President Donald Trump announced a temporary suspension of steep tariffs on Canada and Mexico on Thursday, March 6, 2025, offering a brief reprieve for businesses and consumers following strong backlash from global markets.

The decision came after the implementation of tariffs of up to 25% on imports from the two neighboring countries on Tuesday, March 4, 2025. The move had caused stock markets to drop significantly, with economists cautioning that such broad tariffs could slow U.S. economic growth and contribute to rising inflation in the near term.

Although the Republican president rejected claims that his trade policies were responsible for market instability, he opted to temporarily pause the tariffs on trade with Canada and Mexico that falls under a regional agreement.

Additionally, Mr. Trump reduced the newly imposed 25% tariff on Canadian potash, a crucial component in fertilizer. U.S. officials noted that their country does not produce large amounts of this resource, making the import levy particularly impactful.

The suspension of these tariffs, which will remain in effect until April 2, follows a similar move a day earlier when the White House announced temporary relief for automakers.

“These changes make conditions much more favorable for our American car manufacturers,” Mr. Trump said on Thursday, March 6, 2025.

However, he emphasized that significant updates would be announced on April 2, when he is expected to introduce “reciprocal tariffs” aimed at addressing what Washington perceives as unfair trade practices. He made it clear that Canadian and Mexican goods could still be subject to new levies after that date.

At the same time, Mr. Trump confirmed that tariffs on steel and aluminum, set to take effect next week, would remain unchanged.

‘Good’ Relationship With Mexico

Explaining the temporary relief for some Mexican imports, Mr. Trump stated on Truth Social that he made the decision “as an accommodation, and out of respect for” Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum. He added, “Our relationship has been a very good one.”

His remarks about Mexico stood in stark contrast to his tense relations with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.

On Thursday, March 6, 2025, Mr. Trudeau acknowledged that some industries might receive temporary exemptions but maintained that Canada would remain in a trade conflict with the U.S. for the foreseeable future.

“Our goal remains to get these tariffs, all tariffs removed,” Mr. Trudeau asserted.

‘Economic Reality’

Scott Lincicome, vice president of general economics at the Cato Institute, described Mr. Trump’s decision to ease tariffs on Mexico as “a recognition of economic reality.”

He explained that the move demonstrated an understanding of how tariffs disrupt supply chains, place financial burdens on consumers, and create uncertainty that markets dislike. “The market doesn’t like them and certainly doesn’t like the uncertainty surrounding them,” Mr. Lincicome told AFP.

Since beginning his second term in January, Mr. Trump has frequently threatened tariffs against both allies and adversaries.

He has defended tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China as necessary measures to curb illegal immigration and combat the trafficking of fentanyl, a powerful synthetic opioid.

However, official data from both Canadian and U.S. government sources indicate that Canada contributes less than 1% of the fentanyl in the illicit U.S. supply. Furthermore, Canada is not a major source of illegal immigration, particularly in comparison to migration across the southern border with Mexico.

Meanwhile, China has rejected U.S. accusations regarding its role in fentanyl trafficking, asserting that the issue is a domestic matter for the U.S. and that tariffs will not address it.

Inflation and Trade Deficit Concerns

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent dismissed concerns on Thursday, March 6, 2025, that Mr. Trump’s tariffs would drive up inflation, stating that any effect on prices would likely be temporary.

Mr. Trump has consistently portrayed tariffs as a tool for generating government revenue and correcting trade imbalances.

New government data released on Thursday, March 6, 2025, showed that the U.S. trade deficit had reached an all-time high in January.

The Commerce Department reported that the overall trade deficit of the world’s largest economy surged by 34% to $131.4 billion, driven by a sharp increase in imports.

Analysts suggested that a significant portion of the rise in the trade deficit was due to increased gold imports. However, data also indicated that many businesses had boosted their imports in anticipation of potential new tariffs.

Arab Leaders Approve $53 Billion Gaza Reconstruction Plan in Response to Trump’s Proposal

A $53 billion (£41.4 billion) reconstruction initiative, seen as a counter to former U.S. President Donald Trump’s idea of “taking over Gaza” and relocating over two million Palestinians, has been endorsed by Arab leaders at an emergency summit held in Cairo, Egypt.

“The Egypt plan is now an Arab plan,” declared Ahmed Aboul Gheit, secretary general of the Arab League, following the prolonged meeting.

Without directly mentioning Trump’s proposal, Aboul Gheit emphasized the unified Arab stance against any form of Palestinian displacement, whether voluntary or forced.

Egypt developed a comprehensive blueprint, encapsulated in a 91-page glossy document filled with images depicting green neighborhoods and grand public structures, aiming to provide an alternative to a U.S.-led scheme dubbed the “Middle East Riviera,” which had sparked widespread alarm across the Arab world and beyond.

The new plan extends beyond real estate development, focusing on political solutions and the rights of Palestinians.

Egyptian President Abdul Fattah al-Sisi, in his opening speech, urged for a simultaneous political process alongside the reconstruction effort, advocating for a two-state solution—a Palestinian state coexisting with Israel. This framework is widely recognized by Arab nations and much of the international community as the only viable resolution to the conflict, yet it remains firmly opposed by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his allies.

Under this new proposal, Gaza would temporarily be administered by a “Gaza management committee under the umbrella of the Palestinian government,” composed of skilled technocrats.

The document does not clarify what role, if any, Hamas would have in this administration. It only briefly alludes to militant groups as an “obstacle” and suggests that their presence would be addressed if the fundamental causes of the conflict with Israel were resolved.

Opinions among Arab states vary regarding Hamas’ future; some call for its complete dissolution, while others believe that decision should be left to the Palestinian people. Reports suggest that Hamas has acknowledged it will not participate in governing Gaza but remains adamant that it will not disarm.

Netanyahu, who has called Trump’s plan “visionary,” has ruled out any future governance by both Hamas and the Palestinian Authority.

The critical issue of security is addressed by calling for the deployment of international peacekeepers under the United Nations Security Council.

A large-scale international conference is scheduled for next month to secure the necessary funds for the ambitious reconstruction effort.

Wealthy Gulf nations have signaled a willingness to contribute to the massive financial requirement. However, potential donors remain hesitant, unwilling to invest unless assured that their contributions will not be obliterated in another conflict.

The fragility of the current ceasefire, now appearing to be at risk of collapse, only heightens this uncertainty.

The Arab reconstruction plan outlines a three-phase process, beginning with an initial six-month “early recovery stage” focused on clearing the extensive debris and unexploded ordnance. The following two phases are expected to span several years.

During the early stage, approximately 1.5 million displaced Palestinians would be housed in temporary container units. The proposal’s accompanying images showcase these units as well-constructed homes surrounded by landscaped environments.

Trump continues to question, “Why wouldn’t they want to move?” His characterization of Gaza as a “demolition site” underscores the devastation in the territory, with the United Nations estimating that 90% of homes are either damaged or destroyed.

Essential services such as schools, hospitals, sewage infrastructure, and electricity grids have been almost entirely obliterated.

Trump further stirred controversy by posting an AI-generated video on his Truth Social account, depicting a gleaming, luxurious vision of Gaza. The video featured a golden statue of himself, Elon Musk snacking on a beach, and shirtless images of Trump and Netanyahu basking in the sun—all set to a catchy tune proclaiming, “Trump Gaza is finally here.”

“They had President Trump in mind,” observed a Western diplomat who attended a briefing on Egypt’s plan at the foreign ministry in Cairo. “It’s very glossy and very well-prepared.”

Egypt’s proposal reportedly draws from a broad array of expertise, incorporating insights from World Bank specialists on sustainability and Dubai developers on hospitality.

Additionally, the blueprint reflects lessons learned from the rebuilding of cities devastated by war, including Hiroshima, Beirut, and Berlin. Egypt’s own experience in constructing its ambitious “New Cairo” project, a costly new administrative capital emerging from the desert, has also played a role in shaping the design.

Trump has stated that he will not “force” his vision on anyone but insists that his plan is “the one that really works.”

Now, it is up to Arab states and their allies to demonstrate that their proposal is the definitive solution.

UN Faces Existential Threat as Trump Administration Pushes for Drastic Funding Cuts

The United Nations, an institution that has endured for nearly eight decades, now faces an existential crisis as the Trump administration continues its threats to significantly cut funding and withdraw from various UN agencies that primarily offer humanitarian aid worldwide.

Tech billionaire Elon Musk, who wields considerable influence over President Trump, has advocated for the U.S. to leave both the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and the United Nations. Responding to a right-wing political commentator’s post suggesting, “It’s time” for the U.S. to exit NATO and the UN, Musk simply wrote, “I agree.”

Widely described as Trump’s most powerful advisor, Musk has aggressively targeted the U.S. federal bureaucracy in his role as the head of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). This has raised concerns about whether the UN will be his next target.

The threat to the UN has gained momentum with a group of Republican lawmakers recently introducing a bill calling for the U.S. to withdraw from the organization. They argue that the UN does not align with Trump’s “America First” agenda.

Kul Chandra Gautam, a former UN assistant secretary-general and former Deputy Executive Director of UNICEF, told IPS that if any proof was needed of the Trump-Musk administration’s “mean & malevolent intentions,” this is it.

As part of its cost-cutting measures, the U.S. has decided to terminate funding for several critical global programs, including those targeting polio, HIV/AIDS, malaria, and nutrition. Many of these initiatives have been implemented by reputable international non-governmental organizations (INGOs), UN agencies, governments, and private contractors known for their efficiency and success. Previously, the State Department had deemed these programs essential and granted them waivers to continue receiving funding.

“Here is a case of throwing the baby with the bathwater—millions of children and women cruelly condemned to become sick, malnourished, and dying to satisfy the ego and hubris of the world’s richest man and a would-be Master of the Universe,” Gautam said.

He further noted that this move shattered the illusion of a “waiver” for essential and lifesaving projects, exposing the lack of credibility in Trump and Senator Marco Rubio’s assurances that crucial humanitarian efforts would be protected.

UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres addressed the crisis in a press briefing last week, expressing deep concern.

“I want to start by expressing my deep concern about information received in the last 48 hours by UN agencies—as well as many humanitarian and development NGOs—regarding severe cuts in funding by the United States. These cuts impact a wide range of critical programs,” Guterres said.

He highlighted the far-reaching consequences of the funding reductions, affecting areas ranging from lifesaving humanitarian aid to support for communities recovering from war or natural disasters, as well as development efforts, counterterrorism initiatives, and the fight against illicit drug trafficking.

“The consequences will be especially devastating for vulnerable people around the world,” he warned.

Andreas Bummel, executive director of Democracy Without Borders, told IPS that while calls for a U.S. withdrawal from the UN have periodically emerged from the Republican Party, Trump’s position remains uncertain.

“While it seems unlikely, it cannot be ruled out that Trump will support this at some point or at least use the scenario to build up diplomatic pressure,” Bummel said.

He pointed out that the U.S. stands to lose more than it gains from such a move. However, Trump’s decisions are not always rational or aligned with America’s best interests. “Certainly, it can be expected that the U.S. first will reduce or threaten to reduce its UN contributions,” he added.

Currently, the U.S. provides 22 percent of the UN’s budget through assessed contributions. The organization’s 2024 regular and peacekeeping budget stands at $3.59 billion.

When asked whether the U.S. can unilaterally cut its contributions, Ambassador Anwarul K. Chowdhury of Bangladesh, a former UN Under-Secretary-General and High Representative, explained that it cannot.

“No, the U.S. cannot do that unilaterally,” Chowdhury told IPS. He clarified that changes in contributions are negotiated in the Committee on Contributions and must be approved by the Fifth Committee, typically by consensus, before being confirmed by the UN General Assembly.

He pointed out that U.S. Ambassador Richard Holbrooke played a crucial role in 2000-2001 in securing an agreement to lower the U.S. contribution from 25% to 22%, which required negotiations with all member states.

Because UN contributions must total 100%, any reduction by one country must be offset by increases from others. However, if the U.S. withdraws from a UN entity, it would no longer be obligated to pay.

“In cases of pending contributions, negotiations would follow,” Chowdhury said. He recalled that in the past, the U.S. has used tactics such as delaying full payments or making partial contributions to exert financial pressure on the UN.

In 2000, Ambassador Holbrooke convinced Senator Jesse Helms, chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, to agree to clear U.S. arrears to the UN in exchange for a reduction in the country’s contribution rate.

When asked how much money the UN stands to lose and which programs would be affected, UN Spokesperson Stephane Dujarric told reporters on February 28 that the situation remains chaotic.

“We have been informed, and this started a while back but intensified over the last few days, that various agencies have gotten letters. We don’t have a ballpark figure, because this has been done in a bit of a… frankly, in a chaotic way,” Dujarric said.

He provided specific examples of the impact, stating that the UN Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC) has had approximately 50 projects terminated. The agency’s Mexico office, which works to curb fentanyl trafficking, may have to shut down, affecting programs in Central America and the Darien Gap that focus on combating human trafficking.

“The IOM’s (International Organization for Migration) programs in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) have basically shut down. Their programs in Haiti are at risk. And our FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization) colleagues received 27 termination letters, and the list goes on,” he said.

Guterres has been in contact with the heads of major humanitarian and development agencies to discuss the situation and assess the scale of the crisis. However, Dujarric described the overall outlook as grim.

Agencies are attempting to reach out to their U.S. government counterparts for clarification, but those efforts have yielded little engagement.

“So, we’re continuing to try to seek some clarity. But I can tell you that for our side, our priority and our focus and our determination remain on doing everything we can to continue to provide life-saving aid to those who urgently need it,” Dujarric stated.

He emphasized that the U.S. has been a critical and founding member of the UN for decades, with American generosity helping to lift millions out of poverty, eradicate diseases, and promote global stability.

“The generosity of the American people has helped to lift millions out of poverty, has helped to eradicate diseases, has frankly helped to build a more prosperous and safer world for which Americans benefit and the whole world benefits. We have tried at a fairly senior level to engage, especially on this issue, but I can’t say we’ve detected much interest in engaging on this issue,” he noted.

When asked whether the UN is considering cost-cutting measures as a contingency plan, Dujarric acknowledged that the organization is exploring ways to diversify funding sources and increase efficiency.

“Our colleague, Tom Fletcher, the Coordinator of Humanitarian Affairs, who chairs what we call the Interagency Committee—which brings together UN agencies and NGOs—his message has also been clear, which is that we have to figure out how we can save money,” Dujarric said.

He added that efforts are underway to eliminate inefficiencies, overlaps, and bureaucratic turf wars, recognizing that any organization can find ways to work more effectively.

Trump Imposes Sweeping Tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China Amid Economic Concerns

President Donald Trump implemented broad tariffs at midnight on imports from Canada and Mexico while also increasing duties on Chinese goods. In response, Mexico’s president announced retaliatory tariffs set to take effect on Sunday.

The new tariffs impose a 25% duty on imports from Canada and Mexico. Additionally, Trump raised tariffs on Chinese imports, doubling the existing 10% duty imposed in February. Economists have cautioned that such aggressive trade policies could have global repercussions, including inflation that could negatively impact consumers.

Following Trump’s announcement on Monday, the stock market experienced a sharp downturn. The S&P 500 declined by 1.8%, marking its worst performance since December and pushing it into negative territory for the year. On Tuesday, stocks remained under pressure, with the Nasdaq Composite nearing correction territory.

Bernstein analysts predict the auto sector will be particularly hard hit by the tariffs. The firm referred to the policy as “the return of the tariff man,” estimating that it could create a $110 million daily burden for the industry.

“If trade flows remain unchanged, we project an annual impact of up to $40 billion on the U.S. automotive sector,” wrote analyst Daniel Roeska. “However, proactive strategies—such as building up inventory, reallocating production, and reducing imports from Mexico—could mitigate the overall burden. In the initial weeks, the industry may manage to keep additional costs minimal, but prolonged tariffs will increase risks significantly.”

He further warned that in the long run, tariffs could slash free cash flow for the automotive industry by up to 60%.

New England Governors Raise Concerns Over Higher Energy Costs

Governors from New England voiced concerns that Trump’s 10% tariff on energy imports from Canada could drive up gasoline and home heating prices.

Massachusetts Governor Maura Healey stated on Monday that the tariffs would cause energy costs to “skyrocket,” estimating an annual cost of $370 million for Massachusetts and $1 billion for the entire New England region.

Maine Governor Janet Mills emphasized that her state’s economy is “deeply intertwined” with Canada, adding that Maine depends more on Canadian home heating oil than any other state. More than 80% of its gasoline and heating oil is imported from Canada.

Trump’s energy tariffs target a wide range of imports, including crude oil, natural gas, refined products, uranium, coal, biofuels, geothermal energy, hydroelectric power, and critical minerals.

Trump Falsely Claims U.S. Banks Are Barred from Canada

On Tuesday, Trump inaccurately stated that American banks are prohibited from operating in Canada, following the imposition of a 25% tariff on Canadian imports.

“Canada doesn’t allow American Banks to do business in Canada, but their banks flood the American Market. Oh, that seems fair to me, doesn’t it?” he posted on Truth Social.

However, despite Canada’s highly regulated banking sector, American banks are permitted to operate within the country.

Trump Encourages Companies to Shift Manufacturing to the U.S.

Trump reiterated that businesses manufacturing in the U.S. would avoid tariffs.

“IF COMPANIES MOVE TO THE UNITED STATES, THERE ARE NO TARIFFS!!!” he stated in a social media post on Tuesday.

Best Buy CEO Warns of Consumer Price Increases

Best Buy CEO Corie Barry cautioned that tariffs are “highly likely” to result in higher consumer prices.

“Trade is critically important to our business and industry; the consumer electronic supply chain is highly global, technical, and complex,” Barry said. “We expect our vendors across our entire assortment will pass along some level of tariff costs to retailers, making price increases for American consumers highly likely.”

Barry revealed that 60% of Best Buy’s product costs originate from China, while Mexico is the company’s second-largest importer.

Mexico Vows to Defend Its Sovereignty

Mexico’s President Claudia Sheinbaum announced plans to counter Trump’s tariffs on Sunday. However, she made extensive remarks about the situation on Tuesday, as translated by CNBC.

“No one wins with this decision. On the contrary, it affects the people we represent,” Sheinbaum stated.

She emphasized the importance of U.S.-Mexico economic integration, saying, “We should be integrating our economies to strengthen the region amid the economic and commercial growth of other regions.”

Sheinbaum also insisted that diplomatic discussions should continue. “We will keep the dialog going to find solutions with arguments and rationality.”

“I reiterate: It’s time to defend Mexico and its sovereignty,” she concluded.

Commerce Secretary: Tariffs Aimed at Stopping Drug Flow

Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnickstated that the tariffs imposed on Canada and Mexico were not part of a broader trade war but were intended to curb the influx of fentanyl into the U.S.

“The current tariff policy is a drug-related policy. There’s opioids pouring into this country. They’re killing about 75,000 autopsied Americans a year,” Lutnick said in an interview on CNBC’s Squawk Box.

He pointed fingers at China and North American trade partners, saying, “China makes the opioid products, and then Mexico and Canada feed them into America, and that’s got to end. They’ve done a nice job on the border, but they haven’t stopped the flow of fentanyl.”

Lutnick suggested that the tariffs could be lifted if significant progress is made in stopping drug trafficking.

“If they can stop the flow of fentanyl, and they can prove to the president they can stop the flow of fentanyl, then of course the president can remove these tariffs,” he stated.

He also differentiated the current tariffs from those set to take effect on April 2, which he described as a “reset” of trade policy focused on regulating the flow of goods and services. Lutnick acknowledged that consumers may experience short-term price increases but assured that the long-term impact would be different.

Oil Prices Decline Amid Tariff Uncertainty

Oil prices dropped on Tuesday morning as Trump’s tariffs on Canada and Mexico coincided with increased supply from OPEC+, dampening the crude oil outlook.

By 9:20 a.m. ET, U.S. crude oil had declined by 70 cents (1.02%) to $67.67 per barrel, while Brent crude was down $1.02 (1.42%) at $70.60 per barrel.

Trump’s tariffs include a 10% duty on energy imports from Canada, a move that could disrupt crude flows in North America. Many U.S. refiners, especially those in the Midwest, rely heavily on heavy crude imports from Canada.

While the energy tariffs are expected to disrupt supply chains, the broader 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico—America’s two largest trading partners—could slow economic growth and reduce oil demand.

Shares of refiners Marathon Petroleum, Phillips 66, and Valero fell in premarket trading following the tariff announcement.

Meanwhile, OPEC+ confirmed on Monday that it will gradually return 2.2 million barrels per day to the market starting in April, further affecting supply-and-demand balances.

Target CEO Warns of Produce Price Hikes

Target CEO Brian Cornell cautioned that the 25% tariffs on Mexican imports could result in higher prices for produce as soon as this week.

During an interview on CNBC’s Squawk Box, Cornell explained that Target relies heavily on Mexican imports for certain fruits and vegetables during winter months.

“Those are categories where we’ll try to protect pricing, but the consumer will likely see price increases over the next couple of days,” Cornell said.

He identified strawberries, avocados, and bananas as key products that could be affected.

“We’re going to try and make sure we can do everything we can to protect pricing, but if there’s a 25% tariff, those prices will go up,” he added.

Europe Seeks United Front on Ukraine as Starmer Calls for Action

The West faces a “crossroads in history,” British Prime Minister Keir Starmer declared at a crucial summit in London on Sunday. The gathering aimed to shift control of negotiations over the Russia-Ukraine war away from the United States and establish a unified European approach, particularly as tensions between Kyiv and Washington reached a breaking point.

“This is not a moment for more talk. It’s time to act,” Starmer emphasized after an intense day of diplomacy in London, where European leaders worked to pave the way for a ceasefire in Ukraine.

The urgency of the meeting, held at Lancaster House, escalated after U.S. President Donald Trump criticized Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in the Oval Office. The encounter alarmed Western allies while seemingly benefiting Moscow. Zelensky and numerous European leaders attended the summit, a critical moment given the heightened anxieties surrounding the conflict.

Starmer revealed that he was collaborating with France and a select group of nations to develop a proposal to halt the hostilities, which would then be presented to the United States.

French President Emmanuel Macron outlined the framework of this initiative in an interview with Le Figaro, stating that France and the UK had suggested a one-month limited ceasefire in Ukraine.

The initial phase of this Franco-British alternative peace plan would enforce a temporary truce covering air, sea, and energy infrastructures, Macron explained to the French publication. The next stage, he added, would address ground forces. CNN sought comments from Downing Street regarding the proposal.

This initiative appears to rival the negotiation process Trump’s administration launched with Russia the previous month. It also acknowledges the possibility that direct negotiations between Trump and Zelensky could reignite tensions rather than resolve them.

Nevertheless, securing American backing remains essential. During a Sunday press conference, Starmer reinforced this notion, stressing that the U.S. was “not an unreliable ally.” His reassurance came after Trump’s heated dispute with Zelensky deeply unsettled European leaders.

Sunday’s summit aimed to reignite momentum in peace efforts that had been making progress throughout the week, only to collapse after Friday’s confrontation. The meeting underscored European unity, as multiple leaders pushed back against the perception that the continent was merely a spectator in the ongoing negotiations.

“In the end, a deal will have to involve Russia, of course it will, but we can’t approach this on the basis that Russia dictates the terms of any security guarantee before we’ve even got to a deal – otherwise, we won’t make any progress at all,” Starmer asserted.

The UK and France have been working to assemble a “coalition of the willing” that would deploy to Ukraine once an agreement is secured. “If a deal is done, it has to be a deal that is then defended,” Starmer said.

Zelensky commended the summit on social media platform X, stating, “Europe’s unity is at an exceptionally high level, one that has not been seen in a long time.” Separately, he asserted that any potential peace agreement should begin with a prisoner exchange “and the return of children.” This step, he argued, would “demonstrate Russia’s true intention for peace.”

Macron highlighted the advantages of the Franco-British ceasefire proposal, noting its straightforward monitoring process. “We know how to measure it,” he stated. “In the event of a ceasefire, it would be very difficult to verify that the front is respected.”

Macron, who Le Figaro reported had spoken with Trump on Friday, clarified that “no European troops” would be deployed to Ukraine “in the coming weeks.” The French newspaper also reported that Macron remained skeptical about any ceasefire agreement negotiated solely between the U.S. and Russia, arguing that he was “convinced that Vladimir Putin will seek to humiliate Ukraine.”

When asked whether he was aware of the proposal, Zelensky responded that he was “aware of everything” but did not explicitly state whether he supported the ceasefire plan.

‘Nobody Wants to See That’

Zelensky received a warm reception from Starmer on Saturday, a stark contrast to the tense welcome he experienced at the White House. Additionally, King Charles met with the Ukrainian leader at his Sandringham estate on Sunday.

The earlier confrontation between Trump, Vice President J.D. Vance, and Zelensky, where they accused him of being ungrateful for American military aid and of risking “World War III” by resisting Russia’s invasion, cast a shadow over the weekend’s diplomatic efforts.

The episode encapsulated Europe’s worst fears. “Nobody wants to see that,” Starmer remarked to the BBC on Sunday. He disclosed that he immediately began reaching out to leaders after witnessing the heated exchange, adding, “My driving purpose has been to bridge this.”

Zelensky returned to Kyiv with more than just diplomatic assurances. On Saturday, Britain announced a plan to expedite$2.8 billion in loans to Ukraine. According to the UK government, the first installment of the funding would be released the following week.

In a Telegram post on Saturday, Zelensky stated, “The money will go toward the production of weapons in Ukraine. This is the fair way: the one who started the war should pay.” He further noted that “the loan will strengthen our defense capabilities.”

On Sunday, Starmer introduced another agreement permitting Ukraine to use £1.6 billion ($2 billion) in UK export finance to procure more than 5,000 advanced air defense missiles, which would be manufactured in Belfast.

‘A Once-in-a-Generation Moment’

“We gather here today because this is a once-in-a-generation moment for the security of Europe, and we all need to step up,” Starmer declared at the summit’s opening.

Downing Street outlined three primary objectives for the meeting: addressing Ukraine’s immediate requirements, securing a “lasting deal” to end the conflict, and formulating robust security guarantees.

“I hope you know that we are all with you and the people of Ukraine for as long as it takes, everyone around this table,” Starmer reassured Zelensky in his opening remarks.

The summit brought together key global figures, including French President Emmanuel Macron, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, and leaders from various European nations, along with representatives from the European Union and NATO.

Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni emphasized the need for unity during her discussion with Starmer on Sunday, stressing that it is “very, very important that we avoid the risk that the West divides” over Ukraine.

Both Starmer and Meloni are expected to play crucial roles in advancing the peace process. Their established relationships with Trump may prove instrumental in persuading him to take European proposals seriously.

Norway Faces Pressure to Boost Ukraine Aid Amid European Crisis

Europe finds itself in turmoil following a tense confrontation between former U.S. President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the White House. Reports indicate that the Trump administration is considering halting all military aid to Ukraine, raising concerns across European nations.

Norway, home to the world’s largest sovereign wealth fund valued at €1.7 trillion, has benefited from an estimated €109 billion in war-related profits due to surging gas prices in 2022 and 2023. Despite its vast financial resources, Norway has contributed only €3.35 billion to Ukraine’s war effort. This figure was strongly criticized by leading Swedish and Danish newspaper editors, who described the amount as “pathetic” and “reprehensible.” In comparison, Sweden and Denmark have donated €5.41 billion and €8.05 billion, respectively.

Liberal Party leader Guri Melby emphasized the need for increased contributions, stating on Saturday, “Norway is one of the few countries that has large amounts of money readily available, and we must therefore multiply our support for Ukraine immediately.”

Norway’s former Conservative Prime Minister, Erna Solberg, echoed the call for swift action. She urged a significant and rapid increase in aid, adding, “The government can safely assume there is will in Parliament to give more.”

In response to growing pressure, the Liberal Party and the Socialist Left Party have requested an emergency parliamentary session. However, Euractiv reports that they are now awaiting a formal proposal from the government before proceeding further.

Meanwhile, Sylvi Listhaug, leader of the conservative Progress Party—Norway’s second-largest party according to recent polls—proposed increasing defense spending to 3% of GDP by 2030. At present, Norway allocates approximately 2% of its GDP to defense.

The leader of the Green Party, which currently polls at 2.7%, took an even more ambitious stance, suggesting that Norway should commit €85.5 billion to support Ukraine.

A spokesperson from Norway’s foreign ministry defended the country’s contributions, asserting, “Norway is among the largest donors to Ukraine. We have so far committed at least NOK 167 billion (€14.7 billion) in support until 2030.” The spokesperson also emphasized the importance of long-term investments, noting that both Ukraine and NATO allies value the predictability of Norway’s assistance. “For 2025, based on a cross-party agreement in Norway’s parliament, we have so far pledged and allocated 35 billion NOK.”

Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre assured that additional support measures are forthcoming. “We will present a proposal to increase Ukraine support for parliament soon,” he said. Støre is also set to participate in a meeting of European leaders in London tomorrow.

Calls to Utilize Sovereign Wealth Fund

Since 2001, Norway has adhered to a fiscal rule limiting annual withdrawals from its sovereign wealth fund to 4%, later reduced to 3%. This policy was established under the leadership of Jens Stoltenberg’s first cabinet and has enjoyed broad political backing. Stoltenberg, who previously served as NATO’s Secretary General, now holds the position of Norway’s finance minister, coinciding with renewed scrutiny of the budget rule.

Amid escalating security concerns, discussions on using the sovereign wealth fund to bolster European defense and support Ukraine have gained traction in Norway. One proposal suggests reallocating approximately €300 billion of the fund’s €450 billion in liquid bonds into European defense bonds, with the stipulation that the funds be used exclusively to enhance Europe’s defense capabilities.

On Friday, Solberg reinforced the argument for increased spending, stating that Norway must leverage its oil wealth to strengthen its own defense. Some of her party’s high-ranking members had previously advocated for tighter regulations on how the fund’s money should be allocated. “Peace is more important than shortsightedness and inflation,” she asserted.

However, Stoltenberg cautioned against altering the budgetary framework, warning on February 7, “It is a dangerous idea to break the budgetary rule to give more money to Ukraine.”

Norway’s Expansive Financial Resources

Despite adhering to its fiscal guidelines, Norway remains in a strong financial position to expand its aid commitments.

Sveinung Rotevatn, deputy chair and financial policy lead for the Liberal Party, revealed that a proposal currently under discussion in Norway’s Parliament, the Storting, aims to increase Ukraine support by an additional 100 billion Norwegian kroner this year. If approved, this would elevate Norway’s financial assistance to Ukraine for 2025 from €3 billion to €11.5 billion.

Norway’s Foreign Ministry declined to specify further details on potential increases in aid, instead referring to Prime Minister Støre’s recent statement on the matter.

Rotevatn underscored the urgency of the situation, declaring, “It has become unequivocally clear that all of Europe must shift gears in our support and policy towards Ukraine and to ensure security in Europe.”

Minister of Foreign Affairs Espen Barth Eide reinforced this stance, asserting, “All other policies we pursue assume that we are a free and independent country and that we have a functioning international world order.”

As European nations grapple with the potential consequences of the U.S. withdrawing military support from Ukraine, Norway faces increasing pressure to step up its financial commitments. With vast sovereign wealth at its disposal, the question remains: Will Norway heed the calls for greater contributions, or will it continue to adhere to its longstanding fiscal restraints?

European Leaders Rally Behind Zelenskyy as Trans-Atlantic Ties Fray

Even before the dramatic Oval Office confrontation between President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, relations between the U.S. and Europe were growing increasingly strained.

Following Friday’s diplomatic breakdown between Trump, Zelenskyy, and Vice President JD Vance, the future of the trans-Atlantic alliance, which has endured for eight decades, appears uncertain.

In a striking rebuke to Trump, European leaders expressed their unwavering support for Zelenskyy. Trump had accused Zelenskyy of being “disrespectful” and “gambling with World War III” by continuing Ukraine’s resistance against Russia’s invasion.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen praised Zelenskyy’s resolve, posting on X, “Zelenskyy’s dignity honors the bravery of the Ukrainian people. Be strong, be brave, be fearless. You are never alone, dear President Zelenskyy. We will continue working with you for a just and lasting peace.”

Germany’s likely next leader, Friedrich Merz, reaffirmed his stance, emphasizing that “we must never confuse aggressor and victim in this terrible war.” French President Emmanuel Macron also voiced strong support, stressing the importance of respecting the Ukrainians “fighting for their dignity, their independence, for their children and for the security of Europe.”

Perhaps the most striking statement came from European Union foreign minister Kaja Kallas, who asserted, “Today it became clear that the free world needs a new leader. It’s up to us, Europeans, to take this challenge.”

However, not everyone sided against Trump. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban characterized the tense Oval Office meeting as “difficult” but commended Trump, saying he “stood bravely for peace.” Meanwhile, some observers argued that Zelenskyy escalated tensions unnecessarily by publicly challenging a far more powerful negotiating partner upon whom Ukraine heavily depends.

For Zelenskyy’s supporters, these European leaders’ strong backing reflects a belief that Ukraine’s struggle is not just a localized war but part of a broader hybrid conflict. They contend that Russia’s aggression extends beyond the battlefield, encompassing cyberattacks on Western democracies. They fear that granting Moscow a symbolic victory in Ukraine could embolden further expansionist moves. This concern is heightened by accusations that Trump is undermining the alliance by pressuring U.S. allies while fostering closer ties with Russian President Vladimir Putin, who is widely regarded in Europe as a war criminal.

This growing unease explains why U.S.-Europe relations were fraying even before the recent diplomatic debacle. Over the past several weeks, there have been increasing indications that European powers are seeking greater autonomy from their long-standing reliance on Washington.

Following his center-right Christian Democratic Union party’s victory in Germany’s elections, Merz signaled a shift in priorities. “My absolute priority will be to strengthen Europe as quickly as possible so that, step by step, we can really achieve independence from the U.S.,” he declared. He also questioned whether NATO’s upcoming June summit would maintain the alliance in its current form or require the rapid establishment of an independent European defense structure.

His remarks were particularly striking, given his traditionally pro-American stance. They suggested not only a willingness to boost defense spending—something Trump has long demanded—but also a desire for Europe to chart its own course. “I never thought I would have to say such a thing on a television program,” he admitted.

Yet, many questions remain about what this European military independence would entail. Would it require Europe to match U.S. defense spending within NATO? Leaders like Macron and British Prime Minister Keir Starmer have expressed no desire to reduce cooperation with Washington. Alternatively, would the U.S. gradually withdraw from its European commitments altogether?

Regardless of the approach, the challenges are immense. The U.S. military’s deep integration into Europe means that its removal would leave critical gaps in air defense, military satellites, and cyber capabilities. Sven Biscop, a director at the Brussels-based Egmont Institute, warned that such a shift would create “huge holes” in European security infrastructure.

Since World War II, the U.S. has provided military protection to Europe in exchange for influence across the continent. Unraveling this interdependence would require hundreds of billions of dollars—costs that would likely fall on European taxpayers already struggling with a cost-of-living crisis and cuts to public services.

Last year, the European Union’s collective defense budget stood at $457 billion, far below the U.S. defense budget of $968 billion. Even Russia’s military spending, at $462 billion, surpassed that of the EU, despite Russia’s smaller economy. Since its invasion of Ukraine three years ago, Moscow has refocused its entire economy on military production.

Achieving full European military deterrence without U.S. support would take a minimum of five years, according to Luigi Scazzieri, assistant director at the London-based Centre for European Reform. “You can probably get something that fills a large part of the gap in two to three years—but only with a lot of urgency,” he added.

Despite these logistical hurdles, Merz’s statements reflect an acknowledgment that trans-Atlantic relations are entering a new phase. Sophia Besch, a senior Europe fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, noted that the Trump administration “no longer acknowledges shared community of values, shared interests, and puts forward a very ‘great power competition’ view of the world, where Europe is a side player and Russia is an equal.”

Merz is not alone in his call for European self-reliance. Macron has long advocated for Europe to reduce its dependence on Washington. In response to Merz’s remarks, Macron declared, “We are experiencing a historic moment. It can lead to an unprecedented Franco-German agreement.”

Biscop believes that European leaders must act swiftly to organize this shift in defense strategy. He suggested forming a European “war Cabinet” to coordinate efforts, potentially including leaders such as Britain’s Starmer, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk, NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte, and the EU’s von der Leyen.

“They need agility and they need to move fast,” Biscop urged. “Even faster on Ukraine—because the Americans and Russians are already negotiating.”

As tensions between Washington and Europe continue to rise, the question remains whether Europe can truly break free from its historical reliance on U.S. military and economic support. For now, leaders across the continent appear determined to chart a new course—one that may redefine the future of the trans-Atlantic alliance.

Zelensky Urges Stronger U.S. Support After Heated Clash with Trump

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has called on the United States to “stand more firmly on our side” following what he described as a “tough dialogue” with former U.S. President Donald Trump.

Zelensky stated that Ukraine is prepared to finalize the U.S.-proposed minerals deal but stressed that Kyiv requires concrete security guarantees from Washington.

His remarks follow a heated exchange at the White House on Friday, during which Trump accused him of “gambling with World War Three.”

Meanwhile, the British government has confirmed that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will host Zelensky at Downing Street today. This meeting comes ahead of an important summit with European leaders set for Sunday.

How U.S. Media Outlets Are Reacting

American media outlets are actively covering the fallout from last night’s public diplomatic standoff between Zelensky and Trump.

Fox News ran the headline “‘World War III’ fears,” previewing an interview with Zelensky conducted by host Bret Baier. In the interview, Baier questioned whether Zelensky believed the relationship with Trump could be salvaged after the confrontation.

Bloomberg’s front page carried the headline: “President Zelensky’s blow-up with Trump leaves allies facing disaster.”

The Washington Post reported that the “fiery meeting” in the Oval Office had “upended Trump’s Russia-Ukraine peace deal.” Meanwhile, CNN focused on the global implications, running the headline: “Western leaders scramble to back Ukraine.”

MSNBC’s Anthony L. Fisher characterized the encounter as a disgraceful moment for the United States, writing, “Trump’s Oval Office meeting with Zelensky was a shameful moment for America.”

The New York Times framed the incident as emblematic of a broader shift in U.S. foreign policy, stating that the meeting “points to Trump’s foreign policy revolution.”

Ukrainian Reactions: ‘Trump Looks Like a Partner for Russia’

The reaction in Ukraine has been swift, particularly from residents in Lviv, located in the western part of the country.

One local commented that Trump does not seem to be aligned with Ukraine’s interests, saying, “He looks like a partner for Russia.”

Another citizen expressed the need for greater European involvement, stating, “Europe should be much more active economically and in terms of military support.”

A third resident noted that he had low expectations ahead of Zelensky’s trip to Washington, suggesting that the recent developments have only reinforced doubts about U.S. commitment.

Observers have pointed out that the once-solid alliance between Ukraine and the U.S. appears to be fracturing, forcing European nations to step in and fill the gaps, particularly in terms of military aid.

The White House meeting itself has drawn mixed interpretations—some viewing it as a moment of necessary bluntness, while others see it as a display of arrogance.

Senator JD Vance’s involvement in the confrontation also stood out. Typically, vice presidents play a more restrained role in high-level diplomatic meetings, but Vance’s aggressive approach surprised many.

Zelensky, appearing visibly frustrated, engaged in the verbal sparring, escalating tensions further. “I’ve never seen anything like last night’s argument in the White House before,” an observer remarked. Some speculate that the confrontation was orchestrated to provoke the Ukrainian leader.

Moscow Watches as U.S.-Ukraine Tensions Rise

The Kremlin has taken a cautious approach in responding to the fallout from the White House meeting. Russian President Vladimir Putin has not commented on the situation, though analysts believe the confrontation played into Moscow’s hands.

During a meeting with Russian security officials, Putin acknowledged that Trump’s stance on Russia offers some “hope” but refrained from making any predictions about whether improved relations with Washington could influence the war in Ukraine.

Despite increased diplomatic engagement between Moscow and the White House, no concrete agreements have emerged, and there is no scheduled meeting between Trump and Putin.

For Russia, the optics of Trump and Vance confronting Zelensky serve as an unexpected strategic advantage. Nevertheless, while rhetoric may be shifting, the war in Ukraine persists, and fears over U.S. aid reductions have yet to materialize.

Putin appears to be treading carefully, ensuring that his comments do not alienate the Trump administration while also maintaining Russia’s longstanding adversarial stance toward the U.S.

A Devastating Visit for Ukraine

Regardless of whether Zelensky was intentionally provoked or should have handled the situation with greater diplomacy, the visit to Washington proved to be disastrous for Ukraine.

Many Ukrainians watching from Kyiv perceived the encounter as a moment of existential importance for their nation.

Yulia, a Kyiv resident, defended Zelensky’s approach, saying, “It was an emotional conversation, but I understand our president. Maybe it wasn’t diplomatic, but it was sincere. It’s about life, we want to live.”

Andriy, a 30-year-old local, criticized Trump and Vance’s conduct. “They were so rude,” he said. “They don’t respect the people of Ukraine.”

Dmytro, 26, voiced concerns that U.S. policy might be shifting in Russia’s favor. “It looks like Washington supports Russia,” he observed.

Inna Sovsun, a Ukrainian member of parliament, described the reaction in Kyiv as one of “shock.”

“It was difficult to watch a president who’s been a victim of Russian aggression being attacked by the leader of the free world,” she said. “It’s painful.”

Moscow Declares Zelensky’s Trip a Failure

Russia has wasted no time in labeling Zelensky’s visit to Washington as a diplomatic disaster.

Maria Zakharova, the Kremlin’s foreign ministry spokeswoman, claimed the Ukrainian leader was “obsessed” with prolonging the war. She reiterated Moscow’s goals of “demilitarizing” Ukraine and permanently annexing occupied territories.

Zakharova also accused Zelensky of being a reckless instigator of global conflict. “With his outrageously rude behavior during his stay in Washington, Zelensky confirmed that he is the most dangerous threat to the world community as an irresponsible instigator of a major war,” she said.

She added that Kyiv and certain European capitals must recognize this reality if there is to be any hope for a peaceful resolution to the crisis.

Meanwhile, Putin remains silent on the Oval Office incident. While world leaders have weighed in, the Russian president has opted to observe developments from the sidelines.

However, former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev did not hold back. Writing on social media, Medvedev said Zelensky had been “slapped down in the Oval Office” and urged Washington to halt military assistance to Ukraine.

Zelensky Calls for U.S. Support as the War Continues

Zelensky has reiterated his plea for stronger U.S. backing, emphasizing that Ukraine needs more than just diplomatic assurances.

Posting on X, he reaffirmed his willingness to sign a minerals deal with Trump but underscored the necessity of clear security commitments from Washington.

His remarks come in the wake of the contentious Oval Office meeting, where he faced sharp criticism from Trump and Vice President JD Vance.

Trump has since characterized the encounter as a misstep for Zelensky, asserting that the Ukrainian leader “overplayed his hand with a weak set of cards.”

Following his Washington visit, Zelensky has arrived in London, where he is set to meet Prime Minister Keir Starmer. Later, he will attend a European summit where Ukraine’s security and military aid will be key discussion points.

Meanwhile, the war rages on in Ukraine. The city of Kharkiv has suffered further casualties following a Russian drone attack, highlighting the ongoing devastation despite the political drama unfolding on the world stage.

European Leaders Rally Behind Zelensky After White House Clash with Trump

European leaders have expressed strong support for Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky following his tense encounter with former U.S. President Donald Trump at the White House.

Leaders from Germany, France, Spain, Poland, and the Netherlands took to social media to reaffirm their backing for Ukraine. Zelensky responded to each message, personally thanking them for their solidarity.

Zelensky has since traveled to London for a summit hosted by UK Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer, whose government has emphasized its unwavering commitment to Ukraine, according to Downing Street.

The show of European unity follows a heated exchange in the Oval Office on Friday, where Trump told Zelensky to negotiate a settlement with Russia or risk losing U.S. support.

During the confrontation, Trump criticized Zelensky for not showing enough gratitude for the military and political aid the U.S. has provided to Ukraine in its war against Russia. Trump warned him that failing to appreciate this assistance was akin to “gambling with World War Three.”

As international leaders reacted to the confrontation, social media was flooded with messages of support for Ukraine, including statements from the prime ministers of Canada, Australia, and New Zealand. Zelensky responded to each one with a simple but direct acknowledgment: “Thank you for your support.”

French President Emmanuel Macron strongly condemned Russia’s actions, stating, “There is an aggressor: Russia. There is a victim: Ukraine. We were right to help Ukraine and sanction Russia three years ago—and to keep doing so.”

Dutch Prime Minister Dick Schoof reiterated the Netherlands’ commitment, writing, “We support Ukraine now more than ever. We want a lasting peace and an end to the war of aggression started by Russia. For Ukraine and its people, and for Europe.”

Germany’s outgoing Chancellor Olaf Scholz stressed the Ukrainian people’s desire for peace, remarking, “No one wants peace more than the citizens of Ukraine.” His expected successor, Friedrich Merz, reinforced this stance, stating, “We stand with Ukraine” and emphasizing that the world “must never confuse aggressor and victim in this terrible war.”

Spain’s Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez kept his message straightforward: “Ukraine, Spain stands with you.” Meanwhile, Poland’s Prime Minister Donald Tusk addressed Zelensky and the Ukrainian people directly, stating, “Dear [Zelensky], dear Ukrainian friends, you are not alone.”

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen praised Zelensky’s leadership, stating, “Your dignity honors the bravery of the Ukrainian people.”

Beyond Europe, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau assured, “Canada will continue to stand with Ukraine and Ukrainians in achieving a just and lasting peace.”

Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese echoed similar sentiments, writing, “Australia has proudly supported the brave people of Ukraine in their struggle to defend their sovereignty against the brutality of Russian aggression and in support of international law.”

Additional statements of support came from Austria, Belgium, Croatia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Ireland, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Moldova, Romania, Sweden, and Slovenia.

However, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán offered a different perspective, siding with Trump. He posted, “Strong men make peace, weak men make war. Today President @realDonaldTrump stood bravely for peace. Even if it was difficult for many to digest. Thank you, Mr. President!”

Following his confrontation with Trump, Zelensky left the White House earlier than expected. Nevertheless, he later expressed gratitude to Trump on social media, writing, “Ukraine needs just and lasting peace, and we are working exactly for that.”

On Saturday, Zelensky took to the messaging platform Telegram to emphasize the significance of global attention on Ukraine. “It is very important for us that Ukraine is heard and that no one forgets about it, neither during the war nor after,” he wrote.

He added, “It is important for people in Ukraine to know that they are not alone, that their interests are represented in every country, in every corner of the world.”

In an interview with Fox News after his White House visit, Zelensky admitted that his dispute with Trump was “not good for both sides” but expressed hope that their working relationship could be repaired.

The tense encounter unfolded as the two leaders were set to sign an agreement granting the U.S. access to Ukraine’s deposits of rare earth minerals. However, the conversation took a turn when U.S. Vice President JD Vance, who was present in the meeting, suggested that the war needed to be concluded through diplomatic means.

Zelensky pushed back, asking, “What kind of diplomacy?” He referenced a 2019 ceasefire agreement negotiated before Russia’s full-scale invasion, a deal that took place while Moscow was still backing separatist forces in eastern Ukraine.

Vance, in response, accused Zelensky of being disrespectful and “litigating” the conflict in front of the media. The conversation grew increasingly tense as both sides interrupted each other.

Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni has since called for an urgent summit between the U.S., Europe, and other allies to address the situation in Ukraine.

On Sunday, Sir Keir Starmer is set to host critical talks at Downing Street, where European leaders will discuss potential strategies for enforcing a future peace agreement.

The UK Prime Minister believes that any lasting settlement will require U.S. military assets to play a role in monitoring and enforcing the terms. This could include intelligence-sharing, surveillance efforts, and possibly even air support to deter further aggression from Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Trump and Zelenskyy to Meet Amid Tensions Over Peace Talks and U.S. Policy Shift on Russia

President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy are set to meet at the White House on Friday following heated exchanges over peace negotiations and an unexpected shift in U.S. policy toward Vladimir Putin and Russia.

As the conflict nears its third anniversary, Trump has referred to Zelenskyy as a “dictator without elections” and a “modestly successful comedian,” while adopting a more accommodating stance toward Putin. Trump suggested that the U.S. would negotiate the terms of a settlement with Russia.

Zelenskyy, in response, accused Trump of being trapped in a “web of disinformation,” particularly after preliminary discussions between U.S. and Kremlin officials in Saudi Arabia. Trump also falsely claimed that Ukraine initiated the war, disregarding the fact that Russia launched the invasion.

The key issue at stake, which could influence the course of peace talks, is an agreement granting the U.S. access to Ukraine’s mineral resources. Trump has framed this deal as a means to ensure that American taxpayers receive some form of reimbursement for the financial aid provided to Ukraine during its conflict with Russia.

“We’ll be digging. We’ll be dig, dig, digging. Dig, we must,” Trump stated on Thursday, emphasizing that the U.S. would be actively involved in extracting rare earth minerals in Ukraine. “It’ll be great for Ukraine. It’s like a huge economic development project. So, it’ll be good for both countries.”

Zelenskyy, however, has presented the deal differently, viewing it primarily as a strategy to maintain U.S. support.

Although the agreement does not offer the security guarantees Zelenskyy deems essential for a lasting peace settlement, Trump administration officials argue that significant U.S. investment in Ukraine’s economy could function as a deterrent against further Russian aggression.

“I will meet with President Trump,” Zelenskyy stated on Wednesday. “For me, and for all of us in the world, it is crucial that America’s assistance is not stopped. Strength is essential on the path to peace.”

Details of the Agreement

According to officials familiar with the discussions, the agreement involves U.S.-Ukraine collaboration in extracting valuable minerals and other natural resources from Ukrainian soil.

Unlike previous proposals, this version does not require Ukraine to allocate revenue from mineral sales to repay the U.S. $500 billion—an amount the Trump administration previously described as “payback” for the approximately $183 billion in aid provided to Ukraine, as reported by the U.S. special inspector general overseeing Ukrainian assistance.

Instead, the deal proposes the creation of a joint investment fund for Ukraine’s post-war reconstruction. The specifics regarding the management and operation of this fund will be determined through subsequent negotiations.

Much of the success of this initiative will depend on market forces.

“The profitability of the fund is entirely dependent on the success of new investments in Ukraine’s resources,” said Gracelin Baskaran, director of the Critical Minerals Security Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, and Meredith Schwartz, a research associate at the same program.

“Therefore, the response of private industry is key to the success of the fund and will determine how much value the United States ultimately derives,” they explained.

However, Ukrainian officials made some concessions. Initially, Kyiv sought firm security guarantees within the agreement, but the finalized framework lacks these provisions.

“However, the idea is that with joint U.S.-Ukraine investment in the nation’s resources, the United States will continue to have a stake in Ukraine’s security, stability, and lasting peace and therefore be incentivized to uphold and defend Ukrainian security,” Baskaran and Schwartz stated.

Should the deal prove successful, they suggest that the U.S. may enhance its mineral security, but tangible benefits might not materialize for decades.

“Mining is a long-term effort—so the United States may not yield benefits for another 20 years,” they noted.

Trump himself acknowledged the uncertainty.

“You know, you dig and maybe things aren’t there like you think they’re there,” he remarked on Thursday.

A Shift in Trump’s Rhetoric

After days of harsh criticism directed at Zelenskyy, Trump moderated his stance on Thursday.

When asked whether he still considered Zelenskyy a dictator—an assertion he made just over a week ago—Trump replied, “Did I say that? I can’t believe I said that,” before quickly moving on.

Later in the day, Trump also commended Zelenskyy and Ukrainian forces for their resilience in combat.

“We’ve given him a lot of equipment and a lot of money, but they have fought very bravely. No matter how you figure it, they have really fought,” Trump acknowledged. “Somebody has to use that equipment. And they have been very brave in that sense.”

Ukrainian officials advocating for the mineral deal may view Trump’s softened rhetoric as validation of their argument—that signing the agreement could strengthen ties between Kyiv and the Trump administration, whereas delaying it might further strain Trump’s perception of Zelenskyy.

However, whether this positive shift in tone will endure remains uncertain.

“Critical mineral resource access is the latest arena for Trump to focus his transactional methods of diplomacy,” Baskaran and Schwartz stated. “But the viability of the deal remains to be seen as tensions continue to rise between the two world leaders.”

Given Trump’s well-known impatience, some U.S. officials anticipate that slow progress on the deal could lead to frustration.

Additionally, any discord during Friday’s White House meeting could quickly sour Trump’s attitude toward Zelenskyy once again. While Trump is expected to emphasize the economic benefits of the agreement for the U.S., Zelenskyy is likely to push for additional security assurances.

Nonetheless, Trump projected optimism ahead of the meeting.

“I think we’re going to have a very good meeting,” he said. “We’re going to get along really well. Okay. We have a lot of respect. I have a lot of respect for him.”

John E. Herbst, senior director of the Atlantic Council’s Eurasia Center and a former U.S. ambassador to Ukraine, believes that the very fact that the meeting is taking place is a positive development for Ukraine.

“Zelenskyy’s visit highlights how far he has come from two weeks back, when Trump spoke of seeing Putin as many as three times in the near future, or even last week, when senior Russian and U.S. officials were meeting in Riyadh,” Herbst said. “Yet now it is Zelenskyy, not Putin, in the Oval Office.”

Ongoing Peace Talks

While public attention has largely shifted to negotiations over the mineral deal, discussions aimed at ultimately resolving the war in Ukraine are continuing through separate diplomatic channels.

On Thursday, American and Russian officials convened in Istanbul for a six-hour meeting focused on expanding the staffing of their respective embassies in Moscow and Washington. Secretary of State Marco Rubio previously emphasized that such diplomatic expansion was necessary to facilitate cooperation, including efforts to end the war in Ukraine.

Officials from both sides described the meeting’s outcome as favorable, predicting that a stronger diplomatic presence could pave the way for broader peace negotiations and a potential summit between Trump and Putin.

As European leaders push for U.S. security guarantees to enforce a truce in Ukraine, Trump has repeatedly asserted his confidence in Putin’s commitment to honoring a peace agreement.

“I’ve known him for a long time now,” Trump said. “I don’t believe he’s going to violate his word. I don’t think he’ll be back. When we make a deal, I think the deal is going to hold.”

However, before meeting with British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, Trump added an important qualifier.

“You know, look, it’s trust and verify, let’s call it that,” he remarked.

Clifford D. May, president of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, stressed the importance of Trump maintaining a realistic perspective on Putin.

“As President Trump attempts to negotiate a halt to Russia’s war against Ukraine, it’s not unreasonable for him to show respect for Mr. Putin (as he has been) if he believes that will make Mr. Putin more likely to agree to concessions,” May said.

“But it’s imperative that President Trump harbor no illusions about Mr. Putin—about his character, ambitions, ideology, and his abiding hatred for American greatness,” he added.

Trump Expresses Optimism on Ukraine War Resolution as Macron Stresses Caution

President Donald Trump voiced optimism that Russia’s war in Ukraine is approaching a resolution as he met with French President Emmanuel Macron on Monday, marking the third anniversary of the invasion. However, Macron emphasized the importance of ensuring that any potential agreement with Moscow does not equate to Ukraine’s surrender.

The discussions took place amid significant uncertainty regarding the future of transatlantic relations, as Trump seeks to reshape American foreign policy. His approach has largely sidelined European leadership while he pursues a swift resolution to the conflict in Ukraine.

Although Trump and Macron displayed cordiality at the White House, their respective nations were engaged in a dispute at the United Nations over resolutions that labeled Russia as the aggressor in the war.

Addressing the broader conflict, Trump stated that he believed Russian President Vladimir Putin would be open to the presence of European peacekeepers in Ukraine.

“Yeah, he will accept it,” Trump said to reporters. “I have asked him that question. Look, if we do this deal, he’s not looking for more war.”

Trump also expressed hope that the war could conclude within weeks. He suggested that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy would soon travel to the United States to finalize an agreement allowing America access to Ukraine’s essential minerals, which are crucial for advanced technology.

The economic deal Trump is promoting is intended to compensate for some of the $180 billion in U.S. aid that has been allocated to Kyiv since the war began. A portion of these funds has been utilized domestically to replenish aging weapons that were supplied to Ukraine.

“It looks like we’re getting very close,” Trump said regarding the minerals deal before his meeting with Macron. He indicated that Zelenskyy might visit Washington this week or next to sign the agreement.

Ukraine’s Security Considerations

Ukraine is also seeking long-term security assurances as part of any settlement. However, Trump did not specify whether the developing agreement would include such commitments from the United States. Instead, he remarked, “Europe is going to make sure nothing happens.”

A French official familiar with the discussions between Macron and Trump indicated that the U.S. president did not oppose the idea of American security guarantees in a potential peace agreement, though the specifics were still being negotiated. The official spoke anonymously, as they were not authorized to comment publicly.

During a joint press conference, Macron acknowledged that European nations must increase their defense efforts but warned against conceding too much to Russia.

“This peace must not mean a surrender of Ukraine,” Macron asserted. “It must not mean a ceasefire without guarantees. This peace must allow for Ukrainian sovereignty.”

Macron had ceased direct communication with Putin after Russian forces carried out atrocities in the Kyiv suburb of Bucha early in the conflict. However, he stated that the situation had evolved and expressed hope that Trump’s engagement with Putin could lead to progress.

“Now, there is a big chance because there is a new U.S. administration, so this is a new context,” Macron said. “So there is good reason for President Trump to reengage with President Putin.”

Putin, however, stated on Monday that he had not discussed a detailed resolution to the conflict with Trump. Additionally, Russian and American negotiation teams had not delved into specifics when they met in Saudi Arabia last week.

Putin also mentioned that Russia was open to including European nations—who were initially excluded from the talks in Riyadh—in future peace negotiations.

A Shift in American Foreign Policy

The third anniversary of the war and the discussions at the White House occurred at a time of considerable unease in Europe. Trump’s administration has ushered in a drastic shift in U.S. foreign policy.

Trump has made bold territorial demands involving Greenland, Canada, Gaza, and the Panama Canal. Just over a month into his second term, his “America First” approach has raised concerns among diplomats and former government officials who previously viewed the United States as a pillar of global stability.

Despite occasional missteps, the United States’ military, economic, and diplomatic influence has defined the post-World War II era, particularly after the Soviet Union’s collapse ended the Cold War. Many fear that Trump’s strategy could dismantle these long-standing principles, including those that underpin the United Nations and other international institutions.

“The only conclusion you can draw is that 80 years of policy in standing up against aggressors has just been blown up without any sort of discussion or reflection,” said Ian Kelly, a former U.S. ambassador to Georgia during the Obama and first Trump administrations and currently a professor at Northwestern University.

Meetings with European Leaders

Trump is set to meet with another key European leader, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, on Thursday.

His approach to Ukraine has unsettled European allies, particularly his repeated criticism of Zelenskyy for not engaging in negotiations to end the war. Trump has also pushed for Ukraine to sign an economic deal granting the U.S. access to its vital mineral resources, which are valuable to American aerospace, medical, and technology industries.

Initially, Zelenskyy resisted the proposal, citing the lack of security guarantees. On Sunday, he wrote on X that “we are making great progress” but insisted that “we want a good economic deal that will be part of a true security guarantee system for Ukraine.”

During a public dispute, Trump accused Zelenskyy of residing in a “Russian-made disinformation space” and labeled him a “dictator,” falsely asserting that Kyiv had instigated the war. In reality, Russia invaded its smaller, less-equipped neighbor in February 2022.

When asked on Monday whether he considered Putin a dictator as well, Trump declined to use the term, stating, “I don’t use those words lightly.”

Differences Among Allies

While Macron and Trump engaged in discussions, including a virtual meeting with fellow Group of Seven (G7) leaders, the United States diverged from its European allies at the United Nations. The U.S. refrained from endorsing resolutions that explicitly blamed Russia for the invasion of Ukraine.

The United States ultimately abstained from voting on its own resolution after European countries, led by France, succeeded in amending it to explicitly identify Russia as the aggressor.

Before meeting with Trump, Macron emphasized that he would urge the U.S. president to recognize the shared interest of Americans and Europeans in not appearing weak in front of Putin.

“It’s not you, it’s not your trademark, it’s not in your interest,” Macron said. “How can you then be credible in the face of China if you’re weak in the face of Putin?”

Despite this stance, Trump has indicated his desire for Russia to rejoin the G7, from which it was expelled in 2014 following its annexation of Crimea.

“I really believe he wants to make a deal,” Trump said regarding Putin. “I may be wrong, but I believe he wants to make a deal.”

Conservatives Win Narrow Victory in Germany as Far-Right AfD Sees Historic Surge

The opposition conservatives, led by Friedrich Merz, secured a modest victory in Germany’s election on Sunday, while the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) saw its support double, marking the strongest performance for an extreme-right party since World War II, according to projections.

Chancellor Olaf Scholz acknowledged defeat for his center-left Social Democrats, calling it “a bitter election result.” Projections from ARD and ZDF public television indicated that his party had finished in third place, marking its worst postwar performance in a national parliamentary election.

Merz expressed his intention to form a coalition government by Easter, though assembling such an alliance is expected to be challenging.

A Discontented Electorate

The election was held seven months ahead of schedule after Scholz’s unpopular coalition collapsed in November. His three-year tenure had been plagued by internal divisions, leading to widespread dissatisfaction among voters. However, there was little enthusiasm for any of the candidates.

Key concerns during the campaign included the prolonged economic stagnation in Europe’s largest economy and the pressure to control migration. Merz, in recent weeks, had strongly advocated for stricter immigration policies, fueling debate. Additionally, uncertainty surrounding Ukraine’s future and Europe’s alliance with the United States added to voter concerns.

As the most populous country in the European Union and a leading NATO member, Germany plays a crucial role in shaping Europe’s responses to global challenges. It has been the second-largest supplier of weapons to Ukraine, following the United States. The outcome of the election is expected to influence Germany’s stance on issues such as U.S. foreign policy under a potential new Trump administration.

According to projections based on exit polls and preliminary results, Merz’s Union bloc garnered around 28.5% of the vote, while the anti-immigration AfD received approximately 20.5%—nearly double its 2021 result.

Scholz’s Social Democrats managed just over 16%, significantly lower than their previous election performance and worse than their postwar low of 20.5% in 2017. The Greens, who had been part of the outgoing coalition government, secured about 12%.

Among the smaller parties, the hard-left Left Party showed resilience, making a comeback with up to 9% of the vote. The pro-business Free Democrats, also a part of the collapsed government, appeared poised to lose their parliamentary representation, with support hovering around 4.5%. Meanwhile, the Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) was on the brink of the 5% threshold required to enter parliament.

Merz Faces Tough Road Ahead

The ability of Merz to form a coalition government depends on whether he can secure a majority with the Social Democrats or if a second partner, likely the Greens, will be necessary. The inclusion of the BSW in parliament could also influence coalition dynamics.

“The most important thing is to reestablish a viable government in Germany as quickly as possible,” Merz emphasized.

“I am aware of the responsibility,” he stated. “I am also aware of the scale of the task that now lies ahead of us. I approach it with the utmost respect, and I know that it will not be easy.”

Merz also warned that prolonged coalition negotiations would be detrimental. “The world out there isn’t waiting for us, and it isn’t waiting for long-drawn-out coalition talks and negotiations,” he told his cheering supporters.

Vice Chancellor Robert Habeck, the Greens’ candidate for chancellor, urged Merz to adopt a more moderate approach following an intense campaign.

“We have seen the center is weakened overall, and everyone should look at themselves and ask whether they didn’t contribute to that,” Habeck remarked. “Now he must see that he acts like a chancellor.”

Despite its role in Scholz’s unpopular administration, the Greens fared relatively well compared to their coalition partners. Matthias Miersch, the Social Democrats’ general secretary, admitted that their defeat had been long in the making. “This election wasn’t lost in the last eight weeks,” he observed.

A Triumphant Yet Isolated Far-Right Party

AfD co-leader Tino Chrupalla celebrated the party’s historic gains, addressing enthusiastic supporters. “We have achieved something historic today,” he declared.

“We are now the political center and we have left the fringes behind us,” Chrupalla asserted. AfD’sprevious best result was 12.6% in 2017 when it first entered parliament.

Alice Weidel, AfD’s candidate for chancellor, signaled the party’s openness to coalition talks with Merz’s conservatives. “We are open for coalition negotiations” with the Union, she said, adding, “Otherwise, no change of policy is possible in Germany.”

However, Merz and other mainstream leaders have consistently rejected working with AfD, and he reiterated this stance in a televised discussion with Weidel and other political leaders after the election.

Weidel suggested that AfD would not need to compromise much in any theoretical coalition, arguing that the Union had largely adopted its policies. She dismissed Merz’s victory as hollow, stating, “It won’t be able to implement it with left-wing parties.”

She predicted instability if Merz formed an alliance with the Social Democrats and the Greens. “It will be an unstable government that doesn’t last four years, there will be an interim Chancellor Friedrich Merz, and in the coming years, we will overtake the Union,” Weidel claimed.

Merz dismissed the possibility of a coalition with AfD, emphasizing that their policy positions were fundamentally at odds. “We have fundamentally different views, for example, on foreign policy, on security policy, in many other areas, regarding Europe, the euro, NATO,” he stated.

“You want the opposite of what we want, so there will be no cooperation,” he added.

Scholz also condemned AfD’s rising influence, asserting, “That must never be something that we will accept. I will not accept it and never will.”

The election saw more than 59 million eligible voters participate in choosing the 630 members of the Bundestag, Germany’s lower house of parliament, who will take their seats under the iconic glass dome of Berlin’s Reichstag building.

Haley Criticizes Trump Over Ukraine Comments, Calls Remarks “Russian Talking Points”

Former Republican presidential candidate Nikki Haley took issue with President Trump’s recent remarks about Ukraine and its leader, Volodymyr Zelensky. She criticized Trump for his stance on the ongoing war in Eastern Europe and his negative comments about Zelensky, calling them “classic Russian talking points” and “exactly what Putin wants.”

On Tuesday, Trump appeared to place blame on Zelensky and Ukraine’s leadership for the war, which is now nearing its third anniversary. The following day, he reinforced his criticism, stating that Zelensky had done a “terrible job” leading the embattled country. Trump also accused Ukraine’s president of exploiting Washington, pointing to the extensive financial aid the U.S. has provided over the past three years.

Haley, who withdrew from the 2024 race and later endorsed Trump, took issue with his statements. As a strong advocate for U.S. foreign policy interests, she has consistently supported Ukraine and has argued that aiding Kyiv aligns with America’s national security priorities.

Trump’s criticisms of Zelensky coincided with a meeting in Saudi Arabia on Tuesday, where U.S. officials, including Secretary of State Marco Rubio and national security adviser Mike Waltz, engaged in discussions with Russian representatives. The talks aimed to explore potential peace negotiations and a re-establishment of diplomatic relations, which had weakened following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. Notably, Ukraine was not represented in the meeting.

The following day, Trump escalated his attacks, referring to Zelensky as a “dictator” and accusing him of failing to hold nationwide elections. He also claimed that Zelensky’s approval rating had plummeted to single digits. However, under Ukraine’s martial law, elections are not permitted. A survey published Wednesday by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology indicated that 57 percent of Ukrainians still trust their president.

Zelensky did not remain silent in the face of Trump’s remarks. In response to Trump’s Tuesday comments, he fired back, stating that the former U.S. president was operating within a Russian “disinformation space.”

Haley’s criticism of Trump aligns with her longstanding foreign policy views. Since joining the Hudson Institute think tank after exiting the presidential race, she has maintained that supporting Ukraine is vital to U.S. interests. She has also voiced her backing for Ukraine’s eventual inclusion in NATO, further underscoring her commitment to Kyiv.

Trump’s recent remarks on Ukraine have not only drawn pushback from Haley but also from his former vice president and one-time 2024 primary rival, Mike Pence.

“Mr. President, Ukraine did not ‘start’ this war. Russia launched an unprovoked and brutal invasion claiming hundreds of thousands of lives. The Road to Peace must be built on the Truth,” Pence stated in a pointed message on Wednesday.

Some Republican senators have also expressed concerns over Trump’s rhetoric. Many have defended Zelensky’s leadership, emphasizing that Russia was the aggressor in 2022, eight years after annexing Crimea.

Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.), who recently traveled to Kyiv with Senate Democrats, acknowledged Zelensky’s challenges but praised his leadership. “Zelensky is frustrated, but he’s also been the right head of state for the time. He’s kept a nation together focused on Russian occupiers, and I think we should give them a fair amount of credit for that work,” Tillis said.

Russia and U.S. Agree to Work Toward Ending Ukraine War and Strengthening Ties

Russia and the United States reached an agreement on Tuesday to begin efforts toward ending the war in Ukraine and enhancing their diplomatic and economic relations, according to statements from both nations’ top diplomats. This marks a dramatic shift in U.S. foreign policy under President Donald Trump.

In an interview with The Associated Press following the discussions, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio outlined three primary objectives that both parties broadly agreed upon. These include restoring staffing levels at their respective embassies in Washington and Moscow, forming a high-level team to assist in Ukraine peace negotiations, and exploring opportunities for closer diplomatic and economic ties.

However, Rubio emphasized that the meeting, which included his Russian counterpart Sergey Lavrov and senior officials from both sides, was merely the beginning of a dialogue, with substantial work still ahead.

Lavrov echoed this sentiment, telling reporters that “the conversation was very useful.” He further stated, “We not only listened, but also heard each other.”

Among those present at the meeting were Trump’s national security adviser, Michael Waltz, and special Mideast envoy Steven Witkoff, along with Lavrov and Russian President Vladimir Putin’s foreign affairs adviser, Yuri Ushakov.

Despite the significant discussions, no Ukrainian representatives were involved. The talks took place as Ukraine continues to struggle in the face of superior Russian military strength in a prolonged conflict that began nearly three years ago.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy made it clear that his country would not recognize any conclusions reached in the talks, given that Kyiv had no participation. In response, he postponed his planned visit to Saudi Arabia, originally scheduled for Wednesday.

European allies also voiced concerns about potentially being sidelined in the discussions.

Trump, however, showed little tolerance for Ukraine’s complaints about being excluded. He criticized Ukraine’s leaders for failing to prevent the war, implying that they should have made compromises with Russia before the full-scale invasion in 2022.

“Today I heard, ‘Oh, well, we weren’t invited.’ Well, you been there for three years. You should have ended it three years ago,” Trump remarked at a news conference at his Florida residence. “You should have never started it. You could have made a deal.”

Efforts to Improve U.S.-Russia Relations

Relations between the U.S. and Russia have deteriorated significantly over the years, reaching their lowest point in decades. The decline began with Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014 and worsened with Moscow’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

The U.S., in coordination with European nations, imposed extensive sanctions on Russia to weaken its economy. Additionally, diplomatic tensions escalated as both nations expelled large numbers of each other’s diplomats and implemented restrictions on their embassies.

Rubio suggested on Tuesday that resolving the war in Ukraine could serve as a gateway to unlocking “incredible opportunities” for U.S.-Russia cooperation on mutual interests. He expressed optimism that such collaboration could be beneficial for global stability and lead to improved bilateral relations in the long term.

His remarks signified a striking shift in U.S. policy toward Russia. Under Trump’s predecessor, Joe Biden, Washington spearheaded global efforts to isolate Moscow diplomatically and economically.

Tuesday’s discussions were also intended to lay the groundwork for a potential summit between Trump and Putin. However, according to Ushakov and Waltz, no date has been set for such a meeting. Ushakov indicated that a summit was “unlikely” to occur next week, while Waltz suggested that an arrangement could be made in the coming weeks.

Speaking to reporters post-meeting, Lavrov reiterated the same three objectives outlined by Rubio. He further stated that Washington and Moscow agreed to assign representatives for “regular consultations” on Ukraine.

“I have reason to believe that the American side has started to better understand our position,” Lavrov remarked.

This meeting marked the most extensive diplomatic engagement between the two nations since Russia launched its invasion on February 24, 2022. Previously, Lavrov and then-U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken had only engaged in brief discussions on the sidelines of a G-20 meeting in India nearly two years ago, during a period of heightened tensions.

Concerns Over Being Sidelined

The recent U.S. diplomatic push regarding the Ukraine war has left Kyiv and key Western allies scrambling to ensure they are involved in any decisions. Many fear that Washington and Moscow might pursue an agreement that does not align with their interests.

Ukraine’s exclusion from Tuesday’s discussions frustrated many in the country. In response, France called an emergency meeting of European Union member states and the United Kingdom on Monday to deliberate over the war. During Biden’s presidency, U.S. policy was firm in ensuring Ukraine’s participation in such negotiations.

U.S. State Department spokeswoman Tammy Bruce clarified that the talks were designed to gauge Russia’s seriousness about achieving peace and to assess whether formal negotiations could commence.

Rubio assured that there would be “engagement and consultation with Ukraine, with our partners in Europe and others. But ultimately, the Russian side will be indispensable to this effort.”

He further acknowledged that ending the war would require concessions from all parties and emphasized that the U.S. “is not going to predetermine” what those concessions might be.

Meanwhile, U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth suggested last week that NATO membership for Ukraine was unrealistic. He also hinted that Kyiv may need to abandon its goal of reclaiming all territories lost to Russia—two critical demands from Putin’s side.

French President Emmanuel Macron disclosed that he had phone conversations with both Trump and Zelenskyy after Monday’s European meeting.

“We seek a strong and lasting peace in Ukraine,” Macron wrote on the social media platform X. “To achieve this, Russia must end its aggression, and this must be accompanied by strong and credible security guarantees for the Ukrainians.” He pledged to “work on this together with all Europeans, Americans, and Ukrainians.”

Saudi Arabia’s Role in the Talks

The meeting was held at the Diriyah Palace in Riyadh, the capital of Saudi Arabia, highlighting the kingdom’s aspirations to be a major diplomatic force. Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has been actively working to bolster his international standing, particularly after his reputation was damaged by the 2018 killing of Washington Post journalist Jamal Khashoggi.

Saudi state media reported that the discussions were held under the prince’s directive. Like the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia has maintained strong relations with Russia throughout the Ukraine war, both through its participation in the OPEC+ oil cartel and diplomatic engagements.

Saudi Arabia has also played a role in prisoner exchanges and hosted Zelenskyy during an Arab League summit in 2023.

However, Zelenskyy postponed his visit to Saudi Arabia this week, possibly to avoid any perception that his trip was linked to the U.S.-Russia talks, given Ukraine’s exclusion. His visit has been rescheduled for March 10.

Ongoing Conflict in Ukraine

Despite diplomatic efforts, Russia has continued its military offensive against Ukraine. According to Ukraine’s military, Russian forces launched a large-scale drone attack overnight.

The Ukrainian air force reported that Russian troops deployed 176 drones, most of which were intercepted or disabled through electronic jamming.

One Russian drone managed to hit a residential building in Dolynska, located in Ukraine’s Kirovohrad region. As a result, a mother and her two children were injured, prompting the evacuation of 38 apartments, as confirmed by the regional administration.

Trump Seeks Half of Ukraine’s Mineral Revenue in Exchange for Security Guarantees

Former U.S. President Donald Trump is reportedly seeking half of the revenue from Ukraine’s mineral resources and veto power over licensing in exchange for providing security guarantees if a peace agreement is reached between Moscow and Kyiv, according to leaked documents.

Trump had previously suggested that Ukraine should compensate the U.S. for financial and military support by granting Washington access to its vast but largely untapped rare earth mineral reserves. However, newly revealed documents indicate that a potential deal could extend U.S. access beyond rare earths to Ukraine’s ports, infrastructure, and oil and gas resources.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has expressed willingness to negotiate a deal with Trump that involves U.S. participation in the development of Ukraine’s significant deposits of rare earth minerals and other crucial resources.

The Kremlin responded swiftly to these reports, asserting that they highlight how the U.S. is no longer offering aid to Ukraine without conditions. A Kremlin spokesperson further stated that Russia is opposed to Trump providing any form of assistance to Kyiv.

However, according to a newly surfaced draft agreement obtained by The Telegraph, the U.S. and Ukraine would establish a joint investment fund to ensure that “hostile parties to the conflict do not benefit from the reconstruction of Ukraine.”

The document, labeled “Privileged & Confidential” and dated February 7, reportedly outlines terms regarding Ukraine’s economic assets, including “mineral resources, oil and gas resources, ports, and other infrastructure (as agreed).”

Under the proposed agreement, the U.S. would receive 50 percent of Ukraine’s recurring revenues from resource extraction, along with half of the financial value from “all new licenses issued to third parties” for future resource monetization, The Telegraph reported.

The contract, which was allegedly drafted by private legal firms rather than the U.S. Department of State or the Department of Commerce, further specifies: “For all future licenses, the U.S. will have a right of first refusal for the purchase of exportable minerals.”

According to the documents seen by The Telegraph, the joint investment fund “shall have the exclusive right to establish the method, selection criteria, terms, and conditions” for all future licenses and projects.

Rare earth minerals, a group of 17 metals, play a critical role in modern technology, as they are used in magnets that convert power into motion for applications such as electric vehicles, smartphones, missile systems, and various electronics. Currently, there are no viable substitutes for these essential materials.

The U.S. Geological Survey classifies 50 minerals as critical, including multiple rare earth elements, nickel, and lithium.

Ukraine possesses deposits of 22 of the 34 minerals that the European Union has identified as critical, according to data from Ukraine’s Economy Ministry. These resources include industrial and construction materials, ferroalloys, precious and non-ferrous metals, and some rare earth elements.

Zelensky recently stated that Russian forces currently control approximately half of Ukraine’s rare earth mineral deposits.

Ukraine is also known for its significant coal reserves. However, much of this coal-rich land is now under Russian occupation.

In addition to rare earth elements, Ukraine is regarded as a potential key supplier of lithium, beryllium, manganese, gallium, zirconium, graphite, apatite, fluorite, and nickel, according to the World Economic Forum.

The ongoing war has inflicted severe destruction across Ukraine, with Russia now controlling roughly one-fifth of Ukrainian territory. Ukraine’s coal reserves, which were once essential for its steel industry, are largely concentrated in the east—an area that has been largely lost to Russian occupation.

According to estimates by Ukrainian think tanks We Build Ukraine and the National Institute of Strategic Studies, roughly 40 percent of Ukraine’s metal resources are now under Russian control, based on data from the first half of 2024.

The specifics of any agreement between the U.S. and Ukraine will likely be refined in future discussions between officials from both countries.

Sir John Major Warns of Growing Threats to Democracy Amid U.S. Isolationism

Sir John Major has cautioned that democracy is at risk as the United States retreats from its global leadership role.

The former British prime minister expressed concern that President Donald Trump’s policy of American “isolation” is leaving a power vacuum, potentially emboldening nations such as Russia and China.

Sir John, who led the UK from 1990 to 1997, remarked that the progress achieved since the Soviet Union’s collapse was now being undone. He asserted that Russia was likely to invade other countries in the near future. “There is no doubt in my mind that democracy has been in modest decline over the last 18 years,” he said, emphasizing that “ugly nationalism” was emerging, contributing to an increasingly unstable global situation.

His warning coincides with preparations by European leaders for an emergency summit on the war in Ukraine. Meanwhile, U.S. and Russian officials are set to engage in peace talks, raising concerns that European nations, including Ukraine, are being excluded from negotiations.

Sir John also dismissed U.S. Vice President JD Vance’s recent criticism of Europe’s record on free speech. He argued that such remarks should have been directed at Moscow or Beijing instead. Speaking to BBC Radio 4’s The World This Weekend, he stated, “It’s extremely odd to lecture Europe on the subject of free speech and democracy at the same time as they’re cuddling [Russian President Vladimir] Putin.”

He further condemned Russia’s suppression of dissent, saying, “In Mr. Putin’s Russia, people who disagree with him disappear, or die, or flee the country, or—on a statistically unlikely level—fall out of high windows somewhere in Moscow.”

Sir John highlighted the shifting geopolitical landscape, stating, “The world is changing and may not be reshaping in a way that is congenial to the West.” He pointed to Russia’s aggressive actions in Ukraine as evidence that past diplomatic gains were being undone. “Many of the gains we made over recent years, when the Soviet Union collapsed, are now being reversed, and you see a very aggressive Russia again in Ukraine,” he said. He warned that if Russia succeeded in its objectives in Ukraine, “no doubt they’d be elsewhere before too long.”

Discussing the broader decline of democracy, Sir John reiterated, “There is an ugly nationalism growing, mostly from the intolerant right… So it is a very unsettled time.”

Addressing domestic political matters, the former Conservative leader acknowledged the economic difficulties faced by the UK government, particularly Chancellor Rachel Reeves. However, he suggested that the current global climate might necessitate increased defense spending. “It’s very, very easy to say from outside government, ‘I’d just do this and I’d spend all this money,'” he said. “I would prefer to say I would realise in my plans that we have to make a very material increase in the level of defence expenditure and do it as a priority as soon as it is credible to do so.”

Speaking separately on the BBC’s Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg program, Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds emphasized the need for the UK and Europe to respond to U.S. calls for greater contributions toward their “collective defense” in the face of “greater threats.”

Reynolds confirmed that the government would outline a roadmap to increase defense spending from 2.3% to 2.5% of the nation’s economic output. However, he did not specify a timeline for achieving this target.

Despite growing tensions between the U.S. and its allies regarding the Ukraine conflict, Reynolds maintained that there was “still a great deal of common ground” between the nations.

Sir John has voiced his concerns on multiple occasions in recent years, particularly regarding Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, which began in 2022. In the early stages of the war, he joined former Prime Minister Gordon Brown and others in signing a petition demanding that Vladimir Putin face a Nuremberg-style trial for war crimes over his actions in Ukraine.

Rubio: Ukraine and Europe Must Be Part of Any Real Peace Talks with Russia

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated on Sunday that Ukraine and Europe would be included in any “real negotiations” to end Moscow’s war, emphasizing that upcoming U.S.-Russia talks would test Russian President Vladimir Putin’s sincerity about peace.

Speaking in an interview with CBS, Rubio sought to reassure European leaders who had expressed concerns about being excluded from the initial discussions between the U.S. and Russia, which are set to take place in Saudi Arabia. He clarified that a formal negotiation process had not yet begun, but if it progressed, Ukraine and other European nations would be included.

A report from Reuters earlier on Sunday revealed that U.S. officials had sent European counterparts a questionnaire, inquiring about the number of troops they could contribute to enforcing a potential peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia.

“President Trump spoke to Vladimir Putin last week, and in it, Vladimir Putin expressed his interest in peace, and the president expressed his desire to see an end to this conflict in a way that was enduring and that protected Ukrainian sovereignty,” Rubio said on CBS’s Meet the Press.

“Now, obviously it has to be followed up by action, so the next few weeks and days will determine whether it’s serious or not. Ultimately, one phone call does not make peace,” he added.

U.S. Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff and national security adviser Mike Waltz were scheduled to depart for Saudi Arabia on Sunday evening, Witkoff confirmed during an interview with Fox News.

Rubio noted that his trip to Saudi Arabia had been planned earlier as part of official travel, and the final composition of the Russian delegation remained uncertain.

The discussions in Saudi Arabia coincide with U.S. efforts to negotiate a deal with Kyiv, aimed at opening Ukraine’s natural resources to U.S. investment. In an interview with NBC aired on Sunday, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy raised concerns over whether mineral-rich areas controlled by Russia would be handed over to Putin.

Former President Donald Trump, who spoke with Putin last Wednesday and later stated that the Russian leader was seeking peace, reiterated on Sunday his confidence that Putin would not attempt to seize all of Ukraine.

“That would have caused me a big problem, because you just can’t let that happen. I think he wants to end it,” Trump told reporters in West Palm Beach, Florida.

Trump also assured that Zelenskiy would play a role in the discussions to bring the war to an end.

Europe’s Role in Peace Talks Questioned

Despite Trump’s Ukraine envoy, Keith Kellogg, implying at the Munich Security Conference that European nations might not have a role in peace talks, both Rubio and Witkoff dismissed concerns that Ukraine and other European leaders would be excluded from negotiations.

In an interview on Fox News’ Sunday Morning Futures, Witkoff pointed out that Ukrainian officials had engaged with multiple U.S. representatives at the Munich conference and that Trump himself had spoken with Zelenskiy just last week.

Rubio reiterated that meaningful negotiations would inevitably involve Ukraine and Europe.

“Ultimately, it will reach a point—if it’s real negotiations, and we’re not there yet—but if that were to happen, Ukraine will have to be involved because they’re the ones that were invaded, and the Europeans will have to be involved because they have sanctions on Putin and Russia as well,” Rubio said.

“We’re just not there yet,” he added.

French President Emmanuel Macron is set to host European leaders on Monday for an emergency summit on the Ukraine war, according to his office, following Kellogg’s remarks.

European officials have been taken aback by the Trump administration’s recent approach toward Ukraine, Russia, and European defense. Their primary concern is whether they can still rely on U.S. military support, fearing that Trump might broker a Ukraine peace deal with Putin that compromises Kyiv’s security and weakens broader European defense interests.

When asked whether he had discussed the possibility of lifting sanctions on Russia during a Saturday phone call with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, Rubio declined to confirm details, stating only that they “did not go into any details.”

Following the call, Moscow announced that the two had discussed removing “unilateral barriers” imposed by the previous U.S. administration on U.S.-Russia relations.

Rubio acknowledged that he had addressed the “difficult” working conditions of the U.S. embassy in Moscow with Lavrov. He noted that for any progress to be made in Ukraine peace efforts, both Russia and the U.S. needed to maintain properly functioning embassies in each other’s countries.

Europe’s Population Shift: Decline Expected Across Most Countries by 2100

A new map illustrates the expected changes in population levels across European nations from now until the year 2100. The data is derived from the UN World Population Prospects 2024, specifically using the medium variant estimates.

Population Trends in Europe

For several decades, birth rates across Europe have been below the replacement rate required to maintain stable population levels. This trend is expected to continue and intensify in the coming years. Consequently, most European nations are projected to see a decline in population by the end of the century.

The most populous nations on the continent are expected to experience significant shifts. Germany is projected to lose 13.8 million people, Poland will see a decrease of 18.8 million, and Italy is expected to shrink by 23.8 million.

Eastern Europe has been experiencing population declines since the 1990s, and this pattern is anticipated to accelerate further throughout the century. Russia and Ukraine combined are expected to see their populations drop by 40 million people by 2100.

Despite these overall trends, migration—both within Europe and from outside the continent—could help mitigate population loss in some countries. Nations such as the United Kingdom and France are expected to grow rather than shrink due to migration. The UK’s population is projected to increase by 4.8 million, while France is expected to see a growth of 1.8 million.

However, this trend of population growth is expected to be limited to only a few countries. According to the UN’s estimates, just seven European nations will have a larger population in 2100 compared to 2025.

It is essential to note that these are estimates, and projections can differ based on the data source. While the UN suggests a general decline across most of Europe, Eurostat—the official statistical office of the European Union—has a slightly more optimistic outlook. Eurostat’s projections from 2022 indicate that more European countries will experience population growth than the UN anticipates.

Economic and Social Implications for Europe

A declining population presents significant challenges for economies across Europe. Economic systems are not designed to accommodate shrinking populations. A decrease in population directly translates to reduced consumer demand, which is a vital driver of economic growth.

Additionally, a smaller population results in a reduced tax base, which directly impacts the funding of Europe’s extensive social security programs. Many European nations are known for their robust social welfare systems, which could face financial strain if fewer people contribute to tax revenues.

For decades, migration from Asia and the Middle East has played a crucial role in sustaining population growth across Europe. However, the impact of international migration as a population booster is expected to diminish sooner than many anticipate.

Eurostat’s projections suggest that Europe’s population will peak in 2026. After that point, overall population levels are expected to decline, marking a significant demographic shift for the continent.

Munich Security Conference Highlights Growing NATO Divisions Amid Ukraine Crisis

U.S. Vice President JD Vance, Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky, and nearly 60 world leaders and policymakers are set to gather in Munich for the annual Munich Security Conference (MSC) over the next three days.

For nearly two decades, this event has been a focal point for global security discussions, but this year, the stakes appear higher than ever. A senior Western official described the current global security climate as “the most dangerous and contested time” of their career.

Cracks in the International Order

The established global security structure, often referred to as the International Rules-based Order, is facing unprecedented strain. Some argue it is already beginning to collapse.

When Russian President Vladimir Putin launched his full-scale invasion of Ukraine three years ago, much of the world condemned the move. NATO, the European Union, and Western nations demonstrated remarkable unity in supporting Ukraine, ensuring it could defend itself without direct Western military intervention.

While Hungary and Slovakia occasionally expressed reservations, there was broad consensus that Putin’s invasion needed to fail to prevent Russia from further aggression, possibly against NATO members like Estonia. The prevailing belief was that Ukraine should receive whatever it needed to achieve a strong negotiating position for lasting peace.

U.S. Shifts Policy on Ukraine

However, that unity has begun to fray. Former President Donald Trump has significantly undermined Ukraine’s stance by declaring—through his Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth—that restoring Ukraine’s pre-2014 borders is “not realistic.” Additionally, the U.S. has dismissed Kyiv’s aspirations for NATO membership, a key goal for President Zelensky, and ruled out sending troops to defend Ukraine from potential future Russian invasions.

Further rattling Western allies, Trump recently held a cordial 90-minute phone call with Putin, abruptly ending a three-year diplomatic freeze. This shift in U.S. policy suggests a preference for quickly ending the war, even if it means meeting many of Moscow’s demands.

Over the coming days in Munich, Trump’s team is expected to outline their plans for Ukraine, with retired U.S. Army General Keith Kellogg traveling to Kyiv next week for further discussions. However, a clear rift has emerged between Washington and Europe. While the U.S. prioritizes ending the war swiftly, European leaders had, until recently, believed that sustained pressure on Moscow—amid significant Russian battlefield casualties and economic struggles—could secure a more favorable peace for Ukraine.

NATO’s Growing Divisions

Beyond Ukraine, other cracks are emerging within NATO. Trump’s recent announcement of his interest in “buying” Greenland—an autonomous territory of Denmark—has sparked fresh tensions. When Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen firmly stated that “Greenland is not for sale,” Trump reportedly reacted with a “horrendous” phone call and did not rule out using force to take the territory.

The notion of a NATO country threatening to seize another member’s land was once unthinkable. In Greenland’s case, U.S. security interests are already well-served, as the island hosts more American troops than Danish forces, and Copenhagen has been open to strengthening mutual defense arrangements.

While many in Scandinavia hope Trump’s proposal is mere rhetoric, the broader damage is already done. His remarks signal a troubling precedent—that using force against neighbors for territorial gain is acceptable.

Former UK National Security Adviser and Ambassador to Washington, Lord Kim Darroch, warned that Trump’s threats against Denmark—whether economic or military—send a dangerous message. “Even if nothing comes from it, it’s done great damage. It’s another signal of Trump’s disdain for NATO. And it will be interpreted in Moscow and Beijing as a message that they have a free hand in Ukraine and Taiwan respectively,” he said.

At the Munich Security Conference, European allies will seek reassurance from Washington that NATO remains strong. However, Trump appears determined to reshape America’s global role and seems unlikely to heed European concerns.

Modi and Trump Discuss Trade, Tariffs, and Strategic Partnerships

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and US President Donald Trump convened at the White House to deliberate on trade and other bilateral matters.

During their meeting, Trump disclosed an agreement for India to increase imports of American oil and gas, a move intended to help reduce the trade deficit between the two nations.

This discussion followed Trump’s recent announcement of a new reciprocal tariff policy. The US president remarked that “our allies are worse than our enemies” regarding import duties, emphasizing his administration’s stance on trade imbalances.

The reciprocal tariffs, which will be applicable to all US trading partners, are the latest in a series of trade measures introduced by the Trump administration. However, a definitive implementation date has yet to be established. Trump has previously used tariff threats as a negotiation strategy.

Trade and Tariffs Take Center Stage

Donald Trump has often referred to tariffs as “the most beautiful word in the dictionary,” and today was no exception.

Before sitting down with Modi, Trump spent nearly an hour addressing the media about his “reciprocal tariffs” strategy. Details remain scarce, but the approach seems to involve imposing tariffs on countries based on the trade restrictions they impose on US goods.

The meeting between Modi and Trump largely focused on this issue. “Whatever India charges, we charge them,” Trump told a room packed with reporters awaiting an update on their bilateral discussions.

Apart from tariff talks, the two leaders worked on strengthening trade relations. Modi highlighted India’s interest in securing its energy needs through increased trade in oil and gas with the US. Meanwhile, Trump confirmed that military sales to India would also be expanded.

Concerns Over Immigration Policies

Trump’s return to the White House has rekindled anxiety among Indian professionals working in the US, particularly those on H-1B visas.

During his first term, Trump tightened restrictions on the H-1B visa program, significantly increasing rejection rates from 5-8% under President Obama to 24% in 2018. Although it remains uncertain whether such policies will be reinstated, many Indian workers fear renewed challenges.

While some industry leaders, including Tesla CEO Elon Musk, have expressed support for the H-1B system, Trump’s administration remains divided on immigration policy.

Indians, who account for 72% of all H-1B visas issued, are especially vulnerable. Their concerns extend beyond visa restrictions to potential hostility toward Indian immigrants.

One of the most pressing issues is Trump’s attempt to deny automatic US citizenship to children born to temporary foreign workers. Although blocked by federal courts, the policy could be revived through higher judicial rulings.

A shift in birthright citizenship laws would disproportionately impact the Indian community. With over five million Indians in the US holding non-immigrant visas, many expectant parents are anxiously seeking clarity on their children’s legal status.

From ‘Namaste Trump!’ to ‘Howdy, Modi!’

Trump and Modi have shared a warm diplomatic relationship. In 2020, Modi hosted Trump in India with a grand rally at the world’s largest cricket stadium in Ahmedabad, Gujarat. The event, called “Namaste Trump!,” featured music and dance performances, drawing tens of thousands of attendees.

During his address, Modi lauded Trump’s leadership, stating, “Trump thinks big and the world knows what he has done to realise the American dream.”

This visit followed the “Howdy, Modi!” event in 2019, where Modi and Trump addressed 50,000 members of the Indian diaspora at a Houston football stadium. The two leaders exchanged smiles and hugs while making strong proclamations about their growing partnership.

However, analysts suggest that these events, while grand spectacles, are also strategic diplomatic moves aimed at solidifying ties between the two nations.

Shifts Since the ‘Howdy, Modi!’ Event

Much has changed since Modi’s 2019 visit to Houston, where he and Trump were the center of a large-scale community event.

At the time, Trump described the gathering as a “profoundly historic event,” possibly the largest reception of a foreign leader in US history. For Modi, the event was a platform to showcase India’s growing global influence and his popularity among the Indian diaspora.

Five years later, their relationship remains strong, but the US-India dynamic has grown more complex.

Modi, though still a popular leader, has faced political challenges at home, failing to secure an outright majority in last year’s elections. India’s economy has slowed, prompting foreign investors to withdraw capital.

Tensions over trade and H-1B visa policies persist, and diplomatic relations were tested last year after an alleged plot by an Indian agent to assassinate a Sikh separatist in the US.

However, India’s role as a strategic counterbalance to China remains a crucial element of US foreign policy.

Modi’s Agenda in Washington

Modi’s visit comes at a delicate moment, as his “Make in India” initiative faces challenges from Trump’s “America First” policy.

Unlike their 2017 meeting in Washington, which was marked by camaraderie, this visit is overshadowed by global trade disputes and Trump’s emphasis on tariffs. The White House has already announced plans for new reciprocal tariffs on Indian imports.

Modi’s primary goal is to mitigate the impact of these tariffs while ensuring that India remains an indispensable US ally.

He stated that he is open to lowering tariffs on American goods, repatriating undocumented Indian nationals, and increasing US imports of American oil to help balance trade.

Beyond trade, Modi aims to enhance cooperation in technology, defense, and energy, emphasizing common strategic interests.

Politically, he is using the visit to reaffirm India’s status as a key US partner in the Indo-Pacific, particularly in countering China’s growing influence.

While Trump’s voter base views India as an economic competitor, the personal rapport between the two leaders may help ease tensions.

The Strategic Importance of US-India Relations

Modi is among the first foreign leaders to visit Trump in his second presidential term, underscoring the significance of US-India relations.

Both nations share deep concerns over China’s ambitions and are part of the Quad alliance, aimed at countering Beijing’s influence in the Asia-Pacific.

Trade ties between the two countries are also substantial. The US is India’s second-largest trading partner, while India serves as a major market for American multinational corporations.

In recent years, companies like Taiwan’s Foxconn—an Apple supplier—have been shifting production to India as part of a broader move away from reliance on China.

The two countries also maintain strong people-to-people ties, driven by the large Indian diaspora in the US. However, illegal migration from India has become a growing concern for Washington.

Earlier this month, a US military aircraft deported a group of shackled Indian migrants back to India. Their treatment sparked outrage among India’s opposition leaders, adding another layer of diplomatic tension to an already complex relationship.

Modi’s U.S. Visit to Test His Relationship with Trump Amid Tariff Concerns

Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s established camaraderie with President Donald Trump faces a significant test as he begins his visit to Washington on Wednesday. Modi is keen to ensure India avoids tariffs that have been imposed on other nations and to mitigate the risk of additional taxes on Indian imports.

India, recognized as a crucial strategic ally of the United States, has not yet been subjected to any new tariffs. The two leaders have nurtured a personal bond, with Modi—often criticized for India’s democratic decline—welcoming Trump’s return to the White House. Modi aims to recalibrate India’s relationship with the West, especially in light of his refusal to denounce Russia for its invasion of Ukraine.

Despite this relationship, Trump has frequently labeled India as a “tariff king” and pushed for the South Asian nation to facilitate the deportation of migrants. In response, India has shown openness to lowering tariffs on American goods, accepting the return of Indian citizens, and increasing its purchase of U.S. oil.

However, with tariff threats still looming, the crucial question remains: How much does personal rapport between the two leaders matter, and how far is India willing to go to reach a trade agreement?

Scrutiny on Body Language

During Trump’s first term, Modi built a strong working relationship with the U.S. president. The two leaders can capitalize on areas of alignment and “minimize areas of friction without conceding on core areas of national interest,” stated Meera Shankar, India’s former ambassador to the U.S.

“Most other partners have their reciprocal lists ready from the word go, because it’s a point of leverage when you negotiate,” Shankar explained, expressing optimism that India “will find the right balance between firmness and flexibility” when dealing with tariffs.

Modi, strengthened by his Hindu nationalist party’s victory in last weekend’s crucial state legislature election in India’s federal territory, including New Delhi, described the visit as an “opportunity to build upon” past collaboration and “deepen our partnership” in sectors such as technology, trade, defense, and energy.

Trump’s Expectations

During a conversation with Modi in January, Trump underscored the need for India to increase purchases of U.S.-made military equipment and weapons, as well as reduce the trade deficit. In 2023, the United States imported $50 billion more in goods from India than it exported.

According to a White House readout at the time, Trump “emphasized the importance of India increasing its procurement of American-made security equipment and moving toward a fair bilateral trading relationship.”

Earlier this month, India complied with a U.S. request to accept the return of 104 migrants on a military plane, marking the first such repatriation flight under a crackdown ordered by the Trump administration.

Additionally, Modi’s government has lowered certain high tariffs, including reducing duties on some Harley-Davidson motorcycles from 50% to 40%. In 2023, India also lifted retaliatory tariffs on American almonds, apples, chickpeas, lentils, and walnuts.

“Another thing we can expect is that Modi would offer to purchase more American (natural) gas to narrow the U.S. trade deficit,” said Lisa Curtis, director of the Indo-Pacific security program at the Washington-based Center for a New American Security. “This will help a little bit.”

Concerns Regarding China

India plays a pivotal role in the U.S. strategy to counterbalance China in the Indo-Pacific region. Later this year, it is set to host a summit of the Quad alliance, which includes the U.S., India, Japan, and Australia.

However, India might have to reassess its position if Trump’s administration pursues a diplomatic thaw with China.

“Trump’s outreach to China will complicate India’s ability to cultivate the American desire to use India as a proxy against China without actually ever becoming one,” noted Happymon Jacob, founder of the New Delhi-based Council for Strategic and Defense Research.

India recently took steps to improve ties with China. In December, both countries agreed to work toward resolving their longstanding border dispute in the Himalayas, which had led to a deadly military clash in 2020.

“Even a tactical accommodation between the U.S. and China has implications for India,” Shankar remarked.

Potential Defense Agreements

The United States remains India’s largest trading partner, with a trade imbalance of $50 billion in favor of India. The total Indo-U.S. trade in goods and services reached approximately $190.1 billion in 2023. According to India’s External Affairs Ministry, U.S. exports to India were valued at nearly $70 billion, while Indian exports to the U.S. stood at $120 billion.

India remains heavily reliant on Russia for military supplies, with about 60% of its defense equipment sourced from Moscow. However, uncertainties surrounding the Ukraine war have pushed New Delhi to explore alternative suppliers, including the U.S., Israel, and Britain.

A recent deal will enable U.S.-based General Electric to collaborate with Hindustan Aeronautics in manufacturing jet engines for Indian fighter aircraft. Additionally, India has agreed to purchase U.S.-made MQ-9B SeaGuardian armed drones.

Since 2008, India has signed contracts for over $20 billion worth of American defense equipment.

“For India, that could also be an area where we see some synergies with the U.S.,” Shankar stated, adding that Trump is expected to encourage further defense procurements by India.

Raja Mohan, an analyst at the Institute of South Asian Studies in Singapore, views Modi’s visit as a crucial moment to advance Indo-U.S. ties.

“India’s diplomatic skills will be tested, so the general goodwill that exists between Trump and Modi should be translated into concrete outcomes,” Mohan emphasized.

Pope Francis Condemns U.S. Deportation Plans, Warns of Consequences

Pope Francis issued a strong criticism on Tuesday regarding the Trump administration’s mass deportation plans, cautioning that expelling individuals solely based on their illegal status strips them of their dignity and will have dire consequences.

In an unprecedented move, Francis directly addressed the U.S. crackdown on migrants through a letter to American bishops, appearing to challenge Vice President JD Vance’s theological defense of the deportation strategy.

U.S. border czar Tom Homan promptly dismissed the pope’s comments, pointing out that the Vatican is a city-state enclosed by walls and arguing that border security should remain under his jurisdiction.

As the first Latin American pontiff, Francis has long prioritized the rights and welfare of migrants, frequently citing biblical teachings that emphasize welcoming strangers. He has called on nations to provide protection, integration, and support to those fleeing violence, poverty, and environmental crises, though he acknowledges that governments must operate within their means.

Tensions between the Argentine Jesuit and President Donald Trump on immigration matters date back to Trump’s first campaign. In 2016, Francis famously declared that anyone who builds walls to keep migrants out was “not a Christian.”

In his letter, Francis acknowledged the right of countries to ensure security and safeguard their communities from criminal threats.

“That said, the act of deporting people who in many cases have left their own land for reasons of extreme poverty, insecurity, exploitation, persecution or serious deterioration of the environment, damages the dignity of many men and women, and of entire families, and places them in a state of particular vulnerability and defenselessness,” he wrote.

Referencing the Book of Exodus and Jesus Christ’s own experiences, Francis defended the right of people to seek safety in other countries. He described the deportation plan as a “major crisis” unfolding in the United States.

He urged Christians to critically assess policies that conflate undocumented status with criminal behavior.

“Anyone schooled in Christianity cannot fail to make a critical judgment and express its disagreement with any measure that tacitly or explicitly identifies the illegal status of some migrants with criminality,” he said.

Francis further warned that policies rooted in force rather than fundamental human dignity are doomed to fail.

“What is built on the basis of force, and not on the truth about the equal dignity of every human being, begins badly and will end badly,” he cautioned.

Archbishop Timothy Broglio, president of the U.S. Conference of Catholic Bishops, expressed gratitude for the pope’s message in his response.

“With you, we pray that the U.S. government keep its prior commitments to help those in desperate need,” Broglio wrote. “Boldly I ask for your continued prayers so that we may find the courage as a nation to build a more humane system of immigration, one that protects our communities while safeguarding the dignity of all.”

White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt reported last week that over 8,000 people had been arrested in immigration raids since Trump’s inauguration on January 20. Some individuals have already been deported, while others remain in federal custody, including at Guantanamo Bay Naval Base in Cuba.

Vance, a Catholic convert, has defended the administration’s hardline immigration approach by invoking the medieval Catholic concept of “ordo amoris,” which describes a hierarchy of love—placing family first, followed by neighbors, local communities, and then the broader world.

Francis appeared to challenge Vance’s interpretation in his letter.

“Christian love is not a concentric expansion of interests that little by little extend to other persons and groups,” he wrote. “The true ordo amoris that must be promoted is that which we discover by meditating constantly on the parable of the ‘Good Samaritan,’ that is, by meditating on the love that builds a fraternity open to all, without exception.”

David Gibson, director of Fordham University’s Center on Religion and Culture, remarked on social media that Francis’ letter directly countered Vance’s theological claims.

“[It] takes aim at every single absurd theological claim by JD Vance and his allies in conservative Catholicism (and the Catholic electorate),” Gibson posted.

Vance’s argument had gained traction among conservative Catholics, including the Catholic League, which backed his interpretation of the hierarchy of Christian love.

In Crisis Magazine, editor Eric Sammons defended Vance’s stance, citing the teachings of St. Augustine and St. Thomas Aquinas.

“For Augustine, every love, even the love of neighbor, must be ordered beneath the love of God,” Sammons wrote. “This hierarchy extends to our human relationships where love for family, community, and nation should precede our love for the world at large, not in intensity but in priority of duty and responsibility.”

Homan, also a Catholic, dismissed the pope’s stance and argued that Francis should focus on Church affairs rather than U.S. border policy.

“He wants to attack us for securing our border. He’s got a wall around the Vatican, does he not?” Homan told reporters in a video posted by The Hill. “So he’s got a wall around that protects his people and himself, but we can’t have a wall around the United States.”

The Vatican, a 44-hectare (108-acre) walled city-state within Rome, has also implemented strict border measures. A law enacted in December imposes prison sentences of up to four years and fines of up to 25,000 euros ($25,873) on those who enter illegally using force, threats, or deception to bypass security.

The U.S. bishops conference had previously criticized Trump’s immigration policies, calling them “deeply troubling” in an unusually strong statement. The bishops warned that measures concerning immigration, foreign aid, capital punishment, and environmental policies would have harmful consequences, especially for vulnerable populations.

This marked a notable rebuke from the Catholic hierarchy in the U.S., which has traditionally prioritized opposition to abortion as a central political concern. Many bishops had previously supported the Supreme Court’s 2022 decision—enabled by Trump-appointed justices—to overturn constitutional protections for abortion.

Despite tensions between the Church and Trump’s policies, Catholic voters helped secure his victory in the 2024 election, giving him 54% of their votes—a notable increase from the 50% he received in 2020 when he ran against President Joe Biden, a fellow Catholic.

Bishop Mark Seitz of El Paso, Texas, who leads the U.S. Conference of Catholic Bishops’ migration committee, welcomed the pope’s letter as an important source of support in a challenging climate.

“We are dealing with these very threatening circumstances towards immigrants, towards our immigrant brothers and sisters, and also towards those who assist them in any way,” Seitz stated.

Speaking to The Associated Press, Seitz emphasized that while it’s important to acknowledge the concerns of Americans, including Catholic Trump supporters, regarding immigration, Church leaders must continue to uphold its teachings.

“But we have to just steadfastly announce the truth as best we understand it, both in terms of the teaching of the church and the reality on the ground,” he added.

Trump Meets Jordan’s King Abdullah, Reiterates Plan to Clear Gaza for Redevelopment

President Donald Trump welcomed Jordan’s King Abdullah II to the White House on Tuesday, once again pushing his controversial idea of evacuating Gaza’s population, placing it under U.S. control, and transforming it into a tourist destination.

This ambitious but highly improbable proposal to reshape the Middle East would require Jordan and other Arab nations to take in displaced Gazans. However, after their meeting, Abdullah reaffirmed his opposition to such a move.

Their discussion took place in the Oval Office, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio also present. Although Trump had previously suggested withholding U.S. aid from Jordan or Egypt if they refused to accept more people from Gaza, he appeared to backtrack on that stance.

“I don’t have to threaten that. I do believe we’re above that,” Trump stated. This contradicted his earlier remarks, where he had implied that reducing U.S. assistance was a possibility.

When asked multiple times about Trump’s plan to empty Gaza and convert it into a Mediterranean resort, Abdullah refrained from making any concrete remarks or committing to taking in large numbers of displaced Gazans.

However, the Jordanian leader did express his country’s willingness to accept up to 2,000 ill or cancer-stricken children from Gaza “right away.”

“I finally see somebody that can take us across the finish line to bring stability, peace and prosperity to all of us in the region,” Abdullah remarked, referring to Trump during their meeting.

After spending about two hours at the White House, Abdullah proceeded to Capitol Hill for discussions with a bipartisan group of lawmakers. Later, he posted on X, stating, “I reiterated Jordan’s steadfast position against the displacement of Palestinians in Gaza and the West Bank.”

“This is the unified Arab position. Rebuilding Gaza without displacing the Palestinians and addressing the dire humanitarian situation should be the priority for all,” he wrote.

Despite Abdullah’s firm stance, Trump used the meeting to once again suggest that the U.S. could assume control of Gaza. He claimed this wouldn’t require American financial contributions but insisted that placing the region under “U.S. authority” was feasible, though he did not elaborate on what that would entail.

“We’re not going to buy anything. We’re going to have it,” Trump said regarding U.S. control in Gaza. He envisioned constructing new hotels, office buildings, and residences, promising that the region would be “exciting.”

“I can tell you about real estate. They’re going to be in love with it,” Trump added, referencing his background in property development, while also maintaining that he had no personal interest in handling the redevelopment.

Trump has previously suggested that Gaza’s population could be relocated, either temporarily or permanently—an idea that has been met with strong opposition across the Arab world.

The former president also reiterated that a fragile ceasefire between Hamas and Israel could be scrapped if Hamas failed to release all remaining hostages by midday Saturday. He first raised this point on Monday but acknowledged that Israel would ultimately decide on the matter.

“I don’t think they’re going to make the deadline, personally,” Trump commented on Tuesday, referring to Hamas. “They want to play tough guy. We’ll see how tough they are.”

Abdullah’s visit coincided with a critical period for the ceasefire in Gaza. Hamas has accused Israel of breaching the truce and has delayed the release of more hostages captured during its attack on October 7, 2023.

Following Trump’s remarks, Hamas issued a statement calling them “racist” and “a call for ethnic cleansing.” The group also accused the former president of attempting to “liquidate the Palestinian cause and deny the national rights of the Palestinian people.”

Trump has repeatedly proposed that the U.S. should control Gaza and transform it into “the Riviera of the Middle East.” His vision includes relocating Palestinians to neighboring nations without granting them a right of return.

However, his statements on Tuesday contradicted his previous stance on potentially withholding U.S. aid from Jordan and Egypt—two long-standing American allies and top recipients of foreign assistance—if they refused to accept additional Palestinians from Gaza.

Jordan already hosts over 2 million Palestinians, and its government has remained resolute in opposing forced displacement. Last week, Jordanian Foreign Minister Ayman Safadi stated that his country’s stance on Gaza’s population transfer was “firm and unwavering.”

Beyond concerns over jeopardizing the longstanding objective of a two-state solution, both Egypt and Jordan have expressed private security fears about admitting large numbers of displaced Palestinians, even on a temporary basis.

Trump first outlined his plans for relocating Gaza’s residents and asserting U.S. control over the region during a press conference last week alongside Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

At the time, the former president did not rule out deploying American troops to help secure Gaza but simultaneously insisted that no U.S. funds would be allocated for its reconstruction—raising significant questions about how his proposal could be implemented.

Following Trump’s initial remarks, both Secretary of State Marco Rubio and White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt sought to clarify that his administration envisioned only a “temporary” relocation of Palestinians from Gaza. They claimed the move would allow for essential tasks such as clearing debris, disposing of unexploded ordnance, and reconstructing the region.

However, when asked in a Fox News interview on Monday whether displaced Palestinians would eventually be permitted to return to Gaza, Trump firmly responded, “No, they wouldn’t.”

Donald Trump Calls for End to Israel-Hamas Ceasefire if Hostages Are Not Released

Former U.S. President Donald Trump stated on Monday that the fragile ceasefire between Israel and Hamas should be terminated if Hamas does not release all remaining hostages in Gaza by noon on Saturday. However, he clarified that the ultimate decision rested with Israel.

Trump’s remarks followed Hamas’ announcement that it would delay further hostage releases, accusing Israel of breaching the three-week-old ceasefire. In response, Trump argued that following the release of three visibly frail hostages on Saturday, Israel should demand the release of all captives by midday Saturday or resume military operations.

“If they’re not here, all hell is going to break out,” Trump warned. He further emphasized, “Cancel it, and all bets are off.”

Despite his strong stance, Trump acknowledged that Israel had the final say. “I’m speaking for myself. Israel can override it,” he said. When asked if the U.S. would respond militarily if hostages were not released, he cryptically stated, “Hamas will find out what I mean.”

Trump’s comments also coincided with statements he made in an interview with Fox News, where he argued that Palestinians in Gaza would not have a right to return under his vision for U.S. “ownership” of the region. His remarks contradicted statements from other officials in his administration, who had described his proposal as a temporary measure to relocate Gaza’s population.

In an interview with Fox News’ Bret Baier, Trump was asked whether Palestinians in Gaza would be allowed to return to their homes. “No, they wouldn’t,” he replied. This stance aligned with his increasing pressure on Arab nations, particularly Jordan and Egypt, to take in Palestinian refugees, even though Palestinians consider Gaza part of their future homeland.

“We’ll build safe communities, a little bit away from where they are, where all of this danger is,” Trump stated. “In the meantime, I would own this. Think of it as a real estate development for the future. It would be a beautiful piece of land. No big money spent.”

His proposal has faced strong opposition from Arab nations. Trump is set to meet with Jordan’s King Abdullah II at the White House on Tuesday. Concerns have been raised that his plan could jeopardize the long-standing two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict. Egypt and Jordan have also expressed security concerns about hosting large numbers of refugees, even on a temporary basis.

When asked about persuading King Abdullah to accept Palestinian refugees, Trump said, “I do think he’ll take, and I think other countries will take also. They have good hearts.”

However, he hinted that he might withhold U.S. aid to Jordan and Egypt if they refused. “Yeah, maybe, sure why not,” Trump remarked. “If they don’t, I would conceivably withhold aid, yes.”

Trump’s statements could put further strain on the delicate ceasefire between Israel and Hamas, which has lasted for 15 months. The ongoing negotiations depend on significant humanitarian and reconstruction assistance for civilians in Gaza.

Following Trump’s remarks last week, White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt and Secretary of State Marco Rubio sought to clarify his position. They asserted that Trump only intended for the relocation of Palestinians to be “temporary” to facilitate clearing debris, removing unexploded ordnance, and rebuilding infrastructure.

Trump also expressed concern over the well-being of the remaining hostages held by Hamas. He suggested that those already released were in relatively better health, while the remaining captives were in critical condition or possibly deceased. “Based on what I saw over the past two days, they’re not going to be alive for long,” he stated.

The parents of slain American hostage Hersh Goldberg-Polin, Rachel and Jon Goldberg-Polin, urged Trump and his negotiating team to act quickly. In a video message released on Saturday, they called for the immediate release of all remaining hostages.

“All 76 hostages out this week,” they demanded. “End of war. Who benefits from dragging it out for so long? Not the people of this region. Let’s get it done right now.”

Trump has not ruled out deploying U.S. troops to help stabilize Gaza, but he has insisted that no American funds would be used for its reconstruction. This stance has raised key questions about the feasibility of his proposal.

On Monday, Egypt reiterated its opposition to relocating Palestinians from Gaza and the occupied West Bank, warning that such a move could destabilize the region.

A statement from the Egyptian Foreign Ministry reaffirmed the country’s support for the establishment of an independent Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as its capital. It stated that this was the foundation for a “comprehensive and just peace” in the region.

Egypt also rejected any measures that could violate Palestinians’ right to self-determination and independence. The statement underscored the right of return for Palestinian refugees displaced during the 1948 war, when hundreds of thousands fled or were forced to leave their homes in what is now Israel.

A senior Hamas official dismissed Trump’s remarks about U.S. “ownership” of Gaza, calling them “absurd.”

Izzat al-Rishq, a member of Hamas’ political bureau, criticized Trump’s statements, arguing that they demonstrated a lack of understanding of the region.

“These comments reflect a deep ignorance of Palestine and the region,” al-Rishq said in remarks released early Monday.

He further predicted that Trump’s approach to the Palestinian issue would not succeed. “Dealing with the Palestinian cause with the mentality of a real estate dealer is a recipe for failure,” he stated. “Our Palestinian people will thwart all transfer and deportation plans.”

PM Modi Engages Global Industry Leaders at WAVES Summit to Boost India’s Entertainment Sector

Prime Minister Narendra Modi engaged in virtual discussions with prominent Indian and international figures who serve on the WAVES Summit Advisory Board. The meeting included industry leaders such as Mukesh Ambani, Chairman of Reliance Industries, Satya Nadella, CEO of Microsoft, Anand Mahindra, Chairperson of Mahindra & Mahindra, Ted Sarandos, Co-CEO of Netflix, and renowned television and film producer Ekta R. Kapoor.

The WAVES Summit has attracted widespread attention, with its primary goal being to elevate India’s stature in global content creation. As the country continues to make significant strides in the entertainment sector, the summit is seen as a major initiative in strengthening India’s influence in the global creative economy.

Following the meeting, PM Modi shared his thoughts on X (formerly Twitter), stating, “Just concluded an extensive meeting of the Advisory Board of WAVES, the global summit that brings together the world of entertainment, creativity, and culture. The members of the Advisory Board are eminent individuals from different walks of life, who not only reiterated their support but also shared valuable inputs on how to further enhance our efforts to make India a global entertainment hub.”

The Prime Minister highlighted the expanding impact of India’s television shows and broader entertainment industry, emphasizing their contribution to both the nation’s economic growth and its increasing cultural significance on the world stage. His initiative has received strong backing from leading Bollywood actors such as Shah Rukh Khan and Akshay Kumar, who believe that WAVES has the potential to position India at the forefront of global content creation.

The WAVES Summit was first introduced by PM Modi in December 2024 as a key initiative aimed at establishing India as a major player in the international entertainment landscape.

During his address on his ‘Mann Ki Baat’ radio show, PM Modi urged young creators in the entertainment sector to participate in the event. He underscored the summit’s importance in reflecting India’s growing global presence in the creative industry.

“In the years ahead, as India works towards becoming a five-trillion-dollar economy, the creator economy is bringing new energy and momentum. I encourage all of India’s entertainment professionals — whether young or established, from Bollywood or regional cinema, TV industry professionals, or those in animation, gaming, or entertainment technology — to join the WAVES Summit,” said PM Modi.

WAVES is more than just a summit. A major highlight of the event is the inaugural International Animation Filmmakers Competition (AFC), which was launched on September 8, 2024. This competition provides a global platform for creators specializing in animation, VFX, AR-VR, and virtual production. It is considered a groundbreaking effort to showcase India’s growing capabilities in the creative sector.

U.S. and India at a Crossroads: Can They Build a Stronger Future Together?

The United States faces a critical decision—will it continue to lead in an evolving global economy, or will outdated policies drive away top talent? Nowhere is this challenge more pressing than in its partnership with India.

For years, Indian professionals have played a crucial role in driving U.S. innovation. Many have utilized the H-1B visa program, which allows American employers to hire “highly skilled” foreign workers on a temporary basis. Others have arrived as students, some returning to India after their studies, while others have settled permanently, contributing to the U.S. economy as citizens.

Currently, over 330,000 Indian students are enrolled in U.S. universities, and Indian professionals accounted for 72.3% of all H-1B visas issued in FY 2023. In the 2023-2024 academic year, India overtook China as the top source of international students in the U.S., reclaiming a position it last held in 2009, according to the latest Open Doors Report on International Educational Exchange.

With Donald J. Trump’s return to the White House and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi securing reelection in June 2024—albeit as the leader of a coalition—the stage is set for deeper U.S.-India relations. However, this comes amid internal U.S. debates over the H-1B visa program and the broader significance of immigration to American businesses.

Next week, Modi is scheduled to meet with Trump at the White House. As both countries emphasize economic self-reliance—through the “Made in the USA” and “Make in India” initiatives—the key issue is not whether they can coexist, but rather how they can collaborate for a stronger, interconnected future.

“This is such an important relationship, and it’s such a great opportunity for people-to-people, company-to-company, and government-to-government to make a difference in the world,” stated former U.S. Ambassador to India Eric Garcetti on the Heard in the Corridor Podcast, recorded at a Milken Institute summit in Abu Dhabi.

Rather than a competition, the U.S.-India relationship presents an advantage. Both nations lead in technology, education, and economic growth, and their partnership is essential for shaping the future. Garcetti described this collaboration as “an awakening” for Americans, recognizing India’s cultural and economic importance.

Kenneth I. Juster, Garcetti’s predecessor, echoed this sentiment in an interview with ABP Live, asserting that despite occasional “speed bumps” involving trade, tariffs, and immigration, Trump would ensure that U.S.-India relations remain “very strong.”

Can ‘Made in America’ and ‘Make in India’ Work Together?

With both countries prioritizing domestic economic growth, can the “Made in America” and “Make in India” strategies succeed in parallel? The answer lies in sound policy decisions, investment cooperation, and a mutual commitment to innovation that benefits both nations.

The potential rewards include more resilient supply chains, job creation, and access to expanding markets. India has significantly increased its foreign direct investment (FDI) in the United States, reflecting its growing economic stature. As the world’s fastest-growing major economy, with a population exceeding 1.4 billion, India is now the fifth-largest economy, boasting a GDP of $3.4 trillion. According to the U.S. State Department’s “2024 Investment Climate Statements: India” report, India is expected to surpass Japan and Germany by the early 2030s, securing its place as the world’s third-largest economy.

Indian companies investing in the U.S. are not merely expanding their business footprint; they are actively integrating into local communities. The reverse is also true, with American investments in India playing a similar role. This is not just about corporate social responsibility—it is about building lasting economic and strategic relationships.

However, if the U.S. fails to modernize its immigration and trade policies, top Indian talent that could otherwise contribute to the American economy may choose alternative destinations like Canada, Australia, or the United Kingdom.

Likewise, if India adopts overly protectionist policies, it may discourage crucial U.S. investments that drive innovation and economic expansion. Both countries have exhibited signs of protectionism under various administrations, particularly in sectors like manufacturing and technology. The bipartisan CHIPS and Science Act of 2022, which aims to boost domestic U.S. semiconductor production, along with tighter restrictions on foreign investments, highlight America’s increasing economic nationalism. The challenge is to balance these policies to safeguard economic and national security while fostering a mutually beneficial partnership.

Strengthening the U.S.-India Relationship

To maintain and enhance their partnership, the U.S. and India must take decisive action. The United States must reform its immigration policies to attract and retain top talent, while also crafting investment-friendly policies that encourage cross-border collaboration. Simultaneously, India should continue welcoming foreign investment and fostering knowledge exchange.

Deepening people-to-people ties between the two nations is equally vital. The relationship is not just about government agreements—it thrives on strong connections between the people of both countries.

Garcetti emphasized this, stating, “We already have more Indian students in our higher education institutions than from any other country. This exchange enriches both nations, and we need more Americans to study in India to create a two-way knowledge flow.”

As China makes significant strides in artificial intelligence, the United States must recognize the importance of engaging with India to ensure it does not miss out on opportunities in one of the world’s fastest-growing innovation hubs.

Trump recently pointed to the rapid rise of the Chinese AI app DeepSeek as a “wake-up call” for American technology firms. Meanwhile, India is emerging as a global leader in AI, digital technology, and advanced manufacturing. If the U.S. fails to collaborate effectively, it risks losing a key ally in technological innovation.

“India is moving to the center stage of innovation—where design, engineering, and cutting-edge technology are taking over,” Garcetti remarked. “It’s a testbed for AI applications across industries and languages.”

The Role of Investment and Collaboration

Foreign direct investment between the two nations is no longer a one-way flow. Indian companies are making a tangible impact on the U.S. economy. A prime example is JSW Steel’s investment in Texas, aimed at enhancing steel production and creating jobs.

Garcetti highlighted this, noting, “JSW’s investment is a prime example of how cross-border collaboration works for everyone—strengthening economies while advancing clean energy goals.”

The U.S.-India partnership is about more than trade. It represents a shared vision for the future, built on common values and global leadership.

“If you want your life or your business to be about something consequential, come to India,” Garcetti said. “If you want it to be compelling, come to India. And if you want to navigate the challenges of today’s world, the U.S.-India partnership is the place to start.”

Two decades ago, the devastating 2004 Indian Ocean earthquake and tsunami, which claimed over 200,000 lives, prompted a new era of international cooperation. The “Quad”—comprising the United States, India, Australia, and Japan—was formed in response, showcasing the strength of diplomatic and strategic alliances. However, like any partnership, its success hinges on the commitment of its members.

For Trump, Modi, and the citizens of both nations, the opportunity at hand is immense.

Now is the time for decisive action. The United States and India must reinforce their partnership through investment, policy reforms, and technological cooperation. The future will not be shaped by those who withdraw, but by those who seize the opportunity to innovate together.

Trump Orders Review and Funding Cuts for Key UN Organizations

President Donald Trump has issued an Executive Order directing increased scrutiny of three United Nations entities: the UN Human Rights Council (UNHRC), the UN Educational, Scientific, and Cultural Organization (UNESCO), and the UN Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA).

The order formally confirms the United States’ withdrawal from the UNHRC and suspends all future financial contributions to UNRWA. Additionally, it calls for an expedited review of UNESCO to examine whether the organization has demonstrated “anti-Israel bias.”

Under the directive, Secretary of State Marco Rubio must also assess and report on “international organizations, conventions, or treaties” that may foster radical ideologies or sentiments deemed “anti-American.”

Raising concerns about UNRWA’s alleged affiliations with terrorist activities, the order claims the agency has engaged in “anti-Semitic and anti-Israel” actions. It refers to reports that certain UNRWA personnel were involved in the October 7th attacks against Israel and highlights the use of the agency’s facilities by Hamas and other militant groups for stockpiling weapons and constructing tunnels.

“UNRWA has reportedly been infiltrated by members of groups long designated by the Secretary of State (Secretary) as foreign terrorist organizations, and UNRWA employees were involved in the October 7, 2023, Hamas attack on Israel,” the order states. It further criticizes the UNHRC for providing cover to human rights violators and accuses UNESCO of displaying a persistent anti-Israel stance over the past decade.

The order instructs the Secretary of State to formally inform the UN Secretary-General, as well as the leadership of UNRWA and the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, that the U.S. will no longer contribute funds to UNRWA or the UNHRC. Additionally, it declares that the United States will not “satisfy any claims to pay 2025 assessments or prior arrears by these organizations.”

Furthermore, the directive specifies that the U.S. will not take part in the UNHRC’s activities or seek a seat on the Council. The Secretary of State has been tasked with shutting down the Office of the U.S. Representative to the UNHRC and eliminating all associated positions.

Regarding UNESCO, the order mandates a comprehensive review of U.S. membership, which must be completed within 90 days. This assessment will be led by the Secretary of State in coordination with the U.S. Ambassador to the UN.

International Criminal Court Defiant as Trump Imposes Sanctions on Officials

The International Criminal Court (ICC) has reaffirmed its commitment to judicial independence despite sanctions imposed by former US President Donald Trump. The court condemned Trump’s executive order, stating it was designed to undermine its “independent and impartial” judicial processes.

The order follows the ICC’s issuance of an arrest warrant for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu over alleged war crimes in Gaza, charges Israel has denied. The court also issued a warrant for a senior Hamas commander. Trump’s order accuses the ICC of engaging in “illegitimate and baseless actions,” arguing its recent decisions set a “dangerous precedent” that could expose Americans to “harassment, abuse, and possible arrest.”

As a global tribunal, the ICC has jurisdiction over genocide, war crimes, and crimes against humanity. While more than 120 countries, including the UK and European nations, are members, the US and Israel have never joined.

In response to the sanctions, the ICC released a statement condemning the executive order. “The ICC condemns the issuance by the US of an executive order seeking to impose sanctions on its officials and harm its independent and impartial judicial work,” it said. The court also emphasized its mission to provide justice, stating it remains committed “to continue providing justice and hope to millions of innocent victims of atrocities across the world.”

The court has previously issued arrest warrants for world leaders, including Russian President Vladimir Putin for alleged war crimes in Ukraine, Taliban figures for “persecuting Afghan girls and women,” and Myanmar’s military leader for crimes against the Rohingya Muslims.

In Netanyahu’s case, ICC judges determined that there were “reasonable grounds” to believe that he, along with former Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant and Hamas commander Mohammed Deif—who died last year—bore “criminal responsibility for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity.”

However, the White House rejected the court’s actions, with a memo circulated on Thursday accusing the ICC of drawing a “shameful moral equivalency” between Israel and Hamas by issuing the warrants simultaneously.

Trump’s order also claims the ICC’s actions “threaten to infringe upon the sovereignty of the United States” and “undermine” US national security and foreign policy.

The sanctions specifically target individuals who assist ICC investigations involving US citizens or allies, restricting their financial transactions and travel. The timing of the move, which coincided with Netanyahu’s visit to the US, has drawn criticism from multiple allies, including the Netherlands and Germany.

UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s spokesperson reaffirmed Britain’s stance, stating that the UK supports the ICC’s independence.

The United Nations also condemned the order, calling for it to be reversed. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen emphasized the court’s crucial role, posting on X (formerly Twitter) that the ICC “must be able to freely pursue the fight against global impunity.”

Conversely, Israel’s Foreign Minister Gideon Saar praised Trump’s decision. “I strongly commend President Trump’s executive order,” he wrote on X, calling the ICC’s actions “immoral” and claiming they lacked “legal basis.”

Hungary also backed Trump’s stance. Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto said on Facebook that the order was “absolutely understandable,” alleging that the ICC had become a “biased political tool.” Hungary has faced criticism for maintaining ties with Russia despite the invasion of Ukraine and has invited Netanyahu to visit even after the ICC issued his arrest warrant.

Experts warn that the sanctions could have a major impact on the ICC’s operations. Zachary Kaufman, a former clerk for the court’s first chief prosecutor, told the BBC World Service that “the sanctions… do have the potential of freezing property and assets, as well as suspending entry into the United States of ICC officials and their immediate family members.”

The US has long rejected the ICC’s jurisdiction over its citizens and officials. Washington has accused the court of constraining Israel’s right to self-defense while failing to prosecute Iran and anti-Israel groups.

During his first term, Trump imposed similar sanctions on ICC officials investigating alleged US war crimes in Afghanistan. The measures included travel bans and asset freezes on then-chief prosecutor Fatou Bensouda. These were later lifted by President Joe Biden’s administration.

Despite Trump’s latest order, efforts to sanction the ICC remain stalled in Congress. Last month, the US House of Representatives passed a bill seeking to impose penalties on the court, but the legislation failed in the Senate.

Meanwhile, some countries have moved to reinforce the ICC’s authority. In response to what they view as attacks on the court, nine nations, including South Africa and Malaysia, formed the “Hague Group” last month to support the ICC and its rulings.

Before leaving office, President Biden also criticized the ICC’s decision to issue an arrest warrant for Netanyahu. He labeled the move “outrageous” and rejected any comparison between Israel and Hamas.

Trump’s order maintains that “both nations [the US and Israel] are thriving democracies with militaries that strictly adhere to the laws of war.”

The ICC prosecutor’s case against Netanyahu and Gallant found “reasonable grounds to believe” they bear criminal responsibility as co-perpetrators for multiple offenses, including “the war crime of starvation as a method of warfare” and “the crimes against humanity of murder, persecution, and other inhumane acts.” Additionally, it found “reasonable grounds” that both leaders were responsible for directing attacks against civilians.

Trump’s executive order follows his controversial proposal to “take over” Gaza and resettle Palestinians elsewhere. During a joint press conference with Netanyahu, he claimed his plan would transform Gaza into the “Riviera of the Middle East.” After widespread condemnation from Arab leaders and the UN, he reiterated the proposal on his Truth Social platform on Thursday.

Modi to Visit US, Meet Trump Amid Trade and Immigration Discussions

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is set to visit the United States next week for a meeting with President Donald Trump, according to a statement from the White House.

Reports indicate that Modi will also attend a dinner hosted by the US president during his two-day visit. However, the exact dates of the official working visit have not yet been disclosed.

The Indian leader will be one of the first foreign dignitaries to meet Trump at the White House following the start of his second term. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is currently in Washington, while Japan’s Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba is expected to arrive later this week.

During Trump’s first term, he and Modi shared a strong rapport. Last week, the two leaders engaged in what the White House described as a “productive” phone conversation, discussing issues such as illegal immigration, security, and trade relations.

Analysts believe it will be crucial to see whether this cordial relationship can help resolve concerns regarding trade disputes and immigration policies.

Trump, who has praised Modi as a “great leader,” has also criticized India over its trade practices, particularly its tariffs. Last year, he accused India of imposing excessive tariffs on US goods.

The confirmation of Modi’s visit to Washington comes shortly after a US military flight carrying around 100 deported Indian nationals landed in Punjab.

Reports suggest that those deported had either entered the US illegally or overstayed their visas.

During their phone conversation last week, Trump expressed confidence that India “will do the right thing” regarding illegal immigration.

Deportation of undocumented foreign nationals has been a central aspect of Trump’s policy. According to a Bloomberg report, 18,000 undocumented Indian migrants have been identified in the US, though experts believe the actual number may be higher.

A study by the Pew Research Center estimated that the number of undocumented Indian immigrants in the US stood at approximately 725,000 last year.

Thus far, India has managed to avoid facing direct US tariffs on its exports.

However, Trump has previously described India as the “tariff king” and a “big abuser” of trade relations. He has warned of reciprocal actions if India does not lower its taxes on American imports.

In an attempt to ease tensions, India’s latest budget included reductions in duties on various products, including high-end motorcycles like Harley-Davidson.

India’s finance secretary emphasized that this decision demonstrated the country was “not a tariff king.”

Last week, the Indian foreign ministry affirmed that efforts were underway to strengthen bilateral ties between the two nations.

India’s Foreign Minister S. Jaishankar represented the country at Trump’s inauguration ceremony and held discussions with US Secretary of State Marco Rubio while visiting Washington.

Following Trump’s re-election victory in November, Jaishankar stated that India had no concerns about collaborating with the US administration.

Trump Proposes U.S. Ownership of Gaza in Meeting with Netanyahu

President Donald Trump met with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at the White House on Tuesday, where he proposed that the United States take control of the Gaza Strip and redevelop the war-torn territory.

During a press conference following their meeting, Trump suggested that the U.S. could relocate approximately 1.8 million Palestinians and completely rebuild the Gaza Strip. He envisioned transforming it into the “Riviera of the Middle East” under American administration.

“We’ll own it and be responsible for dismantling all of the dangerous unexploded bombs and other weapons on the site,” Trump stated while Netanyahu observed. “Level the site, and get rid of the destroyed buildings. Level it out, create an economic development.”

Netanyahu was the first foreign leader to visit Trump since he took office last month. Trump underscored their close alliance, describing the relationship between their countries as “unbreakable.”

Trump’s remarks align with his previous calls for neighboring countries to absorb Palestinians displaced by the war between Israel and Hamas. He has specifically pointed to Egypt and Jordan as potential hosts, though both countries have firmly rejected the idea. However, Trump expressed confidence that they would ultimately comply.

Trump did not specify how the U.S. might assume control of Gaza but did not rule out deploying American troops to assist in reconstruction efforts. He also announced plans to visit Israel and Gaza.

When Netanyahu took the podium, he commended Trump’s dedication to Israel. Addressing Trump’s idea for Gaza, Netanyahu remarked, “I think it’s something that could change history. And I think it’s worthwhile really pursuing.”

The meeting occurred as Israel and Hamas continue negotiations over the second phase of a ceasefire agreement. The first phase centered on the release of Israeli hostages and Palestinian detainees.

Trump administration officials stressed the importance of fully implementing Phase 1 to ensure the safe return of all hostages, including those who have died. They explained that Phase 2 would aim to conclude the war and secure the release of all remaining Israeli captives in Gaza.

However, Trump’s envoy cautioned that Phase 3—rebuilding Gaza—would present significant challenges. He described the idea of reconstruction within five years as “physically impossible,” estimating that it would require a timeline of 10 to 15 years due to the extensive devastation caused by the conflict.

Trump also expressed skepticism about the durability of the ceasefire.

“I have no guarantees that the peace is going to hold,” he admitted to reporters in the Oval Office on Monday.

When questioned about his vision for a U.S.-led Gaza redevelopment, Trump responded, “I envision the world people living there. The world’s people. I think you’ll make that into an international, unbelievable place.”

He also acknowledged that Palestinians would continue to inhabit the territory.

“You have to learn from history. History is – you just can’t let it keep repeating itself. We have an opportunity to do something that could be phenomenal,” Trump stated.

As part of his broader Middle East strategy, Trump signed two executive orders on Tuesday. The first order intensified pressure on Iran, a decision he admitted was difficult.

“I’m signing this and I’m unhappy to do it, but I have not so much choice because we have to be strong and firm,” he said, emphasizing his hope that the measure would not have to be enforced.

“To me, it’s very simple. Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon,” Trump added, asserting the U.S. authority to block the sale of Iranian oil to other nations.

The second order withdrew the U.S. from the United Nations Human Rights Council (UNHRC) and terminated funding for the United Nations Relief Works Agency (UNRWA), which primarily assists Palestinian refugees.

Both Democrats and Republicans have criticized the UNHRC, accusing it of bias against Israel.

Additionally, the order included a consideration to withdraw from UNESCO, the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization.

Trump Proposes US Takeover of Gaza, Netanyahu Calls Him Israel’s ‘Greatest Friend’

US President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu held a joint press conference late Tuesday following their meeting at the White House, during which Trump proposed that the United States “take over” the Gaza Strip while discussing a potential truce with Hamas.

Netanyahu praised Trump, referring to him as “the greatest friend Israel has ever had.”

Key highlights from the press conference include Trump’s suggestion that the US would assume control of Gaza, his vision for its redevelopment, and Netanyahu’s emphasis on Israel’s objectives in the ongoing conflict.

Trump stated that the United States would “take over” and “own” the Gaza Strip. “The US will take over the Gaza Strip, and we will do a job with it, too. We’ll own it,” he said.

He did not dismiss the possibility of deploying US troops to Gaza, saying, “As far as Gaza is concerned, we’ll do what is necessary. If it’s necessary, we’ll do that.”

Trump outlined plans for clearing unexploded ordnance, demolishing damaged structures, and developing infrastructure to generate jobs and housing.

He also reiterated his belief that Palestinians should relocate to other Middle Eastern countries, such as Egypt and Jordan, despite both nations and Palestinian leaders rejecting this notion.

“It (Gaza Strip) should not go through a process of rebuilding and occupation by the same people that have really stood there and fought for it and lived there and died there and lived a miserable existence there,” Trump said.

He added that the two million people in Gaza should “go to other countries of interest with humanitarian hearts.”

Trump further elaborated that he viewed US control over Gaza as a long-term strategy, emphasizing that Palestinians should move elsewhere. “This is not a decision made lightly,” he said. He claimed widespread approval for the idea, stating, “Everybody I’ve spoken to loves the idea of the United States owning that piece of land.”

He also suggested that Gaza could be transformed into a prime destination. “The Riviera of the Middle East. This could be something that could be so magnificent,” he said, envisioning Gaza as an international attraction open to people from around the world, including Palestinians.

Netanyahu commended Trump and his proposals, calling him “the greatest friend Israel has ever had” and indicating that Trump’s plan could “change history” and warranted serious consideration.

“I’ve said this before, I’ll say it again: you are the greatest friend Israel has ever had in the White House,” Netanyahu remarked. “And that’s why the people of Israel have such enormous respect for you.”

Netanyahu also emphasized that Israel’s mission in Gaza remains unfinished, urging Trump to support efforts to secure Israel’s future. He listed three main objectives: eliminating Hamas, ensuring the release of hostages, and preventing Gaza from posing further threats to Israel.

He expressed confidence that Trump’s “willingness to puncture conventional thinking” would help achieve these goals.

“Israel will end the war by winning the war. Israel’s victory will be America’s victory,” Netanyahu declared.

Forbes 2025 List of the World’s Most Powerful Countries: India Absent from Top 10

Forbes has unveiled its 2025 list of the world’s ten most powerful countries, with the United States securing the top position, followed by China in second place. Israel rounds out the list at the tenth spot. The rankings, based on multiple key factors, have ignited discussions due to the absence of India, despite its significant global standing as the country with the largest population, the fourth-largest military, and the fifth-largest economy.

Forbes clarified that the rankings were compiled by US News, with the methodology centered around five essential parameters: leadership, economic influence, political power, strong international alliances, and military strength.

The ranking system was devised by BAV Group, a division of the global marketing firm WPP, in collaboration with researchers from the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania, led by Professor David Reibstein. The research was conducted in association with US News & World Report.

As of February 2025, India holds the 12th position in the global power rankings. This placement considers India’s growing economic strength, key international alliances, and military capabilities. In terms of global GDP, India is ranked fifth, following the United States, China, Germany, and Japan.

Top 10 powerful countries in the world 2025

S.No Country GDP Population Region
1. United States $30.34 trillion 34.5 crore North America
2. China $19.53 trillion 141.9 crore Asia
3. Russia $2.2 trillion 144.4 crore Asia
4. United Kingdom $3.73 trillion 6.91 crore Europe
5. Germany $4.92 trillion 8.45 crore Europe
6. South Korea $1.95 trillion 5.17 crore Asia
7. France $3.28 trillion 6.65 crore Europe
8. Japan $4.39 trillion 12.37 crore Asia
9. Saudi Arabia $1.14 trillion 3.39 crore Asia
10. Israel $550.91 billion 93.8 lakh Asia

Finland Struggles With Declining Birth Rate Despite Strong Social Policies

Finland, once a model for balancing work and family life, is struggling with a sharp decline in birth rates as more adults choose to remain child-free. Despite extensive parental leave, quality child care, free education, and universal health care, Finland’s fertility rate has fallen below the replacement level of 2.1, mirroring a broader trend across Europe.

This trend extends beyond Europe. The U.S. birth rate has hit a historic low of 1.6 children per woman, while Japan’s stands at 1.2. Africa’s fertility rate in 2025 is projected to be 4.05 births per woman, reflecting a 1.3 percent decline from 2024. China, despite efforts to encourage childbirth—including framing it as patriotic—reported its population decline for the third consecutive year.

U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance recently addressed the issue: “Our society has failed to recognize the obligation that one generation has to another as a core part of living in a society. So let me say very simply, I want more babies in the United States of America.”

In Finland, the fertility rate dropped to 1.32 in 2022, according to Statistics Finland. The nation’s population of 5.5 million has seen an average age increase to 43 in 2023, with only 15 percent under age 15 and 23 percent over 65.

This so-called “fertility paradox” challenges the assumption that strong social welfare systems lead to higher birth rates.

Dr. Oskari Heikinheimo, an ob-gyn in Helsinki, attributes the decline to changing societal priorities. “The traditional model of the nuclear family is no longer the sole aspiration for many young people,” he said.

Women increasingly delay motherhood for education and careers, and many remain single—nearly a quarter of Finns and about half of Helsinki’s residents live alone. Finding a compatible partner has become harder, with political differences between genders playing a role.

Between 2010 and 2019, Finland’s fertility rate fell from 1.87 to 1.35, placing it below Britain’s 1.6 and slightly above Italy’s 1.3. This contrasts with the early 2000s when the birth rate rose from 1.73 in 2000 to 1.87 in 2010, indicating that past policies promoting gender equality and family support were effective, though not sustainable.

Declining birth rates worldwide raise concerns about economic growth and sustaining welfare programs for aging populations. Some experts see it as a crisis for humanity.

The issue has become politicized in Finland, as in other European nations. The rise of right-wing populism has fueled pro-natalist policies, reflecting a conservative push.

Anna Rotkirch of Finland’s Population Research Institute highlighted that among Finnish adults aged 22-40 who desire children, the biggest barrier is finding a suitable partner.

To counteract population decline, Finland has turned to immigration. In 2023, the country saw a net gain of 58,000 immigrants, per Statistics Finland. However, integration challenges such as language barriers and cultural biases persist. Even with a welcoming approach, Finland competes with other developed nations for skilled immigrants, and its harsh Nordic climate is often unappealing to outsiders.

Finnish lawmakers have promoted increasing birth rates, but some efforts—like encouraging participation in “synnytystalkoot,” a communal push for childbirth—have been criticized as excessive.

In 2022, Finland extended paid parental leave to 13 months, split equally between parents. The country also boasts one of the lowest maternal mortality rates globally and heavily subsidized child care. Yet, birth rates remain low, posing risks to the welfare system’s financial stability.

The increasing age of first-time mothers is another factor. In 2018, 24 percent of first-time mothers were 35 or older, compared to 20-24 percent in other Nordic nations, according to Mika Gissler of the Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare.

While delaying childbirth allows women to pursue personal and professional goals, it can lead to riskier pregnancies and fewer children overall.

For some, postponing parenthood is a conscious choice. Eira Talka, 41, became a mother at 36 after years of travel and career-building. “I never even wished for a child when I was under 30,” she said.

Talka believes older parenthood has its advantages. “Maybe nighttime wake-ups with a baby would have been easier when we were younger, but I also think I would have been more helpless and less mature in challenging situations,” she added.

Gender-based ideological divides also make family formation more difficult. Finnish media reports that while men increasingly lean right politically, women are shifting left. Talka noted that these differences extend to lifestyles and social expectations.

“This ideological divide is likely linked to differences in lifestyles, places of residence, and the inability of some young men to adapt to life in Finland,” she said. “Political attitudes harden when life doesn’t go as expected.”

Growing acceptance of diverse family structures, including single parenthood and same-sex couples, has given Finns more options but also added complexity to childrearing. Rotkirch suggested that a cultural expectation for stability in finances, careers, and relationships before having children contributes to delays.

Economic and social factors also influence parenthood. Lower education levels and higher unemployment particularly impact men’s likelihood of becoming fathers. Statistics Finland and the Family Federation of Finland reported that as of 2015-2017, 36 percent of low-educated men had no children by age 40-45, compared to 23 percent of low-educated women.

A growing child-free movement is another contributor. The Family Federation of Finland’s 2023 Family Barometer found that 15 percent of Finns identify as voluntarily child-free, with 25 percent of those under 25 saying they do not want children.

Soile Rajamaki, president of the Finnish Childfree Association, emphasized the importance of respecting these choices. “Many believe that being child-free is an innate quality or identity issue,” she said, citing personal freedom and environmental concerns as key factors. The association, founded in 2012, has grown steadily and advocates for publicly funded sterilization, arguing that Finland’s minimum sterilization age of 30 should be lowered.

Meanwhile, some Finnish parents feel that society lacks psychological support for raising children. “It’s a fact that Finnish society is hostile towards children—or maybe it’s hostility towards parents,” said Julia Thuren, a 37-year-old Helsinki-based mother of three and social media influencer who shares the joys of parenthood.

Thuren, who frequently travels with her children, said she often receives disapproving looks from fellow passengers on public transportation. “It’s rare for people to say something; it’s more about getting the evil eye,” she said.

Municipalities with aging populations have introduced financial incentives to encourage childbirth. A study by the Association of Finnish Municipalities found that over 100 towns and cities offered baby bonuses, usually around 500 euros ($520). Some, like Tervola in Finnish Lapland, provide up to 6,000 euros ($6,250) over five years.

However, financial incentives alone may not be effective. Lestijarvi, for example, discontinued its 10,000-euro ($10,400) baby bonus program due to lack of success.

Rajamaki of the Finnish Childfree Association believes the real concern is not just declining birth rates but a cultural shift in how motherhood is perceived. “This concern about the reduced birth rate is more accurately a concern about a cultural change, where motherhood is no longer raised on the pedestal to be a woman’s only true goal in life,” she said.

As Finland navigates this demographic shift, it must grapple with economic, cultural, and ideological factors shaping its future population trends.

UK Extracted $64.82 Trillion from India During Colonial Rule, Oxfam Report Reveals

Oxfam International’s latest global inequality report, titled “Takers, Not Makers,” reveals that the United Kingdom extracted an astonishing $64.82 trillion from India over 135 years of colonial rule, from 1765 to 1900. Of this massive sum, $33.8 trillion benefited the wealthiest 10 percent of British society. This amount is so vast that it could cover London’s surface area almost four times over with £50 notes. The report, released just hours before the annual World Economic Forum meeting, highlights the enduring impact of colonial exploitation on global inequality.

“Legacies of inequality and pathologies of plunder, pioneered during the time of historical colonialism, continue to shape modern lives,” Oxfam stated in the report. The organization argues that colonial-era practices have created a deeply unequal world, marked by divisions rooted in racism and economic exploitation. Oxfam asserts that wealth continues to be systematically extracted from the Global South, primarily benefiting the richest individuals in the Global North.

The report draws from various studies and historical research to support its claims. According to Oxfam, the $33.8 trillion siphoned from India by the UK’s wealthiest during colonial times represents a significant portion of the total wealth extracted. “This would be enough to carpet the surface area of London in British pound 50 notes almost four times over,” the report emphasizes.

Oxfam also highlights that many of the UK’s wealthiest individuals today can trace their fortunes back to the colonial era, particularly to compensation payments given to slave owners after the abolition of slavery. This historical wealth accumulation has had a lasting effect, with economic advantages passed down through generations.

The report underscores the role of colonialism in shaping modern multinational corporations. Oxfam describes these corporations as products of colonial systems, with roots in entities like the East India Company, which operated with near-sovereign powers and was responsible for numerous colonial crimes. “In the modern day, multinational corporations, often occupying monopoly or near-monopoly positions, continue to exploit workers in the Global South, particularly women workers, on behalf of rich shareholders primarily based in the Global North,” Oxfam noted.

Global supply chains and export processing industries are portrayed as modern equivalents of colonial exploitation, facilitating the continuous transfer of wealth from the Global South to the Global North. Workers in these industries often face harsh conditions, lack collective bargaining rights, and receive minimal social protection. The report points out that wages in the Global South are between 87 percent and 95 percent lower than those in the Global North for jobs requiring similar skills.

Oxfam asserts that large multinational corporations dominate global supply chains, reaping the benefits of cheap labor and resource extraction from the Global South. These corporations capture the majority of profits while perpetuating economic dependence and exploitation. “They capture the vast majority of profits and perpetuate dependence, exploitation, and control through economic means,” the report states.

Beyond the wealthiest elites, colonialism also enriched the emerging middle class in Britain. Oxfam estimates that after the richest 10 percent, who received 52 percent of the income extracted from India, the new middle class claimed an additional 32 percent. This distribution of wealth underscores how deeply colonial exploitation was embedded in British society.

The economic impact of colonialism on India was devastating. In 1750, the Indian subcontinent accounted for around 25 percent of global industrial output. However, by 1900, this figure had plummeted to just 2 percent. Oxfam attributes this sharp decline to Britain’s protectionist trade policies, which systematically stifled India’s industrial growth. “This dramatic reduction can be attributed to Britain’s implementation of stringent protectionist policies against Asian textiles, which systematically undermined India’s industrial growth potential,” the report explains.

Ironically, it took a global conflict to temporarily ease this industrial suppression. During World War I (1914–1918), disruptions in colonial trade inadvertently spurred industrial growth in several colonies. Oxfam notes that regions experiencing significant declines in British imports during the war saw notable increases in industrial employment. “Regions with significant decreases in British imports during the war demonstrated enhanced industrial employment growth—a pattern that is still visible today,” the report observes.

The report further highlights that colonial expansion was often driven by private interests rather than purely state-led initiatives. Private companies like the East India Company played a central role in establishing and maintaining colonial dominance, exploiting both people and resources for profit. This legacy continues to influence modern corporate practices, where multinational corporations often prioritize profits over social responsibility, particularly in developing countries.

Oxfam’s report also connects historical colonial practices to present-day economic inequalities. The organization argues that the structures of global capitalism are deeply rooted in colonial systems of wealth extraction and exploitation. Modern economic policies, trade agreements, and corporate practices often mirror the same dynamics of control and dependency established during colonial times.

“Global supply chains and export processing industries represent modern colonial systems of south-north wealth extraction,” Oxfam states, drawing a direct line between historical colonialism and contemporary economic structures. The organization emphasizes that without addressing these systemic issues, global inequality will continue to deepen.

The report calls for urgent reforms to address these historical injustices and create a more equitable global economic system. Oxfam advocates for policies that promote fair wages, protect workers’ rights, and reduce the concentration of wealth among the global elite. The organization also emphasizes the importance of acknowledging and addressing the historical roots of modern economic disparities.

In conclusion, Oxfam’s “Takers, Not Makers” report paints a stark picture of the enduring impact of colonialism on global inequality. The staggering amounts of wealth extracted from India during British colonial rule—$64.82 trillion in total, with $33.8 trillion benefiting the richest 10 percent—highlight the scale of historical exploitation. The report underscores that the legacies of colonialism are not confined to the past but continue to shape the present, influencing everything from corporate practices to global economic policies.

“This has created a deeply unequal world, a world torn apart by division based on racism, a world that continues to systematically extract wealth from the Global South to primarily benefit the richest people in the Global North,” Oxfam concludes, calling for a global reckoning with the past to build a more just and equitable future.

Trump Announces Tariff Campaign Targeting Multiple Countries to Revive U.S. Manufacturing

Former President Donald Trump has declared that his tariffs campaign will officially commence on February 1, targeting several countries as part of his broader effort to boost American manufacturing and fulfill key policy objectives.

Speaking from the Oval Office on Thursday, Trump outlined his initial plans, which include imposing a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico to reinforce U.S. border security. Additionally, he announced a 10% tariff on Chinese goods, aimed at curbing the flow of drug imports into the country.

Trump emphasized the dual purpose of these tariffs—strengthening the domestic economy while addressing issues like border security and drug trafficking. “Trump has been clear about his desire to end the fentanyl crisis, and it’s time for Mexico and Canada to join the fight as well,” a White House official told Business Insider (BI). Trump also argued that the tariff on China would help combat the fentanyl crisis.

Economic Impact and Reactions

Economists widely predict that companies affected by these tariffs will likely pass the increased costs onto consumers. Industries such as electronics, groceries, and apparel are expected to experience noticeable price hikes if the tariffs are implemented. Several companies have already indicated they are preparing to raise prices in response to the anticipated cost increases.

Despite concerns from economists, the White House insists the tariffs will help deliver on Trump’s campaign promises. According to the administration, these measures are necessary to protect American industries and address pressing issues like the opioid epidemic.

Countries in Trump’s Crosshairs

Trump’s tariffs campaign is not limited to Canada, Mexico, and China. His trade proposals have identified several countries that could face similar measures if they do not align with U.S. policy interests.

China: A Central Target

China has been a focal point of Trump’s tariff strategy since his 2016 presidential campaign. Back then, he proposed a sweeping 60% tariff on all Chinese imports, alongside tariffs ranging from 10% to 20% on goods from other nations.

However, after assuming office, Trump’s approach to China became more specific. On January 21, he announced plans to implement a 10% tariff on Chinese imports starting February 1, citing China’s role in fentanyl exports to Mexico and Canada. “It’s based on the fact that they’re sending fentanyl to Mexico and Canada,” Trump said, though he did not provide details on any specific incidents related to fentanyl exports.

China is a significant supplier of electronics to the U.S., meaning products like smartphones, computers, and gaming devices could become more expensive as a result of the new tariffs.

In response to Trump’s announcement, Mao Ning, a spokesperson for China’s Foreign Ministry, stated on February 22, “We believe that there’s no winner in a trade or tariff war, and we will firmly uphold our national interests.”

Canada and Mexico: Tariffs Tied to Border Policies

Trump also issued a stern warning to Canada and Mexico. On January 20, he threatened to impose a 25% tariff on products from both countries, with the potential implementation date set for February 1. This threat follows a previous post he made on his social media platform, Truth Social, where he declared that he would impose such tariffs on his first day back in office unless Canada and Mexico took steps to strengthen their border policies.

The U.S. relies heavily on imports from both neighboring countries. From Canada, the U.S. imports approximately $92 billion worth of crude oil annually, along with billions of dollars in vehicles and automotive parts. Mexico is another key trading partner, supplying not only car components but also $25 billion worth of computers to the U.S. each year.

Trump’s aggressive stance extends beyond North America. On Truth Social, he wrote, “If we don’t make a ‘deal,’ and soon, I have no other choice but to put high levels of Taxes, Tariffs, and Sanctions on anything being sold by Russia to the United States, and various other participating countries.”

Russia: Limited Trade, Minimal Consumer Impact

In 2023, the U.S. imported around $4.57 billion worth of goods from Russia, accounting for just 0.14% of total U.S. imports that year, according to Census data. Given the relatively small volume of Russian exports to the U.S., any tariffs imposed on Russian goods would likely have minimal impact on American consumers.

Colombia: Tariffs as a Response to Migration Disputes

Trump’s tariff threats have also extended to Colombia following a diplomatic spat over deportation flights. After Colombian President Gustavo Petro’s administration refused to accept two flights carrying deported migrants from the U.S., Trump retaliated with a threat to impose a 25% tariff on Colombian goods. He further warned that the tariff could escalate to 50% within a week if Colombia did not comply with U.S. demands.

“We will not allow the Colombian Government to violate its legal obligations with regard to the acceptance and return of the criminals they forced into the United States!” Trump declared on Truth Social.

In response, President Petro defended his government’s position, stating that Colombia would receive its citizens “on civilian planes, without treating them like criminals.” Following Petro’s remarks, the White House withdrew the tariff threat but cautioned that it could be reinstated if Colombia failed to honor its commitments.

Colombia exports a variety of goods to the U.S., including coffee, flowers, and textiles. A tariff on these products could lead to price increases for American consumers who purchase Colombian imports.

The Broader Implications of Trump’s Tariff Strategy

Trump’s tariffs campaign reflects his broader economic philosophy, which prioritizes American manufacturing and seeks to reduce the U.S.’s reliance on foreign goods. His administration argues that tariffs are an effective tool to achieve these goals, as they can pressure foreign governments to change policies while encouraging domestic production.

However, critics argue that tariffs often backfire, leading to higher prices for consumers and strained relationships with key trading partners. Economists have long debated the effectiveness of tariffs, with many warning that trade wars can hurt both sides. As Mao Ning of China’s Foreign Ministry noted, “There’s no winner in a trade or tariff war.”

Despite these concerns, Trump remains steadfast in his belief that tariffs are essential to protecting American interests. His administration has framed the issue as not just an economic matter, but also one of national security, particularly in relation to border control and the fight against drug trafficking.

What’s Next?

As the February 1 deadline approaches, businesses, consumers, and foreign governments are closely watching to see how Trump’s tariffs will unfold. Some companies are already adjusting their supply chains in anticipation of higher costs, while others are preparing to pass those costs onto consumers.

Meanwhile, foreign leaders are weighing their responses. Some, like China, have signaled their intent to defend their national interests, while others, like Colombia, have shown a willingness to negotiate to avoid economic penalties.

Ultimately, the success of Trump’s tariffs campaign will depend on how effectively it can achieve its intended goals without causing undue harm to American consumers or the broader economy. For now, the only certainty is that February 1 will mark the beginning of a new chapter in U.S. trade policy—one defined by aggressive tariffs and high-stakes diplomacy.

Trump Announces Likely White House Visit by PM Modi in February

US President Donald Trump has indicated that Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is expected to visit the White House for a meeting next month, likely in February.

Speaking to reporters aboard Air Force One on Monday, while en route back to Joint Base Andrews from Florida, Trump shared details about his recent conversation with Modi. “I had a long talk with him this morning (Monday). He is going to be coming to the White House, over next month, probably February. We have a very good relationship with India,” the president remarked.

Trump’s comments came in response to a query about his phone call with the Indian Prime Minister earlier that day. When asked to elaborate on their discussion, the president stated, “Everything came up (in a phone call with Modi).”

The upcoming meeting, if confirmed, will build upon the cordial rapport between the two leaders. Trump and Modi share a strong personal connection, which has been evident in their past interactions. Notably, the two leaders addressed massive crowds together at two high-profile events: the “Howdy Modi” rally in Houston in September 2019 and the “Namaste Trump” event in Ahmedabad in February 2020.

Trump’s last foreign trip as president during his initial term in office was to India, underscoring the significance of U.S.-India relations during his tenure.

Prime Minister Modi, known for his proactive diplomatic engagements, was also among the first three world leaders to congratulate Trump following his remarkable electoral victory in November 2024, reflecting the close ties between the two nations.

This meeting, if it takes place, will be another milestone in the ongoing cooperation and dialogue between the United States and India.

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio and S Jaishankar Discuss Key Bilateral and Global Issues

In Washington DC today, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio held his first meeting with India’s External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar, during which the issue of “irregular immigration” was a prominent topic of discussion.

According to a readout provided by State Department spokesperson Tammy Bruce, Rubio underscored the Trump administration’s commitment to working collaboratively with India to address this concern. “Rubio emphasised the Trump administration’s desire to work with India to advance economic ties and address concerns related to irregular migration,” Bruce stated.

The two leaders reaffirmed their shared dedication to strengthening the India-US partnership, Bruce added. They explored an array of topics, including regional matters and avenues to further enhance collaboration between the two countries in areas such as critical and emerging technologies, defence cooperation, energy security, and promoting a free and open Indo-Pacific region.

After the meeting, Jaishankar shared his thoughts on the discussions through a post on X. He expressed his satisfaction at meeting Rubio for their first bilateral engagement since Rubio assumed office as Secretary of State. “Reviewed our extensive bilateral partnership, of which Rubio has been a strong advocate. Also exchanged views on a wide range of regional and global issues. Look forward to closely working with him to advance our strategic cooperation,” Jaishankar wrote.

Jaishankar is currently in Washington DC on the invitation of the US government to attend the swearing-in ceremony of Donald Trump, who was inaugurated as the 47th President of the United States on Monday.

In addition to his bilateral talks with Jaishankar, Rubio also engaged in discussions with the foreign ministers of Australia and Japan—Penny Wong and Takeshi Iwaya, respectively. Following these discussions, the four nations issued a joint statement committing to regular meetings among their officials to prepare for an upcoming leaders’ summit, which is expected to take place in India later this year.

This meeting underscores the ongoing efforts to deepen the India-US strategic relationship while addressing global and regional challenges collaboratively.

Donald Trump Sworn In As The 47th US President

“The golden age of America begins right now,” declared Donald Trump in his inaugural address on January 20, 2025, immediately after he was sworn in as the 47th president of the United States. Trump said the US would “flourish and be respected” under his leadership. Trump is taking charge of the world’s most powerful nation, even as the Republicans claim unified control of Washington and setting out to reshape the country’s institutions.

Trump was sworn in by Chief Justice of the US Supreme Court John Roberts, marking a political comeback after being convicted of felonies. His running mate, JD Vance, was sworn in by Justice Brett Kavanaugh. The ceremony was moved inside to the U.S. Capitol Rotunda because of frigid weather for only the first time since Ronald Reagan’s second inauguration 40 years ago.

Photos of the swearing-in show Trump with his hand at his side, not on the Bible, as has been a long held tradition. Using a Bible during the presidential oath is traditional but not required; only the oath is mandated by the Constitution. Theodore Roosevelt, John Quincy Adams, and Lyndon B. Johnson did not use a Bible for their oaths.

The high-profile, solemn ceremony was attended by, among others, Tech billionaires, including Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos, cabinet nominees, and former presidents, who were all at the ceremony in the rotunda of the US Capitol. Country music star Carrie Underwood performed “America the Beautiful.”

President Donald Trump claimed today, January 20, 2025, is “liberation day.”  He went on to state that, “It is my hope that our recent presidential election will be remembered as the greatest and most consequential election in the history of our country.” Trump added that his presidential victory showed that “the entire nation is rapidly unifying behind our agenda with dramatic increases in support from virtually every element of our society.”

Inauguration ceremony for Trump's second presidential term
Photo Credit: Reuters

He went on to thank Black and Hispanic voters for “the tremendous outpouring of love and trust that you have shown me with your vote. We set records and I will not forget it,” the president said. “I’ve heard your voices on the campaign, and I look forward to working with you in the years to come.”

In his inaugural address Trump slammed the Biden administration — as former President Joe Biden sat steps away — for failing to “manage simple crisis at home. We now have a government that cannot manage a simple crisis at home while at the same time stumble into a continuing catalog of catastrophic events abroad,” Trump said.

Per reports, Trump is expected to sign an executive order declaring that the federal government would recognize only two genders as well as a series of orders aimed at remaking America’s immigration policies, including ending asylum access, sending troops to the southern border and ending birthright citizenship.

Focusing on immigration, a major focus of his new administration, Trump said, the government “fails to protect our magnificent law-abiding citizens but proves sanctuary and protection for dangerous criminals. We have a government that has given unlimited funding to the defense of foreign borders but refuses to defend American borders or, more importantly, its own people.”

Hours before the change in US leadership, President Joe Biden issued pardons for Gen. Mark Milley, Dr. Anthony Fauci, and members of Congress who served on the committee investigating January 6. He also issued preemptive pardons for his brothers, James and Frank, his sister Valerie, and their spouses.

A coalition of veterans, public health professionals, teachers, and consumer advocates has filed a federal lawsuit against Trump’s special commission on government efficiency. Filed after Trump’s swearing-in, the suit seeks an injunction against the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) under the Federal Advisory Committee Act. It claims Trump is not complying with federal transparency laws and argues that private commission activities must be public. Trump mentioned DOGE, led by Tesla CEO Elon Musk, in his inauguration speech.

Rabbi Ari Berman, president of Yeshiva University, delivered the first benediction after Trump’s inaugural address. He is the second Orthodox rabbi to do so at a presidential inauguration. The tradition of clergy offering prayers at inaugurations dates back to President Franklin D. Roosevelt’s second inauguration in 1937. Rev. Lorenzo Sewell, pastor of 180 Church Detroit, delivered the second benediction, expressing gratitude for the “millimeter miracle” given to the 45th and 47th presidents.

Trump’s Unfulfilled Promises

Ordinarily, presidents wait until they are in the Oval Office before breaking campaign promises. However, Donald Trump began this process before Inauguration Day. As a candidate, Trump promised to lower grocery prices. As president-elect, he acknowledged that achieving this goal would be “very hard” and expressed uncertainty about his ability to do so.

Trump had claimed that Elon Musk would find ways to cut “at least $2 trillion” from the federal budget. As president-elect, his GOP megadonor publicly stated that the $2 trillion figure was more of a “best-case outcome” than a realistic goal, though there might still be a “good shot” at achieving half of it.

Perhaps most notably, Trump asserted during his campaign that he would successfully broker an end to Russia’s war in Ukraine within 24 hours, even during his transition period. He reiterated this promise during his presidential debate with Vice President Kamala Harris, assuring Americans that “I will get it settled before I even become president.”

Despite these assurances, as Trump prepares to return to the White House, it is evident that this promise remains unfulfilled. Nearly three years after Russia launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the war, Europe’s worst since World War II, continues with no end in sight. The New York Times published an analysis noting that Trump “not only has failed to keep his promise; he has also made no known serious effort to resolve the war since his election in November.”

In summary, the president-elect did not attempt to honor his commitment. This was not merely a one-time statement; according to data published by NOTUS, Trump told voters on 33 occasions that he would end the conflict within one day. A recent Reuters report added that the president-elect’s team now concedes “that the Ukraine war will take months or even longer to resolve, a sharp reality check on his biggest foreign policy promise.”

A New Beginning in 2025

Trump’s second inaugural speech today marked a major departure from his tone the first time he took the Oath of Office in 2017, when Trump put aside the typical optimism and promises of unity with a dark portrait of national life as he spoke of “American Carnage.” He had declared then,  “From this day forward, a new vision will govern our land. From this moment on, it’s going to be America first.”

However, today, Trump portrayed himself in a positive manner. “Many people thought it was impossible for me to stage such a historic political comeback, but as you see here today, here I am,” Trump said in his inaugural address in 2025. “I stand before you now as proof that you should never believe that something is impossible to do in America,” he went on, adding: “In America, the impossible is what we do best.”

Relief Amid Ruin: Freed Palestinians and the Complex Aftermath of War

The release of Palestinian detainees by Israel brought mixed emotions, with joy for their newfound freedom overshadowed by sorrow over the devastation in Gaza. Khalida Jarrar, 62, one of the most prominent individuals released, captured this duality. A leader of the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine, a secular leftist group known for its militant activities in the 1970s, Jarrar had been detained under administrative detention since late 2023. This controversial practice allows Israel to hold individuals indefinitely without formal charges.

Expressing her emotions, Jarrar told The Associated Press, “There’s this double feeling we’re living in, on the one hand, this feeling of freedom, that we thank everyone for, and on the other hand, this pain, of losing so many Palestinian martyrs.”

The individuals released had been detained for various offenses that Israel deemed security-related. These ranged from throwing stones and inciting violence on social media to severe allegations like attempted murder.

Meanwhile, aerial footage revealed the extensive damage in Khan Younis, a city in the Gaza Strip. After 15 months of conflict between Israel and Hamas, vast areas of Gaza were reduced to rubble. Neighborhoods stood in ruin, with charred buildings and piles of debris stretching as far as the eye could see.

The next phase of hostages and detainees is set for release on Saturday. In just over two weeks, discussions will begin on the more challenging aspects of the ceasefire agreement.

“Joy Mixed with Pain”

In Gaza, there was a collective sigh of relief as the ceasefire brought a temporary halt to Israeli bombardments. According to Gaza’s Health Ministry, the conflict has claimed over 46,000 Palestinian lives, with women and children constituting more than half of the fatalities. The statistics, however, do not distinguish between civilians and fighters.

For the first time since a week-long ceasefire in November 2023, the skies above Gaza were devoid of Israeli warplanes. This brief pause allowed Palestinians to reflect on the magnitude of the destruction.

“This ceasefire was a joy mixed with pain,” said Rami Nofal, a displaced resident of Gaza City, whose son was killed in an Israeli airstrike.

As celebrations broke out, triumphant Hamas militants appeared in some gatherings, where crowds chanted in their favor. Hamas-run police, absent during months of bombardment, also reemerged.

Amid the celebrations, some families began their journey back to what was once home, carrying their belongings on donkey carts. In Rafah, a southern city, residents encountered widespread devastation. Many likened the scenes to apocalyptic horror films, with some finding human remains in the ruins.

“It’s like what you see in a Hollywood horror movie,” said Mohamed Abu Taha, surveying the remnants of his family’s home.

Divisions in Israel Over the Ceasefire

While Gaza’s residents grappled with destruction, the scenes of Hamas gunmen celebrating openly in Gaza’s streets deepened divisions within Israel about the ceasefire deal.

Asher Pizem, 35, a resident of Sderot, voiced his concerns, saying the agreement only delayed another confrontation with Hamas. He also criticized Israel for allowing aid to enter Gaza, fearing it would strengthen the militant group.

“They will take the time and attack again,” he said, watching Gaza’s smoldering ruins from a hill in southern Israel with other residents. In the final moments before the ceasefire took effect, warplanes, helicopters, and drones dominated the skies.

The Immense Toll of War

The war’s toll has been staggering, with new revelations about its impact continuing to emerge. Residents of northern Gaza reported that Israeli forces had begun withdrawing from some areas as part of the ceasefire agreement.

Gaza’s population has endured immense hardship, with 90% displaced by the conflict. If the ceasefire holds and leads to a broader end to hostilities, rebuilding the enclave could take years.

Humanitarian aid is expected to increase significantly, with hundreds of trucks entering Gaza daily—far more than Israel allowed before.

“This is a moment of tremendous hope,” said Tom Fletcher, the U.N. humanitarian chief. “Fragile, yet vital.”

Despite the respite, the path ahead is fraught with challenges. The destruction in Gaza will require monumental reconstruction efforts, and the future of the ceasefire remains uncertain. Still, for many, this fragile pause offers a glimmer of hope amidst the devastation.

Pakistani Court Sentences Former PM Imran Khan and His Wife for Corruption

On Friday, a Pakistani court sentenced former Prime Minister Imran Khan to 14 years in prison and his wife to seven years, marking another chapter in the already-imprisoned politician’s legal troubles. The judgment found the couple guilty of corruption related to alleged misdeeds during Khan’s time in office, according to officials and his lawyer.

The case revolves around accusations that Khan and his wife accepted a gift of land from Malik Riaz, a prominent real estate tycoon. Prosecutors argued that the gift was granted in exchange for laundered funds, implicating the couple in a significant corruption scandal.

Riaz was purportedly allowed by Khan to use the laundered money—amounting to 190 million British pounds (approximately $240 million)—to settle fines imposed on him in a separate case. These funds, initially returned to Pakistan by British authorities in 2022, were intended to be deposited into the national exchequer.

Imran Khan has consistently denied any wrongdoing. Since his arrest in 2023, he has maintained that the charges against him are politically motivated and part of a broader effort by his rivals to prevent his return to power.

Khan, ousted from office in April 2022 following a no-confidence vote in parliament, has faced several legal setbacks. He was previously convicted on separate charges of corruption, revealing official secrets, and violating marriage laws. These convictions resulted in sentences of 10, 14, and seven years, respectively.

Under Pakistani law, however, prison terms are typically served concurrently. This means that Khan will serve the duration of the longest sentence handed to him, rather than the cumulative length of all sentences combined.

Ceasefire Agreement in Gaza Faces Challenges, US Envoy Highlights Ongoing Efforts

The recently brokered ceasefire and hostage release agreement between Israel and Hamas marks a significant milestone, but its successful implementation still requires substantial effort, according to U.S. officials. The truce, designed to facilitate the phased release of hostages and Palestinian detainees, has garnered attention for its complexity and the diplomatic efforts involved.

Amos Hochstein, a U.S. envoy, emphasized the arduous negotiations that led to this deal. Speaking with CNN’s Kaitlan Collins, he described the process as “hard fought” and praised the U.S. negotiating team for their diligence. “The hostages will start to come home in a couple of days,” Hochstein noted. He added, “There’sa very large task of implementation and getting to phase two. Sothere’s a lot of work still to be done. But this is a huge milestone.”

Hochstein refrained from assigning political credit for the agreement, though he acknowledged President Joe Biden’s strategic move to involve Steve Witkoff, an ally of President-elect Donald Trump, in the negotiations. This decision demonstrated a unified American approach, according to Hochstein. “The only thing that President Biden wanted to achieve until the last minute was to get the hostages home and stop the carnage in this crisis,” he stated. “Ultimately, the most important thing is that these hostages are going to come home on Sunday or latest Monday morning.”

Deal Confirmed by Israeli Authorities

The Israeli Prime Minister’s Office confirmed the agreement with Hamas, noting that it would involve a temporary pause in hostilities and the phased exchange of hostages and prisoners. While Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu initially withheld comments, awaiting finalization, he later convened Israel’s security cabinet to discuss the deal’s approval.

“The State of Israel is committed to achieving all the goals of the war, including the return of all our hostages—both living and dead,” the Prime Minister’s Office stated.

Mediators from Qatar, the U.S., and Egypt played pivotal roles in brokering the arrangement. The full Israeli cabinet is expected to vote on the deal on Saturday, following a smaller security cabinet meeting scheduled for Friday.

Trump’s Stance on Ceasefire

President-elect Donald Trump, set to assume office on January 20, expressed urgency regarding the deal’s implementation. In an interview on The Dan Bongino Show, Trump said, “The implementation of the Gaza ceasefire and hostage deal better be done before I take the oath of office.” He also asserted that his incoming administration played a crucial role in expediting the agreement. “If we weren’t involved, the deal would never have happened,” Trump claimed.

Both Trump and Biden have taken credit for the breakthrough, with analysts attributing the cooperation to mutual interests. A senior Biden administration official described the bipartisan collaboration as “almost unprecedented.” However, Biden dismissed suggestions of credit-sharing with a sarcastic remark, prompting Trump to label his response as “ungracious.”

Humanitarian Toll Persists

Despite the ceasefire announcement, hostilities have continued in Gaza. According to Mahmoud Basal, a spokesperson for Gaza’s Civil Defense, Israeli strikes have resulted in 86 fatalities and 258 injuries since the deal’s revelation. Among the dead are 23 children. Israeli Defense Forces reported targeting approximately “50 terror sites” in Gaza during this period.

Calls for Political Unity in Israel

Israeli opposition leader Yair Lapid urged Netanyahu to prioritize the deal’s implementation despite political pressures. Addressing Netanyahu on X, Lapid wrote, “Don’t be afraid or intimidated; you will get every safety net you need to make the hostage deal. This is more important than any disagreement we’ve ever had.”

Lapid’s comments came amid threats from far-right factions within Netanyahu’s coalition. National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir warned of withdrawing his party’s support if the ceasefire proceeded. Similarly, Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionism Party demanded a swift return to war following the deal’s initial phase. Such political rifts pose a potential risk to the stability of Netanyahu’s government.

White House Optimism

National Security Advisor John Kirby expressed confidence in the deal’s progression, despite last-minute challenges. “We are aware of these issues and are working through them with the Israeli government,” Kirby told CNN. “All systems are go right now. We see nothing that would derail this at this point.”

Delays in Israeli Cabinet Meeting

The Israeli cabinet’s vote on the ceasefire was postponed to Saturday due to unresolved issues at the negotiating table. Initially planned for Thursday, the meeting was deferred as mediators worked to finalize details in Doha. Netanyahu’s office indicated the government would only convene once these matters were resolved.

The ceasefire and hostage deal remain a focal point of international attention, with hopes that it will provide a path toward de-escalation in the region. However, as officials work to overcome political and logistical hurdles, the true test lies in the effective implementation of this fragile agreement.

Greenland’s Future Sparks Diplomatic Tension Between Denmark and Trump

Denmark’s Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen has reaffirmed Greenland’s autonomy by telling Donald Trump that the island’s future is for Greenland to decide. The statement came amidst renewed interest from Trump, who recently suggested that the United States might want to acquire the Arctic territory. Greenland is an autonomous region of Denmark.

The conversation took place during a 45-minute phone call between Frederiksen and Trump on Wednesday. During the call, Frederiksen assured Trump that Denmark is prepared to take on more responsibility for Arctic security. She also echoed Greenland’s Prime Minister Mute Egede’s recent assertion that Greenland is “not for sale.”

Trump has not made any public comments about the call, but he did share a 2019 poll on his TruthSocial account. The poll showed that 68% of Greenland’s population supported the idea of independence from Denmark. A referendum on the island’s independence is reportedly being considered, and Denmark has pledged to honor the results of any such vote.

This isn’t the first time Trump has expressed interest in acquiring Greenland. During his presidency, he floated the idea of buying the island. When Frederiksen dismissed the proposal as “absurd,” Trump abruptly canceled a planned visit to Denmark.

In the recent phone call, Frederiksen highlighted Denmark’s economic contributions to the United States, stating that Danish companies help create jobs and drive growth in the U.S. She also emphasized the importance of strengthened trade relations between the U.S. and the European Union.

Tensions escalated further last week when Trump suggested imposing high tariffs on Denmark if the country refused to relinquish Greenland. This threat alarmed Danish industry leaders, as the U.S. is Denmark’s second-largest export market. Targeted tariffs could significantly impact Denmark’s economy.

In response to Trump’s comments, Frederiksen has arranged a series of meetings to address the issue. On Thursday, she will meet with Danish business leaders, including the CEOs of Carlsberg, a global beer giant, and Novo Nordisk, a pharmaceutical company that produces diabetes and obesity drugs popular in the U.S. Additionally, Frederiksen will convene an extraordinary Foreign Policy Council meeting with members of Denmark’s parliament.

Aaja Chemnitz, a Greenlandic member of Denmark’s parliament, expressed satisfaction with Frederiksen’s stance, particularly her insistence that decisions regarding Greenland’s future rest with its people. “I have great confidence in the prime minister’s task, and I also have great confidence in Egede. I think it is important that they have a close dialogue,” Chemnitz remarked.

Prime Minister Egede also expressed willingness to engage with Trump’s incoming administration. Earlier this week, he stated that Greenland’s government was ready to begin discussions. However, Frederiksen’s approach has drawn criticism from some quarters.

Opposition Member of Parliament Rasmus Jarlov voiced disapproval of Frederiksen’s position. Writing on X, formerly known as Twitter, Jarlov stated, “It is completely unacceptable that [Frederiksen] renounces Denmark’s rights in Greenland and places sovereignty solely with the [Greenlander] self-government when she talks to the President of the United States.”

Trump’s remarks and a recent visit to Greenland by his son have caused significant unease in Denmark. Frederiksen has carefully balanced her language, frequently referring to the U.S. as “Denmark’s closest ally” while reiterating Greenland’s right to self-determination.

Hans Redder, a political editor with Danish broadcaster TV2, noted the significance of Trump dedicating 45 minutes to the phone call. “This Greenland thing is really something that is on Trump’s mind – it’s not just a passing thought,” Redder observed.

The situation has highlighted the delicate balance Denmark must maintain between preserving its sovereignty over Greenland, respecting the island’s autonomy, and maintaining strong relations with the United States.

US Officials Optimistic About Gaza Ceasefire Amid Disputes and Rising Death Toll

US officials expressed confidence that a Gaza ceasefire would proceed as planned on Sunday, despite claims from Israel that Hamas was reneging on its commitments. Hamas, however, reiterated its commitment to the agreement. BBC correspondent Rushdi Abualouf reported that Hamas appeared to be seeking a last-minute concession for the release of one or two symbolic prisoners from its ranks.

The Israeli cabinet’s planned vote on the ceasefire was postponed, while heavy airstrikes continued in Gaza. The region’s health ministry reported dozens of fatalities due to Israeli attacks ahead of the anticipated truce. At Gaza’s southern crossing, aid trucks queued as international assistance sought entry. BBC correspondent Fergal Keane accompanied an aid convoy traveling from Jordan.

The conflict was triggered by Hamas’ attack on southern Israel on October 7, 2023, which left around 1,200 Israelis dead and resulted in 251 individuals being taken hostage. In response, Israel launched a massive offensive on Gaza, which the Hamas-run health ministry claims has resulted in over 46,000 Palestinian deaths.

Disputes Over Ceasefire Agreement

Hamas denied Israel’s accusations of backtracking on the deal. Speaking to the BBC World Service’s Newshour, Bassem Naim, Hamas’ head of political and international relations, stated, “We are fully committed to the deal… This is the deal of May 2024 which we have accepted and agreed upon, and at that time it was rejected by Netanyahu and his government.” He accused Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of trying to “sabotage the positive atmosphere” due to his political struggles.

Naim also emphasized Hamas’ readiness to hold elections in Gaza, stating, “We are part of the Palestinian people… We are ready to give the people the choice to choose their leadership.” However, he avoided directly confirming whether Hamas would respect election results that rejected their leadership.

Heckler Disrupts Blinken’s Speech

In the United States, Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s farewell press conference was interrupted by a heckler. The protester accused Blinken of complicity in Gaza’s humanitarian crisis, shouting, “How does it feel to have your legacy be genocide?” and claiming that “300 reporters in Gaza were on the receiving end of your bombs.”

The individual, who filmed himself while speaking, was escorted out by security. Responding to the incident, Blinken remarked, “I’ve got a few more things to say [then] I’m happy to take any questions about anything, as we’ve done these past four years.”

Debates Over Casualty Figures

According to Gaza’s Hamas-run health ministry, 46,788 people have died in the conflict since Israel’s military operations began in October 2023. The figures, however, do not differentiate between civilians and Hamas fighters. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) claim to have killed 17,000 Hamas combatants as of September 2024, though the methodology behind this figure has not been disclosed.

Zaher al-Wahidi, head of the Gaza health ministry’s information unit, explained the process for recording deaths, stating that deaths are verified either through hospital declarations or an online portal where families can report losses. This system, however, excludes those without valid identification, potentially leading to underreporting. Al-Wahidi acknowledged, “Many of those killed in conflict zones could be buried under the rubble of destroyed buildings.”

Israel disputes the reliability of the health ministry’s statistics but has not provided evidence to counter the claims. A study in the British medical journal The Lancet suggested that the actual death toll could be significantly higher, estimating 64,260 fatalities by June 2024. This contrasts with the ministry’s reported figure of 37,877 deaths at that time.

Global Reactions to the Ceasefire

The ceasefire deal has drawn mixed reactions from international leaders:

  • Egyptian President Abdel Fattah Al-Sisi highlighted the extensive diplomatic efforts behind the agreement and stressed the importance of delivering urgent aid to Gaza until a sustainable peace is achieved.
  • Qatar’s Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed Bin Abdulrahman Al Thani described the ceasefire negotiations as part of his country’s diplomatic duty, expressing hope that the deal would help end the ongoing violence and suffering in Gaza.
  • South Africa’s government called for a “just and lasting peace” that ensures the human rights of both Palestinians and Israelis are respected.
  • Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s office signaled Italy’s readiness to support Gaza’s stabilization and reconstruction efforts.

As international attention remains focused on the implementation of the ceasefire, aid organizations and diplomatic actors continue to emphasize the need for a resolution that addresses the root causes of the conflict.

S Jaishankar to Attend Donald Trump’s Swearing-In as 47th U.S. President

India’s External Affairs Minister (EAM) S. Jaishankar is set to represent the country at Donald Trump’s inauguration as the 47th President of the United States on January 20, 2025. The Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) confirmed the announcement on Sunday, noting that Jaishankar’s visit follows an invitation from the Trump-Vance Inaugural Committee.

“During the visit, EAM will also have meetings with representatives of the incoming administration, as also some other dignitaries visiting the US on that occasion,” the ministry stated. This significant occasion underscores the strengthening diplomatic ties between India and the United States.

Preparations Ahead of Trump’s Return

Ahead of the inauguration, Jaishankar undertook a six-day trip to Washington, D.C., from December 24 to 29, 2024. During this visit, he met with key members of the outgoing Biden administration, including Secretary of State Antony Blinken and National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan. These discussions revolved around various facets of the India-U.S. strategic partnership.

Earlier, on December 9, Jaishankar engaged in detailed discussions with Sullivan to evaluate the progress of bilateral relations in areas such as defense, technology, and trade. These meetings highlight India’s proactive approach to ensuring continuity and advancement in its partnership with the U.S., regardless of administration changes.

World Leaders Gather for Trump’s Inauguration

Donald Trump’s second inauguration is poised to be a high-profile event, attracting leaders from across the globe. Reflecting Trump’s international alliances, many of the attendees represent the nationalist and conservative political spectrum.

China was initially invited to send President Xi Jinping, marking a potential diplomatic step toward easing ongoing trade and geopolitical tensions. However, Xi declined the invitation and is expected to send either Vice President Han Zheng or Foreign Minister Wang Yi in his stead.

The event will also see the participation of prominent global figures. Argentinian President Javier Milei, recognized for his libertarian economic policies, has confirmed his attendance. El Salvador’s President Nayib Bukele, known for his aggressive anti-crime measures and centralized leadership style, is another key attendee.

Italy’s far-right Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni has been invited and is expected to attend, barring any scheduling conflicts. Hungary’s nationalist Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, a critic of the European Union and an advocate of conservative policies, is also expected to be present.

Former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, despite facing legal challenges in his home country, has received an invitation, although his attendance remains uncertain. French far-right politician Éric Zemmour, aligning with the conservative ideologies represented at the event, has also been invited.

India’s Diplomatic Outreach

Jaishankar’s participation in Trump’s swearing-in ceremony signifies India’s commitment to strengthening ties with the incoming U.S. administration. Over recent years, the India-U.S. relationship has grown substantially, marked by increased collaboration in defense, technology, and trade.

By engaging with Trump’s team early, India aims to reinforce these ties and ensure smooth continuity in key bilateral initiatives. Jaishankar’s scheduled meetings with members of the new administration are expected to address strategic priorities and explore opportunities for future cooperation.

The inclusion of high-ranking officials from various nations at this inauguration reflects Trump’s continued influence on global conservative politics. For India, this occasion presents an opportunity to align with key global players and further its strategic interests on the world stage.

Trump’s Renewed Focus on Greenland Sparks Global Debate

In recent weeks, US President-elect Donald Trump has reignited discussions about Greenland, a semi-autonomous Danish territory in the Arctic. Known as the world’s largest island, Greenland is 80% covered by ice but holds significant untapped mineral resources. Trump initially expressed interest in purchasing the territory in 2019 during his presidency. However, his recent refusal to rule out economic or military measures to gain control of Greenland has amplified tensions between the US and Denmark.

Danish and European officials have firmly rejected the idea, emphasizing Greenland’s territorial integrity. This situation raises questions about the future of Greenland, its relationship with Denmark, and its aspirations for independence after three centuries under Danish control. The following explores four possible outcomes for Greenland’s fate.

Trump Loses Interest and Status Quo Prevails

Some analysts suggest that Trump’s statements might be strategic, aimed at pressuring Denmark to bolster Greenland’s security amid growing Russian and Chinese interests in the Arctic. Denmark recently announced a $1.5 billion military package for the Arctic, prepared before Trump’s remarks but viewed as coincidentally timed. Danish Defense Minister described the timing as an “irony of fate.”

Elisabet Svane, chief political correspondent for Politiken newspaper, believes Trump’s comments underline Denmark’s obligation to strengthen its Arctic defenses or allow the US to step in. Marc Jacobsen, associate professor at the Royal Danish Defence College, suggests Trump’s stance may be part of positioning himself before taking office. He also notes that Greenland is leveraging the moment to gain international recognition, a critical step toward independence.

Even if Trump eventually loses interest, as Jacobsen predicts, his remarks have spotlighted Greenland’s strategic importance. Meanwhile, Greenland’s push for independence persists. “The Greenland PM is calmer in his comments—yes, we want independence, but in the long run,” notes Svane.

Greenland Secures Independence and Aligns Closer with the US

Independence is a widely supported goal among Greenland’s 56,000 residents, and experts agree that Denmark would respect a referendum favoring it. However, financial concerns remain a significant barrier. Greenland relies on Danish subsidies to fund healthcare and welfare services. Without guarantees to maintain this financial support, independence could seem unattainable.

“The Greenland PM may call for a referendum, but he will need a compelling narrative to secure Greenland’s economy and welfare system,” says Ulrik Gad, a senior researcher at the Danish Institute for International Studies.

One potential compromise is a free association arrangement, akin to the US’s relationships with the Marshall Islands, Micronesia, and Palau. While Denmark has historically opposed this status for Greenland, current Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen may be open to negotiation. Dr. Gad suggests Denmark’s understanding of its colonial legacy has evolved.

“Danish understanding of Greenland’s historical experience is far better than it was 20 years ago,” he observes, adding that maintaining a looser connection with Greenland might be preferable to losing all influence in the Arctic.

Even with Danish ties severed, Greenland would likely remain under US influence. The US gained strategic control of Greenland during World War II and views it as critical to national security. A 1951 agreement affirmed Denmark’s sovereignty while granting the US broad privileges on the island. Dr. Gad confirms, “Greenland officials now understand the US will never leave.”

Trump Increases Economic Pressure

Some speculate that Trump could use economic leverage to coerce Denmark into concessions over Greenland. A sharp increase in tariffs on Danish or European Union goods is one potential move. Trump’s threat of universal 10% tariffs on US imports could disrupt European economies, forcing Denmark to reconsider its stance.

Danish governments have prepared for such scenarios. Jacobsen points out that US tariffs could significantly impact Danish industries like pharmaceuticals. Denmark exports essential products such as hearing aids, insulin, and Novo Nordisk’s diabetes drug Ozempic to the US. Any resulting price hikes could be unpopular with American consumers.

Benjamin Cote, of international law firm Pillsbury, notes that invoking the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) is one option for raising tariffs. Still, analysts believe economic measures targeting Danish goods would provoke backlash within the US.

Military Action: The Extreme Option

While military intervention might seem improbable, Trump’s refusal to rule it out has raised concerns. The US already maintains military bases and troops in Greenland, making a potential takeover logistically straightforward. “The US has de facto control already,” says Jacobsen.

Nevertheless, such an action would spark an international crisis. Elisabet Svane warns that invading Greenland would violate NATO’s collective defense clause under Article 5, creating an unprecedented conflict within the alliance. “If they invade Greenland, they invade NATO. That’s where it stops,” she asserts.

Dr. Gad draws parallels between Trump’s rhetoric and the territorial ambitions of China’s Xi Jinping regarding Taiwan or Russia’s Vladimir Putin regarding Ukraine. “He’s saying it’s legitimate for us to take this land. If we take him seriously, this is a bad omen for the Western alliance,” he cautions.

Why Greenland Matters

Trump’s interest in Greenland underscores its strategic and economic significance. The island’s location is vital for Arctic security, and its untapped resources, including rare minerals, add to its appeal. However, Greenland’s population and Danish officials remain united against a sale or forced acquisition.

As the world watches this unusual geopolitical clash unfold, the outcome will hinge on Greenland’s aspirations, Denmark’s strategies, and Trump’s next moves. Regardless of the immediate resolution, Greenland’s future has undeniably taken center stage in international discussions.

Russia Introduces Cash Incentives to Combat Declining Birthrates Amid Demographic Crisis

Russia has joined the ranks of countries like China and Japan in grappling with plummeting birthrates, launching measures aimed at reversing the downward trend. Among these efforts is a new initiative in Karelia, a Russian region offering a financial incentive of 100,000 rubles (around Rs 81,000) to young women under the age of 25 who give birth to a healthy child. The Moscow Times reported that the program specifically targets full-time students enrolled in local universities or colleges and who are residents of the region.

To be eligible for the payout, applicants must meet stringent criteria. They need to be under 25 years old, studying full-time at an institution in Karelia, and give birth to a healthy child. The legislation explicitly excludes mothers whose babies are stillborn from receiving the benefit. However, ambiguity surrounds whether payments could be rescinded in the event of the child’s death due to Sudden Infant Death Syndrome (SIDS). Additionally, the policy leaves unanswered questions about whether mothers of children born with disabilities qualify for the incentive or if supplementary bonuses are provided to help with the associated costs of child care and recovery after childbirth.

This initiative comes as Russia grapples with its lowest birth rate in a quarter-century. Statistics reveal that only 599,600 babies were born in the first half of 2024, a drop of 16,000 compared to the same period in 2023. Dmitry Peskov, a Kremlin spokesperson, characterized this alarming trend as “catastrophic for the future of the nation” during remarks made in July 2024, according to Fortune.

The Karelia initiative is not an isolated effort. Several other regions in Russia have introduced similar programs to encourage young women to start families. In the central city of Tomsk, a comparable scheme is in place, and reports indicate that at least 11 regional governments have launched financial incentives targeting female students who give birth.

On a national level, the Russian government is also increasing its maternity payments in a bid to stem the population decline. From 2025, first-time mothers will receive a payment of 677,000 rubles (about $6,150), a significant rise from 630,400 rubles provided in 2024. Mothers welcoming their second child will benefit from even larger payouts, with the amount increasing from 833,000 rubles in 2024 to 894,000 rubles (roughly $8,130) in 2025.

Despite these financial incentives, Russia faces a multifaceted demographic crisis. Low birth rates are compounded by high adult mortality rates and widespread emigration. The war in Ukraine has further worsened the situation, leading to significant casualties and prompting large numbers of citizens to flee abroad.

The Russian government has long attempted to address the declining population through various measures, including cash bonuses and housing support programs. However, these policies have yielded limited results. Experts argue that such initiatives fail to tackle deeper societal and economic issues that deter young couples from starting families. Critics have called the government’s approach shortsighted, pointing to the need for more comprehensive strategies that address underlying factors such as economic uncertainty, lack of affordable child care, and limited career opportunities for women.

The demographic crisis is not just a statistical problem but one that holds profound implications for Russia’s future. With fewer births and a shrinking workforce, the country’s long-term economic stability and geopolitical influence could be at risk. In response, the government has emphasized the urgency of reversing these trends. However, whether the latest initiatives will be enough to overcome the challenges remains uncertain.

Russia’s situation is part of a broader trend affecting several nations, particularly developed countries, where falling birthrates pose significant demographic and economic challenges. Like Russia, China and Japan have introduced policies aimed at encouraging childbirth, though with varying levels of success. These initiatives often focus on financial incentives and social support, but experts agree that reversing birthrate declines requires addressing a complex interplay of cultural, economic, and social factors.

While financial bonuses like those in Karelia provide immediate relief, their effectiveness in fostering long-term demographic stability remains questionable. Young women may still face barriers such as insufficient support for working mothers, limited maternity leave, and societal expectations that prioritize traditional roles over professional ambitions. Additionally, concerns about the quality of education, health care, and job prospects may discourage many from taking advantage of such programs.

As Russia continues to implement these measures, the global community watches closely to see whether the country’s efforts will yield measurable improvements or if the demographic crisis will persist.

Justin Trudeau Steps Down: Chrystia Freeland Emerges as Key Contender Amid Economic and Political Challenges

After nearly ten years in power, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced his resignation on Monday, responding to growing criticism, including dissent from one of his closest allies. This marks a significant turning point in Canadian politics, with Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland, a long-time Trudeau supporter, emerging as a strong contender to lead the Liberal Party.

In December, Freeland publicly criticized Trudeau’s approach to governance, describing his recent policies, such as a sales tax holiday and worker rebates, as “costly political gimmicks.” These differences marked a clear divide between the two leaders. “We found ourselves at odds about the best path forward,” Freeland noted in her resignation letter, adding, “Canadians know when we are working for them, and they equally know when we are focused on ourselves.”

Trudeau, facing public discontent and political polarization, acknowledged that stepping down was necessary. “Removing me from the equation as the leader who will fight the next election for the Liberal Party should also decrease the level of polarization that we’re seeing right now in the House and Canadian politics,” he stated during his resignation announcement.

Freeland’s sharp criticism shocked many, given her reputation as a steadfast Trudeau ally. It also fueled speculation about her ambitions, with members of the Liberal Party preparing for a leadership contest. Freeland, now a leading contender, was recently ranked the most appealing candidate in a CTV poll conducted by Ottawa-based pollster Nik Nanos.

Freeland’s Rise and Reputation

Chrystia Freeland’s political journey has been remarkable. Often referred to as the “minister of everything” due to her diverse roles, she has consistently held prominent positions in Trudeau’s cabinet. Nelson Wiseman, professor emeritus at the University of Toronto, described her as having “probably the highest profile of any cabinet minister beyond the prime minister.”

Freeland first gained international attention as Canada’s foreign minister during Donald Trump’s presidency. She spearheaded negotiations to revise the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), clashing with the U.S. administration over tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum. Trump eventually agreed to a revised agreement with minimal concessions from Canada. “Canada basically didn’t give the US anything in those negotiations,” Wiseman observed. Freeland’s firm stance even earned criticism from Trump, who called her “totally toxic and not at all conducive to making deals.”

Born in Alberta to a Ukrainian mother, Freeland studied at Harvard University and worked as a journalist, covering Russia and Ukraine before entering Canadian politics. Her ascent began when she joined Parliament as a member of Trudeau’s Liberal Party in 2013. Over the years, she has served as minister of international trade, foreign affairs, deputy prime minister, and finance minister.

As finance minister, Freeland faced significant challenges, taking charge of a struggling economy during the COVID-19 pandemic. Her task included reducing Canada’s growing deficit and stabilizing public finances. However, disagreements with Trudeau over economic policies strained their relationship.

Freeland’s International Impact

Freeland’s Ukrainian heritage and support for the country’s fight against Russia have bolstered her reputation. She played a central role in Canada’s strong stance against Russia, pushing for financial aid to Ukraine and freezing billions of dollars in Russian assets. “I really think we cannot understate the extent to which that Ukrainian battlefield is the battlefield of democracy and dictatorship,” she remarked during a 2022 interview.

Freeland has also voiced support for Ukraine joining NATO. Her strong stance against Moscow has made her a target of Russian sanctions, a badge she wears with pride. “It’s an honor to be on Putin’s sanction list,” she once said, balancing her respect for Russian culture with firm opposition to its government’s actions.

A Divisive Figure at Home

Domestically, Freeland is seen as a capable but polarizing figure. While praised for her work on international agreements, such as the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), she has faced criticism over Canada’s economic challenges.

“Chrystia is a mixed bag for me,” said Rod Matheson, a 66-year-old retiree. “She did a great job negotiating the USMCA. But as finance minister, the deficit and debt were out of control.” Another Canadian, Doug Gillis, expressed skepticism about her suitability as Liberal leader, saying, “I blame her as she was in charge of finances. I wouldn’t think she’d be the right person.”

Freeland’s association with Trudeau’s government, which has seen declining approval ratings, could prove challenging as she vies for leadership. Polls show the Conservatives, led by Pierre Poilievre, holding a commanding lead over the Liberals. “The Liberals are more than 20 points behind the Conservatives,” said Nik Nanos. “There’s a wave of change in the country right now.”

Challenges Ahead

As Trudeau resigned, he suspended Parliament until March 24. This delay gives the Liberal Party time to choose a new leader. However, the next leader will likely face immediate challenges, including a potential confidence vote upon Parliament’s reconvening.

Wiseman predicts that any new prime minister from the Liberal Party might seek to delay elections. “There will be no incentive, in my opinion, for the new prime minister to reconvene Parliament, because then she’d be going into an election in which she had been defeated,” he explained. Instead, the new leader could request the governor general to dissolve Parliament and call for fresh elections.

Economic issues will likely dominate the next election. Rising inflation, high living costs, and ongoing tensions with the U.S. over trade and immigration are key concerns. Canada’s record immigration levels have also sparked debates, with Freeland suggesting in a CBC interview that immigration should be managed in an “organized, systematic way.”

Rebuilding the Liberal Party

Regardless of who leads the Liberals, the road ahead will be arduous. Analysts suggest the party needs a complete overhaul to regain public trust. “I don’t think anybody expects that the Liberals are going to come first in the next election,” said Lori Turnbull, a professor at Dalhousie University. “The question is really about who’s going to rebuild the party.”

Freeland’s extensive experience and international profile position her as a strong contender, but her association with Trudeau’s government could hinder her prospects. Her leadership would likely involve balancing economic reforms with addressing voter dissatisfaction.

The upcoming general election will be a pivotal moment for Canada, determining the country’s political and economic direction. Whether Freeland or another leader takes the helm, the Liberals face an uphill battle to regain their footing and counter the Conservatives’ growing momentum.

Trump Signals Aggressive Foreign and Domestic Moves Ahead of Inauguration

President-elect Donald Trump has hinted at controversial foreign policy moves, including the potential use of military force to control the Panama Canal and Greenland, framing these as essential to U.S. national security. Speaking to reporters on Tuesday, just days before his inauguration on January 20, Trump outlined his vision for America’s geopolitical future, including his view of territorial expansion as a strategic necessity.

When asked if military intervention was off the table, Trump stated, “I’m not going to commit to that. It might be that you’ll have to do something. The Panama Canal is vital to our country.” He emphasized Greenland’s strategic importance, saying, “We need Greenland for national security purposes.”

Challenging Existing Alliances

Greenland, an autonomous territory under Denmark’s sovereignty, houses a significant U.S. military base. Despite Denmark being a key NATO ally, Trump questioned its authority over Greenland. The Panama Canal, another focus of Trump’s remarks, has been under Panama’s full control since 1999, following decades of joint U.S.-Panama administration.

Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen responded to Trump’s statements in an interview with TV2, emphasizing the close alliance between Denmark and the United States. “The United States is Denmark’s most important and closest ally,” she said. Frederiksen expressed doubt that the U.S. would resort to military or economic force to gain control of Greenland, stressing that any involvement in the Arctic must respect the autonomy of Greenland’s people. She also highlighted the need for U.S.-Denmark cooperation within NATO.

Trump’s delegation, including Donald Trump Jr., recently visited Nuuk, Greenland’s capital, which Trump shared via social media. He wrote, “Don Jr. and my Reps landing in Greenland. The reception has been great. They, and the Free World, need safety, security, strength, and PEACE! This is a deal that must happen. MAGA. MAKE GREENLAND GREAT AGAIN!”

Greenland’s government clarified that Trump Jr.’s visit was unofficial and that no meetings with Greenlandic representatives were planned.

Panama’s Stance on Sovereignty

In Panama, Foreign Minister Javier Martínez-Acha reiterated the country’s firm stance on sovereignty over the canal. He referenced remarks by President José Raúl Mulino, who stated last month, “The sovereignty of our canal is not negotiable and is part of our history of struggle and an irreversible conquest.”

Economic Force Over Military for Canada

Trump also proposed controversial plans involving Canada, suggesting the country could join the United States as the 51st state. However, he ruled out military intervention, opting instead to leverage economic measures. “Economic force” would address the U.S. trade deficit with Canada, a resource-rich nation vital to America’s supply of crude oil and petroleum.

Canadian leaders dismissed Trump’s comments. Foreign Minister Mélanie Joly criticized the remarks as showing “a complete lack of understanding of what makes Canada a strong country,” asserting that Canada’s economy and people would resist any threats. Outgoing Prime Minister Justin Trudeau was blunt, writing, “There isn’t a snowball’s chance in hell that Canada would become part of the United States.”

Ambitious Goals for NATO

As part of his vision for a “Golden Age of America,” Trump proposed rebranding the Gulf of Mexico as the “Gulf of America,” a name he described as having a “beautiful ring to it.” He also called for NATO member states to increase defense spending to 5% of GDP, far exceeding the current 2% target. NATO’s recent report showed a record 23 of its 32 members were on track to meet existing spending goals, driven by heightened concerns over Russia’s ongoing war in Ukraine.

Friction With Biden Administration

Trump criticized outgoing President Joe Biden for taking actions he claimed undermined his incoming administration. On Monday, Biden used his authority under the Outer Continental Shelf Lands Act to ban offshore energy drilling in significant areas, including the East and West coasts, the Gulf of Mexico, and parts of Alaska’s Northern Bering Sea. This move, protecting about 625 million acres of federal waters, was framed as a measure against future oil and gas exploration. Trump vowed to reverse the ban on his first day in office, stating, “I’m going to put it back on day one. We’ll take it to the courts if we need to.”

Despite Trump’s accusations of obstruction, Biden’s transition team has reportedly extended cooperation. Trump’s incoming chief of staff, Susie Wiles, acknowledged Biden’s chief of staff, Jeff Zients, as “very helpful” in an interview with Axios.

Legal Challenges and Investigations

During the press conference, Trump also addressed the Justice Department’s investigation into his role in the January 6 Capitol insurrection and the handling of classified documents. Special counsel Jack Smith had overseen these cases, which were dropped following Trump’s November election victory. The Justice Department is expected to release a summary of Smith’s findings soon.

Looking Ahead

Trump’s remarks underscore his willingness to challenge longstanding U.S. policies, alliances, and norms. His proposed actions on the Panama Canal, Greenland, NATO, and energy policy suggest a bold but contentious approach to governing. As the transition nears its completion, the international and domestic implications of Trump’s statements are already generating significant reactions from allies and adversaries alike.

Trump Jr.’s Greenland Visit Fuels Speculation Over US Interest in the Arctic Territory

On Tuesday, Donald Trump Jr. arrived in Greenland, the expansive Arctic island that has piqued the interest of his father, President-elect Donald Trump, who has reiterated his desire to acquire the territory. This ambition has been met with firm resistance from Greenland, which has made it clear that it is not for sale.

Trump Jr. characterized his visit as a recreational venture, stating, “As an outdoorsman, I’m excited to stop into Greenland for this week.” However, his trip has intensified speculation about the president-elect’s true intentions for the region.

In December, Trump reignited discussions about Greenland’s potential acquisition, calling it “an absolute necessity.” When questioned at a press conference on Tuesday about whether he would rule out using “military or economic coercion” to acquire Greenland or Panama, another region he has expressed interest in, Trump responded, “No, I can’t assure you on either of those two, but I can say this: We need them for economic security.”

While the president-elect frames the potential purchase as a matter of national security, experts believe his interest extends to Greenland’s vast natural resources, including rare earth metals, which could become more accessible as climate change continues to melt the island’s ice.

A Unique Geopolitical Position

Greenland, the largest island in the world, is home to approximately 56,000 residents. Once a Danish colony, it is now an autonomous territory under Denmark. The island holds significant strategic importance, positioned between the United States and Europe. Its capital, Nuuk, is geographically closer to New York than to Denmark’s capital, Copenhagen.

Historically, Greenland has been viewed as vital to U.S. security, particularly in countering potential threats from Russia. According to Ulrik Pram Gad, a senior researcher at the Danish Institute for International Studies, the island’s location is critical due to its proximity to the Northwest Passage and its role in the Greenland-Iceland-United Kingdom gap, a crucial maritime region.

The idea of acquiring Greenland is not new. In 1867, President Andrew Johnson considered purchasing Greenland after acquiring Alaska. Similarly, following World War II, the Truman administration offered Denmark $100 million for the island. Although these proposals never materialized, the 1951 U.S.-Greenland defense treaty secured the establishment of an airbase—now called Pituffik Space Base—in northwestern Greenland. This base, situated halfway between Moscow and New York, serves as the northernmost U.S. military outpost and is equipped with a missile warning system.

“The U.S. wants to ensure that no hostile powers control Greenland, as it could serve as a foothold for attacks on the U.S.,” Pram Gad explained.

Rich in Natural Resources

Greenland’s natural wealth may be even more enticing to Trump. Klaus Dodds, a professor of geopolitics at Royal Holloway, University of London, highlighted the island’s reserves of oil, gas, and rare earth metals—essential components for electric vehicles, wind turbines, and military equipment.

China currently dominates global rare earth production and has already signaled plans to restrict the export of critical minerals. “There is no question at all that Trump and his advisers are very concerned about the stranglehold that China appears to have,” Dodds said. Greenland, with its untapped mineral resources, offers a potential alternative. “I think Greenland is really about keeping China out,” he added.

Opportunities Amid Melting Ice

As Arctic temperatures rise, Greenland finds itself at the forefront of climate change, with melting ice opening new opportunities and challenges. Retreating ice has extended the navigable period for Arctic shipping routes, contributing to a 37% increase in Arctic shipping over the past decade, according to the Arctic Council.

“Trump, I think, instinctively gets the idea that the Arctic is melting,” Dodds noted, pointing to the economic possibilities tied to the region’s transformation. However, he warned that Arctic conditions remain perilous, and melting ice could make navigation even riskier.

There is also speculation that reduced ice cover could make Greenland’s natural resources more accessible. Phillip Steinberg, a geography professor at the University of Durham, offered a different perspective: “It’s not that climate change is making Greenland’s resources more accessible, but rather ‘more necessary.’”

Resistance to U.S. Interest

Denmark and Greenland have strongly opposed any suggestion of selling the island. Greenland’s Prime Minister Múte Egede declared in a December Facebook post, “We are not for sale and will never be for sale. We must not lose our yearslong struggle for freedom.”

Former Greenlandic Prime Minister Kuupik V. Kleist echoed this sentiment, stating, “I don’t see anything in the future that would pave the way for a sale. You don’t simply buy a country or a people.”

Despite this opposition, Trump’s remarks have come at a pivotal moment for Greenland. Its Inuit-led government has been advocating for independence from Denmark. In his New Year address, Egede called for the removal of the “shackles of the colonial era.”

Denmark appears to be responding to this push for independence. In December, it announced a significant increase in military spending for Greenland. Additionally, the Danish royal family unveiled a redesigned coat of arms featuring an enhanced polar bear symbol, which represents Greenland.

Economic Challenges and Future Prospects

Greenland’s government has been striving to diversify its economy, which is heavily reliant on fishing. In November, Nuuk opened a new airport to attract more tourists. However, the territory still depends on an annual $500 million grant from Denmark, a financial lifeline that complicates its pursuit of independence.

Dodds speculated on how Greenland might respond to a substantial financial offer from Trump. “What would Greenland do if Trump offered, say, $1 billion a year to have a different kind of association?” he questioned.

Some Greenlandic politicians have floated the idea of a special association with the U.S., similar to the Marshall Islands arrangement. Under such an agreement, Greenland would retain sovereignty while receiving financial support in exchange for granting the U.S. certain strategic rights.

However, Kleist expressed skepticism about this approach. “I don’t think either that (this) is of any interest. Just think of how the U.S. have treated its own Indigenous Peoples,” he remarked.

Uncertainty Surrounding Trump’s Intentions

As Trump prepares to take office, the trajectory of his interest in Greenland remains unclear. “Nobody knows if it’s just bravado, if it’s a threat to get something else, or if it’s actually something that he wants to do,” Pram Gad said.

For now, Greenland remains a focal point of geopolitical, environmental, and economic discussions, with Trump’s ambitions adding a new layer of complexity to the Arctic’s evolving narrative.

Trudeau’s Resignation Marks a Turning Point for Canada’s Liberals Amid Rising Conservative Tide

Hi Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s unexpected resignation on Monday signals a dramatic shift in the country’s political landscape. Trudeau’s departure underscores growing dissatisfaction with the Liberal Party, which has been a dominant force in Canadian politics for decades, as the country approaches elections later this year. His decision leaves the party scrambling to regroup and counter the surging popularity of the opposition Conservatives.

Trudeau announced his resignation during a press conference, stating, “I’m a fighter, every bone in my body has always told me to fight.” However, he acknowledged that internal challenges were undermining his ability to lead effectively. “This country deserves a real choice in the next election, and it has become clear to me that if I’m having to fight internal battles, I cannot be the best option in that election,” he added.

Why Did Trudeau Step Down?

Trudeau’s resignation comes amidst a backdrop of economic challenges, including a rising cost of living, escalating anti-immigrant sentiment, and economic uncertainties fueled by President-elect Donald Trump’s antagonistic policies. Public discontent has been growing over Trudeau’s handling of these issues, further amplified by his strained relationships within the Liberal Party.

Facing the prospect of a no-confidence vote from opposition parties, including the Conservatives and the New Democratic Party, Trudeau prorogued Parliament until March 24. This move temporarily halts parliamentary sessions and aligns with the deadline for the annual budget and the start of a new legislative session. Despite stepping down as party leader, Trudeau intends to remain in charge until a successor is chosen.

The Trump Effect

President-elect Donald Trump’s victory in November’s U.S. election added to Trudeau’s challenges. Trump’s threats to impose a 25% tariff on Canadian exports unless Ottawa addressed illegal immigration and drug trafficking exacerbated tensions. Trudeau’s conciliatory approach, including a visit to Trump’s Mar-a-Lago residence, drew criticism from opponents who viewed him as weak.

Trump’s rhetoric further inflamed the situation. He mocked Trudeau by referring to Canada as America’s “51st state” and called him a “governor.” Following Trudeau’s resignation, Trump suggested that merging with the U.S. could eliminate tariffs and significantly reduce taxes for Canadians. Despite Trump’s claims that many Canadians support such a merger, a December poll indicated that only 13% of Canadians shared this sentiment.

Who Will Lead the Liberals?

Trudeau’s resignation has triggered a race within the Liberal Party to find a new leader. Christopher Sands, director of the Wilson Center’s Canada Institute, speculated that the Liberals might expedite the leadership transition to present a stable front before Trump’s inauguration on January 20. This could also provide the party additional time to promote their new leader ahead of the general elections, expected by October 20.

Among the potential candidates is Chrystia Freeland, a former finance minister and deputy prime minister, who resigned in mid-December over disagreements with Trudeau’s spending policies. Freeland criticized Trudeau’s failure to address Trump’s tariff threats effectively, positioning herself as a candidate of change. “The fact that she resigned and triggered the crisis that led to Trudeau going is politically brilliant,” Sands noted.

Other contenders include Mark Carney, a former Bank of Canada governor and close Trudeau ally; Foreign Minister Mélanie Joly; Industry Minister François-Philippe Champagne; and Transport Minister Anita Anand. Anand, praised for her leadership during the COVID-19 pandemic and the acquisition of F-35 fighter jets, is seen as a rising star in the Liberal Party.

Conservatives Poised for Victory

The opposition Conservative Party, led by Pierre Poilievre, is in a strong position to challenge the Liberals. Recent polling data shows the Conservatives holding a 24-point lead over the Liberals, highlighting growing voter frustration with the incumbent government.

Poilievre, often compared to Trump for his confrontational style and populist rhetoric, has capitalized on public dissatisfaction. His campaign includes eliminating the carbon tax implemented by the Liberals to promote environmentally friendly practices. “Ax the tax,” Poilievre declared in a video following Trudeau’s resignation.

Economic concerns, immigration, and crime have emerged as key issues for Canadian voters. Christopher Sands summarized Trudeau’s leadership struggles by saying, “Trudeau was great at making sunny announcements, but terrible at delivering results.”

Budget Battles and Economic Challenges

The upcoming budget season, set to culminate in April, presents additional hurdles for Canada’s government. Opposition parties could use the budget process to force a no-confidence vote, potentially triggering early elections. The new Liberal leader will need to navigate economic pressures, including Trump’s tariff threats and criticisms over Canada’s failure to meet NATO’s 2% defense spending target by 2032.

A significant majority of Canadians—86%, according to a survey by the Angus Reid Institute—expressed concern over Trump’s trade threats. Half of the respondents favored a firm stance against U.S. demands, even if it resulted in tariffs. These sentiments reflect broader apprehensions about Canada’s economic trajectory under the shadow of Trump’s administration.

A Bloomberg/Nanos Research survey conducted in late December revealed declining economic confidence among Canadians. The positivity index dropped from 49.96 to 49.08 in the final week of the year, signaling a shift to negative sentiment. Canadians are increasingly pessimistic about their economic future and the potential impact of Trump’s presidency.

A Pivotal Moment for Canada

Trudeau’s resignation marks a critical juncture for Canada’s political and economic future. The Liberal Party faces the daunting task of regaining public trust and countering the Conservative Party’s growing influence. With economic uncertainties, strained U.S.-Canada relations, and internal party divisions, the Liberals’ ability to navigate these challenges will determine their fate in the upcoming elections. Meanwhile, Pierre Poilievre and the Conservatives are poised to capitalize on voter discontent, setting the stage for a fiercely contested election season.

Trudeau Faces Growing Pressure to Step Down Amid Declining Polls and Internal Challenges

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is increasingly expected to announce his intention to step down, although he has yet to make a final decision, according to a source familiar with his thinking. The source spoke with Reuters following a report by the Globe and Mail, which suggested that Trudeau might announce as soon as Monday that he will resign as the leader of Canada’s ruling Liberal Party after nine years in office.

The source, who requested anonymity because they were not authorized to speak publicly, emphasized that no final decision had been made yet. However, it seems likely that Trudeau is preparing to depart. His resignation would leave the Liberal Party without a permanent leader at a time when polling data indicates that the party is expected to face a substantial defeat in an election due by late October, with the official opposition Conservatives in a strong position to win.

Although the exact timing of Trudeau’s announcement is uncertain, sources informed the Globe and Mail that it is expected to happen before a critical emergency meeting of Liberal legislators on Wednesday. The growing uncertainty about Trudeau’s future comes as more Liberal parliamentarians publicly call for him to step down, a reflection of the party’s poor polling performance in recent months.

The Prime Minister’s Office did not provide a response to Reuters’ request for comment outside regular business hours. According to Trudeau’s publicly available schedule for Monday, he is set to attend a virtual cabinet committee meeting focused on Canada-U.S. relations. It remains unclear whether Trudeau will leave office immediately or remain as Prime Minister until a new leader is chosen for the Liberal Party, a decision that has yet to be finalized.

As the Liberal Party grapples with the fallout of a poor polling period, calls for Trudeau’s resignation have grown louder. The Prime Minister became leader of the Liberal Party in 2013, at a time when the party was in disarray and had fallen to third place in the House of Commons. His leadership helped revitalize the party, culminating in the Liberals’ victory in 2015, when Trudeau promised a progressive agenda centered around gender equality, climate change action, and a vision of “sunny ways” in politics.

However, in recent years, Trudeau’s popularity has waned. Sources close to the party say that Trudeau and Finance Minister Dominic LeBlanc have discussed the possibility of LeBlanc stepping in as interim leader and Prime Minister if Trudeau resigns. However, one source noted that this would likely be unworkable if LeBlanc plans to run for the leadership position himself. As of now, no one has stepped forward as a clear successor, and the internal struggles within the party are mounting.

Trudeau had managed to fend off pressure from some Liberal lawmakers who were concerned about the party’s prospects in the polls and its loss of safe seats in two special elections. However, the calls for his resignation have grown significantly since December, when Trudeau attempted to demote one of his closest allies, Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland, after she disagreed with his plans for increased government spending. Freeland resigned instead, publicly accusing Trudeau of prioritizing “political gimmicks” over the country’s well-being.

The Prime Minister’s difficulties extend beyond internal party issues. In addition to the growing discontent within the party, Trudeau’s government has struggled to navigate a series of complex challenges. He had initially become popular for his progressive policies, which included promises of inclusivity, environmental sustainability, and social justice. However, over the course of his leadership, the realities of governing have made it difficult for Trudeau to maintain the same level of enthusiasm he once enjoyed.

Like many Western leaders, Trudeau’s administration has been significantly impacted by the global pandemic, which placed immense pressure on governments to provide economic support and health measures for their populations. While Ottawa spent heavily to protect consumers and businesses, leading to record budget deficits, these efforts have not been enough to shield the public from rising inflation and soaring prices. Public anger over the government’s handling of these issues has led to increasing discontent, with many Canadians expressing frustration over the lack of tangible improvements in their daily lives.

Another source of controversy has been Trudeau’s immigration policies, which some critics argue have been poorly managed. The government’s approach led to the arrival of hundreds of thousands of new immigrants, which put additional strain on Canada’s already overstressed housing market. As the housing crisis deepens, the government’s inability to address the challenges faced by Canadians has further fueled dissatisfaction with Trudeau’s leadership.

As the pressure mounts, Trudeau’s position within the Liberal Party has become more tenuous. While some still express loyalty to him, an increasing number of party members and lawmakers are calling for a leadership change. The situation is complicated by the fact that the next election is rapidly approaching, and the Liberals are struggling to gain momentum in the polls. Trudeau’s resignation, if it happens, would likely lead to further demands for a swift election to ensure that the country has a stable government capable of addressing both domestic and international challenges.

While there is still uncertainty about what Trudeau’s next move will be, it is clear that his leadership is under intense scrutiny. The possibility of his resignation, following years of political highs and lows, marks a pivotal moment in Canadian politics. Trudeau’s legacy will likely be shaped by both his successes and the growing dissatisfaction with his handling of key issues in recent years.

In conclusion, Trudeau’s decision about whether to step down remains uncertain, but growing calls for his resignation from within his party and from the Canadian public suggest that his time in office may be coming to an end. As his leadership faces mounting criticism and internal struggles, the Liberal Party is left to navigate a difficult period as it looks toward the future of Canadian politics.

Anita Anand: Frontrunner for Canadian Prime Minister as Justin Trudeau Announces Resignation

Canada’s Transport Minister, Anita Anand, has emerged as one of the leading contenders for the role of Canadian Prime Minister following Justin Trudeau’s recent announcement. Trudeau revealed on Monday his decision to step down as Prime Minister before the 2025 elections, stating that he would resign once the ruling Liberal Party selects a new leader.

This announcement has triggered widespread speculation regarding Trudeau’s successor. Among the top names being considered is Anita Anand, a prominent Indian-origin leader who currently serves as Canada’s Minister of Transport and Internal Trade.

Anita Anand’s Background

Anita Anand was born and raised in rural Nova Scotia before moving to Ontario in 1985. She and her husband, John, settled in Oakville, where they raised their four children. Anand’s journey into Canadian politics has been marked by a series of significant accomplishments across various roles in public service.

Her political career began in 2019 when she was elected as the Member of Parliament for Oakville. Since then, Anand has held multiple high-profile positions within the Canadian government. From 2019 to 2021, she served as Minister of Public Services and Procurement, followed by a tenure as President of the Treasury Board and Minister of National Defence. Her current role as Minister of Transport was assigned in September 2024, in addition to her ongoing responsibilities as President of the Treasury Board.

Key Achievements in Public Service

Anand’s tenure as Minister of Public Services and Procurement was marked by her leadership during the critical period of the Covid-19 pandemic. She spearheaded Canada’s efforts to secure essential resources, including vaccines, personal protective equipment (PPE), and rapid tests. Her negotiation skills and commitment ensured that Canadians had access to these vital supplies when they were needed most.

Later, as Minister of National Defence, Anand introduced substantial reforms to address sexual misconduct in the Canadian military. Recognizing the urgent need for cultural change within the Canadian Armed Forces, she implemented initiatives aimed at creating a safer and more inclusive environment for service members. During this time, she also played a pivotal role in Canada’s support for Ukraine by overseeing military aid and training programs for Ukrainian soldiers in the wake of Russia’s invasion.

Her appointment as Minister of Transport further expanded her portfolio, reflecting her expertise and dedication to serving the nation across multiple domains.

Academic and Professional Background

Beyond her political career, Anita Anand has an impressive academic and professional background as a scholar, lawyer, and researcher. She served as a Professor of Law at the University of Toronto, where she held the JR Kimber Chair in Investor Protection and Corporate Governance.

During her tenure at the University of Toronto, Anand took on several leadership roles, including Associate Dean and Director of Policy and Research at the Capital Markets Institute at the Rotman School of Management. She was also a member of the Governing Board of Massey College. Her teaching career extended to other esteemed institutions, including Yale Law School, Queen’s University, and Western University.

Educational Qualifications

Anand’s educational journey is equally remarkable, marked by degrees from prestigious institutions. She holds a Bachelor of Arts (Honours) in Political Studies from Queen’s University and a Bachelor of Arts (Honours) in Jurisprudence from the University of Oxford. She earned her Bachelor of Laws from Dalhousie University and her Master of Laws from the University of Toronto.

In 1994, she was called to the Bar of Ontario, further solidifying her legal expertise.

A Potential Milestone for Canadian Leadership

As speculation grows around Trudeau’s successor, Anita Anand’s name stands out not only for her extensive experience in governance but also for her ability to navigate complex challenges. Her Indian heritage adds a layer of significance to her candidacy, as her potential appointment would mark a milestone for diversity in Canadian leadership.

While the decision on the next Prime Minister remains in the hands of the Liberal Party, Anand’s track record and leadership qualities position her as a strong contender for the role. Her contributions across various domains of public service and her commitment to addressing critical issues have earned her widespread respect and recognition.

Whether or not she ultimately assumes the role of Prime Minister, Anita Anand’s journey serves as an inspiring example of dedication, resilience, and excellence in public life.

Elon Musk Criticizes UK Government, Suggests “Liberating” Britain from its Leadership

Elon Musk, the CEO of Tesla and key advisor to U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, has sparked controversy by questioning whether the United States should “liberate the people of Britain from their tyrannical government.” This statement followed a series of critical social media posts aimed at top British lawmakers and the U.K. government, leading to a heated exchange between Musk and British officials. Musk, using the social media platform X (which he owns), voiced his concerns over how the British government has handled historical child abuse scandals.

Musk’s criticisms were particularly directed at Jess Phillips, the U.K. Safeguarding Minister, who he accused of being a “rape genocide apologist.” The remarks were made on Friday, and Musk’s social media activity escalated over the weekend. He continued to call for Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s resignation, stating that Starmer should be held accountable and jailed for his handling of child grooming gangs and other criminals targeting children. Musk even posted a poll on X, asking users whether the U.K. should be “liberated from its tyrannical government.”

Musk’s attacks came after Phillips rejected the call for a government-led inquiry into child sexual exploitation in Oldham, a town that had been the center of local child abuse scandals. Before entering politics, Starmer served as the U.K. Director of Public Prosecutions, overseeing the Crown Prosecution Service during the country’s child rape gang scandal. Phillips, meanwhile, had worked with Women’s Aid, a charity dedicated to supporting victims of domestic violence, before becoming a political figure.

Responding to Musk’s online comments, Starmer defended the actions he took during his tenure as the Director of Public Prosecutions. At a Monday news conference, Starmer said, “On the question of Elon Musk … it is a really important set of issues. Child sexual exploitation is utterly sickening.” However, he also criticized those spreading “lies and misinformation” in such matters, accusing them of being more interested in self-promotion than in helping victims. Starmer emphasized that during his time at the Crown Prosecution Service, they achieved the highest number of child sexual abuse cases ever prosecuted.

Starmer further stated, “Just as I took on the criminal justice system and the institutions when I was chief prosecutor, I’m prepared to call out this for what it is.” He was particularly outraged by what he perceived as a “poison of the far right” leading to serious threats against Phillips and others. He continued, “When the poison of the far right leads to serious threats to Jess Phillips and others, in my book a line has been crossed. I enjoy the cut and thrust of politics, but that’s got to be based on facts … not on those who are so desperate for attention that they’re prepared to debase themselves and their country.”

Wes Streeting, the U.K. Health Minister, also weighed in on the controversy, condemning Musk’s attack on Phillips. Streeting called the comments a “disgraceful smear,” noting that both Starmer and Phillips had dedicated significant portions of their professional lives to locking up dangerous criminals, including pedophiles, rapists, and abusers. Speaking to the BBC, Streeting said, “Keir Starmer and Jess Phillips, who have both been on the end of completely ill-judged criticism have done, in their professional lives, more than most people will ever do to lock up pedophiles, rapists, wife beaters and every other scumbag in our society.” He also challenged Musk to “roll his sleeves up and actually do something about tackling violence against women and girls,” pointing to the role that digital platforms, like X, should play in ensuring online safety.

This public dispute comes just two weeks before the inauguration of Donald Trump’s second presidency, raising questions about the future of the so-called “special relationship” between the U.K. and the U.S. Musk’s new role as an unofficial advisor to Trump coincides with heightened attention on the future of Anglo-American relations. The tensions surrounding Musk’s remarks, as well as Britain’s dealings with the incoming U.S. administration, highlight the challenges the U.K. faces in balancing its international relationships.

Britain has already faced pressure to rebuild diplomatic ties with the United States in light of previous critical remarks made by a top British official regarding Trump. Meanwhile, the European Union has been working to strengthen its relationship with the U.K., anticipating that they may need to collaborate to protect both parties from potential U.S. trade tariffs. As the political landscape evolves, Musk’s comments have added a new layer of complexity to the discussions surrounding Britain’s foreign policy and its domestic challenges.

As the war of words continues, the exchanges between Musk and U.K. politicians reflect a broader debate over the handling of child abuse cases, the role of social media in political discourse, and the tensions between national governments and powerful tech figures. Musk’s remarks have garnered widespread attention, and while his spokespersons have yet to respond to media inquiries, his role in shaping political conversations—particularly through social media—remains undeniable.

This incident serves as a reminder of the growing influence of tech billionaires like Musk, who are increasingly willing to engage directly with political issues. Whether Musk’s actions will lead to any concrete change in U.K. policies or shift public opinion remains uncertain, but the confrontation has certainly made waves both in the U.K. and the U.S. As Musk continues to use his platform to voice his opinions on global matters, the lines between business, politics, and social responsibility are becoming increasingly blurred.

India Highlights the Benefits of Skilled Professional Mobility Amid H-1B Visa Debate

India has underscored the importance of the movement of skilled professionals between its borders and the United States, emphasizing how this exchange benefits both nations. The discussion gains prominence as debates around the H-1B visa program intensify, with notable figures like President-elect Donald Trump and Tesla CEO Elon Musk recently weighing in on the matter.

Elon Musk, in a recent social media post, strongly defended the H-1B visa program. “The reason I’m in America along with so many critical people who built SpaceX, Tesla, and hundreds of other companies that made America strong is because of H1B,” Musk wrote. He further declared, “I will go to war on this issue the likes of which you cannot possibly comprehend.”

The H-1B visa program, which facilitates the hiring of foreign workers in specialized fields, has long been a contentious topic in the United States. This debate has created visible rifts among Donald Trump’s allies. While some consider the program vital for the technology industry, others criticize it for allegedly threatening American jobs. Notably, Mr. Trump has taken a somewhat contradictory stance on the issue. Despite his earlier move to restrict access to these visas through an executive order, he has now expressed his full support for the program.

India has positioned itself as a strong advocate of the H-1B visa program, emphasizing the program’s mutual benefits. Randhir Jaiswal, the spokesperson for India’s Ministry of External Affairs, recently highlighted the critical role skilled professionals play in enhancing India-US ties. “Our countries have a strong and growing economic and technological partnership, and within this ambit, mobility of skilled professionals is an important component,” Jaiswal noted during a press conference.

Jaiswal further stressed the broader economic impact of these exchanges, adding, “India-US economic ties benefit a lot from the technical expertise provided by skilled professionals, with both sides leveraging their strengths and competitive value. We look forward to further deepening India-US economic ties, which are to our mutual benefit.”

The data backs India’s argument. Indian professionals accounted for approximately 78% of the 265,777 H-1B visas issued by the US in the fiscal year ending September 30, 2023. This figure underscores their pivotal role in driving the US tech industry, a sector that heavily relies on specialized talent.

Mr. Musk, echoing his unwavering support for the H-1B program, indicated his readiness to defend it against detractors. His statement aligns with Mr. Trump’s recent endorsement of the program, despite resistance from some factions within his base.

India’s advocacy for the H-1B visa program aligns with its broader efforts to deepen economic ties with the United States. Indian Foreign Minister Dr. S. Jaishankar has already initiated discussions with Mr. Trump’s transition team, signaling India’s eagerness to strengthen this bilateral relationship.

The growing cooperation between the two nations reflects in their burgeoning trade ties as well. In 2022-23, bilateral trade rose by 7.65% to reach USD 129 billion. Such numbers indicate the expanding economic partnership between the US and India, with the movement of skilled professionals playing a central role in this dynamic.

Beyond the immediate economic benefits, the H-1B program is emblematic of the larger technological and innovative exchange between the two countries. Skilled professionals, particularly those in the tech industry, contribute not only to economic growth but also to advancements that strengthen both nations’ global competitiveness.

India’s stance on the matter is clear. By championing the mobility of skilled professionals, the country seeks to ensure that both nations continue to leverage their respective strengths in building a robust economic and technological partnership. As Jaiswal noted, the mutual benefits of this relationship make it a priority for both nations.

As debates over the H-1B program persist, the broader implications for US-India relations remain significant. With Indian professionals playing a key role in the US tech sector, and bilateral trade continuing to grow, both countries recognize the importance of fostering cooperation in areas of shared interest.

In the end, the movement of skilled professionals is more than just a visa issue; it is a cornerstone of the economic and technological relationship between India and the United States. As these two nations navigate the complexities of their partnership, the commitment to mutual benefit and collaboration remains steadfast.

The coming months will likely see intensified discussions around the H-1B program, but one thing is certain: the movement of skilled professionals between India and the US is vital for the success of both nations in an increasingly interconnected world.

Jimmy Carter: An Indian perspective on a US president

Jimmy Carter, the 39th President of United States (1977-1981) died on 29th December 2024. He was 100 years old. I feel he was the most honest and decent president that the US had in the last 50-60 years.

My experience of Carter

I met him briefly in 1975 when I was a graduate student at the University of Florida (UF), Gainesville, Florida. One day in the later part of January 1975 I was coming back in the evening to my department office from my campus dorm when I saw posters all over the campus announcing that Jimmy Carter the Democratic presidential candidate will speak at 8 p.m. in the McCarty auditorium.

I normally used to go to my dorm around 5 or 5:30 p.m. to cook and after dinner would usually come back to my office in the department to study or do experiments in the lab till about 12 or 12:30 a.m.  The quiet atmosphere of the office at night was very conducive to studying.

Hence when I saw those posters in the evening, I thought it might be worthwhile to go and see what a potential President of the US is all about.  Coming from a political family in India I was curious about the politics in the US and the talk by Jimmy Carter provided an excellent opportunity to find out more.

Thus I went a little early to the auditorium and sat in an aisle seat near the back so that if I got bored, I could leave the talk without disturbing other people.

At exactly 8.00 p.m. Jimmy Carter entered the auditorium from the back smiling his toothy smile and shaking hands with the audience as he passed by.  He shook hands with me and casually asked where I was from to which I replied India, and he moved on.

His thick southern accent was difficult to follow but his smiling face and charming and gracious manners captivated me and so I sat through his speech. After the lecture came the question/answer time.  A black woman got up and literally lit into Jimmy Carter accusing him of racism since he came from the South and calling him names etc.  Throughout this tirade Jimmy Carter simply kept on smiling and answered the question without any rancor or irritation.  He never appeared to be perturbed or rattled at all.  I was extremely impressed by his demeanor and behavior.

So I came back to my office around 9:30 p.m. and told my office mates that I just saw the next President of the US. One of my officemates got livid and told me that I had been in the US for only a month and how dare I pass judgment on the U.S. political candidates. “The next President will be Ronald Reagan”  he told me. I had no idea who Reagan was but somehow my gut feeling told me that Jimmy Carter may become the next President.  I became so interested in his campaign that I used to read everything about him that came in the newspapers.

So I used to go to the main library on UF campus and read editorials in New York Times, Washington Post, Miami Herald etc. and became quite knowledgeable about Jimmy Carter and his policies of healing the nation post Nixon/Ford Watergate fiasco. I was delighted when he became the President.

I used to debate with my American friends and officemates regarding the pros and cons of Carter candidacy and they were amazed at my knowledge. That is when I felt that Americans had become quite illiterate since they hardly read the papers and formed their opinion only from the news bytes on TV. My crowning glory came when I persuaded my officemate to vote for Jimmy Carter in the 1976 presidential election.

Another indirect connection to Jimmy Carter was my wife Nandini Nimbkar’s thesis committee member Dr. A. J. Norden.  Dr. Norden was a distinguished peanut breeder and professor at UF. More than 80% of Jimmy Carter’s peanut farm in Plains, Georgia was under Dr. Norden’s peanut variety.  He used to tell his students, including Nandini, how simply the Carters lived and their old-world family values.

I think Jimmy Carter was one of the most decent and honest occupants of the White House who probably was undone by the Washington establishment who always considered him an outsider. His presidency was called a failed one, though in retrospect people feel he did not get the credit due to him.

Carter’s beliefs and practices

Carter was a visionary and believed in renewable energy and reducing environmental pollution. He believed that large-scale solar energy use in the U.S. will help the country get away from the clutches of mid-east oil.  He therefore set up the world’s first Solar Energy Research Institute (SERI) – now renamed National Renewable Energy Lab (NREL) in Golden, Colorado.  My professor Dr. Erich Farber played an important role in planning it though the politics triumphed over talent and ultimately the directorship of SERI went to Denis Hayes an environmental politician.

Carter spent most of his post-presidency life doing community service through his Carter Center and received many awards including the Nobel Peace Prize in 2002.

Besides setting up a new Department of Energy and Education, Carter also showed to the future presidents the power of setting up presidential foundations which can do philanthropic work.   Thus Bush, Clinton and Obama all set up their philanthropy foundations inspired by the Carter Center.

He was active till the end, advising and negotiating with leaders across the globe.

(The writer, an IIT and US-educated Indian engineer,  a 2022 Padma Shri award winner, is the Director, Nimbkar Agricultural Research Institute, Phaltan, Maharashtra. He can be reached at anilrajvanshi50@gmail.com.  His podcasts can be accessed at  https://anilrajvanshi50.podbean.com and his books at https://nariphaltan.org/publications/akrbooks.html)

By Anil K. Rajvanshi

Source credit: https://www.southasiamonitor.org/perspective/jimmy-carter-indian-perspective-us-president

Disgraced South Korean President Eludes Arrest as Political Turmoil Deepens

South Korea witnessed an extraordinary six-hour standoff on Friday when more than 100 police officers armed with an arrest warrant failed to detain suspended President Yoon Suk Yeol. Despite their efforts, they were thwarted by Yoon’s security team, who formed a human barrier and used vehicles to block the authorities, according to local media reports.

This dramatic event is the latest in a series of unprecedented developments in South Korean politics. Yoon’s brief and controversial imposition of martial law last month was followed by his impeachment by parliament. A criminal investigation ensued, during which Yoon refused to appear for questioning. Earlier this week, authorities issued a warrant for his arrest.

Despite being impeached and suspended from office, Yoon retains a significant support base. On Friday morning, thousands of his supporters gathered outside his residence to oppose his arrest. For now, Yoon remains a disgraced leader awaiting the constitutional court’s decision, which could permanently remove him from office.

Challenges in Arresting Yoon

Even though Yoon no longer holds presidential powers following his impeachment, he is still entitled to a security detail, which proved instrumental in blocking the arrest.

The presidential security service (PSS) played a decisive role in Friday’s events. Mason Richey, an associate professor at Seoul’s Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, suggested that the PSS’s actions could reflect either loyalty to Yoon or a misunderstanding of their constitutional responsibilities.

Given Yoon’s suspension, the PSS should technically be taking orders from acting President Choi Sang-mok. “They have either not been instructed by acting President Choi to stand down, or they are refusing his orders to do so,” Richey explained.

Some experts argue that the PSS’s actions indicate “unconditional loyalty” to Yoon rather than adherence to their official duties. Christopher Jumin Lee, a U.S.-based lawyer and Korea expert, posited that Yoon might have filled the organization with hardline loyalists to prepare for such a scenario. The current PSS chief, Park Jong-joon, was appointed by Yoon in September.

Adding to the controversy, Park’s predecessor, Kim Yong-hyun, is accused of advising Yoon to impose martial law. Kim is currently under investigation as part of the broader criminal inquiry into Yoon’s actions.

Political Stalemate and Risks of Escalation

The situation underscores the deep political polarization in South Korea. While most South Koreans agree that Yoon’s martial law declaration on December 3 was a mistake, there is little consensus on how he should be held accountable.

“The actors involved disagree over process, procedure, and their legal basis, which is adding to the current political uncertainty,” explained Duyeon Kim, an adjunct senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security.

This uncertainty fueled the tense standoff outside Yoon’s residence, where his supporters have been camping for days, delivering impassioned speeches and occasionally clashing with police.

Law enforcement faces a dilemma. Returning with a larger force and attempting to use more aggressive measures would be fraught with risks. “The PSS is heavily armed, so arresting officers would be looking to avoid any escalation,” Richey warned.

Christopher Jumin Lee raised a troubling question: “What happens if the police show up with additional warrants calling for the arrest of PSS personnel, [the PSS] defy those warrants as well and then brandish their guns?”

Authorities have announced that they are investigating the PSS director and his deputy for obstruction. This could lead to additional charges and warrants in the coming days.

A Precarious Legal and Political Landscape

The fallout from Yoon’s martial law order is a significant test for the Corruption Investigation Office (CIO), which is leading the probe against him. Established just four years ago in the wake of public outrage over former President Park Geun-hye’s corruption scandal, the CIO is still finding its footing.

Unlike Park, who was impeached, removed from office, and jailed after her term ended, Yoon is the first South Korean president to face potential arrest while still in office.

Investigators have until January 6 to detain Yoon before the current warrant expires. They may attempt another arrest over the weekend, but the growing number of Yoon’s supporters could make the task even more challenging. Alternatively, they could apply for a new warrant and try again later.

With South Korea plunging into uncharted political territory, the uncertainty surrounding Yoon’s case shows no signs of abating.

Syria’s New Leader Sharaa Suggests Elections Could Take Four Years

Ahmed al-Sharaa, Syria’s de facto leader, indicated that national elections might take as long as four years, according to Reuters. This statement marks his first public comment regarding an electoral timeline since the ousting of Bashar al-Assad earlier this month.

Speaking to Saudi-owned Al Arabiya, Sharaa explained that drafting a new constitution could require up to three years, while significant changes in governance might be implemented within a year. These remarks align with the new administration’s efforts to demonstrate a shift away from Islamist militancy and to reassure neighboring countries in the region.

Sharaa heads Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), the organization responsible for deposing Assad on December 8, effectively concluding Syria’s 13-year-long civil war. In a significant move toward inclusivity, he announced that HTS would dissolve during a planned national dialogue conference.

The group, which once had ties to al-Qaeda, has renounced extremist ideologies and committed to safeguarding Syria’s minority communities.

Despite these changes, uncertainty surrounds Syria’s future governance structure and the role foreign powers like Turkey and Russia might play. While Western countries have cautiously welcomed these developments, many minority groups within Syria remain apprehensive about the potential for Islamist-driven policies under the new leadership.

Sharaa underscored Syria’s strategic relationship with Russia, a key player in the region with military bases in the country. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov commented on the matter, stating that discussions with Syria’s new leadership would determine the future of these bases. Negotiations will cover operational details and cooperative agreements with local authorities.

Furthermore, Sharaa expressed optimism that the incoming U.S. administration, led by President-elect Donald Trump, might consider lifting sanctions on Syria. U.S. officials who visited Damascus this month acknowledged Sharaa’s pragmatic stance and confirmed that the $10 million bounty previously placed on him had been rescinded.

The developments signal a complex but potentially transformative period for Syria as it navigates governance changes, regional diplomacy, and relationships with global powers.

Jimmy Carter: A Legacy of Ambition, Challenges, and Humanitarian Achievements

Few U.S. presidents have risen as swiftly in national politics as Jimmy Carter. In 1974, as he neared the end of his single term as Georgia’s governor, Carter announced his intention to run for the presidency. Despite his modest national name recognition of just 2%, he embarked on an ambitious campaign strategy. Touring 37 states and delivering over 200 speeches before most candidates even entered the race, Carter aimed to build a grassroots connection with voters. His strategy paid off when he secured victories in Iowa and New Hampshire during the winter of 1976, momentum he carried to the Democratic nomination and ultimately to the White House in a narrow general election win.

Carter’s political career was later overshadowed by his exceptional four-decade-long post-presidential life, which ended with his death in Plains, Georgia, at the age of 100. He had battled cancer in his brain and liver during his 90s, becoming the longest-living U.S. president.

A Life Spanning Political Eras

James Earl Carter Jr., the 39th president, was elected as a Democrat in 1976, ousting Republican incumbent Gerald Ford. His presidency was marked by significant challenges, including inflation, energy crises, and foreign policy turmoil. Despite these obstacles, he won the Democratic nomination for a second term but lost the 1980 election to Republican Ronald Reagan in a landslide.

Carter was the first Deep South president since the Civil War, entering politics during the Democratic Party’s dominance in his region. After serving as a naval officer in the submarine corps, he returned to Georgia in 1953 to manage his family’s peanut business following his father’s death. His political career began with four years in Georgia’s state legislature before an unsuccessful bid for governor in 1966, where he was defeated by Lester Maddox, a populist known for confronting civil rights protesters.

While Carter shared aspects of the traditional white Southern identity, he also supported integration and Martin Luther King Jr.’s Civil Rights Movement. In 1970, he won the governorship and declared in his inaugural speech, “The time for racial discrimination is over.”

A Strategic Path to the Presidency

Carter’s rise to the presidency was rooted in a meticulous campaign strategy, capitalizing on new Democratic Party nominating rules in the early 1970s. Guided by campaign manager Hamilton Jordan, Carter leveraged early successes in the Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary to build national momentum. By January 1976, Carter was polling at just 4% among Democrats, but his early wins allowed him to capture the attention of voters nationwide.

He outperformed segregationist George Wallace in Southern primaries and dominated industrial states in the North and Midwest. Of the 48 primaries and caucuses that year, Carter won 30, far surpassing any other candidate.

Challenges in the White House

Carter’s presidency faced mounting difficulties, particularly in foreign policy. The Iranian Revolution overthrew the U.S.-backed Shah, leading to the establishment of a theocratic regime under Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini. When Carter allowed the Shah into the U.S. for cancer treatment, Iranian students stormed the U.S. Embassy in Tehran, taking 52 Americans hostage for 444 days. Carter’s attempts to resolve the crisis, including a failed rescue mission that left eight U.S. service members dead, were unsuccessful and severely damaged his administration’s standing.

The Soviet invasion of Afghanistan further strained his presidency. While opposing Soviet aggression was popular, Carter’s decision to boycott the 1980 Moscow Olympics was met with mixed reactions.

Despite these challenges, Carter secured the Democratic nomination in 1980, fending off a primary challenge from Senator Edward Kennedy. Carter framed the primaries as a referendum on the Iranian hostage crisis, which helped him maintain enough party support to defeat Kennedy. However, the intraparty struggle weakened him ahead of the general election.

The Reagan Challenge

Carter faced Ronald Reagan, a former California governor, in the 1980 election. Reagan united voters with promises of tax cuts, increased defense spending, and a return to traditional values of “faith, freedom, family, work, and neighborhood.” His opposition to abortion, school busing, and his support for school prayer resonated with conservative Americans.

After early successes in Southern primaries, Reagan solidified his position at the Republican National Convention. The election initially appeared close, but Reagan’s performance in their sole debate on October 28, 1980, tilted the scales. Reagan’s optimistic demeanor and criticisms of Carter’s handling of the economy resonated with voters, leading to a decisive victory.

A Transformative Post-Presidency

Despite the challenges of his presidency, Carter’s post-presidential years transformed his legacy. Historian Douglas Brinkley noted that within 20 years of leaving office, Carter had become “renowned the world over as the epitome of the caring, compassionate, best sort of American statesman.”

Carter dedicated himself to humanitarian causes, working with Habitat for Humanity to build homes for low-income families and establishing the Carter Center, which promoted democracy, human rights, and health initiatives worldwide. He also authored more than two dozen books and taught at Emory University.

His global advocacy earned him numerous accolades, including the U.N. Prize in the Field of Human Rights in 1998 and the Nobel Peace Prize in 2002.

A Controversial Yet Principled Figure

Carter often courted controversy in his later years, particularly regarding Middle Eastern policy. He opposed the Gulf War in 1991 and the 2003 U.S. invasion of Iraq. His comparison of Israel’s treatment of Palestinians to South African apartheid sparked intense debate, as did his suggestion that opposition to President Barack Obama was partly rooted in racism.

Carter also criticized then-President Donald Trump, drawing admiration and criticism for his outspoken views.

Bridging a Complex Legacy

Jimmy Carter’s life bridged eras of U.S. history, from the Civil Rights Movement to modern global conflicts. While his presidency faced significant struggles, his post-presidential work elevated him as a global humanitarian and advocate for peace. Carter’s unwavering commitment to his principles and tireless efforts to better the world left an indelible mark on history.

Manmohan Singh, Former Indian Prime Minister and Economic Reformer, Passes Away at 92

Manmohan Singh, one of India’s most revered leaders and the architect of the country’s economic liberalization, has passed away at the age of 92. Singh, who served as India’s Prime Minister from 2004 to 2014, was instrumental in introducing key economic reforms during his tenure as finance minister in the early 1990s.

Admitted to a hospital in Delhi following a decline in health, Singh’s passing prompted tributes from leaders across the political spectrum. Prime Minister Narendra Modi expressed his condolences, calling Singh “one of India’s most distinguished leaders” and commending his wisdom and dedication to improving lives. Congress leader Rahul Gandhi remembered Singh as a mentor and guide, while Priyanka Gandhi described him as “wise, egalitarian, strong-willed, and courageous.”

Early Life and Education

Born on September 26, 1932, in a remote village in Punjab, Singh overcame significant hardships. His village lacked basic amenities like water and electricity. Singh pursued higher education with remarkable determination, earning a master’s degree from the University of Cambridge and a doctorate from Oxford University. Despite financial struggles during his studies, he excelled academically, laying the foundation for his illustrious career.

A Reformist Leader

Singh’s political prominence rose in 1991 when, as finance minister, he spearheaded transformative economic reforms that revitalized a near-bankrupt India. In his maiden budget speech, he famously quoted Victor Hugo, declaring, “No power on Earth can stop an idea whose time has come.” His reforms, which included tax cuts, rupee devaluation, privatization, and opening up to foreign investment, ushered in an era of rapid industrial growth and economic stability.

Prime Ministerial Tenure

In 2004, Singh became India’s Prime Minister, the first Sikh to hold the position, following Congress leader Sonia Gandhi’s decision to decline the role. His leadership secured India’s re-entry into the global nuclear community through a landmark deal with the United States, though the agreement faced strong political opposition domestically.

Known as a consensus builder, Singh managed a coalition government despite frequent challenges from assertive regional allies. However, his second term was overshadowed by allegations of corruption and policy paralysis, culminating in Congress’s defeat in the 2014 elections.

Foreign Policy and Legacy

As Prime Minister, Singh adopted pragmatic foreign policies, strengthening ties with Afghanistan, reopening trade routes with China, and continuing peace talks with Pakistan. However, his decision to distance India from traditional ally Iran drew criticism.

Singh’s calm demeanor, academic rigor, and integrity earned him respect across party lines. Despite facing allegations of corruption during his tenure, he maintained that his government worked with “utmost commitment and dedication.”

A Quiet Statesman

Singh’s low-profile nature stood out in the political arena. Known for his reserved demeanor, he often avoided confrontation, stating that “silence is better than a thousand answers.” Even after leaving office, Singh remained active in public discourse, offering solutions during the economic challenges of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Singh will be remembered as the leader who steered India out of economic and nuclear isolation. While some critics felt he stayed in politics too long, Singh himself believed that “history will be kinder to me than the contemporary media or opposition.”

Manmohan Singh is survived by his wife, Gursharan Kaur, and their three daughters. His contributions to India’s economic and political landscape will be remembered as a defining chapter in the nation’s history.

Global Population Growth Faces Deceleration: Implications for the Future

Since the dawn of Homo sapiens, the Earth’s population has grown steadily, with humans asserting dominance over the planet. However, the long-standing trend of population growth may soon become unsustainable, as recent studies suggest a global slowdown and even a potential decline in population numbers.

Historical Population Growth

By the 10th century, historians estimate that the global population numbered only a few hundred million. The Industrial Revolution, coupled with improvements in living conditions, marked a significant turning point. Humanity surpassed 1 billion by 1900, and by 2000, the number had surged past 6 billion. Most recently, in late 2022, the population crossed the 8 billion threshold. Despite this upward trajectory, emerging data indicate a slowing pace, with projections of a population decline in the foreseeable future.

Shifting Global Population Trends

A study published in The Lancet using data from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington predicts a significant shift in population dynamics. By 2050, 155 of 204 countries are expected to experience birth rates too low to sustain stable population levels. By 2100, this figure is projected to rise to 198 countries, suggesting that deaths will surpass births in most regions.

“This is our most comprehensive analysis to date,” explained Dr. Stein Emil Vollset, a professor at IHME. This analysis points to a future where many traditional patterns of population growth could reverse.

The Implications of Population Decline

The idea of a less crowded planet raises mixed reactions. On the one hand, a declining population could ease the strain on natural resources. On the other hand, falling fertility rates—already below replacement levels in many regions—pose significant challenges. Despite earlier assumptions that fertility rates would eventually rebound, recent data do not support this theory.

Fewer births today translate into smaller workforces in the coming decades. Economic systems thrive on a steady supply of workers, consumers, and taxpayers. A reduced population could lead to productivity declines, economic stagnation, and difficulty funding essential public services.

As population structures age, the workforce diminishes, and tax revenues shrink. Economists warn that aging populations could disrupt labor markets and wage structures, straining economic systems and reducing overall growth potential.

The Challenge of Aging Populations

A shrinking global population also means an increasing proportion of older individuals. While longevity is a sign of progress, it presents unique challenges, such as rising demand for medical care, assisted living, and support for age-related conditions.

Healthcare systems will need to adapt to accommodate the growing needs of older populations, requiring skilled medical personnel and long-term support infrastructure. Families and communities may face added caregiving responsibilities, exacerbated by a shortage of younger workers to fill caregiving roles. Studies highlight the rising costs of eldercare, urging countries to prepare for these demographic shifts to prevent inadequate care and extended waiting times.

Environmental Impacts of Population Decline

At first glance, a smaller population might appear beneficial for the environment, potentially reducing the strain on forests, oceans, farmland, and energy resources. Fewer humans could mean lower levels of pollution, reduced greenhouse gas emissions, and improved water quality.

However, uneven population distribution could complicate resource management. If some regions become less populated while others remain densely inhabited, achieving a balance in resource allocation may prove challenging. Moreover, environmental outcomes depend as much on lifestyle choices as on population size. Research indicates that sustainable living practices will remain critical to preserving ecosystems and maintaining biodiversity, regardless of population trends.

Geopolitical and Economic Shifts

Population changes could also alter global power dynamics. Nations with shrinking populations may experience reduced political and economic influence, while others with stable or growing populations might gain prominence.

Countries that historically dominated global trade, technology, or culture could be overshadowed by nations with more youthful populations. Shifts in demographic trends might necessitate realigning geopolitical strategies, security agreements, and resource-sharing negotiations to reflect new realities.

Social and Policy Implications

Declining fertility rates often coincide with advancements in women’s rights, education, and changing societal expectations. While these developments are positive, some governments may resort to restrictive policies aimed at increasing birth rates. Such measures risk infringing on personal freedoms and reproductive rights.

Coercive pro-natalist policies, including limiting access to contraception or pressuring women to have more children, could lead to social unrest and diminished trust in leadership. Historical examples suggest that forced fertility measures often fail, highlighting the need for balanced approaches that respect individual rights while addressing demographic challenges.

A New Perspective on Progress

The prospect of a less populous planet presents complex challenges and opportunities. A world with fewer births may redefine how cities are built, how families are structured, and how resources are allocated. Policymakers and planners will need to adopt forward-thinking strategies to manage healthcare, economic systems, and environmental sustainability.

Ultimately, the end of uninterrupted population growth may mark the beginning of a new form of progress—one measured not by the number of people on Earth, but by the quality of care and opportunities available to each individual. As nations adapt to these changes, collaboration and innovation will be essential to navigating this new demographic landscape.

Pressure Mounts on Justin Trudeau to Resign Amid Growing Political Turmoil

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is facing mounting pressure from within his Liberal Party to step down after nearly a decade in office. The calls for his resignation intensified following the abrupt departure of a key minister, who criticized Trudeau’s handling of the budget and economic challenges. Once celebrated for his leadership, Trudeau’s popularity has waned due to a range of issues, including the soaring cost of living and persistent inflation.

Currently, the Liberal Party lacks a mechanism to immediately force Trudeau out. His potential departure could arise through either a voluntary resignation or a “no confidence” vote in Parliament, which would likely trigger an election favoring the opposition Conservative Party. However, if his government manages to survive such a vote, Trudeau could remain in office until the next scheduled election.

As more Liberal lawmakers openly questioned Trudeau’s leadership, Jonathan Wilkinson, Canada’s minister of natural resources, called for patience. “We all need to give him a little time to reflect,” Wilkinson stated.

The Possibility of Trudeau Resigning

Political analysts consider Trudeau’s resignation a likely outcome. If he steps down, the Liberals would need to appoint an interim prime minister to lead until elections are held. However, no clear frontrunner has emerged for the interim role.

In the longer term, one of the potential candidates to succeed Trudeau is Mark Carney, the former head of the Bank of Canada and later the Bank of England. Carney has expressed interest in entering politics and has long been viewed as a prime ministerial contender. Another possibility is Dominic LeBlanc, the newly appointed finance minister and a close ally of Trudeau. LeBlanc, a former public safety minister, recently accompanied Trudeau to a dinner with U.S. President-elect Donald Trump at Mar-a-Lago.

The turmoil within Trudeau’s government escalated after Chrystia Freeland, the former finance minister, resigned from his Cabinet. Freeland criticized Trudeau’s handling of economic issues, particularly in light of the steep tariffs threatened by Trump. Her departure followed the resignation of the housing minister, further amplifying concerns about the government’s stability.

Canadian historian Robert Bothwell suggested that Trudeau’s resignation might be inevitable if additional ministers leave. “My guess is that if another minister or two goes, he’s toast,” Bothwell remarked.

Parliament’s Role in Trudeau’s Future

Unhappy voters and fracturing alliances in Parliament could spell trouble for Trudeau’s government. The Liberal Party’s reliance on the left-leaning New Democratic Party (NDP) for support has become precarious, as the NDP’s leader has also called for Trudeau’s resignation. This shift opens the door for a potential “no confidence” vote in Parliament.

If a majority in Parliament votes against the Liberal government, a new election would be triggered. Bothwell predicted that such an outcome would decisively end Trudeau’s political career. “He would then be erased in the election,” he said.

The possibility of a “no confidence” vote could arise soon after Parliament reconvenes in late January, following the holiday recess. However, the Liberal Party might use procedural tactics to delay the vote for several months, noted Nelson Wiseman, professor emeritus at the University of Toronto.

The opposition Conservative Party, which holds a commanding lead in the polls, has refrained from explicitly demanding Trudeau’s resignation. Recent polling by Nanos indicates that the Conservatives have the support of 43% of voters compared to 23% for the Liberals, suggesting a strong likelihood of a Conservative majority in a potential election.

Trudeau’s Attempt to Retain Power

Despite the growing discontent, Trudeau could attempt to hold onto power. While many within his party are urging him to step down, he retains some support among loyalists. Liberal lawmaker James Maloney defended Trudeau, saying he still has the backing of the party’s base in Parliament.

“Like most families, sometimes we have fights around the holidays. But of course, like most families, we find our way through it,” Trudeau said in an address to party members. “I love this country. I deeply love this party. I love you guys.”

Should Trudeau’s government survive no confidence votes in the coming months—an increasingly unlikely scenario—the next federal election would be held no later than October 20. However, Wiseman speculated that an election could occur much earlier. “I expect an election in late spring, unless Trudeau decides to dissolve Parliament and dives into an election before then,” he said.

With their grip on power slipping, the Liberals are now aiming to limit the damage in the next election. Experts suggest their best-case scenario would be to hold the Conservatives to a minority government, forcing them to rely on other parties to pass legislation.

As political and public pressure mounts, the path forward for Trudeau and the Liberal Party grows increasingly uncertain. The coming weeks will likely determine whether Trudeau’s leadership survives or whether Canada enters a new chapter of political change.

Switzerland Withdraws MFN Status from India After Supreme Court Ruling

Switzerland has made a decisive move to revoke India’s Most Favoured Nation (MFN) status under the Double Taxation Avoidance Agreement (DTAA), citing the Supreme Court of India’s recent ruling in the Nestle case as the reason. The Swiss decision, announced on December 11, 2023, signals a significant change in the bilateral treaty relationship between the two countries and is expected to impact Indian businesses operating in Switzerland, as well as Swiss investments in India.

In its official statement, Switzerland’s finance department explicitly pointed to the Indian Supreme Court’s 2023 ruling, which stated that an MFN clause does not automatically apply when a country joins the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). This landmark judgment set a precedent that existing tax treaties take precedence unless the MFN clause is explicitly triggered through a notification under Section 90 of India’s Income Tax Act.

The Role of the OECD and Its Framework

The OECD, established in 1961 and headquartered in Paris, is a global forum focused on promoting fair and sustainable economic policies. It works with policymakers, stakeholders, and citizens to develop evidence-based international standards to tackle global challenges, including economic, social, and environmental issues. For countries like India and Switzerland, OECD standards play a crucial role in shaping tax treaties and bilateral agreements.

Background of the Case

The dispute originated from India’s tax agreements with Lithuania and Colombia, which stipulated lower tax rates for certain income categories compared to those provided to OECD countries. Later, when Lithuania and Colombia joined the OECD, Switzerland interpreted the MFN clause to mean that the 5% tax rate for dividends applied to its tax treaty with India, instead of the 10% rate originally agreed upon.

However, the Indian Supreme Court clarified in its ruling that the MFN clause does not automatically apply to new OECD members. Instead, for the clause to take effect, it must be explicitly mentioned in a notification under Section 90 of the Income Tax Act. This interpretation invalidated Switzerland’s assumption that Lithuania and Colombia’s OECD membership would alter the India-Switzerland tax treaty’s terms.

The Nestle Case and Its Implications

Switzerland’s disappointment stems from the Supreme Court overturning a 2021 Delhi High Court judgment that had upheld Switzerland’s interpretation of the MFN clause. The High Court had ruled in favor of applying residual tax rates under the DTAA, which aligned with Switzerland’s perspective.

However, on October 19, 2023, the Supreme Court reversed this judgment, stating, “The MFN clause was not directly applicable in the absence of a ‘notification’ in accordance with Section 90 of the Income Tax Act.” This ruling directly impacted Nestle and indirectly undermined Switzerland’s stance, leading to its decision to revoke India’s MFN status.

Switzerland’s Response and Its Repercussions

As a response to the Supreme Court’s ruling, Switzerland has unilaterally withdrawn India’s MFN status under the DTAA. Starting January 1, 2025, dividends payable to Indian tax residents and entities will be subject to a 10% tax rate, doubling the current 5%. Swiss tax residents claiming foreign tax credits will also face similar implications.

In its official statement, the Swiss finance department announced, “Suspension of the application of the MFN clause of the protocol to the agreement between the Swiss Confederation and the Republic of India for the avoidance of double taxation with respect to taxes on income.” The statement specifically attributed the decision to the Indian Supreme Court’s 2023 ruling on the Nestle case.

Perspectives from Tax Experts

The decision has drawn mixed reactions from experts. While some view it as a retaliatory move, others see it as an assertion of reciprocity.

Sandeep Jhunjhunwala, M&A Tax Partner at Nangia Andersen, described Switzerland’s action as unilateral. He explained, “This suspension may lead to increased tax liabilities for Indian entities operating in Switzerland, highlighting the complexities of navigating international tax treaties in an evolving global landscape.” He emphasized the need for treaty partners to align their interpretations to ensure stability and predictability in international tax frameworks.

Amit Maheshwari, Tax Partner at AKM Global, interpreted Switzerland’s move as an effort to maintain reciprocity. He noted, “The main reason behind the decision to withdraw MFN is of reciprocity, which ensures that taxpayers in both countries are treated equally and fairly.”

Maheshwari elaborated that Switzerland had earlier announced a reduction in the tax rate on dividends from 10% to 5% under the MFN clause, effective retroactively from July 5, 2018. However, the Supreme Court’s 2023 ruling contradicted this approach. “This could impact Swiss investments in India as dividends would be subject to higher withholding now,” he added, pointing out that post-2025, income accruing on dividends will likely be taxed at the higher rates specified in the original DTAA.

Kumarmanglam Vijay, Partner at JSA Advocates & Solicitors, highlighted the potential impact on Indian companies with overseas direct investment (ODI) structures involving Swiss subsidiaries. He explained, “This would especially impact Indian companies having ODI structures with subsidiaries in Switzerland and will raise the Swiss withholding tax on dividends from 5% to 10% from January 1, 2025.”

Looking Ahead

The revocation of India’s MFN status by Switzerland is a significant development in international tax relations. It underscores the challenges of interpreting and applying MFN clauses in the context of global tax treaties. For Indian companies and Swiss investors, the decision introduces new tax liabilities and complicates financial planning.

While the move has drawn criticism for its unilateral nature, it also highlights the need for clearer and more harmonized interpretations of international agreements. For now, the Indian business community and Swiss investors must navigate these changes while governments on both sides explore potential resolutions to avoid further economic disruptions.

US and India Overcome Historical Hesitations, Says Deputy Secretary Richard Verma

The United States and India have moved past historical hesitations, a sentiment echoed by Deputy Secretary of State for Management and Resources Richard Verma during the US-India Chamber of Commerce DFW’s 25th Annual Awards Gala on December 10. Verma, quoting Prime Minister Narendra Modi, reflected on the evolving partnership between the two nations.

“Overcome the hesitations of history… what great verbiage, and how appropriately said,” Verma remarked, referencing Modi’s speech to a joint session of Congress. He elaborated, “The United States and India have not had a very long relationship: just over 75 years, and unfortunately, for much of that history, we were not very close. In fact, many would say we were ‘estranged.’”

Verma delved into the early history of US-India relations, highlighting the connections formed during the leadership of Presidents Truman, Eisenhower, and Kennedy. “We started out so strong with Truman, Eisenhower, and Kennedy, who saw the enormous promise of India and U.S.-India ties,” he recalled. He cited Kennedy’s remarks as a US Senator, stating, “The hinge of fate in Asia rests with India.” Verma also mentioned Eisenhower’s historic visit to India in 1959, where the President inaugurated the first US Embassy in the country and expressed hope for lasting bonds between American and Indian youth. Eisenhower had proclaimed, “If young Indian and American children grow up to be the best of friends, then the world will be a safer and better place.”

However, by 1965, the relationship between the two countries underwent a stark shift. “We were locked into our Cold War differences: cordial, but distant,” Verma explained. This dynamic persisted for decades and only began to change in the late 1990s.

Verma credited President Clinton’s visit to India in 2000 as a turning point. “President Clinton finally broke out of our long period of estrangement and said it was time for a new and ambitious relationship, much like Eisenhower and Kennedy had wanted: a relationship based and built on shared values,” he said. This marked the beginning of a steady upward trajectory in US-India relations over the past 24 years.

During the event, Verma also celebrated the US-India Chamber of Commerce’s 25th anniversary and shared a deeply personal story about his own immigrant roots. “We are all from the same place,” he began, recalling his father’s journey to the United States. Verma described how his father arrived in New York City with only $14 and a bus ticket, starting life anew with limited resources. “And yes, his son would go on to be the US Ambassador to India and now, the Deputy Secretary of State,” he reflected, emphasizing, “Only in America. That is the promise of the American dream.”

Through his remarks, Verma painted a picture of two nations overcoming historical challenges to build a partnership rooted in shared aspirations and values. The gala served as a testament to the progress made and the promising future of US-India relations.

Israel Responds with Force Following Assad Regime Collapse

Israel has launched a large-scale military operation in Syria following the sudden collapse of Bashar al-Assad’s regime, marking the first time in half a century that Israeli ground forces have moved into and beyond the demilitarized buffer zone separating the two nations. The Israeli military announced that it had carried out around 480 airstrikes across Syria over the past two days, targeting strategic weapon stockpiles and other military assets.

Defense Minister Israel Katz revealed that the Israeli navy had also destroyed Syria’s naval fleet during overnight operations, calling the offensive “a great success.” Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu described Assad’s downfall as “a new and dramatic chapter,” attributing it to Israel’s relentless strikes on its adversaries. “The collapse of the Syrian regime is a direct result of the severe blows with which we have struck Hamas, Hezbollah, and Iran,” Netanyahu said on Monday. “The axis has not yet disappeared, but as I promised – we are changing the face of the Middle East.”

For Israel, the collapse of Assad’s government brings mixed feelings. While his removal is seen as a blow to Iran and Hezbollah, who used Syria as a logistical hub, there are concerns about the potential rise of radical Islamist factions in the power vacuum left behind. Foreign Minister Gideon Sa’ar explained that Israel’s airstrikes on Syrian military installations were intended to prevent chemical weapons and long-range missiles from falling into extremist hands. “It is important right now to take all necessary steps in the context of the security of Israel,” Sa’ar stated.

The conflict has brought unprecedented violence to Syria’s capital, Damascus. Explosions rocked the city throughout Tuesday, with activist group Voice of the Capital describing the Israeli bombing as “the most violent in Damascus in 15 years.” The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) reported that of the 480 strikes, approximately 350 were carried out by manned aircraft targeting airfields, anti-aircraft systems, drones, tanks, and weapons facilities in key cities including Damascus, Homs, Tartus, Latakia, and Palmyra. The remaining strikes supported ground troops targeting weapons depots and military structures.

The IDF also confirmed naval operations, which destroyed 15 Syrian vessels docked at two naval facilities. Photographs from Latakia showed extensive destruction of Syrian naval vessels, while images from the Mezzeh Air Base near Damascus depicted demolished military helicopters.

Arab states have criticized Israel’s actions, accusing it of exploiting Syria’s instability. The Arab League condemned Israel for “taking advantage of the developments in the internal situation in Syria,” while Egypt claimed that the operations amounted to “an exploitation of the state of fluidity and vacuum… to occupy more Syrian territories.”

Israel has denied allegations of an aggressive land grab but acknowledged operating beyond the buffer zone. Military spokesperson Nadav Shoshani refuted claims that Israeli forces were advancing toward Damascus, insisting they were focused on creating a “security zone free of heavy strategic weapons and terrorist infrastructures” in southern Syria. This zone extends beyond the demilitarized area, which was established after the 1974 ceasefire that followed Israel’s capture of the Golan Heights in the 1967 war. Israel annexed the Golan Heights in 1981, though it remains internationally recognized as occupied Syrian territory.

Activist reports suggest Israeli troops have advanced as far as Beqaasem, a village located 25 kilometers from Damascus and beyond the buffer zone. Mount Hermon, a strategic high point near the Syrian-Lebanese border and the Golan Heights, has also been seized by Israeli forces. While CNN could not independently verify these claims, the reported movements signify a significant expansion of Israel’s ground operations.

Netanyahu had ordered the military to occupy the buffer zone on Sunday, citing security concerns. Israeli officials have not disclosed how far troops might advance or how long they will remain in Syrian territory. Danny Dannon, Israel’s ambassador to the United Nations, described the deployment as “limited and temporary measures to counter any further threat to its citizens” in a letter to the UN Security Council.

As the situation evolves, Israel faces both domestic and international scrutiny. Its military actions in Syria are seen by some as a strategic necessity but by others as opportunistic exploitation of the chaos in its northern neighbor.

China 2025: A Pivotal Year Amidst Domestic and Geopolitical Challenges

The Asia Society Policy Institute’s Center for China Analysis (CCA) has unveiled its flagship annual report, China 2025: What to Watch. This report, based on CCA’s distinctive “inside-out” methodology, provides a comprehensive analysis of critical developments to monitor in China during 2025 and beyond. The report emphasizes China’s challenges on both domestic and international fronts, highlighting the crucial decisions that could shape its future trajectory.

In the introduction, Jing Qian, Co-Founder and Managing Director of CCA, and Jennifer Choo, Director of Research and Strategy, assert that 2025 will be a defining year for China. They explain, “The coming year will prove pivotal in testing Beijing’s resilience and adaptability as it confronts an increasingly hostile geopolitical environment while navigating extremely complex domestic challenges.” They stress that China is “at a crossroads,” with decisions made in this year likely to have lasting repercussions on the nation’s future.

A significant focus of the report is on the growing tensions between the United States and China. CCA Senior Fellow Lyle Morris predicts that U.S.-China relations are set to deteriorate further in 2025. He anticipates that former President Donald Trump, if reelected, may adopt a tougher stance on trade, which could include imposing heavy tariffs on Chinese products. Morris warns, “This may destabilize an already fragile relationship.” He underscores the importance of identifying specific areas of cooperation, stating, “Forging discrete areas of cooperation will remain key…Even though the chances of a genuine thaw that resolves fundamental differences…are low in 2025, recent agreements to enhance military-to-military communications and working groups to combat the illicit fentanyl trade are…the kinds of cooperation that can build positive momentum.” Despite the bleak outlook for overall relations, these collaborative initiatives are seen as steps toward stability.

The Taiwan Strait is highlighted as another potential flashpoint in the report. According to ASPI Managing Director and CCA Senior Fellow Rorry Daniels, tensions around Taiwan are likely to escalate. Daniels points out that the absence of robust U.S.-China diplomacy, especially under a Trump presidency, could exacerbate the situation. She writes, “In the likely absence of robust U.S.-China diplomacy under a Trump presidency, Beijing’s reactive policy responses to a growing U.S.-Taiwan relationship will be viewed by Washington not only as threatening but also worthy of a counter-response. This downward spiral could easily lead to policy miscalculations and a cross-Strait crisis.” The report warns that missteps in this volatile region could result in severe consequences.

Domestically, China faces a delicate balancing act between maintaining political control and fostering incentives within its governing elite. CCA Senior Fellow Guoguang Wu delves into the challenges facing the Chinese leadership in this area. He notes that the Xi Jinping administration will likely continue its anticorruption campaigns, albeit with a politically selective approach. “Anticorruption campaigns will continue and become even more politically selective as the Xi regime struggles to incentivize cadres while also maintaining tight control over them,” Wu explains. This dual challenge underscores the complexities of governance in a nation where centralized control is paramount.

China’s climate policies are also at a turning point in 2025. CCA Senior Fellow Li Shuo examines the implications of an economic slowdown on Beijing’s environmental commitments. He predicts that implementing more aggressive measures to reduce emissions could be difficult in the context of economic challenges. Li writes, “Whether Beijing decides to pledge strong climate targets under the Paris Agreement, transition away from coal, and double down on its clean energy development are key things to watch in 2025.” With global attention on China’s environmental agenda, the decisions made this year will significantly influence its role in addressing climate change.

The report concludes with an overarching assessment from Jing Qian and Jennifer Choo, emphasizing the need for strategic adaptability and pragmatic policymaking. They state, “All in all, navigating 2025 will demand strategic adaptability, political openness, and policy pragmatism by China’s leadership. The choices made this year will reshape the nation’s trajectory, not just domestically but regionally and globally.” Their analysis underscores the magnitude of decisions facing China in the coming year.

In addition to these themes, the report explores other crucial areas, including fiscal reforms, industrial policy, and public health challenges. Experts within CCA highlight the lingering societal impacts of COVID-19 and the complexities involved in addressing these challenges while pursuing economic growth. These interconnected issues illustrate the breadth of obstacles China must navigate in 2025.

The report paints a picture of a nation at a pivotal moment, confronting significant domestic and international challenges. Whether through fostering areas of cooperation with the United States, managing heightened tensions in the Taiwan Strait, or implementing transformative climate policies, China’s leadership will need to make carefully calculated decisions to shape its future.

Syria’s Former President Bashar al-Assad Seeks Asylum in Moscow After Rebel Takeover

Bashar al-Assad, Syria’s former president, has arrived in Moscow, according to Russian state media. His arrival in Russia follows his dramatic flight from Damascus, where he had been entrenched for years as the country’s leader. Russia, a staunch supporter of Assad’s regime throughout Syria’s civil war, has reportedly granted asylum to him and his family.

Assad’s departure comes in the wake of a swift offensive by the rebel group Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), which seized control of Damascus over the weekend. The takeover marks a pivotal moment in Syria’s conflict, as the rebels now hold power in the nation’s capital. The rebel group’s leader, Abu Mohammed al-Jawlani, has since made a public appearance in Damascus, addressing jubilant crowds.

“The sight of Jawlani standing in the heart of old Damascus felt surreal,” recounted BBC correspondent Feras Kilani, who was present during the dramatic developments. “I was just meters away from him. Seeing him there, in such a symbolic location, was something I never imagined witnessing.”

Kilani and other correspondents reported witnessing celebrations erupting across the streets of Damascus as the rebel victory became apparent. Crowds poured into public squares, and some people were seen looting Assad’s former residence, underscoring the collapse of his once-formidable control.

The atmosphere in Damascus has remained volatile, with explosions rocking parts of the city. While there are unconfirmed reports suggesting that Israel may have targeted specific sites within the capital, Israeli officials have not issued any statements on the matter.

The fall of Damascus to HTS marks a significant turning point in Syria’s ongoing conflict, raising questions about the country’s future under rebel control and the broader regional implications of these events.

This latest chapter in Syria’s turmoil underscores the unpredictable and complex dynamics of a war that has reshaped the nation’s political and social fabric.

Macron Vows to Stay in Office Amid Political Turmoil in France and Europe

French President Emmanuel Macron has reaffirmed his commitment to serving his term until 2027, pledging to announce a new government shortly. This declaration comes as France faces escalating political turmoil following the resignation of Prime Minister Michel Barnier after a no-confidence vote in the National Assembly. The political instability, coupled with a similar crisis in Germany, poses significant implications for European security and relations with the United States.

Speaking from the Elysée Palace in Paris, Macron expressed gratitude to Barnier for his service, remarking on his “dedication.” Macron criticized opposition lawmakers for voting out Barnier, accusing them of fostering “chaos” and saying they “don’t want to build, they want to dismantle.”

The crisis in France is particularly pressing given the ongoing war in Ukraine and the upcoming inauguration of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump. Analysts note that with caretaker governments now running two of Europe’s major economies, the continent’s ability to address critical security and economic challenges may be compromised.

Barnier had assumed office only three months ago following snap elections that resulted in a fractured parliament with no clear majority. His proposed 2025 national budget became a flashpoint for opposition lawmakers, who united across ideological lines to pass the no-confidence vote. With the government now dissolved and no budget approved, the legislative process in France is effectively stalled.

Pollster Mathieu Gallard of Ipsos described the situation as “uncharted territory,” emphasizing the urgency of forming a new government. “Regarding the adoption of the budget, everything is stalled, nothing can move in the parliament before we have a new government,” he said.

The absence of a parliamentary majority is a significant challenge. Gallard pointed out that the French political landscape has evolved from a straightforward left-right dichotomy to a more complex three-block system: a left-wing faction, a center-right faction, and a radical-right faction. This fragmentation makes consensus difficult and limits the incentives for cooperation, even if Macron were to call for fresh elections in 10 months, which is the earliest permitted under the French constitution.

“Before the election of Emmanuel Macron, we had two blocks opposing in French politics, the left and the right, and it was quite simple,” Gallard explained. “Now we have three blocks, and it makes the situation way more complicated.”

In neighboring Germany, a similar crisis has unfolded, with Chancellor Olaf Scholz losing the support of his coalition partners over disputes about economic and budget policies. Scholz now faces a confidence vote later this month, with federal elections scheduled for February.

The political turbulence in France and Germany is alarming for the European Union, according to Tanja Börzel, a political science professor at the Free University of Berlin. While she does not view the crises as an immediate existential threat to the EU, she acknowledges the severity of the challenges. “It’s a major challenge,” Börzel said, highlighting the rising polarization and distrust of governments across the Atlantic.

“These two countries have always, very often, taken the lead in helping Europe to speak one voice,” she added. “I think that’s what is required more than ever with Trump taking over the presidency in the U.S.”

One of the chief concerns for the EU, exacerbated by these crises, is its response to the Ukraine war. Alexandra de Hoop Scheffer, acting president of the German Marshall Fund of the United States, emphasized the urgency of addressing the conflict. Speaking from Washington, D.C., she remarked, “For the EU today, the No. 1 urgency is the Ukraine war.”

De Hoop Scheffer expressed concerns about how the incoming Trump administration might approach the war, noting the potential for decisions that could sideline European interests. “As we know, [there is] a certain dose of anxiety in terms of how the Trump administration will handle the war in Ukraine with the potential deal that might circumvent Europeans,” she said.

The crises in France and Germany have also reignited debates over defense spending versus domestic priorities, often referred to as the “guns versus butter” dilemma. The Ukraine conflict and Trump’s insistence on NATO members meeting their defense obligations have pressured European nations to increase military expenditures. However, these demands clash with the domestic challenges posed by a persistent cost-of-living crisis.

Budget disagreements have played a central role in the downfall of both Barnier in France and Scholz’s coalition in Germany. This instability threatens the EU’s unity on key issues, including its stance on Ukraine.

“At the end of the day, the EU is not united on Ukraine, and it’s always European fragmentations that fuel European weaknesses,” said de Hoop Scheffer, who has previously worked for NATO and the French Defense Ministry. “The crisis of French-German leadership — that truly doesn’t help.”

As 2024 approaches, Europe faces a critical juncture. With its two largest economies grappling with internal strife, the new year could mark a turning point for the European Union and its relationship with the United States.

Macron Vows Resilience Amid Political Turmoil Following No-Confidence Vote

French President Emmanuel Macron, facing mounting political challenges, announced plans to appoint a new prime minister within days during a televised address on Thursday. His defiant tone sought to address the fallout from Prime Minister Michel Barnier’s ousting in a historic no-confidence vote a day earlier. However, his remarks are unlikely to quell the intensifying political crisis.

The no-confidence vote, a rare occurrence in French politics, was propelled by an alliance between left-wing and far-right lawmakers, marking a significant setback for Macron’s administration. In response, the president refrained from conceding any personal failures, instead directing criticism at the factions that united to topple Barnier’s government.

Macron singled out the far-right National Rally, led by Marine Le Pen, accusing the party of orchestrating political instability. “The extreme right and the extreme left united together in an anti-Republican front,” he stated, referencing the coalition that led to Barnier’s downfall. This political vacuum complicates Macron’s agenda, particularly his push for a contentious budget.

Following the no-confidence vote, Barnier submitted his resignation, which Macron accepted on Thursday. Until a new government is formed, Barnier will serve in a caretaker role. “Let’s be honest, they think about one thing: the presidential election,” Macron remarked, criticizing Le Pen’s party for what he described as a “cynical” strategy that had fostered “a sense of chaos” across France. He further accused them of prioritizing disorder over governance, stating, “They insulted their own voters, and they have chosen simply disorder.”

During his address, Macron expressed optimism about a turning point in French politics. “From today, it’s [a] new era,” he declared, urging the National Assembly to fulfill its mandate and act “in the service of the French people.” However, his ability to usher in a smoother era remains uncertain. The selection of a new prime minister must gain approval from a deeply divided parliament, where opposition persists on both sides of the political spectrum.

Macron, now halfway through his second and final presidential term, faces diminished authority domestically and internationally. The snap election he called in June, intended to solidify his mandate, resulted in a fractured parliament, complicating his governance in the critical final years of his presidency. Further complicating matters, another snap election is not possible until June 2025, leaving Macron to navigate a highly polarized legislative body in the meantime.

The president initially sought to bridge the divide in parliament by appointing Barnier in September, hoping to balance support across political factions. However, his approach proved unsuccessful, and Macron may now focus on consolidating support from one side, potentially alienating the other. His address suggested little willingness to compromise with Le Pen, whose party remains steadfast in its opposition. On Thursday, Le Pen told French network CNews, “We have not changed our minds: we are opposed to a left-wing Prime Minister,” signaling continued resistance to any move that marginalizes her political bloc.

Adding to the urgency, the government must finalize a budget by December 21 to prevent a potential fiscal crisis. Failure to meet this deadline could result in the implementation of a “fiscal continuity law,” which would allow the government to continue essential operations. According to credit rating agency S&P Global Ratings, this stopgap measure would enable tax collection and salary payments but cap spending at 2024 levels.

Barnier’s government became the first in France to be toppled by a no-confidence vote since 1962, a reflection of the deep divisions within the current parliament. At the center of the dispute was a proposed financing bill aimed at reducing the country’s budget deficit to 5% by next year. The bill included €60 billion ($63 billion) in tax increases and spending cuts, measures that faced staunch opposition from various quarters. Among the contentious provisions was a delay in matching pension increases to inflation, a move that drew sharp criticism from opposition parties.

Macron now faces the daunting task of navigating a fragmented political landscape while maintaining public trust and advancing his legislative priorities. The coming days, particularly the appointment of a new prime minister and the passage of the budget, will be pivotal in determining the trajectory of his presidency.

South Korea’s President Faces Suspension Amid Martial Law Controversy

The leader of South Korea’s ruling People Power Party, Han Dong-hoon, called for the immediate suspension of President Yoon Suk Yeol on Friday, marking a dramatic shift in his stance and intensifying the pressure on Yoon as parliament prepares for an impeachment vote. Han’s reversal stems from what he described as “credible evidence” implicating Yoon in ordering the arrest of key politicians during Tuesday night’s brief but contentious martial law declaration.

“In light of these new emerging facts, I have concluded that it is necessary to suspend President Yoon Suk Yeol’s powers promptly to protect South Korea and its people,” Han said. Previously, he had opposed impeachment, citing the risk of chaos and unrest. However, Han now warns that allowing Yoon to remain in power could lead to a recurrence of extreme actions like the martial law decree, putting the nation in jeopardy. “If President Yoon continues to hold the presidency, there is a significant risk that extreme actions like this martial law declaration could be repeated, putting South Korea and its citizens in grave danger,” he added.

The martial law declaration, which was struck down within hours by lawmakers, has sparked widespread outrage across South Korea. Protesters and opposition parties have called for Yoon’s impeachment, with criticism mounting even within his own party. While the People Power Party has criticized Yoon’s actions, it has not formally endorsed impeachment.

Han’s call for suspension, however, does not necessarily equate to supporting impeachment. Jehua Ryu, deputy director of the People Power Party Strategy Planning Headquarters, clarified, “Suspension is not impeachment. There are various ways to suspend President Yoon’s authority.” Ryu also noted that Han planned to meet with Yoon on Friday afternoon.

Han’s evolving stance represents a significant departure from his earlier efforts to prevent impeachment. On Thursday, he criticized the liberal Democratic Party for prioritizing political interests over national stability. “The Democratic Party is prioritizing their political interests over the potential damage and instability this rushed impeachment could bring to the people,” Han said in an interview with CNN. Yet, he emphasized that he would not defend Yoon’s mistakes and had even urged the president to step down from the People Power Party.

Han has been a vocal critic of the martial law decree, labeling it “unconstitutional.” Reflecting on his reaction, he shared, “I was completely shocked. My first thought was: this is a serious problem.” He revealed that he learned about the declaration through television, like most South Koreans, as neither he nor other high-ranking officials had been informed beforehand.

Determined to address the crisis, Han rushed to his party’s office and gathered ten lawmakers to head to the National Assembly. They managed to bypass police resistance and participate in the parliamentary vote, which unanimously overturned the martial law order. Han noted, “The eighteen (ruling party) lawmakers who voted were there because I brought them along. To clarify, more members wanted to participate, but they couldn’t get in due to the military’s restrictions.”

The martial law declaration has reignited painful memories of South Korea’s authoritarian past. Over the past four decades, the nation has transformed into a vibrant democracy with protected freedoms and a robust tradition of protests. Han acknowledged this legacy, stating, “South Korea has a strong tradition of resolving crises democratically and through solidarity. As you’ve seen, we managed to address the issue of martial law quickly, which demonstrates the maturity of South Korea’s democracy.”

Despite the swift reversal of the martial law order, the political fallout continues. Some lawmakers have remained in the parliamentary building since Tuesday, fearing that Yoon might attempt another declaration of martial law. Meanwhile, calls for Yoon’s resignation are growing louder as parliament debates an impeachment motion, with a vote anticipated in the coming days.

Under South Korea’s constitution, a two-thirds majority in the 300-member National Assembly is required to pass an impeachment motion to the Constitutional Court for review. The Democratic Party, along with minor opposition parties and independents, holds 192 seats, meaning at least eight lawmakers from Yoon’s People Power Party would need to support the motion for it to proceed.

As the situation unfolds, Han’s stance underscores the internal divisions within the ruling party and the broader challenges to Yoon’s presidency. While Han has stopped short of endorsing impeachment, his call for suspension signals a profound shift in the political landscape, reflecting the gravity of the crisis at hand.

Syrian Rebels Gain Ground, Pushing Toward Damascus and Intensifying Civil War

Syrian opposition forces have claimed control of Daraa, a key city in southwestern Syria, marking a significant step toward Damascus. Concurrently, rebel factions linked to the Druze community in as-Suwayda have launched attacks against regime forces in their region.

The Syrian army acknowledged a strategic retreat from the two southern cities, describing their actions as a “redeployment” following attacks on military checkpoints by what they labeled “terrorists.” In a statement, the regime’s military declared, “Our forces operating in Daraa and as-Suwayda implemented a redeployment, repositioning and established a strong and cohesive defensive and security cordon in that direction.”

Rebels are advancing on Damascus from both the north and south, with Daraa—where the 2011 uprising began—becoming a pivotal battleground. The southern rebel groups, distinct from the northern Islamist faction Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), are united in their mission to overthrow Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. HTS recently captured Aleppo and Hama in their offensive.

The Southern Operations Room, a local rebel group, announced late Friday, “Our forces have taken full control of the entire city of Daraa and have started combing through its neighborhoods and securing its institutions and government offices.” This assertion was supported by geolocated footage showing rebels outside the Daraa administrative building.

The resurgence of violence has reignited a civil war that had been relatively dormant. The conflict originated in 2011 when Assad violently suppressed pro-democracy protests during the Arab Spring. Over time, the war transformed into a complex struggle involving regional and global powers, including Saudi Arabia, the United States, Iran, and Russia, with some observers characterizing it as a “proxy war.”

The toll has been devastating. The United Nations estimates that over 300,000 civilians have died, and millions have been displaced across the region.

In another victory for the opposition, southern rebels seized the Syria-Jordan Nassib border crossing on Friday. This marks the southern terminus of the M5 highway, a strategic route that runs through Aleppo, Damascus, and into southern Syria. Footage verified by CNN showed armed fighters celebrating their control of the crossing.

Northern rebel forces, led by HTS, continue to advance southward along the M5 highway, capturing Hama and setting their sights on Homs. Kurdish-led fighters in the northeast, meanwhile, are growing apprehensive, fearing the violence could spread to their autonomous regions. While the rebels’ primary target remains the Assad regime, Kurdish forces have expressed concerns about potential spillover effects.

Hundreds of civilians fled Homs overnight as the city braced for an assault. Videos showed vehicles congesting highways as residents escaped potential clashes. The opposition aims to capture Homs, a strategically vital city that, if taken, could split regime-held territories.

HTS has urged regime soldiers to defect, with their media wing declaring, “From here we direct the last call to the regime forces, this is your chance to defect.” By late Friday, opposition fighters claimed control of the last village on the outskirts of Homs, stating they were “at the city walls.”

In an exclusive interview with CNN, HTS leader Abu Mohammad al-Jolani articulated the coalition’s ultimate goal: “When we talk about objectives, the goal of the revolution remains the overthrow of this regime. It is our right to use all available means to achieve that goal.”

Homs, with a significant Alawite population—a sect closely associated with Assad—remains tense. Many Alawites fear retribution from rebels who accuse the community of supporting Assad’s oppressive rule. The city also holds historical significance as the site of a major 1982 massacre under Assad’s father, Hafez al-Assad.

The rapid advance of opposition forces has surprised many. Within days, rebels moved from Idlib to Aleppo, capturing the city in just three days, followed by Hama in eight. Regime forces appeared unprepared for such swift offensives, raising doubts about their ability to defend Homs.

CNN reported an internet blackout in Homs on Friday, making communication difficult as rebels approached the city. In newly captured territories like Hama, residents celebrated their liberation after years under regime control. Videos showed fighters cheering in disbelief at their progress, with one exclaiming, “Guys, my country is being liberated. I swear to God, we are inside Hama city, we are inside Aleppo city,” as he filmed himself near a notable landmark in Hama.

HTS claimed they freed hundreds of detainees from Hama’s central prison, many of whom they believe were unjustly imprisoned. Jolani emphasized his group’s vision for a future government based on institutions and a council chosen by the people. Speaking of the Assad regime, he stated, “The seeds of the regime’s defeat have always been within it… the Iranians attempted to revive the regime, buying it time, and later the Russians also tried to prop it up. But the truth remains: this regime is dead.”

The regime’s weakening grip has sparked concern among regional powers. Foreign ministers from Iran, Iraq, and Syria convened in Baghdad on Friday, issuing a joint statement warning that the opposition’s advances posed “a serious danger to the three countries, threatens the security of their peoples and the region as a whole.” They labeled the opposition forces as “terrorists” and called for collective action against them.

On Saturday, representatives from Russia, Iran, and Turkey met in Doha to discuss the situation in Syria. Meanwhile, Israel has heightened its vigilance, monitoring developments closely. Israel’s defense ministry stated, “The Israeli military is prepared for any scenario and is determined to protect the citizens of Israel and protect Israel’s security interests at all times.”

The U.S. State Department urged Americans to leave Syria immediately, citing the “volatile and unpredictable” security environment. “U.S. citizens who choose not to depart Syria or are unable to depart should prepare contingency plans for emergency situations and be prepared to shelter in place for extended periods,” the statement read. The Aleppo International Airport remains closed due to ongoing hostilities.

As the rebels push toward Damascus, the civil war appears far from resolution. The swift gains of opposition forces underscore the fragility of Assad’s regime and the enduring instability that has plagued Syria for over a decade.

Nepal’s Prime Minister K.P. Sharma Oli Shifts Focus to China Amid Reduced Reliance on India

Nepal’s veteran communist leader, K.P. Sharma Oli, recently assumed office as the country’s prime minister for the fourth time and is now looking to enhance infrastructure collaboration with China. This development signals a shift in Nepal’s diplomatic alignment as it seeks to reduce dependence on India and strengthen ties with its northern neighbor.

Oli made his first international visit since taking office in July by traveling to China this week for a four-day tour, diverging from the tradition of prioritizing India for such trips. The decision underscores Kathmandu’s intention to recalibrate its foreign policy and explore alternatives to India, with which it shares a deep-rooted historical connection.

Despite the visit, Oli has so far received commitments of continued assistance from Beijing, but no new investments have been announced. The agreements signed during his visit — a total of nine — were reiterations of previously settled projects, rather than fresh initiatives.

During a meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping on Tuesday, Xi emphasized China’s support for Nepal’s development aspirations. “China will help Nepal transform from a landlocked country into a ‘land-linked’ one and will continue to support Nepal’s economic development to the best of its ability,” stated Xi, as reported by Chinese state media.

Nepal has been a participant in Xi’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), an ambitious plan to enhance China’s global infrastructure and trade connectivity. However, no BRI projects in Nepal have advanced since an initial agreement was signed in 2017. The country remains eager to launch key infrastructure projects, including road upgrades and the development of new transportation routes.

Oli’s agenda during the visit reflects Nepal’s strategic goal of reducing its economic reliance on India while fostering deeper economic ties with China. India currently dominates Nepal’s international trade, accounting for around two-thirds, while China’s share stands at only 14%. Nonetheless, China surpasses India as Nepal’s leading bilateral lender, having provided loans totaling more than $310 million, according to World Bank data.

Oli’s relationship with India has historically been fraught with challenges. In 2016, during his first tenure as prime minister, he secured a petroleum deal with China after India imposed a six-month blockade on oil supplies to Nepal in 2015. This move disrupted India’s monopoly as Nepal’s sole fuel supplier and paved the way for stronger cooperation with Beijing.

Challenges with Chinese Investments

One of the flagship projects under Chinese involvement in Nepal is the Pokhara International Airport, constructed with a $216 million loan from Beijing. The airport, located approximately 200 kilometers west of Kathmandu, commenced operations last year and is hailed by China as a symbol of its BRI success. However, it faces operational hurdles due to India’s refusal to allow international flights bound for Pokhara to use its airspace. As a result, the airport has struggled to attract sufficient international flights, limiting its effectiveness.

Debt-related concerns have also sparked debates within Nepal’s ruling coalition. The Nepali Congress party, a crucial ally supporting Oli’s administration, has opposed any large-scale projects financed by loans. Ahead of Oli’s China visit, the coalition, including his own Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist Leninist), reached a consensus to prioritize grants over loans for BRI projects.

The decision was influenced by cautionary tales such as Sri Lanka’s experience. Sri Lanka, a significant recipient of Chinese loans for BRI projects, defaulted on its foreign debt in May 2022. This financial crisis has served as a warning to countries like Nepal about the potential risks of unsustainable borrowing.

China’s involvement in Nepal’s infrastructure is closely watched, not just for its economic implications but also for its geopolitical significance. As Nepal balances its relationships with its two giant neighbors, Oli’s government appears to be navigating a delicate path. While seeking economic diversification and modernization, Kathmandu remains cautious about the terms of its partnerships, particularly in light of debt and operational challenges linked to Chinese-funded projects.

Oli’s visit to Beijing marks a pivotal moment in Nepal’s foreign policy direction, emphasizing the importance of collaboration with China while recalibrating ties with India. Whether this shift will translate into concrete benefits for Nepal’s economy and infrastructure remains to be seen.

South Korean President Yoon Lifts Martial Law Amid Political Crisis

South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol announced the reversal of a controversial martial law declaration just hours after its imposition, following a wave of political and public opposition. The declaration, which sought to curtail political activity and censor the media, marked the nation’s most severe political crisis in decades. Yoon’s decision came after parliament unanimously rejected the decree, prompting the cabinet to agree early Wednesday to scrap it, according to Yonhap news agency.

Protests erupted outside the National Assembly as demonstrators celebrated the decision. “We won!” protesters chanted, with one enthusiastically beating a drum. The opposition Democratic Party (DP) called for Yoon’s resignation or impeachment, accusing him of betraying the democratic principles of the nation. “Even if martial law is lifted, he cannot avoid treason charges,” stated senior DP lawmaker Park Chan-dae. “It was clearly revealed to the entire nation that President Yoon could no longer run the country normally. He should step down.”

Danny Russel, vice president of the Asia Society Policy Institute, described the situation as a political misstep for Yoon. “South Korea as a nation dodged a bullet, but President Yoon may have shot himself in the foot,” he remarked.

The announcement of martial law, initially declared on Tuesday night, caused financial market fluctuations. The South Korean won recovered from a two-year low against the dollar after the reversal, and exchange-traded funds linked to South Korean stocks saw reduced losses.

Yoon’s attempt to use martial law as a measure against what he called “anti-state forces” within his domestic opposition drew widespread criticism, including from his own People Power Party. Under South Korean law, the president is obligated to lift martial law if parliament demands it by a majority vote. The decree was overturned with 190 lawmakers opposing it.

This abrupt political turmoil in South Korea, a key U.S. ally and a significant Asian economic power, sparked international alarm. The crisis reminded many of the authoritarian practices that South Korea abandoned when it transitioned to democracy in the 1980s.

The White House expressed relief at Yoon’s decision to reverse the declaration. “We are relieved President Yoon has reversed course on his concerning declaration of martial law and respected the… National Assembly’s vote to end it,” a spokesperson said. Earlier, U.S. Deputy Secretary of State Kurt Campbell had voiced “grave concern” over the developments. The U.S., which maintains a force of approximately 28,500 troops in South Korea to counter North Korean threats, closely monitored the unfolding situation.

Yoon’s martial law declaration had granted sweeping powers to the military, including the authority to ban political activity, suppress media freedoms, and control parliament. Helmeted troops briefly attempted to enter the National Assembly, but parliamentary aides resisted by using fire extinguishers to block their advance.

Unlike past martial law declarations in South Korea, which were primarily responses to external threats, Yoon’s justification focused on his domestic political opponents. The move marked the first use of martial law in the country since 1980, during a period of military rule under Chun Doo-hwan, who used it to suppress pro-democracy movements.

Danny Russel warned that the crisis could lead to further instability. “Political uncertainty and domestic strife in South Korea is not our friend. Political uncertainty and domestic strife in South Korea is North Korea’s friend, however. You can be sure that North Korea is licking its chops,” he commented, highlighting the potential regional implications.

Yoon, a former prosecutor, narrowly won the presidency in 2022 in South Korea’s closest election to date. He campaigned on promises of economic reform and political change, capitalizing on public discontent over previous administration scandals and policy failures. However, his approval ratings have remained consistently low, hovering around 20%.

Earlier this year, Yoon’s People Power Party suffered a significant defeat in parliamentary elections, losing control of the unicameral assembly to opposition parties that secured nearly two-thirds of the seats. This defeat has limited his ability to govern effectively and exacerbated tensions with the opposition.

The political crisis underscores the fragility of South Korea’s democratic institutions in the face of executive overreach. The country, which has experienced more than a dozen instances of martial law since its establishment in 1948, has worked to distance itself from its authoritarian past. The 1980 martial law, imposed to suppress calls for democracy, remains a stark reminder of the consequences of undermining democratic governance.

While Yoon’s reversal of martial law has temporarily eased tensions, the political fallout may persist. Calls for his resignation or impeachment reflect widespread dissatisfaction with his leadership, raising questions about his ability to govern effectively moving forward. As South Korea navigates this tumultuous period, the nation’s commitment to democratic principles will likely face continued scrutiny.

South Korea’s Opposition Pushes for Impeachment of President Yoon After Martial Law Declaration

South Korea’s opposition Democratic Party initiated impeachment proceedings against President Yoon Suk Yeol on Wednesday, following his controversial declaration of martial law that plunged the nation into political turmoil. The motion, submitted to the National Assembly, marks a significant escalation in the ongoing conflict between the president and his critics.

The Democratic Party’s motion will likely be voted on by the legislature by Friday or Saturday. To succeed, the measure requires a two-thirds majority in the Assembly before being forwarded to South Korea’s Constitutional Court for approval. If validated by the court, it could lead to Yoon’s removal from office.

Earlier on Wednesday, lawmakers from the opposition gathered in Seoul, publicly calling for Yoon’s resignation. “If President Yoon does not step down immediately, we will immediately begin impeachment proceedings in accordance with the will of the people,” the Democratic Party declared in a statement. The party also emphasized its determination to “fight to the end together with all the people to protect the democracy and constitutional order of the Republic of Korea.”

The impeachment motion followed Yoon’s dramatic late-night announcement on Tuesday, in which he declared martial law during a televised address. The president justified his decision by accusing the Democratic Party, a liberal coalition, of dominating the parliament, aligning with North Korea, and obstructing the government’s functions.

The martial law order included sweeping measures such as banning political activities like rallies and protests, halting the spread of “fake news,” and controlling all press under state authority. Yoon claimed such drastic steps were necessary to maintain stability in the face of what he called an “unprecedented threat” to South Korea’s governance.

The declaration was met with widespread condemnation and triggered immediate protests. Within hours of the announcement, the National Assembly convened an emergency session and voted early Wednesday morning to demand the lifting of martial law. Under the South Korean constitution, the president is required to comply with such a decision if passed by a legislative majority.

Responding to the Assembly’s resolution, Yoon announced the withdrawal of troops that had been mobilized to enforce martial law. He further assured that martial law would be officially lifted once a quorum was secured in the cabinet. Later in the day, the State Council met to finalize the process of revoking the declaration.

The political crisis deepened as ten senior presidential aides, including Presidential Chief of Staff Jeong Jin-seok, tendered their resignations on Wednesday morning, according to the presidential office.

Yoon, a member of the conservative People Power Party, has faced mounting criticism since assuming office in May 2022. His presidency began with a razor-thin electoral victory, and his unorthodox transition from career prosecutor to political leader has made him a polarizing figure.

Before his election, Yoon built his reputation as a prosecutor who pursued high-profile corruption cases, including the prosecution of former President Park Geun-hye, who was impeached and removed from office in 2017. However, his tenure as president has been marked by confrontations with the opposition-dominated legislature and declining public approval.

Amid the unfolding crisis, Yoon convened a meeting with top political leaders in his office on Wednesday afternoon, according to Yonhap News Agency. Details of the discussions remain unclear, but the meeting underscores the urgency of finding a resolution to the political impasse.

Meanwhile, the Democratic Party organized a candlelight vigil on the steps of the National Assembly on Wednesday night to rally public support for Yoon’s impeachment. The event drew a large crowd of supporters, further highlighting the deep divisions within South Korean society over the president’s leadership.

The outcome of the impeachment motion and the broader implications for South Korea’s democracy remain uncertain. With tensions running high, the coming days are expected to be pivotal in shaping the nation’s political future.

Zelensky Signals Willingness to Cede Territory for Peace and NATO Guarantees

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has, for the first time, suggested he is open to temporarily ceding territory to Russia in exchange for securing a NATO-backed protective framework for the areas still under Ukrainian control. His remarks represent a significant shift in Kyiv’s stance as he seeks a path to end the ongoing war.

In an interview with Sky News, Zelensky stated, “If we want to stop the hot stage of the war, we should take under [the] NATO umbrella the territory of Ukraine that we have under our control.” He elaborated that such a move should be executed quickly and added, “Then Ukraine can get back the other part of its territory diplomatically.”

Zelensky indicated that after an initial ceasefire agreement, diplomatic efforts would be pursued to reclaim territories in eastern Ukraine currently occupied by Russia. This marks a departure from Ukraine’s earlier position of fighting until its internationally recognized borders, including Crimea and the four regions annexed by Russia in 2022, were restored.

This pivot in policy comes as international dynamics evolve. Former U.S. President Donald Trump is preparing to assume office, promising to end the war on his “first day” in power. Simultaneously, European support for a peace agreement is reportedly growing.

Trump’s Influence on Peace Efforts

Trump’s team has floated potential plans for a peace deal that would freeze the current front lines in place. Under this proposal, Ukraine would pause its NATO membership ambitions for two decades while receiving substantial U.S. military support to deter further Russian aggression.

Zelensky hinted that his proposal for a “NATO umbrella” might not equate to full NATO membership, a prospect Russian President Vladimir Putin has firmly rejected. Instead, it could involve individual security commitments from NATO members such as the United States, Britain, France, and Germany.

When asked whether Ukraine would consider surrendering territory in exchange for NATO membership, Zelensky clarified, “No one has offered us to be in NATO with just one part or another part of Ukraine.” He added that it “could be possible, but no one offered.”

However, Zelensky expressed openness to ceding Russian-occupied areas in exchange for NATO guarantees over the rest of Ukraine. His comments suggest a pragmatic approach as international negotiations gain momentum.

Growing Support for Multinational Peacekeeping

The impending inauguration of Trump on January 20 is expected to hasten discussions about ending the war. Reports indicate that Trump is considering a proposal for an 800-mile buffer zone between Ukrainian and Russian forces, potentially enforced by European and British troops.

Former British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has weighed in, advocating for European peacekeeping forces to monitor a potential ceasefire line. Speaking to The Telegraph, Johnson said, “I don’t think we should be sending in combat troops to take on the Russians. But I think as part of the solution, as part of the end state, you’re going to want to have multinational European peacekeeping forces monitoring the border [and] helping the Ukrainians.”

Johnson emphasized that Western nations must provide clear security guarantees to Ukraine as part of any peace agreement, ensuring Russia cannot regroup and launch renewed attacks in the future. He added, “I cannot see that such a European operation could possibly happen without the British.”

The Risks and Conditions of a Ceasefire

In his interview, Zelensky underscored the importance of ensuring that any ceasefire agreement prevents future Russian aggression. Switching to English in the latter part of the conversation, he revealed that various nations had unofficially proposed ceasefire agreements. “A lot of different countries proposed a ceasefire,” he said. “The question is, ceasefire where?”

Zelensky emphasized the necessity of NATO guarantees to secure lasting peace. “We need [NATO protection] very much, otherwise [Putin] will come back,” he said. Highlighting the danger of a fragile ceasefire, he posed the critical question, “How are we going to go to a ceasefire? So for us, it’svery dangerous.”

The Ukrainian president’s shift in stance reflects growing international pressure and the complex calculations surrounding the war. By linking the possibility of territorial concessions to NATO-backed security, Zelensky signals his willingness to explore solutions that balance immediate peace with long-term national sovereignty.

As negotiations continue to unfold, Zelensky’s approach may play a pivotal role in shaping the trajectory of the conflict and the future of Ukraine.

Undersea Internet Cables Cut: Sabotage Suspected Amid Ongoing Investigation

Two critical undersea internet cables connecting Finland and Sweden to Central Europe were severed last week, with investigators pointing toward potential sabotage. Authorities are closely examining the involvement of the Yi Peng 3, a Chinese bulk carrier, in the incidents. The vessel, carrying fertilizer and en route from Russia to Egypt, is suspected of deliberately dropping its anchor in Swedish waters, severing the BCS East-West Interlink cable linked to Lithuania. The following day, it reportedly caused damage to the C-Lion1 cable connecting Finland and Germany. In total, investigators believe the ship dragged its anchor for over 100 miles, damaging crucial infrastructure.

“It’s extremely unlikely that the captain would not have noticed that his ship dropped and dragged its anchor, losing speed for hours and cutting cables on the way,” remarked an investigator involved in the probe. Further suspicion arose as the ship’s crew allegedly deactivated its transponder, preventing the Automatic Identification System from tracking its movements. After the second cable incident, the ship was observed zigzagging, raising its anchor, and continuing its voyage.

The ship’s location was later pinpointed using open maritime tracking sources. It was found in international waters between Denmark and Sweden, where it is currently stationary and surrounded by NATO vessels. According to sources, physical evidence such as anchor and hull damage aligns with suspicions of dragging and contact with undersea cables.

Swedish authorities are now negotiating with Ningbo Yipeng Shipping, the ship’s Chinese owner, to have the vessel return to Swedish waters for further examination. However, since the Yi Peng 3 remains anchored in international waters, NATO is restricted by international maritime law and cannot compel the ship to dock at a port for investigation.

Despite the ship’s Chinese ownership and crew, many Western officials do not believe China is directly involved. Instead, suspicions are directed at Russia. The Kremlin dismissed these allegations, describing them as “absurd and unsubstantiated.” In a statement, the Kremlin also highlighted what it perceived as Western hypocrisy, pointing to the lack of criticism when Ukraine targeted the Nord Stream gas pipeline in 2022.

Meanwhile, China’s Foreign Ministry addressed the situation, stating, “I would like to reiterate China’s consistent support working with all countries to maintain the security of international submarine cables and other infrastructure in accordance with international law.”

Adding to the complexity of the investigation, the Wall Street Journal reported that the Yi Peng 3 operated exclusively in Chinese waters from 2019 until the first quarter of 2024. Its route changed this year, with the vessel transporting cargo such as coal and fertilizer to Russian ports. While this detail is not considered conclusive evidence of Russian involvement, experts suggest it is a factor that merits further scrutiny. The timing of the incident has also raised questions, as it occurred shortly after the United States approved Ukraine’s use of long-range munitions to target locations within Russia.

This investigation into the cable damage underscores the broader vulnerabilities of critical infrastructure in times of geopolitical tension. Both Swedish and Finnish authorities are now working to address these disruptions, which have significant implications for regional connectivity and international cybersecurity. As NATO monitors the Yi Peng 3 and international discussions progress, the case continues to unfold, with no definitive conclusions yet reached regarding the responsible party.

Trump’s Strategy for Ending the Russia-Ukraine War Takes Shape, Amid Multiple Proposals and Uncertainty

President-elect Donald Trump’s national security adviser designate, Mike Waltz, has been reviewing various strategies to resolve the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine, including proposals from Gen. Keith Kellogg, who was recently appointed as special envoy to the two countries. Sources familiar with the matter revealed that while the specifics of the approach are still in development, one of the key initial steps likely to be advocated by Trump’s team is a ceasefire to temporarily freeze the conflict while both sides enter negotiations. In addition, Trump’s administration is expected to encourage European allies and NATO to share more of the financial burden for supporting Ukraine.

“We need to bring this to a responsible end,” Waltz told Fox News over the weekend. “We need to restore deterrence, restore peace, and get ahead of this escalation ladder, rather than responding to it.”

During his campaign, Trump repeatedly stated that if he had been president, the Russia-Ukraine war would never have started. He also vowed to put an end to the conflict, sometimes claiming that he could resolve the situation in a single day. In his September presidential debate against Vice President Kamala Harris, Trump refused to explicitly commit to Ukraine’s victory over Russia. Later that month, he suggested that Ukraine should have been more willing to make concessions to Moscow, claiming that “any deal, even the worst deal, would have been better than what we have right now.”

The proposals Waltz is considering include one from Gen. Keith Kellogg, who served as an adviser on national security during Trump’s first term. Trump expressed his satisfaction with Kellogg’s appointment, saying, “I am very pleased to nominate General Keith Kellogg to serve as Assistant to the President and Special Envoy for Ukraine and Russia. Keith has led a distinguished Military and Business career, including serving in highly sensitive National Security roles in my first Administration. He was with me right from the beginning! Together, we will secure PEACE THROUGH STRENGTH, and Make America, and the World, SAFE AGAIN!”

Kellogg’s plan suggests that continued U.S. military aid to Ukraine should be contingent upon Ukraine’s active participation in peace talks with Russia. It also calls for a formal U.S. policy aimed at seeking a ceasefire and a negotiated settlement to the Ukraine conflict. Furthermore, the proposal recommends postponing Ukraine’s desire to join NATO, which would be used as leverage to bring Russia to the negotiating table.

Waltz has also reviewed an alternative proposal supported by Trump’s former ambassador to Germany, Ric Grenell, which includes the creation of “autonomous regions” within Ukraine. However, Grenell has not yet provided detailed explanations on what such regions would entail. In a previous interview, Grenell stated, “Autonomous regions can mean a lot of things to a lot of people, but you got to work through those details.”

Another proposal under consideration is one that could see Russia retaining control over its current territory in exchange for Ukraine receiving NATO membership. However, few figures within Trump’s inner circle seem keen on the idea of Ukraine joining NATO in the near future, a view that aligns with the Biden administration’s stance. President Joe Biden’s team has stated that while Ukraine will eventually join NATO, that process will only occur once the war has concluded.

Ukraine has been a central topic in Waltz’s discussions with Jake Sullivan, President Biden’s national security adviser. Following these talks, a Trump transition spokesman confirmed the president-elect’s commitment to ending the war. Trump communications director Steven Cheung remarked, “As President Trump has said on the campaign trail, he is the only person who can bring both sides together in order to negotiate peace, and work towards ending the war and stopping the killing.”

While the Trump administration is exploring different paths to end the conflict, sources caution that it is still “too early” to define the strategy’s final shape. Trump’s approach to foreign policy, particularly with regard to the Ukraine war, is often subject to change, and the transition process suggests that the overall strategy remains fluid. One source involved in internal transition discussions noted that Trump’s positions tend to evolve, meaning his plans for Ukraine will likely shift over time.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has been vocal about his hopes for a diplomatic resolution to the war, stating earlier this month, “From our side, we must do everything so that this war ends next year, ends through diplomatic means.” However, Zelensky has also rejected the idea of a ceasefire unless security guarantees from the West are included. Reflecting on past attempts to negotiate peace, Zelensky warned, “Ceasefire? We tried that in 2014, we tried to reach it and then we lost Crimea and then we had the full-scale war in 2022.”

Zelensky also remarked during a conference in Budapest that he believes Trump genuinely wants a swift resolution to the war. He noted, “I believe that President Trump really wants a quick decision to end the war. He wants this war to be finished. We all want to end this war, but a fair ending. … If it is very fast, it’s going to be a loss for Ukraine.”

Trump’s allies, who have been appointed to key national security positions, have indicated that the president-elect is considering various strategies to bring both Russia and Ukraine to the negotiating table. Some of these options appear to contradict his past statements on the conflict. For instance, Sebastian Gorka, recently appointed as one of Waltz’s top deputies, referred to Russian President Vladimir Putin as a “thug” and suggested that the U.S. might increase military aid to Ukraine to expedite an end to the war. In a recent interview with Times Radio, Gorka said, “I will give one tip away that the president has mentioned, he will say to that murderous former KGB colonel, that thug who runs the Russian federation, you will negotiate now or the aid we have given to Ukraine thus far will look like peanuts. That’s how he will force those gentlemen to come to an arrangement that stops the bloodshed.”

Simultaneously, Trump’s team is considering taking a firm stance with Ukraine as well. One source familiar with the discussions noted that Trump may threaten to withhold aid from Ukraine unless the country agrees to negotiate with Russia. This approach would complement efforts to pressure Moscow while ensuring Ukraine is brought to the table for talks.

In recent weeks, the Biden administration allowed Ukraine to use U.S.-made long-range missiles to strike targets within Russian territory. This decision followed months of lobbying from Zelensky, who had requested approval to use the ATACMS missiles. The U.S. granted this request in mid-November. Additionally, the Biden administration lifted a restriction on U.S. contractors working in Ukraine, enabling faster repairs of advanced systems like F-16 fighter jets and Patriot missile defense systems.

As Trump prepares to take office, the war in Ukraine remains a key focus for his administration. The proposed strategies are still in flux, with Trump and his team considering a range of options to bring about a resolution. While the specific approach may change over time, Trump’s commitment to ending the war and bringing peace to the region remains a central priority.

Ceasefire Between Israel and Hezbollah Brings Hope Amid Skepticism

In a dramatic turn of events, celebratory gunfire erupted in Beirut late Tuesday as a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah took effect after over 14 months of intense conflict. The truce, brokered by the United States and France, began at 4 a.m. local time on Wednesday. Despite the agreement, fighting persisted until the last moment, with Israeli airstrikes targeting Lebanon through the night.

The truce, however, showed signs of vulnerability early on. Hours into the ceasefire, the Israeli military reported firing at individuals in a restricted area along the border, later identified as Hezbollah operatives. Israel’s defense minister, Israel Katz, stated, “They were Hezbollah operatives in a border village.”

In a joint statement, U.S. President Joe Biden and French President Emmanuel Macron emphasized the significance of the agreement. “This deal will cease the fighting in Lebanon and secure Israel from the threat of Hezbollah and other terrorist organizations operating from Lebanon,” they declared, adding that it “will create the conditions to restore lasting calm and allow residents in both countries to return safely to their homes along the border.”

The conflict was reignited when Hezbollah began launching rockets into northern Israel in support of Hamas, following the latter’s attack on Israel on October 7, 2023. The hostilities escalated further eight weeks ago, as Israel initiated a ground invasion of southern Lebanon, aiming to dismantle Hezbollah’s military capabilities. According to Lebanese health officials, the conflict has claimed over 3,700 lives in Lebanon, while Israeli authorities report around 80 deaths in northern Israel.

The prolonged fighting has resulted in a humanitarian crisis, displacing over 1.2 million Lebanese—roughly a fifth of the population—according to the United Nations. Meanwhile, approximately 60,000 Israelis have fled northern communities to escape Hezbollah’s rockets.

Israeli airstrikes, intensified over recent months, inflicted heavy damage on Lebanon’s infrastructure and homes, while targeting top Hezbollah officials, including its longtime leader Hassan Nasrallah, southern commander Mohammed Nasser, and missile expert Ibrahim Qubaisi. Reflecting on these developments, Randa Slim from the Middle East Institute noted, “Israel has achieved its military objectives, primarily eliminating Hezbollah infrastructure. They have wiped out their military command council, as well as their senior political leadership. These are severe blows to Hezbollah, which will take a long time to recover from.”

Despite warnings from the Israeli military, many Lebanese began returning to their southern villages. Among them was Patricia Taleb, 24, who drove back to her abandoned home, expressing cautious optimism. “We know that this is the end days of the war. We know that ultimately it’s going to be OK,” she said.

In contrast, Israeli authorities are advising displaced residents to delay their return. Education Minister Yoav Kisch explained on Israel Army Radio that there would be a 30- to 60-day period to repair buildings and institutions damaged by Hezbollah’s attacks before residents could return.

Orna Peretz, displaced from Kiryat Shmona near the Israel-Lebanon border, shared a mixed perspective. “Hezbollah has been taught a lesson it never endured in its entire lifetime,” Peretz said. “There is a good deal here that had to come because of international pressure. And we have somewhere to return to. The Lebanese have nowhere to return to.”

The ceasefire agreement outlines a phased withdrawal of Hezbollah fighters from the area south of the Litani River within 60 days, creating a buffer zone. Similarly, Israeli forces will retreat to their side of the border. To maintain security, thousands of Lebanese government troops and UN peacekeepers from UNIFIL will be deployed to the area. A U.S.-led international panel will oversee compliance with the agreement.

The deal also mandates that Lebanese authorities prevent Hezbollah and other armed groups from launching attacks on Israel. It stipulates that only Lebanon’s military and security forces may operate in southern Lebanon, while barring the rearmament of non-state groups. Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari, an Israeli military spokesperson, warned of strict enforcement. “Any violation of the ceasefire will be met with fire,” he said, underscoring Israel’s readiness to respond to breaches.

Shalom Lipner of the Atlantic Council highlighted the importance of enforcement. “The stated intent is that at the smallest infraction, they will go through the motions of reporting this to the supervisory committee. If Israel doesn’t get satisfaction, they will take action on their own,” he explained.

The ceasefire received a cautious welcome from Iran, a key supporter of Hezbollah. Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei expressed hope for an end to “aggression against Lebanon,” reaffirming Tehran’s support for Lebanon’s government, people, and resistance. Jordan and Egypt also praised the truce, with Egypt’s Foreign Ministry calling for de-escalation in the region and unrestricted humanitarian aid to Gaza. Saudi Arabia echoed these sentiments, emphasizing Lebanon’s sovereignty and the safe return of displaced individuals.

Despite the ceasefire, skepticism lingers. Avraham Moreno, displaced from the border village of Shlomi, voiced uncertainty. “This deal, we still know nothing about it,” he said. “We have very, very mixed feelings, even though we really want to return home.”

Concerns were also raised in Gaza, where residents fear a prolonged conflict. Wala Hanuna, 34, displaced by Israel’s offensive in Gaza, expressed apprehension. “We read the news that the Israeli army fighting in Lebanon will go now to Gaza,” she said. “Maybe the war here will last another year, with no one thinking how we will get out of this.”

Hamas, meanwhile, praised Hezbollah’s support for Gaza, acknowledging sacrifices such as the death of Nasrallah. However, David Wood of Crisis Group pointed out that displaced Lebanese may face challenges returning home, as entire villages near the border have been destroyed.

Humanitarian agencies highlight the severe impact of the conflict. The UNHCR reported overcrowded shelters and limited access to southern Lebanon, where over 188,000 people are housed in government-designated facilities. UNICEF emphasized the devastating toll on children, with over 240 killed and approximately 1,400 injured. In a statement, UNICEF expressed hope that the ceasefire would enable families to return safely to their communities, urging efforts to sustain peace.

As the ceasefire takes effect, the region remains on edge, with hopes for peace tempered by memories of devastation and an awareness of the fragile nature of the truce.

Israel-Hezbollah Ceasefire Begins in Lebanon Amid Plans for Lasting Peace

The ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah has officially come into effect in Lebanon, following a timeline laid out by US President Joe Biden. According to Biden, the arrangement aims to establish a “permanent cessation of hostilities.” He further stated that the United States is prepared to lead efforts for a similar ceasefire and hostage negotiation in Gaza.

The terms of the agreement include a 60-day pause in hostilities. During this period, Hezbollah forces are expected to withdraw 40 kilometers (approximately 25 miles) from Israel’s border. In parallel, Israeli ground troops are required to retreat from Lebanese territory. Negotiators have described this arrangement as a stepping stone toward a lasting truce.

In the hours leading up to the ceasefire, Israeli forces launched one of their most intense bombardments of the conflict, targeting southern suburbs of Beirut. The strikes occurred within a span of two minutes, during which 20 bombs were dropped. Tuesday’s attacks resulted in the deaths of at least 25 individuals, with 10 of those casualties reported in central Beirut.

President Biden has reiterated his commitment to facilitating peace in the region, expressing optimism about the ceasefire’s potential to reduce tensions and pave the way for long-term solutions.

India Criticizes COP29 for Ignoring Objections in Climate Finance Deal

India has accused the presidency of the 29th United Nations Conference of Parties on Climate Change (COP29), hosted in Azerbaijan, and the UN Climate Change Secretariat of pushing through a controversial climate finance agreement by bypassing its objections. This allegation emerged after the COP29 presidency allegedly prevented India from formally voicing dissent against the deal before it was adopted during the conference’s closing plenary session early on Sunday.

The finalized agreement commits developed countries to mobilize $300 billion annually by 2035 to help developing nations combat climate change. However, this target is significantly reduced from the $1.3 trillion per year originally demanded by India and other developing nations.

India has criticized the adoption process, with its negotiator Chandni Raina calling the manner in which the decision was adopted a “stage-managed” process that ignored objections. She stated, “We have seen what you have done… gavelling and trying to ignore parties from speaking does not behove the UNFCCC’s system… We absolutely object to this unfair means, followed for adoption.” She added that India had informed both the presidency and the secretariat of its intention to make a statement before the decision’s adoption. “However, and this is for everyone to see, this has been stage managed. And we are extremely, extremely disappointed with this incident,” Raina emphasized.

India has termed the adopted deal an “optical illusion” and outrightly rejected it. Bolivia, Nigeria, and Cuba also voiced their disapproval, arguing that the deal fails to address the priorities of developing countries. However, their rejections hold no legal weight, as the decision has already been formally adopted. In response, Mukhtar Babayev, the COP29 president, said these statements would be included in the final report.

India’s opposition to the agreement revolves around three primary concerns: the amount of finance is inadequate, the timeline is too delayed, and the deal dilutes the accountability of developed nations under the Paris Agreement. The Paris Agreement, signed in 2015, holds developed countries primarily responsible for historical carbon emissions and obligates them to financially support developing nations in their climate initiatives.

India described the agreed-upon sum of $300 billion per year as “abysmally poor” and “paltry.” During the closing plenary, Raina remarked, “Regardless of our battle with impacts of climate change, it is a fact that developing countries are accused continuously of emissions, forgetting the high per capita emissions of the developed countries, forgetting also the historical responsibilities of the developed countries. This only adds to the problem at hand for us, and the proposed goal shall not solve anything for us.”

According to the UNFCCC’s Standing Committee on Finance, developing nations require an estimated $6.852 trillion cumulatively to address climate challenges, underscoring the insufficiency of the $300 billion figure.

The timeline is another contentious issue. Under the Paris Agreement, developed nations were supposed to mobilize $100 billion annually by 2020, but independent studies have revealed that less than a third of this target was achieved. By extending the timeline for the New Collective Quantified Goal (NCQG) to 2035, India and other developing countries argue that developed nations have once again shirked their responsibilities.

Another criticism centers on the sources of the $300 billion. The NCQG decision allows developed countries to count private sources and multilateral development banks (MDBs) in meeting the target. Developing countries argue that this shifts the burden onto other entities and legitimizes loans as climate finance, further indebting poorer nations. Raina pointed out, “Counting finance flows from MDBs into the overall goal is not a progression into the $100 billion goal but a deflection of the responsibility of developed countries towards developing country shareholders of the MDB.”

Adding to the controversy, the NCQG decision permits voluntary contributions from developing nations. Raina criticized this, stating, “It is not right that you expect that from a developing country.”

India had initially proposed a climate finance target of $1 trillion annually, later increasing its demand to $1.3 trillion with the backing of most developing nations. However, developed countries, including the United States, European Union, Australia, and New Zealand, resisted these higher figures. Despite intense backroom negotiations during the final days of COP29, India and a few other nations stood firm against the diluted targets.

Ultimately, the COP29 presidency bypassed these objections, leading Raina to express deep disappointment: “The only thing that enables us to move beyond and undertake action in line with addressing this challenge is collaboration and trust among us. It’s a fact that both have not worked today. And we are extremely hurt by this, this action of the presidency and the Secretariat.”

Observers of climate negotiations noted that this was not the first instance of controversial decision-making at a COP event. In 2010, Bolivia’s objections were overridden to adopt the Cancun Agreements, and in 2023, members of the Alliance of Small Island States (AOSIS) accused the COP28 presidency of adopting decisions without their presence. These incidents highlight ongoing tensions between developed and developing nations in global climate forums.

Harjeet Singh, a climate activist and global engagement director for the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Initiative, warned that sidelining developing countries in decision-making processes jeopardizes global climate justice. He remarked, “Silencing and sidelining the voices of developing nations at UNFCCC forums, as demonstrated by India’s experience at COP29, strikes at the heart of global climate justice. The UNFCCC is the only platform where countries, regardless of size or economy, can advocate for equitable climate solutions. Marginalising these voices perpetuates historical injustices, erodes trust in multilateralism, and threatens the very foundation of effective, inclusive climate action.”

The controversy at COP29 underscores the ongoing struggles between developed and developing nations over climate finance and accountability. India’s strong opposition serves as a reminder of the critical need for equitable and inclusive global climate solutions.

Israeli Cabinet Poised to Approve Ceasefire Deal with Lebanon Amid Ongoing Tensions

The Israeli government is expected to approve a ceasefire agreement with Lebanon later today, potentially ending a devastating conflict that has resulted in thousands of deaths. This development comes as Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has reportedly given his preliminary approval to the proposal, according to a source familiar with the matter. The decision followed a security consultation on Sunday night, where Netanyahu hinted at supporting the deal with Hezbollah, CNN reported.

Negotiations appear to be advancing toward an agreement, but tensions remain high. Both Israel and Hezbollah continue to exchange fire, and sources involved in the talks acknowledge that a single misstep could derail the fragile discussions. Despite these risks, a Lebanese official stated on Monday evening that a ceasefire announcement is anticipated “within 24 hours.”

Lebanon has already accepted the U.S.-mediated proposal, which Hezbollah has also endorsed, according to Lebanese officials.

Even as the deal inches closer, hostilities persist. Hours before the scheduled cabinet vote, Israel intensified its airstrikes in Lebanon, targeting at least ten locations in Beirut’s southern suburbs. Later, the area was struck 20 times in just two minutes, according to an Israeli military spokesperson.

Reactions to the potential deal within Israel have been polarized. Itamar Ben Gvir, the far-right National Security Minister, condemned the agreement, labeling it a “big mistake” and a “historic missed opportunity to eradicate Hezbollah.” Ben Gvir has long opposed ceasefire agreements with groups like Hamas in Gaza.

Meanwhile, former Defense Minister Benny Gantz, who left the war cabinet earlier this year over Netanyahu’s handling of the Gaza conflict, called for transparency. “It is the right of the residents of the north, the fighters, and the citizens of Israel to know,” Gantz asserted.

The proposal has also raised concerns among residents of northern Israel, many of whom have been displaced due to the conflict, as well as among those living in southern Lebanon. Nizan Zeevi, a resident of Kfar Kila village near the northern Israeli border, expressed apprehension. Speaking to CNN, Zeevi described the deal as a “surrender agreement,” adding, “Our government is going to sign a very irresponsible agreement that is only a replay of the same agreement signed to end the war in 2006.”

Zeevi fears that the ceasefire could allow Hezbollah’s elite Radwan Force to reposition closer to the border. “It’s my duty to my children to make sure that there is no chance for another October 7,” he said, referencing the deadly Hamas attacks on southern Israel over a year ago.

Diplomatic efforts have been instrumental in pushing the ceasefire negotiations forward. U.S. envoy Amos Hochstein, who visited Beirut last week, expressed optimism about the talks. “We have a real opportunity to bring conflict to an end,” Hochstein said, emphasizing that the decision ultimately rests with the involved parties.

Hochstein described his discussions with Lebanese leaders, including Prime Minister Najib Mikati and parliament speaker Nabih Berri, as “constructive” and “very good,” adding that progress had been made in narrowing gaps. Following these meetings, he traveled to Israel to expedite the negotiations.

The U.S.-backed proposal outlines a 60-day cessation of hostilities, with hopes that this temporary measure could pave the way for a permanent ceasefire.

White House National Security Council spokesperson John Kirby shared a cautiously optimistic outlook on Monday, stating that Hochstein’s efforts had been “constructive.” Kirby added, “The trajectory of this is going in a very positive direction,” but warned, “nothing is done until everything is done.”

Similarly, State Department spokesperson Matthew Miller highlighted the challenges of the negotiations. “Just because an agreement is close does not mean it will happen,” Miller remarked, describing the process as “incredibly frustrating.”

In anticipation of the vote, Israel’s Home Front Command issued warnings about potential Hezbollah rocket fire and updated defensive guidelines for northern regions.

CNN analyst Barak Ravid, who also reports for Axios, cited sources indicating that Hochstein had urged Israel to respond positively to the proposal. According to Ravid, Hochstein warned the Israeli ambassador to Washington on Saturday that he would withdraw from mediation efforts if progress wasn’t made soon.

Lebanon’s acceptance of the U.S.-backed proposal marked a significant turning point. Mikati confirmed last week that Beirut had responded positively, noting that substantial portions of the draft agreement had already been resolved.

The current conflict escalated dramatically in mid-September when Israel launched a large-scale military offensive in Lebanon. This followed months of border skirmishes that began on October 8 of the previous year when Hezbollah attacked Israeli-controlled territory in solidarity with Hamas and Palestinians in Gaza.

Since then, Israel has conducted a ground invasion, targeted key Hezbollah leaders, including Hassan Nasrallah, one of its founders, and carried out devastating airstrikes. Thousands of people have been injured in the attacks, which reportedly included unconventional tactics like exploding pagers.

As both sides brace for a pivotal moment, the international community watches closely, hoping that the ceasefire will hold and provide a foundation for lasting peace in the region.

Trump Plans Tariffs on Top Trading Partners, Risking Trade Wars

President-elect Donald Trump announced plans on Monday to impose significant tariffs on the United States’ leading trading partners—Canada, Mexico, and China—bringing attention to his campaign promises of economic protectionism. His proposals, which could lead to trade wars, aim to address issues such as drug trafficking and border security but may conflict with existing trade agreements.

Trump, set to assume office on January 20, vowed to levy a 25% tariff on all imports from Canada and Mexico. He linked these measures to efforts to curb the flow of drugs, particularly fentanyl, and to address illegal migration across U.S. borders. These tariffs, if implemented, would likely violate the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), a free trade deal in place since 2020.

In a separate statement, Trump targeted China, announcing plans for “an additional 10% tariff, above any additional tariffs” on Chinese imports. This move comes amid his broader intentions to revoke China’s most-favored-nation trade status and impose tariffs exceeding 60%—a figure much higher than those introduced during his first term as president. The exact details of these tariffs remain unclear.

On his social media platform Truth Social, Trump outlined his approach, declaring, “On January 20th, as one of my many first Executive Orders, I will sign all necessary documents to charge Mexico and Canada a 25% Tariff on ALL products coming into the United States, and its ridiculous Open Borders.” These posts represent some of the most concrete plans he has shared since his November 5 election victory, in which he campaigned on a platform of prioritizing American interests.

Mexico and Canada rely heavily on the U.S. market. In 2023, over 83% of Mexico’s exports and 75% of Canada’s exports went to the United States. Trump’s proposed tariffs could also impact international companies, particularly Asian manufacturers that use Mexico as a cost-effective production hub for goods bound for the U.S. market.

The proposed measures could disrupt the USMCA, which ensures largely tariff-free trade among the three countries. The deal, signed by Trump himself in 2020, replaced the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). However, Trump will have an opportunity to revisit the agreement in 2026 due to its “sunset” clause, which requires renegotiation or renewal.

In the aftermath of Trump’s announcement, he reportedly spoke with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau about trade and border security. A Canadian source familiar with the discussion described the exchange as constructive, stating, “It was a good discussion and they will stay in touch.”

Experts suggest Trump’s tariff threats may be intended to force an early renegotiation of the USMCA. William Reinsch, a former president of the National Foreign Trade Council, remarked, “This strikes me more as a threat than anything else. I guess the idea is if you keep hitting them in the face, eventually they’ll surrender.”

Mexico’s political leaders, however, cautioned against escalating trade tensions. Ricardo Monreal, a key figure in Mexico’s ruling Morena party, emphasized the need for diplomatic solutions, saying, “Escalating trade retaliation would only hurt the people’s pocketbooks and is far from solving underlying problems.” He proposed using institutional mechanisms to address issues such as human and drug trafficking.

Trump’s announcement affected global financial markets, sparking a rally for the U.S. dollar. The currency gained 1% against the Canadian dollar and 1.6% against the Mexican peso. Meanwhile, stock markets in Asia and Europe declined, although U.S. S&P 500 futures showed minimal change.

China, another target of Trump’s proposed tariffs, has faced criticism from the president-elect over its role in the flow of illegal drugs into the United States. Trump stated, “Until such time as they stop, we will be charging China an additional 10% Tariff, above any additional Tariffs, on all of their many products coming into the United States of America.”

In response, a Chinese embassy spokesperson in Washington emphasized the mutually beneficial nature of U.S.-China trade and warned against the risks of trade wars. “No one will win a trade war or a tariff war,” said Liu Pengyu. The embassy also highlighted measures China had taken to address fentanyl production following a 2023 U.S.-China meeting, describing claims of deliberate inaction as baseless.

The Chinese foreign ministry expressed a willingness to collaborate with the U.S. on anti-drug efforts, provided the partnership is based on “equality, mutual benefit, and mutual respect.” A ministry statement urged the U.S. to value existing progress in drug control cooperation and preserve the “hard-won sound situation of Sino-U.S. drug control cooperation.”

Chinese Vice President Han Zheng, speaking at a supply chain expo in Beijing, underscored China’s commitment to global economic stability. He stated that China is prepared to work with other nations to foster an open world economic system and safeguard international supply chains. This comes at a time when China’s economy is grappling with challenges such as a prolonged property market downturn, mounting debt, and weak domestic demand.

During his campaign, Trump floated additional tariff proposals, including blanket duties of 10% to 20% on nearly all imports and tariffs as high as 200% on cars crossing the U.S.-Mexico border. Mexico’s finance ministry responded by highlighting the economic ties between the two nations, stating, “Mexico is the United States’ top trade partner, and the USMCA provides a framework of certainty for national and international investors.”

Economists have raised concerns about Trump’s overall tariff strategy, viewing it as one of his most impactful economic policies. They warn that such measures could drive U.S. import duties to levels not seen since the 1930s, leading to inflation, disruptions in U.S.-China trade, retaliatory actions from other nations, and significant changes to global supply chains.

Trump’s proposed tariffs reflect his campaign’s “America First” stance but risk straining relationships with key trading partners and violating existing agreements. While his threats may be part of a broader negotiation strategy, they have already prompted strong reactions from global markets and political leaders. Whether these plans will achieve their intended goals or result in broader economic consequences remains to be seen.

India’s Caribbean outreach carries geoeconomic and geopolitical significance

In the years gone by, India was defined by its religious and cultural strengths, but it has now taken Prime Minister Modi, with a new initiative, to give a boost to India-Caribbean ties through a purely development agenda. It is hoped that CARICOM would set up the mechanisms to get this agenda going. Is it that India is now showing its readiness to take on American and Chinese frontiers aimed at becoming a leader of the Global South if not a world power?

Will Indian Prime Minister Modi’s generous gesture to CARICOM  bring  meaningful fruits to the people in the region? His “7 pillars for cooperation” plan with the four million people of CARICOM countries, abutting the Caribbean Sea, signal a new awakening to the 15 members of the regional group which has been functional for some 51 years. Is it another Caribbean Basin Initiative (CBI) which was initiated by the United States and now lies in the scrapyard of history?

This is perhaps for the first time since India’s Independence in August 1947 that India has stepped out to the Caribbean and offered such a cooperation plan aimed at regional development  and stronger ties. History would record that during the Covid 19 pandemic, Prime Minister Narendra Modi handsomely  donated in excess of 400,000 doses of vaccine, including to Trinidad and Tobago, which went on begging knees to India and he responded quickly to donate 40,000 doses to save the twin-island country from the dreaded health emergency.

It is worth mentioning  that the seven pillars of support which Modi enumerated at the India-CARICOM summit at Bridgetown, Guyana, underscored India’s commitment to empowering CARICOM nations through innovation, technology, and shared resources. These were spelt out through the CARICOM acronym as: C – Capacity Building;  A – Agriculture and food security; R – Renewable energy and climate change; I – Innovation and technology; C – Cricket and culture; O – Ocean economy and maritime security; and  M – Medicines and healthcare. These included, among others, 1,000 IT scholarships; a regional forensic center; scholarships for advancing women’s cricket; partnerships in maritime security to combat piracy and trafficking; support in affordable medicines and telehealth service; and holding Bollywood and other Indian film festivals.

India would work with CARICOM to provide online training in technology, administration, law and education, and training for parliamentarians, agriculture, food security, renewable energy and climate change, with great focus solar energy, technology and trade.

First PM visit in 56 years

Modi elicited a lot of smiles as he spoke about the common passion for cricket and cinema that links India with the Caribbean, especially T20 cricket, and called for the enhancement of women’s cricket.  Modi underlined the effectiveness of yoga and suggested that yoga be part of the school curriculum as India would be willing to send yoga teachers and trainers.

Modi came to Guyana at the invitation of Guyana’s President Irfaan Ail for a three-day stay in a country that has discovered a lot of oil wealth.  The late Indira Gandhi was the first and only Indian prime minister to visit Guyana in 1968 when she made a whirlwind visit to Trinidad and Tobago as well. Modi receive Guyana’s highest honour, The Honour of Excellence, the Honorary Freedom Honour of Barbados’ and Dominica’s Award of Honour.

Trinidad and Tobago’s Prime Minister Dr Keith Rowley, Barbados Prime Minister Mia Mottley and CARICOM chairman Grenadian Prime Minister Dickson Mitchell were among the long list of Caribbean leaders who attended the summit in Georgetown.

New dimension to India-CARICOM ties

In the years gone by India was known for its religious and cultural assets by people in the Caribbean, but Prime Minister Modi with this initiative has given a new dimension to India-Caribbean ties through a  developmental agenda. It is hoped that CARICOM would be able set up the mechanisms required to get this cooperation agenda going. Is it that India is now demonstrating its readiness to take on American and Chinese frontiers aimed at becoming a leader of the Global South if not a world power?

According to a India Briefing paper, the Caribbean region’s strategic location serves as a gateway to North and South American markets, making it a crucial trade partner for India. With historical ties through a vibrant Indian diaspora in countries like Guyana, Trinidad and Tobago, and Suriname, these relationships provide a strong foundation for expanding bilateral trade. India’s active participation in renewable energy projects and the International Solar Alliance further positions it as a reliable partner for CARICOM nations, addressing their energy security needs while fostering sustainable economic growth.

(The author is a Port of Spain, Trinidad and Tobago-based journalist and consultant. Views are personal. He can be contacted at paras_ramoutar@yahoo.com)

Source Credit: https://www.southasiamonitor.org/spotlight/indias-caribbean-outreach-carries-geoeconomic-and-geopolitical-significance

Ukraine Accuses Russia of Using Ballistic Missile in Dnipro Strike Amid Renewed Instability

Ukraine’s military has accused Russia of deploying an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) in a recent strike on the city of Dnipro. Although the Ukrainian Air Force did not specify the type of ICBM allegedly used, CNN reported that it could not independently verify the claim. Two Western officials provided conflicting insights, asserting that the missile involved was ballistic but not an ICBM. This ambiguity has added to the already tense situation in the region as the war continues to evolve dramatically.

The Dnipro attack comes amidst significant developments in Ukraine’s military capabilities and the dynamics of the ongoing conflict. Ukrainian forces reportedly launched Storm Shadow missiles, which are British-French-made, targeting locations within Russian territory. These strikes followed closely after Ukraine’s first use of US-provided long-range missiles on Russian soil. This escalation marks a notable shift in Ukraine’s strategy, demonstrating its growing ability to retaliate deep into enemy lines.

In a statement reflecting the gravity of the situation, the UK military intelligence agency warned that Ukraine’s front lines are experiencing heightened instability, more so than at any time since the early days of Russia’s full-scale invasion over 1,000 days ago. According to the agency, the evolving battlefield dynamics underscore the challenges Ukrainian forces face as they attempt to counter sustained Russian offensives and adapt to changing circumstances.

Adding to the volatile situation was a brief closure of the US Embassy in Kyiv. The embassy temporarily suspended operations for a day due to what officials described as a “possible threat of a significant attack.” This move was seen as a precautionary measure amid heightened tensions and increased reports of potential Russian offensives. However, Ukrainian authorities claimed that the shutdown was a response to a psychological operation staged by Russia. They accused Moscow of spreading false warnings about an impending airstrike on Kyiv as part of an “information and psychological attack.”

Ukrainian officials emphasized that this type of disinformation campaign is a hallmark of Russia’s broader strategy in the conflict. By sowing fear and confusion, Russia aims to destabilize Ukrainian morale and create uncertainty. The embassy reopened shortly after the threat was assessed and deemed manageable, signaling a return to normal operations despite the underlying risks.

The broader geopolitical implications of these developments continue to unfold. The use of advanced weaponry such as Storm Shadow missiles by Ukraine marks a significant escalation in the conflict. The missiles, known for their precision and long range, allow Ukraine to target strategic locations far beyond the front lines, potentially altering the course of the war. This enhanced capability, supported by Western allies, underscores the deepening involvement of external powers in the conflict.

A Western defense expert, speaking anonymously, noted, “The deployment of Storm Shadow missiles highlights Ukraine’s evolving military strategy and its intent to leverage advanced technology to gain an upper hand. This also serves as a clear message to Russia that its actions will not go unanswered.” However, such moves come with risks, as they may provoke stronger responses from Russia, potentially widening the scope of the conflict.

Russia’s alleged use of a ballistic missile in the Dnipro strike adds another layer of complexity to the situation. While it remains unclear whether the missile was an ICBM, the incident has sparked concerns about Moscow’s willingness to deploy increasingly sophisticated weaponry against Ukraine. Ballistic missiles, known for their speed and destructive capacity, pose a significant threat to civilian areas, making their use particularly alarming. The attack on Dnipro has drawn international condemnation, with calls for accountability and restraint.

Amid these military developments, the humanitarian impact of the war continues to grow. Civilian casualties and displacement remain pressing concerns as both sides intensify their offensives. The attack on Dnipro serves as a grim reminder of the war’s toll on ordinary people, with many residents living in constant fear of strikes. Local authorities have urged citizens to remain vigilant and adhere to safety protocols as the situation remains unpredictable.

Meanwhile, the resumption of services at the US Embassy in Kyiv highlights the resilience of international actors in supporting Ukraine despite the risks involved. The embassy’s closure, albeit brief, underscored the precarious security environment in the capital. US officials reiterated their commitment to standing by Ukraine in its fight against Russian aggression, emphasizing the importance of maintaining diplomatic presence and communication.

In a statement addressing the embassy’s temporary closure, a US official said, “The safety of our personnel is our top priority, but we remain committed to supporting Ukraine. The reopening of the embassy reflects our confidence in the measures taken to ensure security.”

As Ukraine navigates these challenging times, its leadership continues to call for unity and resolve. President Volodymyr Zelensky has consistently emphasized the importance of international support in countering Russian aggression. In recent remarks, he appealed to allies to provide more advanced weaponry and financial assistance, highlighting the critical role of global solidarity in sustaining Ukraine’s resistance.

The conflict, which has now entered its 1,000th day since Russia’s full-scale invasion began, shows no signs of abating. The renewed instability along the front lines and the use of advanced weaponry on both sides suggest that the war is entering a new and potentially more dangerous phase. Analysts warn that without a concerted effort to de-escalate tensions and pursue diplomatic solutions, the situation could spiral further, with devastating consequences for the region and beyond.

Reflecting on the current state of the conflict, a military analyst observed, “The trajectory of this war is deeply concerning. Both sides are escalating their strategies, and the involvement of advanced technology is changing the dynamics in ways that could have long-term implications.”

The international community remains deeply invested in finding a resolution to the conflict, but achieving peace remains a daunting challenge. Diplomatic efforts have so far yielded limited results, with both sides showing little willingness to compromise. The focus now shifts to mitigating the immediate humanitarian crisis while exploring pathways for dialogue and reconciliation.

ICC Issues Historic Arrest Warrants for Netanyahu, Gallant, and Hamas Official

The International Criminal Court (ICC) has issued arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, former Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, and a senior Hamas official, accusing them of war crimes related to the October 7 attacks on Israel last year. The court, based in The Hague, stated that it found “reasonable grounds” to believe that Netanyahu was criminally responsible for war crimes including “starvation as a method of warfare” and “crimes against humanity such as murder, persecution, and other inhumane acts.”

This marks the first time an Israeli leader has been summoned by an international court for alleged war crimes during the 76-year Israeli-Palestinian conflict. While ICC warrants do not guarantee arrests, they may limit Netanyahu’s travel to countries that are members of the ICC.

The Prime Minister’s office quickly dismissed the charges as “absurd and antisemitic.” They stated, “Israel utterly rejects the absurd and false actions and accusations against it by the International Criminal Court, which is a politically biased and discriminatory body.” The office further emphasized that there was “no war more just” and defended Israel’s right to self-defense following the deadly Hamas attacks, which they described as “the largest massacre against the Jewish people since the Holocaust.”

Netanyahu’s office insisted that he would not yield to pressure, declaring that he would not retreat until Israel achieved all the objectives set at the beginning of the war.

Israel, along with the United States, is not a member of the ICC and has repeatedly contested the court’s jurisdiction over actions in the conflict. The ICC maintains jurisdiction over territories occupied by Israel, including Gaza, East Jerusalem, and the West Bank, following the Palestinian leadership’s agreement to adhere to the court’s principles in 2015.

The court also issued a warrant for Hamas official Mohammed Diab Ibrahim Al-Masri, also known as Mohammed Deif, who is accused of being a key mastermind behind the October 7 attack. Although Israel claimed to have killed Deif in an airstrike in September, Hamas has not confirmed his death.

The ICC explained that it found “reasonable grounds” to believe that Deif was responsible for “crimes against humanity, including murder, extermination, torture, and rape,” as well as war crimes such as “murder, cruel treatment, torture, taking hostages, outrages upon personal dignity, and rape.” The court also alleged that Deif, through his actions, either ordered or induced these crimes and failed to exercise control over forces under his command.

The ICC noted that the crimes were part of a coordinated, systematic attack by Hamas and other armed groups targeting Israeli civilians.

In addition to Deif, the ICC prosecutor had initially sought warrants for Hamas leaders Ismail Haniyeh and Yahya Sinwar, but their deaths at the hands of Israel led the court to withdraw the applications for their arrest warrants.

Hamas responded to the ICC’s actions with approval, calling the warrants for Israeli officials a “significant historical precedent” that addressed the “longstanding course of historical injustice” against Palestinians. The group urged nations to cooperate in bringing Israeli leaders to justice and called for immediate action to stop what it described as the “genocide” in Gaza.

In response to the ICC’s action, the Biden administration expressed strong opposition, reiterating its support for Israel. President Joe Biden labeled the ICC’s pursuit of Israeli leaders as “outrageous,” emphasizing that there was “no equivalence — none — between Israel and Hamas.” He also reiterated U.S. support for Israel’s security. The U.S. has long criticized the ICC’s involvement in investigating Israel’s actions in Gaza but has refrained from supporting sanctions against the court.

In June, the U.S. House of Representatives passed a bill aimed at sanctioning anyone involved with the ICC’s efforts to prosecute U.S. allies, but the bill has not yet passed the Senate. Senator John Thune also threatened to impose sanctions against the ICC, warning that if the court did not reverse its actions, the Senate Republican majority would make this issue a priority in the next Congress.

Israeli President Isaac Herzog denounced the warrants as a “dark day for justice” and “humanity,” calling the decision a “mockery of the sacrifice of all those who fight for justice.” Herzog stressed that the ICC’s decision overlooked the fact that Israel was responding to a brutal attack and had the “duty and right” to defend its people.

The President added that the ICC’s action disregarded Israel’s status as a democracy that adheres to international humanitarian law and that it had made significant efforts to meet the humanitarian needs of civilians in Gaza.

Gideon Sa’ar, Israel’s newly appointed Foreign Minister, accused the ICC of being a political tool serving extreme elements that seek to undermine peace and stability in the Middle East. He described the court’s decision as a “moral aberration,” suggesting it turned “good into evil” and rewarded those violating international law, like Iran-backed groups.

Far-right Israeli Minister Itamar Ben Gvir also condemned the ICC as “antisemitic from start to finish,” advocating for Israel to counter by extending sovereignty over the occupied West Bank and expanding Jewish settlements in territories under Israeli control.

Yoav Gallant, the former defense minister who was dismissed by Netanyahu earlier this month following political disputes, is also named in the warrants. Netanyahu cited a “crack in trust” between himself and Gallant as the reason for his dismissal.

Eliav Lieblich, a professor of international law at Tel Aviv University, remarked that the ICC’s decision was “the most dramatic legal development in Israel’s history.” He explained that the arrest warrants could significantly impact Netanyahu and Gallant’s ability to travel, as the 124 state parties to the ICC are legally obligated to arrest them if they enter their territories.

Lieblich further noted that this could have broader implications for Israel’s cooperation with other countries, especially in military matters. He highlighted that although the ICC lacks its own police force to make arrests, it relies on member states to execute its warrants.

Since its establishment, the ICC has issued 56 arrest warrants, resulting in 21 detentions and appearances before the court. However, 27 individuals remain at large, and charges against seven have been dropped due to their deaths.

The situation remains fluid as Israel and Hamas continue to navigate the complexities of international law, justice, and political interests, with the ICC’s involvement adding a new dimension to the ongoing conflict.

Putin Updates Nuclear Doctrine Amid U.S.-Backed Strikes Inside Russia

Russian President Vladimir Putin on Tuesday formalized a significant adjustment to his country’s nuclear weapons policy, lowering the threshold for deploying nuclear arms. This shift follows the U.S. decision to allow Ukraine to use American missiles to strike targets within Russian territory.

The Kremlin confirmed that Putin had ratified an updated nuclear doctrine, redefining the conditions under which Russia might initiate a nuclear strike. According to the revised policy, Russia reserves the right to use nuclear weapons if attacked by a non-nuclear state supported by a nuclear-armed country.

The announcement came on the heels of Ukraine’s inaugural use of U.S.-supplied long-range missiles against Russian territory. The Russian Defense Ministry reported that Ukraine targeted a military site in the Bryansk region using ATACMS missiles, supplied by the U.S. While Russian air defenses intercepted five missiles, debris from another caused a fire at the site, which was swiftly extinguished. The ministry stated there were no casualties or significant damage.

“According to confirmed data, the deployed ATACMS operational-tactical missiles were American-made,” the Defense Ministry noted in its statement.

Two U.S. officials corroborated the event, confirming to NBC News that Ukraine used ATACMS missiles in the Bryansk region near Karachev. This marks the first instance of U.S.-provided weaponry being employed within Russian borders. Previously, Ukraine had relied on domestically produced drones for strikes inside Russia, lacking the firepower of the ATACMS.

Ukraine’s military also acknowledged the strike, describing the target as a military arsenal in Bryansk. However, it refrained from specifying the weapons used in the attack.

The adjustments to Russia’s nuclear doctrine represent an escalation in rhetoric from Moscow, which has frequently hinted at the possibility of nuclear conflict since the outset of its full-scale invasion of Ukraine over 1,000 days ago.

“The nuclear doctrine update was required to bring the document in line with the current political situation,” Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov told TASS, Russia’s state news agency, early Tuesday.

Peskov also framed the policy update as a response to Washington’s actions, suggesting that the U.S.’s decision to supply Ukraine with non-nuclear missiles for use against Russia could now prompt a nuclear retaliation under the new guidelines. He clarified, however, that deploying nuclear weapons would remain a “last resort measure.”

In Washington, State Department spokesperson Matt Miller described Russia’s doctrinal changes as predictable. “Since the beginning of its war of aggression against Ukraine, it has sought to coerce and intimidate both Ukraine and other countries around the world through irresponsible nuclear rhetoric and behavior,” Miller said. He added that “neither the United States nor NATO pose any threat to Russia.”

Earlier this year, Putin had hinted at the impending changes, cautioning the West against easing restrictions on Ukraine’s use of long-range weaponry. The updated doctrine aligns with these warnings. It explicitly states that “aggression against the Russian Federation and its allies by a non-nuclear country with the support of a nuclear state will be considered a joint attack.”

Another significant amendment to the doctrine is its provision for nuclear use in response to a “critical threat to the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Russia and Belarus.” This broadens the conditions for nuclear engagement compared to previous language, which only allowed for such measures if “the very existence of the state is at risk.”

The shift in policy is partly motivated by heightened tensions between Russia and NATO. Putin has previously warned that NATO’s provision of long-range weapons to Ukraine for attacks on Russian soil could escalate the conflict to a direct war between NATO and Russia.

This policy revision coincides with the Biden administration’s decision to allow Ukraine limited use of ATACMS missiles inside Russian territory. The U.S. had previously resisted such moves, mindful of the potential to provoke Russia further. However, reports of North Korean troops bolstering Russian forces have led to a reassessment of U.S. strategy.

This recalibration has drawn criticism from Moscow. On Monday, Kremlin spokesperson Peskov accused Washington of “pouring oil on the fire” and provoking “further escalation of tension around this conflict.”

Tatiana Stanovaya, a nonresident scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and head of the political analysis firm R.Politik, said the updated doctrine gives Russia greater flexibility for a nuclear response to what it views as Western-backed strikes on its territory.

She suggested that the timing of the revisions might be linked to the political transition in the U.S. “Putin may see the current situation as a strategic ‘in-between’ moment — anticipating possible peace initiatives from (President-elect Donald) Trump while emphasizing what he views as the ‘irresponsibility’ of Biden’s policy,” Stanovaya wrote on X, formerly Twitter.

Stanovaya posited that Putin’s strategy could be to present the West with two stark options: “Do you want a nuclear war? You will have it,” or “Let’s end this war on Russia’s terms.”

“This marks an extraordinarily dangerous juncture,” she concluded.

The doctrinal changes also extend to Russia’s response if Belarus, its close ally, is attacked. Putin had earlier emphasized that aggression against Belarus would be treated as aggression against Russia, further solidifying their mutual defense pact.

As tensions continue to mount, these developments underline the fragile balance of power and the growing risks associated with the ongoing conflict.

Ukraine Escalates Conflict with ATACMS Strikes Amid Russian Nuclear Warnings

Ukraine has utilized U.S.-supplied Army Tactical Missile Systems (ATACMS) to strike Russian territory for the first time in the 1,000 days of war, marking a significant shift in the conflict. On Tuesday, a Telegram channel associated with the Ukrainian military shared footage of the missiles being launched from an undisclosed location within Ukraine. While the authenticity of the video could not be independently confirmed, a U.S. official disclosed that Ukraine fired approximately eight ATACMS, two of which were intercepted by Russian forces. The strikes reportedly targeted an ammunition depot in Karachev, a town in Russia’s Bryansk region, home to around 18,000 residents. The U.S. official, speaking anonymously, mentioned ongoing assessments of the damage caused.

This escalation coincided with Russian President Vladimir Putin formalizing a policy lowering the threshold for nuclear weapon use. This adjustment could potentially authorize a nuclear response to conventional attacks by nations backed by nuclear-armed allies, such as the U.S. supporting Ukraine. The development underscores heightened international tensions surrounding the war.

Russian media quoted the Defense Ministry stating that five ATACMS missiles were intercepted, while fragments from another sparked a fire at a military facility without causing casualties or significant damage. Neither side’s claims regarding the attacks have been independently verified.

Karachev, situated about 115 kilometers from the Russia-Ukraine border, has become a focal point in this intensifying conflict. Although Ukraine has demonstrated the ability to target deeper into Russian territory using drones—reaching cities like Moscow and even Izhevsk, some 1,450 kilometers from the border—this marks the first instance of missiles being employed for such operations.

Meanwhile, Ukraine has been under relentless attack. On Monday night, a Shahed drone strike hit a residential dormitory in Hlukhiv, a town in the northern Sumy region, killing 12 people, including a child, and injuring 11 others. On Sunday, Sumy faced another devastating attack when a Russian ballistic missile carrying cluster munitions struck a residential area, leaving 11 dead and 84 wounded. A separate missile barrage in Odesa ignited apartment fires, claiming at least 10 lives and injuring 43.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy condemned these attacks, stating they illustrate Putin’s lack of interest in ending the war. “Each new attack by Russia only confirms Putin’s true intentions. He wants the war to continue. Talks about peace are not interesting to him. We must force Russia to a just peace by force,” Zelenskyy declared.

During a speech to European Union lawmakers, Zelenskyy revealed that approximately 11,000 North Korean troops had been deployed along Ukraine’s borders, with that number potentially increasing to 100,000. The assertion highlights Russia’s growing reliance on external support, including North Korea, a development that has drawn international concern.

Zelenskyy also presented a “resilience plan” at the Ukrainian parliament, outlining measures to strengthen Ukraine’s defense amid escalating attacks. The plan includes reforms in army management, such as appointing a military ombudsman and introducing a new system for handling military contracts. Zelenskyy noted, however, that Ukraine has no immediate plans to lower the mobilization age from 25, despite manpower shortages on the front lines.

Ukraine’s ability to sustain its defense has been bolstered by longer-range weaponry like the ATACMS, which analysts believe could disrupt Russia’s battlefield advances. Jack Watling of the Royal United Services Institute commented, “Ukraine’s partners can do little to change the character of the fighting on the line of contact, but by targeting capabilities that are currently giving Russia a battlefield advantage, time can be bought.”

Zelenskyy also announced plans to ramp up domestic military production, including at least 30,000 long-range drones and 3,000 long-range missiles next year. This initiative aims to reduce Ukraine’s reliance on Western military aid. A comprehensive version of this plan is expected to be unveiled next month.

On the geopolitical front, NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte indicated ongoing discussions among Western nations about increasing support for Ukraine. “More aid, more money we have to make available to them, particularly now that the North Koreans have come on board,” he remarked during a meeting in Brussels.

The European Parliament held a special session to commemorate the 1,000 days of the war, with President Roberta Metsola honoring Ukraine’s resilience. “One thousand days of terror, suffering and unimaginable loss. One thousand days of courage, resilience and unbreakable spirits,” Metsola stated, addressing Zelenskyy. She added, “Your people are an inspiration to all who value freedom around the world.”

The war’s protracted nature has led analysts to speculate on its eventual conclusion. While both Russia and Ukraine face sustainability challenges, Russia’s larger resource base gives it an advantage for prolonged engagement. The international community remains divided, with former U.S. President-elect Donald Trump vowing to end the war swiftly upon taking office. Trump has criticized the financial burden on the U.S. for aiding Ukraine, further complicating the global dynamics surrounding the conflict.

As the war continues, the humanitarian toll grows. Ukrainian civilians have faced repeated assaults by Russian drones and missiles, intensifying the suffering. Zelenskyy and his administration remain focused on maintaining resilience while advocating for increased international support to counter Russia’s relentless aggression. The coming months may prove pivotal, as Ukraine seeks to leverage both domestic innovation and international alliances to withstand the ongoing onslaught.

Global Markets Plunge Amid Escalating US-Russia Tensions

Global stock markets suffered a sharp decline on Tuesday as investors shifted towards safe-haven assets, responding to heightened tensions between the United States and Russia, the two leading nuclear powers.

By mid-afternoon in London, the pan-European Stoxx 600 index had dropped 1.08%, reaching 497 points—its lowest level since August. Meanwhile, U.S. markets faced similar pressures, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 400 points, or 0.9%, and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite declining 0.5% and 0.2%, respectively.

The sell-off followed Russian President Vladimir Putin’s decision to amend Russia’s nuclear doctrine, expanding the circumstances that could prompt the use of its nuclear arsenal. This update coincided with the U.S. decision to permit Ukraine to deploy American-made long-range missiles within Russian territory, a significant shift in Washington’s approach to the ongoing conflict.

According to NBC News, the Russian Defense Ministry confirmed that Ukraine had already used six U.S.-supplied long-range ballistic missiles in an overnight strike targeting Bryansk, a region in western Russia.

The revised nuclear doctrine elaborates on scenarios warranting the use of nuclear weapons and introduces broader conditions for potential retaliation. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov explained, “The Russian Federation reserves the right to use nuclear weapons in the event of aggression with conventional weapons against it or the Republic of Belarus, which creates a critical threat to sovereignty or territorial integrity. Aggression against the Russian Federation by any non-nuclear state with the participation or support of a nuclear state is considered a joint attack.”

This development has fueled fears of nuclear escalation, prompting a shift to safe-haven assets. Gold prices rose 0.56% by mid-afternoon in London, while U.S. Treasury prices increased, resulting in lower yields as investors moved away from riskier options.

In currency markets, the yen gained 0.6% against the euro and 0.4% against the U.S. dollar, though these gains tapered from earlier peaks. The Swiss franc also rose 0.3% against the euro. Erik Nelson, a macro strategist at Wells Fargo, commented on the movements, saying, “The sharp drop in bond yields and USDJPY was of course notable, but I think even more telling is how quickly it … faded.” He added, “There is clearly still a bias to position for higher inflation and sturdy growth as we get into the final weeks of the year. Market participants likely recall the headline risk from the earlier stages of the Russian-Ukraine war and will likely be inclined to fade any dips in yields and USDJPY so long as any indications of escalation remain more verbal in nature.”

The U.S. decision to permit Ukraine to target Russian territory with American-made weapons marks a pivotal policy shift. Previously, Washington had avoided such measures to prevent provoking a broader confrontation. It remains uncertain whether other NATO allies will follow suit by authorizing Kyiv to use their domestically produced weaponry in similar offensives.

So far, NATO members have largely refrained from this step, wary of potential retaliatory actions from Moscow. Putin has previously warned of nuclear escalation should the coalition directly intervene in the conflict. In June, he emphasized that Russia was expanding its nuclear arsenal, which remains the largest globally after inheriting the majority of the Soviet Union’s weapons of mass destruction.

As the conflict reached its 1,000th day on Tuesday, Ukraine’s General Staff of the Armed Forces reported a strike in Bryansk via Facebook, stating it had “inflicted a fire.” However, the post did not confirm whether U.S.-made weapons were involved.

Market analysts expressed concerns over the implications of the escalating conflict. Tiffany McGhee, CEO and CIO of Pivotal Advisors, told CNBC’s Worldwide Exchange, “The conflict is escalating … I clearly expect to see some kind of immediate reaction, knee-jerk reaction.” She noted, however, that the longer-term market impact might be less pronounced, citing similar temporary reactions since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. “But in terms of longer term, this is year three of the conflict and while initially we saw spikes in prices … that’s kind of leveled off,” she observed.

Oil markets, which have been significantly impacted by Western sanctions on Russian energy exports, fluctuated on Tuesday despite the heightened risk of a direct confrontation between Russia and the U.S., two of the world’s largest oil producers. The January ICE Brent contract rose 0.6% by mid-afternoon in London, while December Nymex WTI futures declined 0.5%, both compared to Monday’s closing prices.

The evolving geopolitical landscape continues to weigh heavily on global markets, as investors grapple with the potential for further escalation and its broader economic implications.

1,000 Days of War: The Grim Reality of the Russia-Ukraine Conflict

The war between Russia and Ukraine, the most devastating conflict Europe has witnessed since World War II, has now reached its 1,000th day. Over one million people have either lost their lives or suffered severe injuries since the fighting began, marking a tragic milestone in modern history.

The relentless violence has left Ukrainian cities, towns, and villages in ruins, reflecting the immense loss of life and material wealth. The toll of this unending war is felt in every corner of Ukraine, which stands more vulnerable now than at any point since the conflict began.

According to a report in The Wall Street Journal, “A confidential Ukrainian estimate from earlier this year put the number of dead Ukrainian troops at 80,000 and the wounded at 400,000, according to people familiar with the matter. Western intelligence estimates of Russian casualties vary, with some putting the number of dead as high as nearly 200,000 and wounded at around 400,000.” Both countries face significant demographic challenges, which the staggering death toll will only exacerbate.

Civilian Impact

While the majority of the casualties are military personnel, civilian deaths have also been substantial. The UN Human Rights Monitoring Mission in Ukraine documented at least 11,743 civilian deaths and 24,614 injuries as of August 31, 2024. Tragically, 589 children have been killed as of November 14, 2024. However, officials believe these numbers are significantly underreported, especially in areas like Mariupol, now under Russian control.

Tens of thousands have perished in fierce battles involving artillery, tanks, and infantry assaults on fortified front lines. A Reuters report highlights that both sides closely guard their casualty numbers, treating them as national security secrets, while Western estimates vary widely.

Russia is believed to have suffered heavy losses, with estimates of over 1,000 soldiers dying daily during intense combat. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated in February 2024 that over 31,000 Ukrainian service members had died, a figure analysts deem conservative.

Beyond battlefield casualties, Ukraine’s birthrate has plummeted to one-third of pre-war levels. Over four million people have been displaced internally, while more than six million have fled the country, mostly to Europe. Mortality from non-war-related causes has also surged. The UN estimates that Ukraine’s population has shrunk by over 10 million, approximately 25% of its total population, underscoring the war’s profound demographic impact.

Territorial Losses

Russia currently occupies around one-fifth of Ukraine’s territory, roughly equivalent to the size of Greece, according to Reuters. In 2022, Russian forces advanced rapidly through northern, eastern, and southern Ukraine, reaching Kyiv’s outskirts and crossing the Dnipro River. Russia has since consolidated control over nearly the entire Donbas region in the east and the Azov Sea coast in the south.

Frontline cities like Mariupol, once home to half a million people, have been devastated. Over the past year, Russia has gradually expanded its territorial control through intense fighting, primarily in Donbas. Meanwhile, Ukraine has launched limited offensives, including capturing a small area in Russia’s Kursk region in August.

Economic Devastation

The war has had a catastrophic impact on Ukraine’s economy. In 2022, the country’s GDP shrank by 33%, and although there was a slight recovery in 2023, the economy remained 22% smaller than pre-war levels.

A joint assessment by the World Bank, European Commission, United Nations, and Ukrainian government in December 2023 estimated the direct damage to Ukraine at $152 billion, with housing, transport, energy, and agriculture being the worst-hit sectors. Reconstruction costs were projected at $486 billion—nearly three times Ukraine’s GDP in 2023.

Ukraine’s power sector has been especially hard hit by targeted Russian attacks on infrastructure. As a major global grain exporter, Ukraine’s disrupted exports exacerbated a global food crisis early in the war. While exports have largely resumed, Ukraine continues to navigate a de facto Russian blockade.

The daily cost of the war for Ukraine exceeds $140 million, according to Roksolana Pidlasa, head of Ukraine’s parliamentary budget committee. For 2025, Ukraine’s draft budget allocates 26% of GDP—approximately $53.3 billion—to defense spending. Meanwhile, Western financial aid to Ukraine has surpassed $100 billion.

Historical and Political Dimensions

Ukraine’s complex history as part of the Russian Empire and later the Soviet Union underpins the current conflict. Russian President Vladimir Putin has repeatedly stated his desire to reincorporate Ukraine into the Russian Federation. Putin denies Ukraine’s sovereignty and identity, asserting that Ukrainians, primarily Slavic and Orthodox Christian, are inherently Russian.

As the war reaches this grim milestone, the long-term ramifications for both nations are clear: extensive human suffering, demographic decline, and staggering economic costs. With no end in sight, the conflict remains a defining crisis of the 21st century.

Indian American Leader Urges Action Against Persecution of Hindus in Bangladesh

Bharat Barai, a prominent Indian American physician and community leader, has called for decisive measures against the Bangladeshi government over the alleged persecution of Hindus in the country. Speaking at the annual Diwali celebration held at the U.S. Capitol, Barai highlighted the pressing issue of minority rights violations in Bangladesh. He expressed optimism about the stance of President-elect Donald Trump, referencing a strong statement made by Trump during his campaign.

“I strongly condemn the barbaric violence against Hindus, Christians, and other minorities who are getting attacked and looted by mobs in Bangladesh, which remains in a total state of chaos,” Trump had stated before the November elections. This unequivocal condemnation has fueled hope among Indian Americans that the incoming administration might address the issue effectively.

Barai explained that Indian Americans have already begun engaging with the new administration and members of Congress to ensure the issue receives attention. Their efforts include proposing economic sanctions against Bangladesh, a step intended to compel the government to take action against the alleged atrocities. Specifically, Barai suggested targeting Bangladesh’s garment industry, a critical pillar of the nation’s economy.

He also called upon the Indian government to join the cause, urging them to initiate dialogue with Bangladesh and consider implementing sanctions of their own. Barai expressed belief that coordinated international efforts would put sufficient pressure on the Bangladeshi government to take tangible steps to address the treatment of Hindus and other minority communities.

Barai’s remarks underscore the determination within the Indian American community to address minority rights violations globally, particularly those affecting Hindu communities in South Asia. By combining diplomatic efforts with potential economic actions, they hope to influence significant change in Bangladesh’s approach to protecting its minorities.

This narrative reflects a broader concern over human rights issues and the international community’s responsibility to address them. Indian Americans remain hopeful that their advocacy will translate into meaningful actions under the leadership of both the U.S. and Indian governments.

Singapore Advocates Strengthening Engagement with China and India as Economic Powerhouses

Singapore and Southeast Asia must sustain robust engagement with both India and China due to their critical roles in fostering regional development and global economic progress, emphasized Senior Minister of State for Foreign Affairs, Sim Ann, on Thursday. Highlighting the prominence of these nations as major economic forces, Sim underscored their substantial contributions to global affairs during the launch of a thought-provoking series titled “China and India: Two Giants Shaping the Global Economy.”Organized by the East Asian Institute (EAI) and the Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS) at the National University of Singapore (NUS), the event aims to explore the influence of China and India on global economic dynamics.

The workshop brought together experts and policymakers to deliberate on the monumental influence of these countries, recognized as the first and third-largest global economies in terms of purchasing power parity. Together, China and India account for 35% of the global population and are projected to contribute an impressive 50% to worldwide economic growth in 2024. The inaugural workshop featured insights from distinguished scholars and researchers, including Dr. Li Li, Deputy Director of the Institute of International Relations at Tsinghua University, and Professor C. Raja Mohan, Visiting Research Professor at ISAS.

During her address, Sim Ann emphasized the necessity for Singapore and the broader Southeast Asian region to maintain constructive engagement with both nations. She stressed that their roles as economic and geopolitical heavyweights have far-reaching implications. “China and India are indispensable not only to regional development but also to the broader global economy. Their unique trajectories and strategies present opportunities and challenges that the region must navigate collaboratively,” she stated.

EAI Director Alfred Schipke reinforced this perspective, pointing out the unparalleled significance of the two nations in the global economic framework. “China and India stand as pivotal pillars in the global economic landscape, their combined potential driving half of the world’s economic growth in the coming years,” said Schipke. He added that their influence transcends traditional boundaries, shaping international trade, innovation, and policies to address global challenges.

The collaboration between EAI and ISAS aims to delve deeper into the policies, strategies, and impacts of China and India’s growth trajectories. This initiative will feature workshops and public events, drawing participation from academics, policymakers, business leaders, and practitioners. These dialogues are intended to shed light on how the two nations’ economic approaches can influence global trends, offering valuable insights for stakeholders worldwide.

Dr. Li Li highlighted the interconnected nature of China’s and India’s roles in the modern global order. She noted their unique but complementary approaches to development and innovation. Meanwhile, Professor C. Raja Mohan remarked on the evolving geopolitical dimensions of their economic strategies. He observed that the interplay between China and India’s growth is critical not only for Asia but also for the world at large.

ISAS Director Iqbal Singh Sevea emphasized the centrality of these nations to key global transitions. “Both India and China are pivotal to the future of digitalization and the transition to the green economy,” he stated. Sevea pointed to their significant investments in renewable energy and technology as examples of how they are setting benchmarks for sustainable growth.

Experts at the event also highlighted the challenges and opportunities inherent in navigating relations with both countries. While their rapid growth and technological advancements present avenues for collaboration, their geopolitical competition requires careful balancing. Sim Ann urged Singapore and its neighbors to act as a bridge, fostering dialogue and understanding between the two giants to ensure mutual benefits for the region.

As the world grapples with issues such as climate change, digital transformation, and economic inequality, the roles of China and India are increasingly under scrutiny. Their policies and innovations are expected to shape global norms in trade, technology, and environmental sustainability. Singapore’s emphasis on engaging with these nations aligns with its broader strategy of positioning itself as a hub for dialogue and cooperation in the Asia-Pacific region.

In conclusion, the launch of the “China and India: Two Giants Shaping the Global Economy” series marks an important step toward understanding and leveraging the immense potential of these two nations. With half of the global economic growth expected to stem from their efforts, it is clear that their influence will continue to grow. As EAI Director Alfred Schipke aptly summarized, “As key players in trade and innovation, their influence extends beyond borders, shaping policies and addressing global challenges.” The collaboration between EAI and ISAS serves as a testament to the importance of fostering informed discussions and strategic partnerships in an increasingly interconnected world.

India Urges Action on Climate Finance at COP29: A Call for Justice for the Global South  

The ongoing COP29 climate summit has highlighted the pressing need for enhanced financial commitments from developed countries to address the mounting climate challenges faced by vulnerable nations in the Global South. India has underscored this urgency, emphasizing that the talks represent a critical opportunity for nations most affected by climate change to adopt ambitious mitigation and adaptation measures. During key discussions, India reiterated its demand for the rich world to mobilize a minimum of $1.3 trillion annually to support developing nations in combating the climate crisis.

At Thursday’s High-Level Ministerial on Climate Finance, Naresh Pal Gangwar, India’s lead negotiator, firmly opposed efforts to dilute the financial responsibilities of developed nations under the Paris Agreement. He criticized the significant presence of fossil fuel interests at the summit, describing it as a distraction from the core objectives of climate action. Gangwar called for the financial support to come in the form of grants, concessional finance, and non-debt-inducing mechanisms to avoid further burdening developing nations that are already grappling with climate-induced adversities.

“We are at a crucial juncture in our fight against Climate Change. What we decide here will enable all of us, particularly those in the Global South, to not only take ambitious mitigation action but also adapt to Climate Change,” Gangwar stated, stressing the devastating impact of extreme weather events on vulnerable populations.

Upholding Historical Responsibilities

India took a strong position against redefining the New Collective Quantified Goal (NCQG) on climate finance. This goal is set to succeed the Paris Agreement’s $100 billion annual target, a promise made in 2009 that remains unfulfilled. Gangwar insisted that the NCQG must remain a unidirectional commitment from developed to developing countries, as originally outlined in the Paris Agreement. “NCQG cannot be changed into an investment goal when it is a unidirectional provision and mobilisation goal from the developed to the developing countries,” he emphasized. “Bringing in elements of any new goal, which are outside the mandate of the convention and its Paris Agreement, is unacceptable.”

India’s concerns centered on two key issues: the shift of financial obligations from public sources in developed countries to private investment mechanisms and the need to uphold the principle of historical responsibility, which holds wealthier nations accountable for their disproportionate contributions to global emissions.

This stance resonated strongly with other developing nations, particularly the African Group of Negotiators (AGN), which echoed India’s demands. “We are standing firm against attempts to re-define Paris Agreement’s obligations. The funding commitments by developed nations remain binding. For Africa and other developing nations, the $1.3 trillion is essential for achieving climate adaptation, resilience, and emissions reductions,” said AGN chair Ali D Mohamed, highlighting the collective resolve of the Global South.

A Test for Future Ambitions

India’s remarks also pointed to the importance of making tangible progress at COP29 as a precursor to COP30, set to be hosted by Brazil. At COP30, nations are expected to submit updated Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), a key mechanism for advancing global climate goals. However, the persistent failure of developed countries to meet existing financial commitments has dampened expectations.

“We have a common time frame for expressing ambitions every five years. There is a similar need in terms of Climate Finance. We are very hopeful that developed countries will realise their responsibility to enable enhanced ambitions and make this COP29 a success,” Gangwar said.

The outcome of the ongoing financial discussions will play a pivotal role in determining whether the global community can meet the objectives of the Paris Agreement. Current estimates suggest the world has already reached 1.3°C of warming above pre-industrial levels, nearing the critical 1.5°C threshold established in the accord.

Private Sector Finance Falls Short

The reliance on private sector funding as a solution to climate finance gaps has come under scrutiny. A recent report by Oil Change International revealed that low- and lower-middle-income countries, representing 42% of the global population, received only 7% of clean energy investments in 2022. The analysis also debunked the assumption that public finance could significantly leverage private investment, showing that each dollar of public funds attracted only 85 cents in private financing on average. For low-income countries, this figure dropped to 69 cents.

These findings challenge the developed nations’ emphasis on mobilizing private investment as a substitute for direct public financing. The report underscores the inadequacy of private sector contributions to meet the urgent and large-scale financial needs of vulnerable nations.

Fossil Fuel Interests Under Scrutiny

The COP29 talks have also been overshadowed by concerns over the influence of the fossil fuel industry. Analysis by the Kick Big Polluters Out (KBPO) coalition revealed that at least 1,773 fossil fuel lobbyists are attending the summit, surpassing the delegation sizes of most participating countries. Only Azerbaijan, COP30 host Brazil, and Türkiye have sent larger contingents.

“The fossil fuel lobby’s grip on climate negotiations is like a venomous snake coiling around the very future of our planet,” said Nnimmo Bassey, a representative of KBPO. The coalition has called for an end to the industry’s influence on global climate discussions, warning that their presence undermines the credibility and effectiveness of the negotiations.

KBPO’s analysis was based on the UNFCCC’s provisional participant list, cross-referenced with fossil fuel lobbying records from previous COPs and external registers. The growing representation of fossil fuel interests has raised alarms among climate activists and negotiators alike, who fear that the industry’s involvement may derail efforts to achieve meaningful outcomes.

A Crucial Moment for Global Climate Action

As COP29 unfolds, the demands of India and other developing nations reflect a broader call for justice and equity in climate action. The Global South, bearing the brunt of climate impacts despite contributing the least to global emissions, is seeking not just acknowledgment but concrete support from wealthier nations.

India’s firm stance, supported by the African Group of Negotiators and other developing countries, highlights the critical need for developed nations to fulfill their financial obligations. With the Paris Agreement’s goals hanging in the balance and the planet nearing dangerous levels of warming, the decisions made at COP29 could shape the trajectory of global climate action for years to come.

Dissanayake Wins Decisive Victory, Pledges Reforms to Rebuild Sri Lanka

Sri Lanka’s voters have delivered a resounding victory to President Anura Kumara Dissanayake in a snap general election, significantly expanding his leftist coalition’s presence in parliament. This outcome grants him greater authority to pursue anti-poverty and anti-corruption reforms as the country strives to recover from a severe economic crisis.

Dissanayake, a relative outsider in a political landscape historically dominated by influential family dynasties, assumed the presidency in September with limited legislative support. His Marxist-leaning coalition, the National People’s Power (NPP), previously held only three out of 225 parliamentary seats. Seeking a stronger mandate to govern effectively, he dissolved parliament and called for fresh elections.

The results of Thursday’s election marked a dramatic shift in the nation’s political landscape. The NPP secured 107 seats, capturing nearly 62% of the popular vote, or approximately 6.8 million ballots, according to data from the Election Commission of Sri Lanka. This victory not only pushes the NPP past the threshold for a parliamentary majority but also positions it close to achieving a two-thirds majority.

“This election represents a critical turning point for Sri Lanka,” Dissanayake said in a statement. Reflecting on the broader implications of the results, he added, “There is a change in Sri Lanka’s political culture that started in September, which must continue.”

Celebrations were mostly restrained, although some NPP supporters launched fireworks in areas outside Colombo, according to reports from Reuters.

Sri Lanka’s parliamentary structure includes 225 seats, with 196 directly elected across 22 constituencies via a proportional representation system. The remaining 29 seats are allocated based on each party’s nationwide vote share. More than 17 million Sri Lankans were eligible to cast their ballots, with a record 690 political parties and independent groups competing across 22 districts.

The NPP’s main opposition came from Sajith Premadasa’s Samagi Jana Balawegaya party, which secured 28 seats with roughly 18% of the vote. Meanwhile, the New Democratic Front, supported by former President Ranil Wickremesinghe, managed to claim only three seats.

This sweeping victory provides Dissanayake the mandate he needs to tackle Sri Lanka’s pressing economic challenges. While the president holds executive authority, substantial parliamentary support is required to appoint a full cabinet and deliver on key campaign promises. These include reducing taxes, fostering local industries, and alleviating poverty. One of Dissanayake’s significant proposals involves abolishing the executive presidency, a move that would necessitate the support of two-thirds of the parliament.

Sri Lanka, a nation of 22 million, is emerging from one of its most severe economic crises. A shortage of foreign currency led to a debt default in 2022, which caused the economy to shrink by 7.3% that year and a further 2.3% in 2023. A $2.9 billion International Monetary Fund (IMF) bailout programme has provided some stability, yet high living costs remain a burden for many citizens.

Dissanayake has signaled his intent to renegotiate aspects of the IMF agreement, particularly to lower income tax rates and allocate more resources to social welfare initiatives. However, these proposed adjustments have sparked concerns among investors, who fear they might delay future IMF disbursements and jeopardize Sri Lanka’s ability to achieve a primary budget surplus target of 2.3% of GDP by 2025.

“This election offers us the opportunity to address the systemic issues that have plagued our nation for decades,” Dissanayake said. Emphasizing the importance of reform, he noted, “We must act decisively to reduce inequality and build a more inclusive economy.”

The challenges ahead for Dissanayake are substantial. While the election has provided him with a stronger political foundation, the task of stabilizing Sri Lanka’s fragile economy and meeting the expectations of millions of citizens remains daunting. With poverty alleviation, economic reforms, and political restructuring at the forefront of his agenda, his administration faces the crucial test of translating electoral success into tangible progress for the country.

The election results mark not only a personal triumph for Dissanayake but also a potential turning point in Sri Lanka’s political trajectory. As the nation navigates the aftermath of its economic crisis, the path forward will require skillful governance, effective collaboration, and the fulfillment of campaign promises to ensure sustainable recovery and long-term stability.

HRW Accuses Israel of War Crimes Amid Gaza Displacement Crisis

Israel has been accused of committing war crimes and crimes against humanity by deliberately causing the mass displacement of Palestinians in Gaza, according to a report by Human Rights Watch (HRW). The report highlights severe humanitarian issues arising from Israeli military actions and raises concerns about the long-term impact on Gaza’s population.

HRW’s findings are based on extensive evidence, including interviews with displaced individuals, satellite imagery, and documentation of destruction. The organization claims that the forced displacement of nearly 1.9 million people, constituting 90% of Gaza’s population, represents “forcible transfer.” Furthermore, HRW alleges that these actions align with what it describes as “ethnic cleansing.”

The report emphasizes that about 79% of Gaza’s territory is currently under evacuation orders issued by Israeli authorities, leaving countless residents homeless and reliant on dwindling resources. HRW asserts that these measures appear systematic and are part of a broader state policy. “The destruction is so substantial that it indicates the intention to permanently displace many people,” the report warns.

The Israeli government has dismissed the allegations, describing the report as “completely false and detached from reality.” Oren Marmorstein, a spokesperson for Israel’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, reiterated the government’s stance, stating, “Israel’s efforts are directed solely at dismantling Hamas’s terror capabilities and not at the people of Gaza.” He further emphasized that Israel operates in accordance with the law of armed conflict.

HRW also directed criticism toward Hamas, accusing the group of using civilians as human shields by conducting operations from within residential areas and civilian infrastructure.

The Impact of the Ground Offensive

The report comes amidst an intensifying ground offensive by Israeli forces in northern Gaza, which has displaced an additional 130,000 people over the past five weeks. According to the UN, 75,000 people remain under siege in areas such as Jabalia, Beit Lahia, and Beit Hanoun. These regions face critical shortages of water, food, and other essential supplies, with the Israeli military justifying the measures as necessary to prevent a resurgence of Hamas.

The international laws of war prohibit the forced displacement of civilians in occupied territories unless it is imperative for their security or a pressing military reason. Displacement is only lawful if affected individuals are moved safely, provided with adequate shelter and supplies, and allowed to return to their homes once hostilities subside.

However, HRW argues that Israel’s actions fail to meet these criteria. The report highlights the absence of a compelling military justification for the mass displacement and criticizes the inconsistent and poorly communicated evacuation orders issued to Gaza’s residents. HRW states, “Israeli evacuation orders have been inconsistent, inaccurate, and frequently not communicated to civilians with enough time.” It also notes that these orders often overlooked the needs of vulnerable groups, such as individuals with disabilities.

Adding to the concerns, HRW alleges that Israeli forces have targeted designated evacuation routes and safe zones, further endangering civilians. The report accuses Israeli authorities of severely restricting the entry of humanitarian aid, water, electricity, and fuel, exacerbating the suffering of Gaza’s residents.

Infrastructure Destruction and Long-Term Impact

Another key finding in HRW’s report is the deliberate targeting of civilian infrastructure. The organization accuses Israel’s military of intentionally demolishing homes and vital facilities, such as hospitals and bakeries, to create extended buffer zones and corridors within Gaza. HRW claims these actions are aimed at permanently displacing populations from these areas.

“The organized, violent displacement of Palestinians in Gaza, who are members of another ethnic group, is likely planned to be permanent in the buffer zones and security corridors,” the report alleges, adding that this amounts to ethnic cleansing.

Statements from some Israeli government officials have further fueled concerns about the future of Gaza’s territory. HRW points to comments suggesting plans to reduce Gaza’s land area and allocate it to Israeli settlers.

In response to the allegations, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) issued a statement rejecting the report’s conclusions. “The report both selectively presents information in a manner that obscures context, as well as makes certain blatant misrepresentations,” the IDF stated. It emphasized that its warnings to civilians to evacuate areas of active conflict are in line with international legal obligations to minimize harm to non-combatants.

“The IDF only operates in areas where there is a known military presence,” the statement added. Israeli authorities have also denied plans to establish permanent buffer zones, with Foreign Minister Gideon Saar recently affirming that displaced residents would be allowed to return home after the war.

Broader Accusations and International Reactions

The UN General Assembly’s special committee also weighed in on the situation, releasing a report on Thursday that characterized Israel’s military tactics in Gaza as “consistent with the characteristics of genocide.” The report highlighted the high civilian death toll and the dire living conditions imposed on Palestinians.

Israel has strongly denied these allegations, with officials labeling the genocide accusations as baseless. US State Department spokesperson Vedant Patel supported this view, stating during a press briefing, “We think that that kind of phrasing and those kinds of accusations are certainly unfounded.”

The current conflict was triggered by Hamas’s unprecedented attack on southern Israel on October 7, 2023, which resulted in the deaths of approximately 1,200 people and the taking of 251 hostages. In response, Israel launched a large-scale campaign aimed at dismantling Hamas’s military infrastructure. According to Gaza’s Hamas-run health ministry, more than 43,700 people have been killed in the territory since the escalation began.

Legal and Humanitarian Concerns

The HRW report underscores the significant challenges facing civilians in Gaza and raises important questions about the legality of Israel’s military operations. It highlights the immense scale of displacement, the destruction of critical infrastructure, and the obstacles faced by humanitarian aid efforts.

Under international law, warring parties are obligated to protect civilians and ensure access to basic necessities. The forced displacement of Gaza’s population, coupled with the destruction of essential facilities and the severe restriction of aid, paints a bleak picture of the humanitarian crisis unfolding in the region.

HRW’s accusations against both Israel and Hamas underscore the complexity of the conflict. While Israel defends its actions as necessary to combat terrorism, HRW and other human rights organizations urge accountability for the widespread suffering of civilians.

As the war continues, international pressure is mounting on all parties to adhere to humanitarian principles and seek a resolution that prioritizes the well-being of Gaza’s population. However, with no end to the conflict in sight, the people of Gaza remain caught in a cycle of violence and displacement that shows little sign of abating.

UK Backs India’s Bid for Permanent UN Security Council Seat Amid Renewed Push for Reform

In a bid to ensure the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) remains equipped to tackle the world’s most pressing issues, the United Kingdom has reiterated its backing for India’s bid for permanent membership. This support, voiced by UK Ambassador to the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) Archie Young, aligns with broader calls to reform the UNSC to reflect the modern global landscape more accurately.

At a UNGA plenary session in New York on Monday, Young highlighted British Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s appeal made at the UNGA in September for an overhaul of the UNSC, advocating for a system that is “more representative and more responsive.” According to Young, the UK supports permanent seats not only for India but also for African nations, Brazil, Germany, and Japan. “The UK believes that a reformed Council, coupled with a collective, renewed commitment to the UN Charter, would strengthen the Council so it can continue to rise to the challenges the world is facing; that is why we remain a strong supporter of UN Security Council reform,” Young stated, emphasizing the need to expand the Council’s membership. “We want to see permanent African representation and permanent seats for Brazil, Germany, India, and Japan,” he added.

Young’s statements at the UNGA come in the context of a growing discourse on the need for reform in the UNSC, particularly as world events highlight the limitations of the current multilateral system. Reflecting on the agenda for reform of the Security Council during the 2023 UN General Assembly session, Young pointed out the increasingly volatile global environment and underscored the urgency of strengthening multilateral mechanisms. He noted, “A year later, the situation is even more acute, and the need to strengthen our multilateral system through reform, ever more pressing.” The UK Ambassador went on to highlight Prime Minister Starmer’s concerns expressed at the UNGA regarding the mounting complexities and interconnections of global challenges that strain the multilateral system.

The ongoing conflicts affecting several regions have intensified discussions about UNSC reform. “Conflict touches more countries now than at any time in the history of the United Nations,” Young said, referencing crises in Ukraine, Gaza, Sudan, and other regions worldwide. He stressed the essential role of the Security Council, noting, “The Security Council’s role – and its responsibility for international peace and security – is as important now as it has ever been.”

Acknowledging the difficulties inherent in designing a suitable reform model, Young conceded that “agreeing on a model of reform” for the Security Council will be challenging. Nevertheless, he underscored the importance of addressing this issue. “It is incumbent on all of us to work together, in the spirit of compromise, to deliver the change we know is needed. The UK is committed to doing just that,” Young stated. He expressed the UK’s commitment to engaging in “detailed and constructive discussions” in upcoming intergovernmental negotiations and expressed hope that these talks would pave the way for text-based negotiations on UNSC reform.

The UK’s call for reform coincided with a similar appeal from India. At the plenary session, India’s Permanent Representative to the UN, Parvathaneni Harish, underscored the urgent need for UNSC reform, echoing sentiments that have long been advocated by India and other nations. Harish noted that UNSC reform was designated a priority at recent global discussions but expressed frustration over the lack of progress. He stated, “As we begin this year’s deliberations, we note that the reform of the UN Security Council was once again identified as a critical and immediate priority at the summit of the future discussions by our leaders.” However, despite decades of calls for reform, Harish expressed disappointment over the lack of tangible progress since the Council’s last expansion in 1965, which only added seats in the non-permanent category.

U.S. Jury Awards $42 Million to Former Detainees of Abu Ghraib Prison in Lawsuit Against Military Contractor

A U.S. jury has awarded $42 million in damages to three former detainees of Iraq’s notorious Abu Ghraib prison, holding CACI, a military contractor based in Virginia, responsible for its role in their torture and mistreatment two decades ago. The ruling, delivered by an eight-person jury, came after a previous trial earlier this year failed to reach a verdict regarding CACI’s liability for the actions of its civilian interrogators, who worked alongside the U.S. Army at Abu Ghraib in 2003 and 2004.

The jury’s decision saw plaintiffs Suhail Al Shimari, Salah Al-Ejaili, and Asa’ad Al-Zubae awarded $3 million each in compensatory damages, alongside $11 million each in punitive damages. These three former detainees testified about the brutal treatment they endured at the hands of military personnel and contractors at the facility. Their accounts included allegations of beatings, sexual abuse, forced nudity, and other forms of cruel and inhumane treatment.

While the plaintiffs did not claim that CACI’s interrogators were directly responsible for the abuse, they argued that the company was complicit in the mistreatment. They contended that CACI’s interrogators worked in conjunction with military police officers to “soften up” detainees for questioning by using harsh and degrading tactics.

In response to the verdict, CACI expressed disappointment and announced plans to appeal the decision. The company issued a statement asserting that it had been wrongfully connected with the actions of military personnel at Abu Ghraib. “For nearly two decades, CACI has been wrongly subjected to long-term, negative affiliation with the unfortunate and reckless actions of a group of military police at Abu Ghraib prison from 2003 through 2004,” the company stated. It emphasized that none of its employees had been criminally, civilly, or administratively charged in connection with the events at the prison.

Baher Azmy, an attorney with the Center for Constitutional Rights, which represented the plaintiffs, hailed the verdict as an important step toward justice and accountability. Azmy praised the courage of the plaintiffs for their resilience and said that the $42 million awarded fully matched the amount sought by the plaintiffs. It also surpassed the $31 million CACI had reportedly been paid for providing interrogators to the U.S. military at the prison.

“Today is a big day for me and for justice,” said Al-Ejaili, a journalist who was one of the plaintiffs. “I’ve waited a long time for this day. This victory isn’t only for the three plaintiffs in this case against a corporation. This victory is a shining light for everyone who has been oppressed and a strong warning to any company or contractor practicing different forms of torture and abuse.” Al-Ejaili traveled to the U.S. for both trials, where he testified in person, while the other two plaintiffs, Al Shimari and Al-Zubae, gave their testimony remotely from Iraq.

This trial and the subsequent retrial marked the first time in two decades that a U.S. jury heard the claims of survivors of Abu Ghraib, following the release of disturbing photos in 2004 that showed U.S. soldiers abusing detainees at the facility. Although none of the three plaintiffs featured in those infamous images, their testimonies revealed disturbing similarities to the treatment depicted in the photos.

Al Shimari described severe abuse, including sexual assaults, beatings, and being subjected to electric shocks during his two months at the prison. He also recounted being dragged around by a rope tied to his neck. Al-Ejaili, for his part, testified about being forced into stress positions that caused him to vomit black liquid. He also said he was deprived of sleep, forced to wear women’s underwear, and threatened with dogs during his time at the prison.

CACI, however, defended itself, claiming that its employees were not responsible for the detainees’ abuse. The company argued that its contractors had limited involvement with the plaintiffs and questioned parts of the plaintiffs’ testimony, suggesting that some of their claims were contradicted by military records. CACI’s defense rested on the argument that any liability for the detainees’ mistreatment rested solely with the U.S. government.

Throughout the trial and retrial, the jury struggled to determine whether CACI or the U.S. Army should bear responsibility for the misconduct committed by CACI’s interrogators. In the first trial, which ended in a mistrial with a hung jury, multiple jurors indicated they favored holding CACI accountable. CACI, as part of its defense, invoked the “borrowed servants” doctrine, asserting that it should not be held liable for its employees’ actions if those employees were under the direction of the Army. In contrast, the plaintiffs’ legal team argued that CACI should be held accountable for its own employees’ actions, pointing to provisions in CACI’s contract with the Army that made the company responsible for overseeing its personnel.

The lawsuit was initially filed in 2008, but it faced numerous delays due to legal challenges from CACI. The plaintiffs’ legal team presented evidence in the form of reports from two retired Army generals, who documented the abuse at Abu Ghraib and concluded that several CACI interrogators were complicit in the mistreatment. These reports included allegations that Steven Stefanowicz, one of the interrogators, lied about his actions and likely instructed soldiers to mistreat detainees, including using dogs to intimidate them during interrogations.

Stefanowicz testified on behalf of CACI through a recorded video deposition, where he denied any wrongdoing. Meanwhile, CACI presented a separate report that claimed its contractors had complied with military procedures and had performed their duties satisfactorily.

The case has drawn significant attention, not only due to the high-profile nature of the abuse at Abu Ghraib but also because it marks a rare instance of a corporate entity being held accountable for complicity in human rights violations. As the case moves forward, CACI’s appeal will likely be closely watched, given its potential implications for future lawsuits involving private contractors working with the U.S. military.

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