Kamala Harris Leads Trump by 38 Points Among Asian American Voters, Survey Reveals

Vice President Kamala Harris holds a commanding 38-point lead over former President Donald Trump in a recent survey targeting Asian American voters. This survey, conducted by the Asian and Pacific Islander American Vote (APIAVote) and AAPI Data, shows Harris’s dominance in this key demographic as she continues her campaign for the 2024 presidential election.

The poll, carried out by the National Opinion Research Center (NORC) at the University of Chicago, indicates a significant surge in support for Harris and the Democratic ticket. Since President Biden’s decision to step out of the race, Harris’s support among Asian American voters has grown by 23 points. The data places Harris in a strong position, with 66 percent of Asian American voters backing her, compared to just 28 percent supporting Trump. The remaining six percent are either undecided or favor other candidates.

Christine Chen, co-founder and executive director of APIAVote, spoke to the significance of these results: “These results reinforce what we’ve been hearing and seeing from the Asian American community since July: they are re-energized and poised to once again play a decisive role in the election.” The growing enthusiasm among Asian American voters suggests that this demographic could indeed be a major factor in determining the outcome of the 2024 election.

The survey further highlights Harris’s increasing favorability among Asian American voters. Sixty-two percent now view her positively, reflecting an 18-point rise in approval since the April-May period of 2024. Meanwhile, Trump’s favorability among the same group remains far lower, with only 28 percent of respondents holding a positive opinion of the former president. A significant 70 percent of respondents view Trump unfavorably, underscoring the challenges his campaign faces in winning over this growing demographic.

The popularity of the Democratic ticket extends beyond Harris, as the poll also indicates that Tim Walz, the Democratic vice-presidential nominee, is far more popular among Asian American voters than his Republican counterpart, JD Vance. Walz enjoys a 56 percent favorability rating, while only 21 percent of respondents view Vance positively. This disparity in favorability between the two vice-presidential candidates further strengthens the Democratic Party’s appeal among Asian American voters.

Karthick Ramakrishnan, executive director of AAPI Data, emphasized the importance of the Asian American and Pacific Islander (AAPI) electorate in the upcoming election. “Asian American and Pacific Islander voters are poised to play a pivotal role in this election. Instead of speculating about how AAPI voters are reacting to the Harris, Walz, and Vance candidacies, we have nationally representative survey data to inform news coverage and public understanding,” Ramakrishnan said. His remarks underscore the growing influence of AAPI voters, whose voting patterns have often been overlooked in previous elections.

In addition to favorability ratings, the survey also reveals a notable rise in voter engagement within the Asian American community. Seventy-seven percent of Asian American voters expressed certainty that they would vote in the upcoming election, a significant increase from 68 percent earlier in the year. This heightened level of voter commitment suggests that outreach efforts by both political parties are having an impact.

The Democratic Party appears to be making more significant inroads with Asian American voters, as 62 percent of respondents reported having been contacted by the Democratic Party. In comparison, 46 percent said they had been contacted by the Republican Party. This difference in voter outreach may further explain Harris’s strong lead among Asian American voters, as consistent communication often plays a crucial role in securing voter loyalty.

Harris’s appeal to Asian American voters is multifaceted. While her identity as an Asian Indian or South Asian is significant to some, her identity as a woman resonates more strongly within this demographic. Thirty-eight percent of Asian American voters in the survey emphasized the importance of her gender, while 27 percent highlighted her ethnic background. This demonstrates that voters are responding to both Harris’s gender and heritage, though her role as a woman appears to carry more weight with a larger portion of the electorate.

The findings of the 2024 AAPI Voter Survey provide valuable insights into the voting trends of Asian Americans, Native Hawaiians, and Pacific Islanders. The survey, conducted between September 3 and 9, 2024, reflects the growing importance of these communities in the national political landscape.

As the fastest-growing electorate in the United States, Asian American voters are increasingly viewed as a crucial bloc in the race for the presidency. The support Harris has garnered within this group further solidifies her position as a formidable candidate. Given the increasing voter engagement, as evidenced by the survey results, Asian American voters may very well play a decisive role in shaping the outcome of the 2024 election.

This shift in favor of the Democratic ticket among Asian American voters is a significant development as both parties compete for key demographic groups in battleground states. Harris’s ability to connect with Asian American voters, particularly as a woman and a representative of their community, is proving to be a vital asset for the Democratic campaign.

In contrast, Trump’s inability to improve his favorability among this demographic suggests that his campaign faces an uphill battle in trying to win over Asian American voters. With 70 percent of respondents viewing him unfavorably, it remains unclear how the former president plans to reverse these trends before Election Day.

The rise in voter engagement among Asian Americans also reflects broader efforts to increase participation within historically underrepresented communities. With voter turnout among Asian Americans rising, both political parties will likely continue to invest in outreach efforts to win over this crucial voting bloc.

The 2024 AAPI Voter Survey underscores the pivotal role that Asian American voters are expected to play in the upcoming election. With Harris holding a significant lead over Trump and the Democratic ticket receiving strong support from this demographic, the results suggest that Asian American voters will be instrumental in shaping the outcome of the 2024 presidential race. As voter outreach efforts intensify and engagement continues to rise, Asian American voters are poised to make their voices heard in a significant way this election season.