Biden’s Balancing Act: US Diplomacy Faces Hurdles in Israel-Gaza Conflict

Feature and Cover Biden's Balancing Act US Diplomacy Faces Hurdles in Israel Gaza Conflict

A year after Hamas launched its deadly attack on Israel, sparking a brutal war in Gaza, US President Joe Biden finds himself navigating a precarious path between support for Israel and efforts to broker a ceasefire. On October 7, 2023, after Hamas attacked, killing more than 1,200 people and kidnapping 250, including US citizens, Biden became the first sitting US president to visit Israel during a time of war. During his visit, he assured Israeli leaders, including Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, that “You are not alone,” but he also warned them not to repeat the mistakes made by the US in the aftermath of 9/11.

A year later, Biden’s efforts to restrain the escalation of violence while supporting Israel appear to be faltering. In September 2024, Biden led calls for de-escalation between Israel and Hezbollah at the United Nations, only for Israeli airstrikes to kill Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah shortly after. This assassination, carried out with US-supplied bunker buster bombs, marked a significant turning point in the conflict, and Biden’s diplomacy seemed buried beneath the ruins of Beirut.

The US has made multiple attempts to broker a ceasefire and negotiate the release of hostages taken by Hamas. Secretary of State Antony Blinken has traveled to the Middle East ten times since the October 7 attacks, seeking to mediate between Israel and Hamas. Despite these efforts, US diplomacy has struggled to gain traction, and Blinken’s mission to secure a ceasefire has been repeatedly thwarted. On his ninth visit to the region in August 2024, optimism that a deal might be close evaporated when the Emir of Qatar, a key player in talks with Hamas, became unavailable, and Netanyahu insisted on keeping Israeli troops along Gaza’s border with Egypt. This condition was a deal breaker for both Hamas and Egypt, and the negotiations collapsed.

The situation on the ground in Gaza has deteriorated rapidly. Israel’s retaliatory offensive has killed nearly 42,000 Palestinians, according to figures from the Hamas-run health ministry. Thousands more remain missing, and the United Nations has reported record numbers of aid workers killed in Israeli strikes. Humanitarian groups accuse Israel of blocking essential aid, though the Israeli government denies these claims. The conflict has also spread beyond Gaza, with violence erupting in the occupied West Bank and Lebanon, and Iran firing missiles at Israel in retaliation for Nasrallah’s death.

Despite Biden’s administration claiming some success in moderating Israeli military actions, particularly in Gaza’s southern city of Rafah, where the invasion was reportedly less extensive due to US pressure, the overall goal of achieving a ceasefire remains elusive. Biden temporarily suspended a shipment of bombs to Israel in an attempt to restrain the military’s escalation, but this move was met with backlash from Netanyahu and US Republicans, leading the administration to partially lift the suspension soon after.

In Gaza, the humanitarian crisis continues to deepen, with famine-like conditions reported earlier in 2024. US officials, however, claim that their intervention has led to increased aid deliveries to the region. “It’s through the intervention and the involvement and the hard work of the United States that we’ve been able to get humanitarian assistance into those in Gaza, which is not to say that this is… mission accomplished,” says Matthew Miller, a State Department spokesman. “It is very much not. It is an ongoing process.”

Critics argue that US diplomacy has been superficial, given the billions in military aid sent to Israel. Some former officials claim that the US has failed to use its leverage over Israel to halt the violence. “To say [the administration] conducted diplomacy is true in the most superficial sense in that they conducted a lot of meetings. But they never made any reasonable effort to change the behavior of one of the main actors—Israel,” says Harrison J. Mann, a former US Army Major who worked in the Middle East and Africa section of the Defense Intelligence Agency. Mann resigned earlier this year, in protest of US support for Israel’s military operations, citing the high civilian death toll caused by American-supplied weapons.

However, Biden’s allies staunchly reject this criticism, pointing to the diplomatic success of last November’s truce, which resulted in the release of over 100 hostages in exchange for 300 Palestinian prisoners. The administration also claims credit for preventing an Israeli invasion of Lebanon earlier in the conflict, despite cross-border rocket fire between Hezbollah and Israel. Senator Chris Coons, a Biden ally, argues that the president has managed to prevent the war from spiraling even further, despite provocations from Iran-backed militias and other regional actors. “He has been successful in preventing an escalation—despite repeated and aggressive provocation by the Houthis, by Hezbollah, by the Shia militias in Iraq—and has brought in a number of our regional partners,” Coons says.

Former Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert attributes Biden’s efforts to an unprecedented level of support for Israel, pointing to the extensive US military deployments in the region following the October 7 attacks, including aircraft carriers and a nuclear submarine. However, Olmert also believes that Netanyahu’s resistance has hindered Biden’s diplomacy. He suggests that Netanyahu’s reliance on far-right, ultranationalist cabinet members has prevented him from agreeing to a ceasefire. “Ending the war as part of an agreement for the release of hostages means a major threat to Netanyahu, and he’s not prepared to accept it,” Olmert says.

Netanyahu has consistently denied that he is blocking a ceasefire deal, asserting that he supports US-backed plans but has sought clarifications, while accusing Hamas of shifting its demands. The relationship between Netanyahu and Biden, shaped over decades, has been a key factor in the dynamics of US-Israel diplomacy. Though Biden has long been a staunch supporter of Israel, critics argue that his unyielding support has become a liability. As Gaza’s death toll rises, protesters in the US, many of them Democrats, have taken to the streets, denouncing Biden’s policies and accusing him of facilitating war crimes.

Rashid Khalidi, Professor Emeritus of Modern Arab Studies at Columbia University, believes Biden’s diplomacy is rooted in an outdated view of the region, one that fails to account for the decades of Palestinian suffering under occupation. “I think that Biden is stuck in a much longer-term time warp. He just cannot see things such as… 57 years of occupation, the slaughter in Gaza, except through an Israeli lens,” Khalidi says.

As the conflict drags on, Biden faces increasing pressure to shift his approach, both from within his own party and from a new generation of Americans who view the Gaza conflict through the lens of social media, witnessing the devastation firsthand. Vice President Kamala Harris, Biden’s successor as the Democratic candidate in the upcoming election, represents a break from this generational mindset, though she, like her Republican rival Donald Trump, has yet to outline any concrete plans for ending the conflict. How the US election may influence the course of the Israel-Gaza war remains to be seen.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

More Related Stories

-+=