Donald Trump’s Approval Rating Declines as Economic Concerns Mount

Approval Ratings Slip Below Water

President Donald Trump’s approval rating has dipped into negative territory, with nearly every major pollster now showing more Americans disapprove of his job performance than approve. According to Newsweek’s tracker, Trump’s approval rating stands at 48%, while disapproval is at 49%, marking a one-point drop since Friday.

The Fox News poll, conducted between March 14-17, also found that 51% of respondents disapprove of Trump’s performance, while 49% approve, giving him a net rating of -2. Meanwhile, the latest YouGov/Economist and Morning Consult polls recorded a net approval of -3.

Trump’s Handling of the Economy Draws Criticism

Dissatisfaction with Trump’s economic policies appears to be a key driver of his declining popularity. A Fox News poll found that 56% of Americans disapprove of Trump’s handling of the economy, while only 43% approve. The latest Reuters/Ipsos poll paints an even bleaker picture, with only 38% approving of Trump’s economic leadership and a mere 34% expressing confidence in his ability to manage the cost of living.

Adding to concerns, 71% of Americans believe the economy will enter a recession this year, while Trump’s trade policies—especially tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China—are fueling fears of higher inflation. Goldman Sachs previously estimated that these tariffs could push inflation up by 1% and provoke retaliatory actions from other countries.

Comparisons to Biden and First-Term Approval

At this point in his presidency, Trump’s 48% approval rating is lower than Joe Biden’s 53% approval rating on March 26, 2021, according to RealClearPolitics. However, compared to his first term, Trump’s popularity has improved. On March 26, 2017, his approval rating stood at just 43%, with a disapproval rating of 52%, giving him a net approval of -9.

Despite the recent dip, some polls remain favorable. Rasmussen Reports, known for producing more Republican-leaning results, places Trump’s net approval at +4. Meanwhile, RMG Research, founded by Scott Rasmussen, gave him a net approval of +8, with 53% approving and 45% disapproving.

Outlook and Potential Shifts

Trump’s approval rating will likely continue to fluctuate in the coming weeks, influenced by economic developments, U.S. trade policies, ongoing tensions over the Russia-Ukraine war, and the potential for a recession. His ability to regain public trust on economic issues could be a crucial factor in shaping political dynamics ahead of the midterm elections.

Trump Administration Takes Birthright Citizenship Fight to Supreme Court

The Trump administration is escalating its legal battle to overturn birthright citizenship by bringing the matter before the U.S. Supreme Court. So far, every court that has reviewed Trump’s executive order—issued on his first day in office—has struck it down. Despite these setbacks, Trump remains determined to press forward.

The former president’s claim that birthright citizenship is unconstitutional is widely regarded as an extreme position, given that the Supreme Court ruled against such an argument 127 years ago, and that precedent has remained unchallenged ever since.

The 14th Amendment to the U.S. Constitution clearly states: “All persons born or naturalized in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, are citizens of the United States.” However, Trump has repeatedly asserted that not all children born on U.S. soil automatically receive citizenship.

So far, three federal judges across different states have blocked Trump’s executive order attempting to nullify birthright citizenship. Furthermore, three separate appeals courts have refused to lift those rulings. Judge John Coughenour, who was appointed by President Reagan and serves in Washington state, was the first to strike down Trump’s executive order, describing it as “blatantly unconstitutional.”

Nevertheless, on Thursday, the Trump administration submitted three nearly identical petitions to the Supreme Court, seeking to limit the reach of lower court rulings. These nationwide injunctions currently prevent the administration from implementing its new policy on birthright citizenship. By narrowing these injunctions, the administration aims to begin planning for the policy’s potential enforcement.

Stephen Yale-Loehr, a retired Cornell University immigration law professor and co-author of a widely used legal treatise on immigration, believes the Court might be open to granting this temporary limitation. However, he warned, “I think that would cause chaos and confusion as to who was included in the court rulings and who is potentially subject to the birthright citizenship ban if the case goes in favor of the Trump administration on the merits.”

Interestingly, the Trump administration’s petition to the Supreme Court devotes more attention to challenging the ability of lower court judges to issue nationwide injunctions than to the question of birthright citizenship itself. This approach may stem from the fact that certain Supreme Court justices have previously voiced frustration over the broad use of such nationwide rulings. Given the legal difficulties of overturning birthright citizenship, the administration may believe it has a better chance of success by attacking the legitimacy of nationwide injunctions instead.

Ilya Somin, a professor at Antonin Scalia Law School, commented on this legal strategy, stating, “At the very least, they have an indication that they have a better chance on the injunction question than on the [constitutional question] of birthright citizenship.”

However, Republican-led states have frequently relied on nationwide injunctions when challenging policies introduced by the Biden and Obama administrations, yet the Supreme Court did not intervene in those cases. This raises questions about whether the Court would be willing to do so now in response to the Trump administration’s request.

Professor Yale-Loehr suggested that a middle-ground outcome might be likely, allowing the Trump administration to make progress on its efforts to dismantle birthright citizenship without fully achieving its objectives.

“The Supreme Court may well limit the injunctions partially, maybe not to the extent that the Trump Administration wants, but [to the extent] that will allow the Trump administration to claim a political victory,” he explained.

Before making any decision, the Supreme Court justices will first request a response from the opposing side.

Trump Administration’s Aggressive Overhaul Faces Legal Hurdles

The Trump administration and its Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) team continue to push forward with sweeping changes to federal agencies, leading to mass layoffs and the abrupt shutdown of ongoing work.

This aggressive restructuring represents a historic power move by the president. However, the disorganized approach may be weakening the administration’s legal standing, as multiple lawsuits pile up and court orders repeatedly block DOGE’s actions.

“I hope that the court system is going to allow us to do what we have to do,” Trump stated during an extended Oval Office discussion with reporters. “We got elected to, among other things, find all of this fraud, abuse, all of this, this horrible stuff going on.”

Despite Trump’s claims of “fraud,” the primary targets of these reforms appear to be programs he simply disfavors, such as diversity initiatives.

Legal experts across the political spectrum, including both conservatives and liberals, have raised concerns over the administration’s abrupt moves. The freezing of vast amounts of federal funds approved by Congress, gaining access to sensitive Treasury payment systems, and attempts to shut down entire agencies overnight have alarmed many.

“From the chaos in and around the administration, to the chaos in the courts who are trying to grapple with it, and for all of us who are watching it happen,” said Adam White of the conservative American Enterprise Institute, “we can all agree this is no way to run a country.”

White pointed out that the administration’s lack of strategic planning and explanation makes judges more likely to question and reject its actions. Other experts on executive authority share similar views.

“Every other presidential administration in modern American history spends a fair bit of time explaining in legal language and in legal arguments why what they’re doing is actually legal,” said Deborah Pearlstein, a constitutional scholar at Princeton University who previously served in the Clinton White House.

“Even if it appears like a huge power grab and almost certainly beyond the scope of the president’s power, they have some argument,” she added.

However, Pearlstein observed that in Trump’s second term, the administration has failed to present a legal justification for its actions. As a result, the DOGE restructuring initiative is not being implemented in a legally sustainable way.

She noted that the conservative-leaning Supreme Court might be sympathetic to certain efforts to expand executive power. However, she emphasized that experience in the White House quickly teaches that every major action should be reviewed by skilled legal advisors to ensure compliance with the law. Trump and billionaire Elon Musk, who is leading the DOGE initiative, seem to believe they can act first and leave legal concerns for later.

“That seems to me pretty likely with some of the DOGE stuff to be what’s going on,” Pearlstein said. “And in part for that reason, a lot of that stuff is going to get struck down by the courts pretty quickly.”

Indeed, legal challenges have already begun to stall the administration’s efforts.

On Thursday, two different federal judges temporarily blocked Trump’s attempt to shut down the United States Agency for International Development (USAID). One judge ruled that the administration must lift the freeze on foreign aid funding, while another blocked the government from placing thousands of USAID employees on leave.

Additionally, a federal judge in Manhattan ruled on Friday that DOGE will continue to be barred from accessing sensitive Treasury Department records and systems. That same day, another judge in Washington, D.C., issued an order temporarily preventing layoffs at the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, an agency that Musk has openly expressed a desire to dismantle.

Despite these setbacks, the administration did secure a legal victory in Massachusetts, where a federal judge allowed its controversial “Fork in the Road” resignation plan to proceed. The ruling determined that the labor unions that sued over the policy lacked the legal standing to challenge it.

Adam White of the American Enterprise Institute acknowledged that he does not support the administration’s chaotic methods. However, he questioned whether this flurry of executive actions is simply a temporary burst of policymaking energy early in the term.

He expressed hope that the pace would eventually slow down, bringing more clarity. However, he also posed a crucial question: “If this is going to be the style of governance for four entire years… we’ll see.”

Historically, previous administrations have also pledged to combat waste, fraud, and abuse in government spending.

“Under President Reagan there was something called the Grace Commission,” said Linda Bilmes, a government efficiency expert at the Harvard Kennedy School.

“He charged the commission to work like bloodhounds—don’t leave any stone unturned in your search to root out inefficiency,” she explained.

However, Bilmes pointed out that both Reagan and President Bill Clinton worked within the existing system. Clinton and Vice President Al Gore sought input from civil servants to identify cost-saving measures. Reagan collaborated with Congress to pass lasting legislative reforms.

In contrast, Bilmes described the current approach as a more reckless assault on the system.

“Not only is this effort not accomplishing the task of weeding out inefficiency, but… it’s like cutting off your arm to lose weight,” she said.

In other words, while such drastic measures might appear effective in the short term, they ultimately create more problems than they solve.

Some political analysts suggest that the aggressive tactics of DOGE may appeal to Trump’s voter base and serve as a short-term political win.

However, even with Republican control of both the Senate and the House, along with a conservative Supreme Court, many experts find it puzzling that the administration is pursuing this confrontational approach rather than passing legislation. This remains an ongoing mystery for political and legal observers alike.

Judge Blocks Trump’s Executive Order on Birthright Citizenship, Calling It Unconstitutional

President Donald Trump’s executive order aimed at denying U.S. citizenship to children born to parents living illegally in the country has encountered its first significant legal obstacle. It faced a critical test in a Seattle courtroom on Thursday and did not fare well.

During the hearing, U.S. District Judge John C. Coughenour questioned the Justice Department’s arguments and labeled the executive order “blatantly unconstitutional.” The judge issued a temporary restraining order, preventing the administration from enforcing the order nationwide while legal challenges proceed.

Understanding Birthright Citizenship

Birthright citizenship grants citizenship to individuals born in a country, a principle enshrined in the 14th Amendment of the U.S. Constitution. This amendment, ratified in 1868, explicitly states: “All persons born or naturalized in the United States and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, are citizens of the United States and of the State wherein they reside.” It was established to ensure citizenship for former slaves following the Civil War.

Critics argue that this provision incentivizes illegal immigration, as it allows children born in the U.S. to gain citizenship and potentially help their parents secure legal status in the future. Seeking to address this perceived issue, Trump signed the executive order shortly after being sworn in for his second term.

The order sparked immediate legal challenges nationwide. Five lawsuits, brought by 22 states and various immigrant rights groups, have been filed. The first hearing involved a case led by Washington, Arizona, Oregon, and Illinois.

What’s Next for Legal Challenges?

The judge’s temporary restraining order halts enforcement of the executive order for 14 days. During this period, both sides will file further arguments on the legality of the order. Judge Coughenour scheduled a follow-up hearing on February 6 to decide whether a preliminary injunction should be issued. Such an injunction would block the order indefinitely while the case progresses.

Meanwhile, other lawsuits against the order are moving forward. On February 5, CASA, a nonprofit immigrants’ rights organization, will have a hearing in Greenbelt, Maryland. Other cases, including one led by New Jersey representing 18 states, the District of Columbia, and San Francisco, as well as another brought by the Brazilian Worker Center in Massachusetts, have yet to schedule hearings.

Opponents of the order argue it would lead to severe consequences for affected children. They claim it could render many stateless, strip them of their rights, and prevent them from participating in civic or economic life.

Judge’s Reasoning

While Judge Coughenour did not provide an extensive explanation during the hearing, his statements made his stance clear. Calling the order “blatantly unconstitutional,” he grilled Justice Department attorney Brett Shumate while refraining from questioning Washington’s assistant attorney general, Lane Polozola.

The opposing states argue that the 14th Amendment’s guarantee of birthright citizenship is well-established and that the president lacks the authority to unilaterally decide citizenship qualifications.

Judge Coughenour emphasized the clarity of the issue, stating: “I’ve been on the bench for over four decades. I can’t remember another case where the question presented was as clear as this one is.”

The Justice Department responded with a statement asserting its intent to defend the executive order. “We look forward to presenting a full merits argument to the Court and to the American people, who are desperate to see our Nation’s laws enforced,” the department declared.

Judge Coughenour’s Background

At 84, Judge John C. Coughenour has served as a federal judge for over four decades. Appointed by President Ronald Reagan in 1981, he graduated from the University of Iowa’s law program in 1966. Although semi-retired, he continues to hear cases and is known for his independence and assertive judicial style.

Newly elected Washington Attorney General Nick Brown, who previously served as a U.S. attorney in Seattle, expressed little surprise at the judge’s reaction. “I’ve been in front of Judge Coughenour before to see his frustration personally,” Brown said. “But I think the words that he expressed, and the seriousness that he expressed, really just drove home what we have been saying. … This is fairly obvious.”

Coughenour has presided over thousands of cases, including criminal and environmental matters. One of his most notable cases involved Ahmed Ressam, the so-called “millennium bomber,” who was arrested in December 1999 while attempting to enter the U.S. with explosives intended for a New Year’s Eve attack on Los Angeles International Airport.

Coughenour clashed with prosecutors over Ressam’s sentencing, disagreeing on how much leniency should be granted for Ressam’s cooperation after his conviction. After sentencing Ressam to 22 years twice—only to have the rulings overturned by the 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals—Coughenour ultimately imposed a 37-year sentence in 2012. Reflecting on the case, he remarked that it was the only instance where an appellate court had deemed him excessively lenient.

The Broader Implications

The temporary restraining order represents the first major legal setback for Trump’s executive order. The case is expected to set the stage for prolonged legal battles over the scope of presidential authority and the constitutional guarantee of birthright citizenship.

As additional hearings and rulings unfold, the outcome could have far-reaching consequences for immigration policy and the lives of millions of children born in the United States to parents without legal status. For now, the order remains blocked, and its fate will depend on arguments presented in the weeks and months ahead.

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