Exit Polls Indicate BJP’s Potential Return to Power in Delhi After 27 Years

Exit polls for the 2025 Delhi Assembly elections indicate that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is on the brink of a major comeback, potentially reclaiming power in the capital after nearly three decades. At the same time, the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), which has ruled Delhi since 2015, appears to be falling short of a decisive majority. The Delhi Assembly consists of 70 seats, with a majority requiring at least 36. The latest exit poll results hint at a possible shift in the city’s political landscape.

Exit Poll Projections

Several agencies have released exit poll results, each predicting varying seat tallies for the three major political parties contesting the election. Below is a summary of their forecasts:

The exit polls collectively suggest that the BJP could secure between 39 and 60 seats, indicating a clear advantage for the party in most projections. The AAP is predicted to win between 18 and 37 seats, a significant decline from its 2020 performance. Meanwhile, the Congress is expected to continue its marginal presence, with most estimates giving it no more than three seats.

BJP’s Potential Comeback and AAP’s Confidence

The projections mark a potential turning point in Delhi’s political landscape, with the BJP seemingly poised for a return to power. However, AAP leaders remain hopeful that the final results will paint a different picture. Sushil Gupta, a senior AAP leader, has reaffirmed the party’s belief in a favorable outcome. “Arvind Kejriwal has worked tirelessly for the people of Delhi, and we will see the results in our favor,” Gupta told ANI. An AAP spokesperson echoed this optimism, insisting that the party would secure a decisive majority.

Despite the BJP’s projected lead, exit polls have not always been entirely accurate in Delhi’s past elections.

Historical Accuracy of Exit Polls in Delhi

Exit polls in previous Delhi Assembly elections have had mixed accuracy. In 2013, they correctly predicted a hung assembly, though they underestimated AAP’s breakthrough performance. By 2015, while the exit polls forecasted an AAP victory, they fell short in capturing the extent of the party’s dominance. Most surveys in 2015 estimated AAP would win around 45 seats, but the party ultimately secured an overwhelming 67-seat victory.

In 2020, exit polls improved in precision, correctly predicting AAP’s landslide win, though some projections still underestimated the margin. That year, the AAP won 62 seats, a number that was largely in line with exit poll estimates.

Given this history, while the 2025 exit polls suggest a strong performance for the BJP, past trends indicate that the final results could still hold surprises.

Congress’s Continued Struggles

The Congress, which once held a dominant position in Delhi’s politics, continues to struggle for relevance in the capital. Exit polls suggest that the party may win between zero and three seats, reinforcing its ongoing decline in the city. Once a formidable force, Congress has been unable to regain ground since its defeat in 2013, when AAP emerged as a major political challenger.

Voter Turnout and Changing Sentiments

Voter participation in Delhi has seen fluctuations in recent elections, possibly reflecting evolving political sentiments. The 2020 Delhi Assembly elections recorded a turnout of 62.82%, marking a decline from the 67.47% turnout in 2015. This change in voter engagement could signal shifting priorities among Delhi’s electorate.

The Road Ahead

As Delhi awaits the final election results, the battle for control of the capital remains intense. If the exit polls hold true, the BJP may finally break AAP’s decade-long hold on power, reshaping the political scenario in the city. However, AAP remains confident in its governance record and believes the final outcome will favor them.

The results, expected in the coming days, will determine whether Delhi’s voters have opted for change or chosen continuity.