Kamala Harris Leads Trump by 19 Points Among Indian Americans in Favorability Ratings, Campaign Poll Shows

Kamala Harris, the likely Democratic nominee for the US Presidency, holds a significant 19-point lead over her Republican opponent Donald Trump in favorability among Indian Americans, according to internal polling from the Harris campaign.

These findings were shared on Wednesday in a memo by Harris campaign chair Jen O’Malley Dillon, providing an update on the overall state of the presidential race. The data covered a wide range of topics, including the favorability ratings among Asian Americans, encompassing Indian, Japanese, Chinese, Vietnamese, Korean, and Filipino communities.

The poll was conducted internally on July 10, just 11 days before President Joe Biden ended his campaign under Democratic pressure and endorsed Harris for the top spot. She is now considered the de facto party nominee.

This internal poll assessed the favorability ratings of Biden, Trump, Harris, and Nikki Haley, the former US Ambassador to the UN and also of Indian descent like Harris, among Asian Americans. The results showed that 54 percent of Indian Americans had a “very favorable” to “somewhat favorable” view of Vice President Harris, a substantial 19-point advantage over Trump’s 35 percent. Harris also led Haley by 21 points but was slightly behind Biden, who had a 55 percent favorability rating.

The head-to-head matchup between Biden and Trump highlighted a significant decline in Biden’s support within the community. Only 46 percent of Indian Americans indicated they would vote for Biden if the election were held at the time of the survey, while 29 percent preferred Trump. Additionally, 20 percent were either undecided or refused to answer.

This marks a sharp drop from 2020 when a Carnegie Endowment for International Peace survey showed that 72 percent of Indian Americans planned to vote for Biden, compared to 22 percent for Trump. This decline likely reflects a general lack of enthusiasm for Biden’s second term despite his favorable perception.

The Harris campaign’s internal poll also revealed that 55 percent of Indian Americans intended to vote for Democratic Senate candidates, and 52 percent for Democratic House candidates. However, the Republican party has made some gains, with 29 percent planning to vote for Republican Senate candidates and 31 percent for Republican House candidates.

The US Indian American population ranges from 4.16 million to 4.4 million, making up about 1.4 percent of the more than 333 million US population. Out of these, only 2.62 million are US citizens, with 1.9 million registered voters, representing 0.82 percent of all registered voters in the country. Despite these seemingly small numbers, the community’s impact is significant.

Virginia, once a solid Republican state, has become reliably Democratic largely due to its substantial population of Indian Americans and other immigrants in the northern region near Washington. The community also plays a pivotal role in swing states, which decide presidential elections by narrow margins—Biden won Wisconsin by just a 0.63 percent margin in the last election.

O’Malley Dillon emphasized in the memo that the 2024 race between Harris and Trump is expected to be “tight,” noting that every vote will count in such close contests.