French President Emmanuel Macron, facing mounting political challenges, announced plans to appoint a new prime minister within days during a televised address on Thursday. His defiant tone sought to address the fallout from Prime Minister Michel Barnier’s ousting in a historic no-confidence vote a day earlier. However, his remarks are unlikely to quell the intensifying political crisis.
The no-confidence vote, a rare occurrence in French politics, was propelled by an alliance between left-wing and far-right lawmakers, marking a significant setback for Macron’s administration. In response, the president refrained from conceding any personal failures, instead directing criticism at the factions that united to topple Barnier’s government.
Macron singled out the far-right National Rally, led by Marine Le Pen, accusing the party of orchestrating political instability. “The extreme right and the extreme left united together in an anti-Republican front,” he stated, referencing the coalition that led to Barnier’s downfall. This political vacuum complicates Macron’s agenda, particularly his push for a contentious budget.
Following the no-confidence vote, Barnier submitted his resignation, which Macron accepted on Thursday. Until a new government is formed, Barnier will serve in a caretaker role. “Let’s be honest, they think about one thing: the presidential election,” Macron remarked, criticizing Le Pen’s party for what he described as a “cynical” strategy that had fostered “a sense of chaos” across France. He further accused them of prioritizing disorder over governance, stating, “They insulted their own voters, and they have chosen simply disorder.”
During his address, Macron expressed optimism about a turning point in French politics. “From today, it’s [a] new era,” he declared, urging the National Assembly to fulfill its mandate and act “in the service of the French people.” However, his ability to usher in a smoother era remains uncertain. The selection of a new prime minister must gain approval from a deeply divided parliament, where opposition persists on both sides of the political spectrum.
Macron, now halfway through his second and final presidential term, faces diminished authority domestically and internationally. The snap election he called in June, intended to solidify his mandate, resulted in a fractured parliament, complicating his governance in the critical final years of his presidency. Further complicating matters, another snap election is not possible until June 2025, leaving Macron to navigate a highly polarized legislative body in the meantime.
The president initially sought to bridge the divide in parliament by appointing Barnier in September, hoping to balance support across political factions. However, his approach proved unsuccessful, and Macron may now focus on consolidating support from one side, potentially alienating the other. His address suggested little willingness to compromise with Le Pen, whose party remains steadfast in its opposition. On Thursday, Le Pen told French network CNews, “We have not changed our minds: we are opposed to a left-wing Prime Minister,” signaling continued resistance to any move that marginalizes her political bloc.
Adding to the urgency, the government must finalize a budget by December 21 to prevent a potential fiscal crisis. Failure to meet this deadline could result in the implementation of a “fiscal continuity law,” which would allow the government to continue essential operations. According to credit rating agency S&P Global Ratings, this stopgap measure would enable tax collection and salary payments but cap spending at 2024 levels.
Barnier’s government became the first in France to be toppled by a no-confidence vote since 1962, a reflection of the deep divisions within the current parliament. At the center of the dispute was a proposed financing bill aimed at reducing the country’s budget deficit to 5% by next year. The bill included €60 billion ($63 billion) in tax increases and spending cuts, measures that faced staunch opposition from various quarters. Among the contentious provisions was a delay in matching pension increases to inflation, a move that drew sharp criticism from opposition parties.
Macron now faces the daunting task of navigating a fragmented political landscape while maintaining public trust and advancing his legislative priorities. The coming days, particularly the appointment of a new prime minister and the passage of the budget, will be pivotal in determining the trajectory of his presidency.
